michael o'sullivan from credit suisse is still with us. chael, lots of things to focus on, but i am going to hone in on the balance sheet. there is something interesting for rob a bank, think about where treasurers go. corporate supplies falling, treasury yields fall. you see that range of 240 to 280 for 10 year yields. would you agree? pattern between the fed continuing to tighten the balance sheet, etc., is potentially quite a difficult one. if that's an area where to come to pass, it would take you close to recession simply because of the burden of debt on the u.s. a lot of them have issued debt to share buybacks instead of buying equipment, etc. two things about the fed, the first is that historically the day of the fed meeting accounts for a really big chunk of equity gains, if you look back at the last 20 years. -- chairman powell has the worst record recently of fed chairs in terms of the performance of the stock market during his tenure so far. that may make him a little more nervous. i think he is being quite slow to be centralized