michael osterholm, what are we doing and what are we going through in this latest surge? >> you have to understand we don't know why surges occur. what happens that suddenly gives a sudden surge and drop within 5 to 7 tops of the top surge that's been happening around the world. i expect the same to happen here. november -- in 45, weeks we will see the numbers drop tremendously. if louisiana was a country, it would actually have the highest rate of cases in the entire world for any country. that's how bad things are. that's how bad things are. it's a challenge for 5 to 6 weeks to come. >> 5 to 7 weeks schools are already opening. many in the next four weeks. children under 12 can't be vaccinated yet, and there are states that won't just mandate masks, they are forbidding schools to have mask mandates. what concerns you most against kids in the scenario? >> we have 100 million people in this country who are unvaccinated, of which i have four children. we do know that this virus transmits to and buy children readily. unlike early thoughts that this would have spared childre

joining me now for some analysis of where we are and where we are headed is michael osterholm, directorctious disease research at the university of minnesota. he was in the biden transition covid advisory board. thank you for joining us, michael. you have been warning for months about covid complacency, and now we're seeing hospitals fill up, schools having to shut down days after opening. where are we right now and where are we headed? >> first of all we shouldn't have been surprised by this situation. i realize that there was a time where case numbers were very low and people assumed the pandemic had ended in the united states. we had vaccine coming. but let me just remind you that we have over 90 million americans today who are eligible to be vaccinated who have not. that's more than enough human wood out there for this coronavirus forest fire to burn. so this particular surge we're in right now really it's unknown how high it may get in terms of cases. i think right now, my best guesstimate is if we had to look at the southern sun belt states, two or three more weeks at least of inc

michael osterholm projecting we may have another four to six weeks at a minimum of this current surgeel, like i said, it's good to see you. i wish, as always, it were under better circumstances. >> thank you. >>> when we come back, the unfolding disaster in afghanistan. how did id it happen? what can be done now, and what are the political consequences? the panel is next with that discussion. ussion every day in business brings something new. so get the flexibility of the new mobile service designed for your small business. introducing comcast business mobile. you get the most reliable network with nationwide 5g included. and you can get unlimited data for just $30 per line per month when you get four lines or mix and match data options. available now for comcast business internet customers with no line-activation fees or term contract required. see if you can save by switching today. comcast business. powering possibilities. like you, my hands are everything to me. but i was diagnosed with dupuytren's contracture. and it got to the point where things i took for granted got tougher to

michael osterholm joins us now from the university of minnesota. appreciate your time and getting your expertise this morning. it seems like the country lost a month of progress large events are getting canceled, businesses as you hear from ed pushing back a return to the office. what needs to be done to get the country back on track? >> well thank you for having me, boris. let's just be really clear that we still have a very large part of our population that is unprotected. over 90 million people who are eligible to get vaccinated have not been vaccinated. so this surge that is occurring right now and primarily in the southern sun belt states may end up lasting another four or five weeks and those states and dropping precipitously, the question is still out on what will happen with the other states, will they see the kind of surges weeks later than we see if the south. but the bottom line message is we need to get people vaccinated now because we're still going to have a lot of susceptible people even after the surge is over. and we're talking abo

. >>> joining me now to discuss is michael osterholm, the director of the center for infectious diseaseiversity of minnesota. nice to see you, michael. bottom line here, why is it taking so long for the vaccine to get at least emergency authorization for kids younger than 12? >> well, particularly for the group under 12 we're still collecting data. and one of the things that we all want are these vaccines right away. but at the same time we want to make sure that they're safe and they're effective. for younger kids under age 12, what's the right dose? we surely may not be wanting to use the same dose we're using in adults. so those studies, which are ongoing, will hopefully provide us with licensed products some time yet even this year. but, as you and i both know, they can't come soon enough. >> so what is the difference, though, between a 12-year-old who is authorized to get the vaccine right now based on the data and, say, a 10 or 11-year-old? what are they really looking at? >> well, you're absolutely right. it seems like there might be a bright line. if you're just one day old or o

they are not going let one bill pass without the other. >> let me take you back, if i can, michael osterholmsed on what we know happened in the press briefing at the white house, what is on the mind of the american people and the press core and that is what is happening with the coronavirus. the cdc, guidance on masks once again just to reiterate what we found out last week, wear them in public in door settings and areas with high transmission. i go back to a question i asked you probably more than a year ago. what kind of mask? i have ordered you know, tons of these little paper things now that i see most people wearing. is that okay? is that good enough? >> it's very important to wear adequate protection and what we mean by that is you need to wear an n-95respirator, they are vet different. there's plenty of them. a year ago, there were not many at all. >> we were told, don't do it, you are taking it from medical professionals. >> not now, not now, there's more than enough and let me tell you, i think that, to give you a sense of the mask that you are talking about. in the upper midwest wh

and joining me now to discuss is michael osterholm. great to see you, michael. we just heard there kristen detail some of the really confusing messages coming from top officials in the biden administration. what kind of impact does that have on public confidence? >> well, it is a challenge, and particularly when in fact the media then accentuates it by saying this person versus that person versus that person, it only make it's more confusing. i think the challenge we have right now as it was noted is we're in a stage of what i call corrected science, meaning that we're learning about a lot of things as we go and we don't have the luxury of going and publish them or putting together advisory groups then coming out months later with a recommendation. you're getting it pretty much as it happens. so i think this is going to always be a challenge, but we've got to do a much better job of trying to coordinate these messages. a good example is we're going to need a booster? we're waiting to see what happens as we get more and more people who are vaccinated, six, eight,

joining us, michael osterholm the director of the center for disease research and policy.you can help clear us up. last week on cnn, and i'm quoting you hear, many of the face cloth coverings people wear are not effective and you encouraged n95 masks. senator rand paul was just suspended from youtube for saying cloth masks that don't work. the cdc still recommends a two-play breathable mask worn well as an effective option to stop the spread. i think you can understand how confusing this is for people. what's the real story on masks? what works, what doesn't, especially for kids in schools? >> it is confusing for the public. i understand why. in this business you can't nuance anything. it's either left or right, either lou or red, yes or no. science isn't that way. a year ago last april, we put out a statement that basically pointed out this virus is an aerosol, transmitted in the air, just like we see with cigarette smoke. if you're in a room and have a covering on your face and you can smell the smoke, you know you're also getting virus in there if you had an infected pe

also back with us tonight michael osterholm, the director of the center for infectious disease, research and policy, university of minnesota. he was also a covid adviser to the biden transition team back then. michael, indeed, because of the news tonight, i would like to begin with you. during the simpler days of our single strain, uncontrolled pandemic, we made it a habit on this broadcast of asking you what inning we were in in the fight. those were the days before vaccines. i'm tempted to ask tonight, have they added on innings in the game or do we find ourselves, perhaps, in game one of a doubleheader? >> well, i guess i would take it a slightly different direction, brian, i gave up on innings and i am now in quarters, which minute of the quarter it is. we really had game changers when the variants arrived. they have fundamentally changed the game that were playing. from my perspective, right now, it's all about the variant. it's about what delta is doing, would it will continue to do and what we can do about it. >> i know of your concerns to get the rest of the world vaccinated, and

michael osterholm, thanks so much for joining us. >> thank you. >>> coming up, new details about howne of former president trump's allies in the u.s. justice department worked to try to overturn the presidential election by making rather bizarre claims. >>> plus, breaking news. lawyers for the embattled new york governor andrew cuomo lay out their side of the story as he faces a first criminal complaint over sexual harassment. or necessity. we can explore uncharted waters, and not only make new discoveries, but get there faster, with better outcomes. with app, cloud and anywhere workspace solutions, vmware helps companies navigate change-- meeting them where they are, and getting them where they want to be. faster. vmware. welcome change. print. come on! print! print! print! you should be ashamed of yourself! just print... please. (crying) do you suffer from cartridge conniptions? be conniption-free, thanks to the cartridge-free epson ecotank printer. a ridiculous amount of ink! up to 2 years of ink comes in the box. the ecotank is the perfect cure for... do i look like a money tree?

. >> my guest, epidemiology michael osterholm of the university of minnesota. >>> a changing country. the new census report. rural america shrinks as urban america grows. joining me are democratic pollster cornell belcher, anne gearan, republican pollster kristen soltis anderson and peter baker, chief kpous correspondent for "the new york times." welcome to sunday, it's "meet the press." >> announcer: from nbc news in washington, the longest running show in television history, this is "meet the press" with chuck todd. >>> taliban forces seized control of the city of jalalabad without a fight overnight. they've now entered the capital city of kabul. they're negotiating with the government to take over the city without bloodshed. they're looking for unconditional surrender. president biden increased the number of troops he's sending to kabul to help evacuate americans and our allies, and the u.s. embassy evacuation has now begun in full. in just the past week, the taliban have overrun government forces, seizing control of roughly two dozen provincial capitals, often without a fight as t

michael osterholm, appreciate it. >>> coming up in our next hour we will talk with education secretary miguel cardona about sending students back to the ha and chaos is covid cases are the word continues for spirit airlines and its customers who are very frustrated and angry. this morning the low cost airline has already canceled more than 250 flights. that brings the total to more than 1700. this week thousands of passengers were left stranded. spirit blames a perfect storm of staff shortages and bad weather. errol barnett spoke with ted christie, spirit's ceo. good morning to you. what else did he tell you? >> reporter: good morning, gayle. well, christie is apologizing emphatically to passengers. he said their schedule should be back to normal by next week but that means more cancellations through the weekend. now, look, this is a budget airline so its passengers are already financially conscious and we spoke to people who spent hundreds of dollars on hotel stays, on car rentals, those who couldn't afford that, take a look at some of this video, had to sleep at baggage claim areas.

also back with us, michael osterholm from the infectious disease research and policy, university of minnesota. he was also a covid adviser to the biden transition team back then. michael, indeed because of the news, i would like to begin with you. during the simpler days of our single strain, uncontrolled pandemic, we made it a habit of asking you what inning we were in in the fight. those were the days before vaccines. and i'm tempted to ask tonight, have they added on innings in the game or do we find ourselves perhaps in game one of a double-header? >> i guess i would take it in a slightly different direction. i gave up on innings and i'm now into quarters. which minute of the quarters? these have fundamentally changed the game of so from my perspective right now, it is ball the variant, about what delta is doing, what it will continue to do and what we can do about it. >> i know of your concerns to get the rest of the world vaccinated and i think all good hearted americans agree with you. but are all americans headed for a third shot sooner rather than later? not just the immuno compromis

he will have secretary of state antony blinken, disease expert michael osterholm and richard engel who is in kabul. tune in to "meet the press" at 8:00 a.m. after this news cast. >>> as we mentioned california voters will decide whether to recall governor newsom in about a month from now. the governor is making campaign stops in los angeles this weeked. one stop was in boyle heights where he thanked volunteers who have been encouraging voters to vote no on the recall. the weekend of action will stretch into monday with a morning event in san jose. while the official election is in four weeks ballots are already arriving in mailboxes and they can be mailed back or put in dropboxs as soon as monday. >> this is about turning in the votes, which you can do today in these -- these things have stamps on them. you send them right back in. >> the ballot has two questions, should newsom be recalled and if so, who should take his place. there are 46 candidates on the ballot including nine fellow democrats. >>> violence in downtown los angeles is growing over vaccine mandates. it was a chaotic sc

. >> you know, professor michael osterholm was on our program, a couple nights ago, and he said something which i -- i should have probably known. but the way he said it really kind of woke me up. and it certainly made me start wearing a mask, again, even though i have been vaccinated. he said that, you know, i kind of still visualize covid as -- as -- as, you know, droplets in the air. and i was still thinking about that six-feet, you know, idea. he was saying, look, if you are in a room where somebody is smoking and you are 20 feet away and you smell smoke. that's -- it's in the air. it's aerosolized and that's what covid is. so, if you're 20 feet away and you can smell smoke, if you're 20 feet away, it's possible that you would be breathing in somebody's covid. >> that's right. particularly, if people are talking loudly. you know, there's a big contrast. infection on planes has been quite limited. infections in bars or at parties or events where the sound level is high, so people talk above that, you've had some stunning superinfection events there. even, you know, say, choirs where pe

michael osterholm, thanks so much as always. >> thank you. >>> and raising the stakes.vernor andrew cuomo is facing a new deadline to answer the charges against him. congresswoman kathleen rice of new york one of the first to call for his resignation joins us next. this is "andrea mitchell reports" on msnbc. reports" on msnbc. ♪ everywhere i go ♪ ♪ they bite my style ♪ ♪ when i put on a show ♪ ♪ they bite my style ♪ ♪ see me on the screen ♪ ♪ they bite my style ♪ ♪ they wanna be like me ♪ ♪ give me some of that fire ♪ ♪♪ ♪ give me some of that fire ♪ ♪♪ ♪ give me some of that fire ♪ ♪ fire, fire, fire ♪ what happens when we welcome change? we can transform our workforce overnight out of convenience, or necessity. we can explore uncharted waters, and not only make new discoveries, but get there faster, with better outcomes. with app, cloud and anywhere workspace solutions, vmware helps companies navigate change-- meeting them where they are, and getting them where they want to be. faster. vmware. welcome change. millions of vulnerable americans struggle to get reliable t

michael osterholm, top member of the president's covid-19 advisory board, he says face masks, masks arec director says both adults and children even if vaccinated should be masked. you can see the confusion on part of the american people, right? >> think what they have done. they have said if you had the vaccine then you ought to wear a mask. telling people what is the benefit of getting the vaccine again? there is benefit to getting the vaccine. we know with the vaccine your chance of getting, in the hospital or dying of delta covid is very low. so the, so they're so inconsistent but this is all, democrats want to control our life. we have to stand up and say we're sick of that. elizabeth: is the first thing that people should do is take a deep breath and just turn off the tv his tariqs? because media companies, they're idealogically predisposed to a certain narrative. they profit off hysteria. yes, cases are on the rise. delta variant is contagious. the point, get vaccinated. stop with the fear-mongering. stop with the misinformation about vaccines too. i mean, just, people just need

infectious disease expert michael osterholm said something similar, we may see a fast drop of infections in september. how long do you think this will last? >> well, we don't know because when you look at different countries, they tend to be more homogeneous. the united states compared to the uk is very spread out. when you look at this pandemic, it has never hit the entire united states at one time. it's always hit us in regional pockets. one of the things about this delta variant that dr. gottlieb refers to is when it hits an area, it hits it hard, it hits it fast, and you may be achieving a temporary herd immunity very quickly in a certain area just because everyone is getting it. you heard admiral giroir say you're going to get the vaccine or get the infection. >> in terms of how many breakthrough infections are, senator lindsey graham is the latest saying he got covid despite being vaccinated, how does the country get back to a place where there's enough testing on a daily basis to know who has the virus both symptomatic and asymptomatic and should there be more testing? is that imp

infectious disease expert, michael osterholm, professor, said something similar.ee a fast drop of new infections in september. how long do you think this will last? >> well, we don't know because, when you look at different countries, they htend to be mor homogenous. the united states, compared to the uk, is very spread out. and when you look at this pandemic, it has never hit the entire united states, at one time. it's always hit us, in regional pockets. one of the things about this delta variant that dr. gottlieb refers to is that when it hits an area, it hits it hard. it hits it fast. and you may be achieving a temporary-herd immunity, very quickly, in a certain area just because everyone is getting it. you've heard admiral giroir say, look, you have got two choices. you are either going to get vaccinated or you are going to get the virus because it's that contagious. >> the challenge of getting an accurate sense of how many breakthrough infections there are, senator lindsey graham, for example, is among the latest to see he has covid despite being vaccinated.

michael osterholm, the director of infectious disease research and policy at the university of minnesota, the owner of a staten island pub, and frances suarez, the mayor of miami. kerry, let's start with you. you are outside a hollywood hospital where they're seeing a striking rise in children with covid. how many kids are we talking about? >> reporter: well, i'm at the memorial hospital here in hollywood, which is part of or connected to it is the childrens' hospital, so when your kid is injured or sick, this is the hospital for the greater broward county that you're rushed to. and the numbers for covid are disturbing, because so many people have felt that this covid challenge that our nation is up against with this pandemic has been something for older people, and certainly we've seen the numbers dropping. but when we get to kids it becomes very much a real situation for anxious parents. so the numbers that they have here right now at the hospital is 23 covid patients who have been pushed in the emergency room in july, 240 covid patients came to the emergency room, and that's an 18.6 p

michael osterholm, yesterday to speak to players who are hesitant about receiving a shot. >>> turningmajor league baseball and the boston red sox hosting the texas rangers. we'll pick it up at the bottom of the 11th inning. the game tied and boston with the bases loaded. >> announcer: three two coming. this game is over. deep to right field and it is gone! >>> travis shaw's grand slam walks red sox off with an 8-4 victory. the win coupled with oakland's 5-3 loss to the mariners put boston one ahead -- one game ahead of the athletics for the second american league wildcard spot. the yankees, meanwhile, maintained their position in the postseason race. halting the braves' win streak. nine games with a 5-1 victory last night. while extending their own to ten in a row. but at least one of atlanta's regulars caught a break last night. the braves, between innings, entertainer known as the speeds, given a head start. looked poised to lose last night's race in the outfield until the fan lost his balance and there you go. face planted just feet before the finish line and, yes, the freeze wins,

michael osterholm, thank you for being on this morning. i gave a blanket assessment of, but where is this heading, young people going to school unvaccinated, are you concerned the spread will continue? >> well, we are right now in what i would call an ongoing journey with this virus. meaning if you look at the southern sates who were hit hard early, florida, mississippi, louisiana, those states are starting to in a sense hit their peak, and i expect to see the new case numbers will decrease over the weeks ahead. however, what's happening in the southeast, georgia, south carolina, north carolina, kentucky, tennessee, southern illinois, what we're seeing in the far northwest, we're seeing in the upper midwest, particularly in second degree, where sturgis was held, what we're seeing in the southwest, we're seeing increasing cases in the area. the cases may go down in the deep south, we're going to see the rest of the country light up more. the million dollar, billion dollar question is how big will those increases be in those other areas. tha

michael osterholm, he was a former biden covid adviser.e virus. we need to talk about better masking. we need to talk about n-95 respirators. ainsley: here we go again. what's your reaction? >> here we go again. the mask we have been told to wear somehow ineffective and n-95 respirators. no thanks. we are in a different stable of the pandemic. we don't need masks. people are getting vaccinated. ainsley, i have got to say about the biden messaging here, i was in the administration with president trump. president trump got in front of that podium every day flanked by a panoply of experts, the cdc, dr. fauci was there. dr. birx and looked the american people in the eye and took questions for nearly an hour. he made ppe available to the biden administration. he made the vaccine available. he made therapeutics available. joe biden was handed a pretty good hand of cards. and he has squandered it. and his messaging is just all over the map and a total disaster. ainsley: i mean, my gosh, what are they going to tell us next? how is this going to af