michelle myers joins us on set for a deeper dive into the numbers. michelle, certainly, a lot of the factors, you can explain away this number all you want. >> yeah. >> at the end of the day, still uncertainty because of the fiscal cliff. if it will have an impact, what will sequestration do to the next number? >> that's a really good point. i think if we do see a sequestration kick in, probably would impact q-1 gdp, but it will impact q-. defense, if it's the defense cuts that we see, we'll certainly see further contraction in federalense spending and that will be a hit to the real economy. >> because of these, the fourth quarter numbers, the economy is stronger than you think. are there certain extrapolations like that contraction in the defense spending that we saw in the fourth quarter that may have been a little bit stronger than had been inanticipated that makes you rethink q-1, even? >> the way it was interpreting the report is that it is largely distorted. you had the massive inventory. you had the defense swing and that typically -- you typic