the other point i'll make on kavanaugh, congresswoman mimi walters does she seem democrat voters comeough their doors at headquarters and said they want to get on board with her because what they saw happening during the hearings. >> john, it's incredible. you think of this area of california. you've got miramar, navy seals training place in coronado. camp pendleton, et cetera. it's hard to think of such a strong military base going democratic. >> history is against republicans here. 35 to 38 times since the civil war. the president's party has lost seats in the house. the problem right now in america's we are looking for the tallest leprechaun. you pick republicans you don't want? i don't like either party and most americans don't. most will probably vote with their pocketbook and that could mitigate history. >> i just want to comment on the military. he's been against the lunacy. it is 22 military veterans that are running as democrats. i've met all 22. and if they do well, that will be the biggest difference. what's interesting is most of those are against policy. >> which you have

but mimi walters says she thinks people know it's democrats in sacramento hiking taxes here and theyo points in president trump in washington for doing that. liz: republican representative jim jordan is sounding off on the republican party. the democrat message, jim jordan points out is this. raise your taxes. they will abolish ice. they want to socialize medicine and impeach the president and brett kavanaugh. the real clear politics average of the polls thanked president trump's job approving rating sitting at over 50%. joining me now is former chief of staff to george w. bush. karl rove. >> i worry about that use of the word current. do you know something i don't know? liz: is jim jordan right? >> as i look around the country and look at candidates like pete sessions and mimi walters in california and others in california. i see them making the case that economic growth is prospering under republicans, the democrats have dangerous views when it comes to abolishing i.c.e. we are likely to see a lot of republican candidates succeed because they have been doing for months what jim jor

democrat, katy porter, challenging mimi walters, republican congresswoman.s by pretending to be a moderate. >> my opponent has to appease a good portion of my voters in order to win this election. she is flip-flopping and telling you whatever she wants to tell you depending on who she is talking to. it is very disingenuous for her to say she wants to work on a bipartisan basis. >> reporter: some democrats are running way from liberal leadership in d.v. katy parker is a protege of elizabeth warren and she is distancing herself from others. >> when i'm on the campaign trail, i don't hear a lot about the same issues. folks are not talking about impeachment or kavanaugh. they are talking about health care and the fact that californians are going to owe more taxes come 2019 because of the tax plan. mimi walters actually says the nomination and appointment of supreme court justice brett kavanaughs a huge voting issue here. she tells me it brought some democrats through their doors. neil? >> neil: let's get the read from lee meringhoff, the director of the marist i

mimi walters is in much better shape today. even dana rohrabacher is looking better. i will call it out. duncan hunter ev though he's indicted is probably going to win. there are other races in more trouble. but republicans are looking a lot better today than they did three weeks ago. >> fund-raisinge advantor the democrats has been amazing. but sean is right. democrats have made some strategic mistakes in the way they brought up differenis es. elizabeth warren being a good example. so at this point he's right, it's all ab tt getting ou vote. and the democrats are energized there but so is the republicans on this point. >> a lot goinga lot to watch. i want to thank you all for being with us. sean walsh, also carlamarinucci and john myers from sacramento. nice you have to you . >> thank you. >> thank you. >> and now a look at thesenate race. this week california's candidates for senator sat down for their only public face-to-face conversation in this campaign season.t incumbent se dianne feinstein and her challenger, state senator kevin de leon, discussed their differe

described as senator elizabeth warren's protegee is challenging two-time republican incumbent mimi waltersn another tight race. in the 39th congressional districtct, republican candidate young kim,m, a south koreaean immigrgrant, is running against gil cisneros. well, for more, we are joined here in santa ana by gustavo arellalano. he is a columnist for "the la times" and the former editor of "oc weekly." welcome to democracy now! so go through the list. a lot of focus, more so thann ever -- i mean, this was definitely red country, now is orange county turning blue? >> it is a place w where reaga's at a all of the good republicans go to die. and anything wacky and horriblbe ababout republican pololitics ie united stass came from orange county. you can draw directly between orangege county and donald t tr. of course there's goining to bea lot of attetention paid. can orange county deliver congress to the democrats? still am skeptical. born and raised here in orange county and coverining it my ente career, so to ththink we are acactually at the cusp of revolution, i'm still a skeptic. amy: t

california's 45th district, democrat katy porter is challenging incumbent republican congresswoman mimi walterslls me democrat katy porter a flip-flopper posing as a moderate to try to get more votes. >> she wants more government regulations. she is promoting a government-run health care system, social socialized medicine. she wants to increase our taxes. it is very disingenuous for her to say she wants to work on a bipartisan basis. reporter: california is one of the most liberal, proceeding grist sieve states in the country even some democrats running in this midterm election are running away from liberals in d.c. katy porter is protege of senator elizabeth warren, is trying to distance herself from her former mentor and is not ready to support nancy pelosi if the democrats take over the house majority in november. >> i think we have to wait until after the selection. i'm very exciting i think we'll flip not only this seat but several others and send a whole lot of folks to washington, willing to stand up to the trump administration and bring change to washington and stand up to leaders of bo

people like barbara comstock, mike kaufman, peter roskam, mimi walters in california, they are trailing their democratic opponents because this midterm has become a referendum to trump. the upside for republicans is that helps republican incumbents in some districts that trump carried. >> guy, cecil, you guys have been waiting here patiently while we sort out everything. >> is it sorted? >> i think so. how do you see the senate map in all of this. that's a much tougher road for democrats. >> you're dealing with two fundamentally difference maps. one driven by suburban voters and one driven by red states the president won, in some cases, by double digits. the fact we even have five or six races within the margin of error in these republican states is a mark of how difficult the cycle has been for democrats. the one thing about "the washington post" story you focused a lot on enthusiasm. there were some other telling things there. independent women favor democrats by 33%. if those numbers hold going into early voting and election day then we have a shot in some of these redder states like

we haven't necessarily seen republicans pull the plug on people like mimi walters in california. >> youet that. they probably should? >> keep in mind that republicans have to preserve some kind of path to hold their losses under 23 seats so they have to pick and choose their battles even in places where they might be down a point or two. >> what about the democrats? anything that they're stretching too much for and they should be -- no. concentrate on iowa 1 or iowa 3? >> yeah. they're looking a couple districts they thought they might have had in the bag but maybe don't. florida 27 is an example of that where donna shalala's to be the second oldest freshman in congressional history and a non spanish speaker in a district 76% hispanic. that means democrats haven't yet locked that seat down. iowa's first district. 28-year-old state legislator. by 15 points trailing last month. that's a district that may have gotten closer in the wake of brett kavanaugh. republicans closing the enthusiasm gap and meant kind of a narrowing house playing field. >> 18 days. >> thank you very much. >> only go

. ♪ 99 bottles of beer on the wall 99 bottles of about beer ♪ >> how often does mimi walters vote withtrump? 99% of the time. >> i'm making a different point. in districts that are clearly anti-trump, you attach yourself, you got more trump, you don't want that. republicans, you you attach to trump if it's working. i'm talking about ads that are saying, donald trump is a liar, and donald trump is -- like, we got that. >> they're obsessed with his style and how he is. >> we can't do that anymore. we've got to do the very hard left-brain arguments. i'm actually launching a team that we put together with the dnc in a couple of days that hit health care, but do it in a very emotional, different kind of decent way than it's been done. >> which means what? >> you'll see in a couple of days. we're using a very different type of tactic that i think is going to cut through, that's going to be a bit of a national overlay. there's a lot of hand to hand combat, daily warfare in the individual races. you embedded a tease. >> yes, i did, a tease. i think on "morning joe" thursday morning you'll see

congresswoman mimi walters. thank you for talking to us this morning. a lot of people will say it's a referendum on the president's presidency. how much will it be a referendum on president trump himself or his office? >> well, i think the mid-terms are extremely important. we have a choice here, either we can move this country forward and continue to move it forward, or go back to the obama-era and the regulations and the government regulation, high taxes. so this definitely is going to be a choice for voters in this mid-term election. >> julie: does the president you think still have the magic touch in helping sway voters in his favor and with that, which candidates would you believe in particular do you think he would be most helpful? >> well, i think the president definitely is very good about rallying the base. it will come down to both republicans and democrats. rallying their bases and looking at the independents and seeing which independents can be persuaded in order to turn out and vote for individual c

congresswoman mimi walters trying to hold onto her seat. take us there. mimi walters is a congresswoman who has been there fairly recently. ins is a district she won 2015 by 70 percentage points as well, but the democrats -- 17 percentage points as well, but the democrats are seeing themselves in a very tight .ontest that is with democrat kitty porter. that is another interesting race we are watching. it is by irvine, a small college campus over there. there's some chance for young voters turning out and swaying that more to the democrats. that is another when you are going to want to keep drive on as well ask your eyes on as well -- keep your eyes on as well. host: take us to the 50th district. congressman duncan hunter getting a lot of attention that race, trying to hold onto his seat after he was indicted on charges on misusing campaign funds. does it look like he will hold on to that seat? caller: every poll seems to suggest he has a narrow win lead. it is a safe republican seat. by 27 past he won percentage points in 2016, more than any competitive r