mr. makovsky: all right, is this better? excellent. obviously, before july 15, there had been a number of people who confidently predicted that the era of coups in turkey was over. the massive outpouring of public opposition to the military when it tried to seize power on july 15 was i think strong evidence of that. where many analysts, including myself, had erred was thinking that everyone in the military had gotten the message as well. there was certainly significant, we do not quite know what percentage, of the military leadership in turkey then, maybe out of sheer desperation, but one way or another had come to the conclusion, erroneously, that they would be able to succeed in toppling the government through military force. when that failed, well, first of all, i guess there was a moment of intense crisis when the coup itself started, and many people thought this was the worst case scenario, that the best case scenario is no coup at all, but even worse than a successful coup would be a partial coup that would push the country into