that's exactly why nadeem zaha we took the job of| nadeem zaha we took the job of chancellor.ld quit along with sajid javid and rishi sunak, but he went into downing street, had a long conversation with the prime minister about the future of the government but also economic and fiscal 0utlook. i think the fact is he decided that there is probably going to be one loyalist candidate in the final two because the way tory leadership contests work, you've got to get on the ballot by getting a certain threshold of mps, they're whittled down to two candidates by the mps it goes to the parliamentary party. nadhim zahawi's calculation, although he wouldn't say this in public, is he will get a lot of name recognition, get a lot of kudos from borisjohnson supporters recognition, get a lot of kudos from boris johnson supporters from shoring up the government at a difficult time and if the prime minister goes anyway then he is in a strong position. 0ther mps i have spoken to were saying that he's going to go down with a sinking ship, and if the party decides it a clear breakfrom ship, and

he projects suella braverman, jeremy hunt, nadeem zaha we will be eliminated in the first three ballotsk antennae mordant in the final two. patrick is here and it is with the betting website, s markets. good to have you on the programme, how do you do your calculations? in how do you do your calculations? i�*i basic terms, the model looks at how different demographics of mps have voted so far with public endorsements, to how mps who supported borisjohnson in 2019 are voting and those who supported jeremy hunt last time of those who voted remain in 2016, and their voting record on various social and economic issues can have an impact on the range of constituency level variables as well. like how heavy their brexit support. we can predict how some mps have not endorsed anyone publicly might vote. and how votes might be transferred between candidates in later rounds. you votes might be transferred between candidates in later rounds.- candidates in later rounds. you are less interested _ candidates in later rounds. you are less interested when _ candidates in later rounds. you are less inte