nathan allen, i want to start with this. new york is having a horrible week but he sees the potential for progress. the governor is saying not so fast. let's listen. >> we are hoping new york will come down because cases are leveling off. >> no, we are looking about 21 days for a possible apex. >> elizabeth cohen, let me start with you nobody knows for certain but the governor is not as optimistic as the surgeon general clearly. >> right, absolutely. there has been reasons for that. the infectious disease are much more where the governor is. they say this is about the amount of time they expect to see the apex and remember that's just the apex. the outbreak is still going on after the apex. it will get better but it will still be bad. what i want people to remember that is what happens in new york is likely to happen in other places. john, we are all familiar with the flu. you don't get the flu just in new york or los angeles or washington. the flu eventually covers the entire countries. this virus in many ways much more con