nemson, the senator from florida who is at 36 percent of the vote. mack, his republican opponent is at 43. and missouri sarah stillman is 10 points ahead of clar mksco. and in hoar -- ohio. sharron brown is trailing the state treasure by 44-40. undecided guessusually goes against the incumbent. it looks like a defeat for brown. but the following states have democratic senators and republicans are leading. virginia, where alknow is ahead and florida and nebraska and missouri, and montana where reyesburg is ahead. and ohio. and even in other states like michigan, within five points. that is north dakota also. >> and we are talking about a shift. how many seats do you think will shift over. some will keep their seats. tell us what you see the make up of the u.s. senate being after november? >> a lot can happen between now and then. you look at current polling and you project it. you are looking at a republican gain of 10 seats and a probably loss of twompt we might lose scott brown in massachusetts and olympia snow, will go to angus king who is an indep