i should say i bumped into one of nigel for auch's mates -- nigel faraj mates who said nigel faraj is his tv job for the next few weeks so you will see plenty of him. it matters for the obvious reason that if you think about it, the problem if you are the conservatives in addition to being massively unpopular is you have your vote being nibbled away at from the left whether that is from the liberal democrats in constituencies in the south of england and from north of england but you're getting attacked by the reform party which to remind everyone is pro brexit, pro-immigration from the rig. absolutely it matters. >> 650 constituencies across the country, not every constituency looks the same as it would have in 2019. how significant are the undary changes? >> when we see the election results we are going to see how significant they are. what we are saying labor needs, around a 12% swing to get a majority e al., -- majority at all. with the boundary changes the swing is close to 13 for to 14%. that has made their job harder. there are now fewer seats in wales and scotland with the reba

notably on the morning when nigel faraj says he will not stand as part of reform uk.. it typifies the utter incompetence and uselessness of this conservative government. now, everyone thought he was going to go for october or november. the truth is that he has bottled it. he's cut and run, why? because he was absolutely terrified is ben quite rightly alluded to, to the fact that reform uk is going up and “p fact that reform uk is going up and up in the polls with our common sense policy to save britain, whilst the tories have been sinking in the polls. and he was terrified as to where this may end up. i'm absolutely delighted, during the selection campaign, that my good friend nigel faraj will be helping out significantly in campaigning to drive home the message of reform uk and how we can save britain. i can also confirm with great excitement, that we will be standing in 630 seats across the whole of england, scotland and wales. no ifs and no buts. applause and personally, iwill applause and personally, i will be standing in the constituency in skegness. contrary to

perhaps nigel faraj will become — party.e a bigger character or have time to make his move. i have rishi sunak— time to make his move. i have rishi sunak cannot — time to make his move. i have rishi sunak cannot face a cold autumn and winter— sunak cannot face a cold autumn and winter of— sunak cannot face a cold autumn and winter of this. everyone's been talking — winter of this. everyone's been talking about how he has his eyes on california _ talking about how he has his eyes on california for the he doesn't care about— california for the he doesn't care about the — california for the he doesn't care about the rain, he's looking forward to christmas in california. there are two— to christmas in california. there are two different interpretations. if are two different interpretations. if the _ are two different interpretations. if the best we can do, the most positive — if the best we can do, the most positive spin is that this is as good — positive spin is that this is as good as— positive spin is that this is as good as

down by almost a third, most of it going to labour and some going to reform uk, the successor to nigel faraj's if you're a tory mp sitting this morning to try to understand what this means for your election prospect, there is no graphic that is going worry you more than that. 26% swing from the conservatives to labour. that is huge, that is the third biggest swing from the tories to labour since world war ii. there have been a lot of by—elections recently were the sort of thing has happened and has become a pattern that will really worry conservative mps. thank you very much, nick. i'm joined live from tunbridge wells by laura trott mp — chief secretary to the treasury and the conservative mp for sevenoaks. thank you for coming in the programme. this was a bad night for the conservatives. h0??? programme. this was a bad night for the conservatives.— the conservatives. how bad? it's a really disappointing _ the conservatives. how bad? it's a really disappointing night - the conservatives. how bad? it's a really disappointing night of- really disappointing night of course. local elections are al

. >> i am absolutely delighted during this election campaign that my good friend nigel faraj will be out significantly in campaigning to drive home the message of reform u.k. and how we can save britain. correspondent: also hoping to siphon votes away from the conservatives are the liberal democrats. they launched yesterday. today, their leaders have concentrated their efforts on several different target seats. >> we all know the country is crying out for change. we all know that. we all feel it in our bones. but there are places around the country where it is the liberal democrats who can deliver that change, where we are the key challenger to the conservatives, and it is in those areas that we are really going after conservative mps because we are best in place to beat them during this election. correspondent: richie sunak might have been hoping to catch parties on the back foot. >> we are hitting the road today to start the election campaign, so we are ready to go. i intend to take my message to every part of the country. i am the first minister of all of scotland, and i intended

mark butcher from the reform party, the successor to nigel faraj�*s brexit party, almost beat the conservativethat, really close and will worry conservative ho. here are the percentages. look at that tory votes change, it has collapsed, down by more than a third that is a big change for the conservative party. labour up 21 and reform uk on 11%. up labour up 21 and reform uk on 11%. up 11%. this one is the one i think is probably the graphic of the night. look at this. it's a huge swing from the conservatives to labour. 26% will really make conservative mps looking at this result wondering what it might mean for them nervousness morning. that is the biggest swing from conservatives to labour since the second world war, worth reflecting that the other two swings have come in recent years as well, big by—election wins for labour. lots of tory mps will be going over these results trying to figure out what it means for a general election, looking at that and will be worried. thank you, nick. the election result in blackpool south was pretty clear. labour leader sir keir starmer was in blackpool thi

nigel faraj, not standing at this election but determined to have an impact on it.afah in southern gaza. officials there say at least 16 people have been killed overnight. the deaths come after dozens were killed on sunday, when a fire broke out in a refugee camp following an israeli air strike. meanwhile, spain and ireland have formally recognised the state of palestine with norway expected to follow later today. yolande knell has more from jerusalem. all packed up. but many don't know where to go. as israeli forces have pushed further into gaza's southernmost city, palestinians aren't waiting for evacuation orders to leave. "we woke up at 5.30 from the shelling and rockets," ahmed says on his way to collect children and elderly relatives. "we don't have tents or anything." yesterday, children picked through the burnt—out remains of a tent camp in rafah where dozens had been killed by a huge blaze. explosion. an israeli strike started the fire overnight. israel said it was targeting two hamas commanders with precise bombs. translation: despite our best efforts not

we've seen this before, we'd seen this happen to david cameron in the 2010 when nigel faraj predecessoring them from the right flank. it split the vote exactly as you say. we're not going to see a huge tidal wave of reform mps being elected in the general election. i'd be amazed if we even saw one reform mps at the general election. what we will see is them eating away at the majorities of conservative mps were already under threat. people who might�*ve voted tory or last time voted, just not like them any more they've got someone else to go on they've got someone else to go on the that what that what that means is a lot of those tories are going to lose their seats because they've lost the votes to reform for them and labour or the lib dems can come in and scoop them up. as a the difference reform is going to make could be dozens of conservatives losing their seats in the elections who otherwise not have done. let’s who otherwise not have done. let's talk about that _ who otherwise not have done. let's talk about that election. _ who otherwise not have done. let's talk about that elect

conservatives to labour the conservatee party have lost their way somewhat locally, hearing that nigel faraj all too well. , county counsellors in the room that would normally wear a blue rose at listening to the message he had to say and then afterwards saying to me they were considering perhaps defections. perhaps it would be the way to save their careers going forward. notjust from voters, but counsellors, too. trying to work out which way the public is blowing when it comes to immigration and most importantly the vote onjuly it comes to immigration and most importantly the vote on july the 4th. ., .,, , , , importantly the vote on july the 4th. ., , ,, ., , 4th. one of those stepping down, she announced yesterday _ 4th. one of those stepping down, she announced yesterday that _ 4th. one of those stepping down, she announced yesterday that she - 4th. one of those stepping down, she announced yesterday that she is - announced yesterday that she is supporting alan adams come out to be the next mp and her constituency. you're someone who had the whip restored, diane abbott in the last few mi

,, been doing a bit of a student with keir starmer for labour on monday and nigel faraj yesterday for rishi sunak who has been leaning into the energetic nonstop frenetic campaign for the vital all the leaders are doing now. they're all try to get to a to be on public transport, private transport for the rishi sunak really consciously leaning into it. getting the london to cornwall overnight into this morning for the talking about apprenticeships, that's the thing, conservative circle of events, policy announcements in england. and doing q&a in a workplace and gathered a gaggle of employees in a semicircle around him and do the pitch, which is similar from one workplace to the neck. back to other and message of discipline and consistency. then taking questions from employees and reporters as well. been shuffling off to the next place. that's what we've been doing for the tailing the prime minister as we head into a place called ford street.- prime minister as we head into a place called ford street. okay. have ou place called ford street. okay. have you seen- -- — place called ford st

but i think conservative mps are hoping the salary gb news pays nigel faraj is a significant incentivediscuss rishi sunak's decision to go with a july election. can we talk about the point professor sirjohn curtice raised, the two main leaders and their ability to connect with voters and to frame a message. how are they regarded as leaders by voters? 50. regarded as leaders by voters? so, keir starmer _ regarded as leaders by voters? so, keir starmer comes out best on lots of the _ keir starmer comes out best on lots of the characteristics _ keir starmer comes out best on lots of the characteristics we _ keir starmer comes out best on lots of the characteristics we track - of the characteristics we track everything _ of the characteristics we track everything from _ of the characteristics we track everything from being - of the characteristics we track - everything from being considered under— everything from being considered under ordinary— everything from being considered under ordinary people _ everything from being considered under ordinary people and - everything from being consid

one person who will not be participating in this election is nigel faraj the far right leader and champion reform party. he announced he's not going to do that. instead he's going to focus on his bigger priority to help donald trump get elected in the united states. joe? >> thank you so much, josh lederman. let's bring in associate editor of the "washington post," eugen being called early. why you think he went ahead and called it early when he and the torreys are deeply unpopular. >> i think sunak decided he wanted july 4th to be his personal independence day. he wanted to be free of being prime minister. i think he will be after that. i took a look last night at the polling in britain. it is dismal. something like 23 points is the poll average. predictions are a huge labour majority. keir starmer is following the rules. he isn't coming out with proposals that are firm and a plan for this or that because he figures he doesn't have to. people are just tired of the torreys after all this time. >>> from london to paris. that's where we find andrew ross tsirkin who sat down with french presid