there's the other north carolina, traditional north carolina and this is in rural areas, small townsch used to dominate the state and in these areas, these used to be dependent on textiles in the way that say michigan was dependent on automobiles or west virginia on coal and also furniture. these areas have been hard hit. jenna: you've been out in the streets, what sort of stands out to you from just the people that you're meeting on a daily basis about how they feel about either side? >> well, like north carolina is cosmo of the country. people feel divided. of course, not not only in the presidential race, we have a close run in governor and senate too. this is a very middle of the road state. jenna: we are watching independent grow across the country that proves your point. great to have you on the program. look forward to your columns and seeing what you think after we get the results, jon. jon: florida voters are very important in this election. that state clearly has the potential to determine who win -bs this -- wins presidential race. jon: our split edition of happening now c

somebody listening to you right now in north carolina knowing that north carolina may decide who the next president of the united states is. hearing you in terms of what you think about donald trump and that you fear for the country if he is elected, why wouldn't it be -- if those are the stakes, and that person is deciding, well, i'm going to vote against donald trump, and you concede that you and gary johnson aren't going to win the presidency, why would that person not weigh threat to the country, fear for the fate of the country against hope the libertarian party gets its 5% this year, why would a person pick the libertarian vote in that case if the stakes are that high between voting for clinton and trump? >> the person could very well decide not to do that, and for someone deciding not to do that, i have a lot to say about mrs. clinton that has not been said by others recently and needs to be said. i've known her 40 years. i worked with her professionally, i know her personally. i know her to be a person of high moral character, a reliable person, and an honest person. however,

on to north carolina, north carolina still too close to call. 76% of all precincts reporting. donald trump with a point and a half lead. wake county in north carolina, one of the more urban counties with a larger hispanic and african-american vote, wake county still outstanding. this one could be a little deceptive because of those that call, as of the precincts reporting now, donald trump has a slight edge. it might actual be a hillary clinton slight edge. we're just not sure. big picture if be ear donald trump, you have to have florida, you have to have ohio and north carolina. you have to win all three before you go out west and try to pick up some blue states. right now he has the possibility of getting all three of those states, just as an aside, the upshot from "the new york times" which had this as large 91-9% lead for hillary clinton at one point back before the fbi stuff. more recently today, i believe it opened at 85% for hillary clinton, 15% for donald trump. as i went to vote this morning at ten minutes before 7:00 a.m. on the east coast, that is where we were. rig

bladenboro, north carolina, 2,000 people live there in southern rural north carolina, it's due south of fayetteville. every year in bladenboro, they host something called the bladenboro beast fest. i don't actually know why it's called the beast fest, but i do know that they have an awesome car show at the beast fest every year. really cool international scout there, the white sort of broncoey looking thing. a beautiful old ford mustang, beautiful new ford mustang there. i think this pickup here, i think this is a ford step side lowered pickup. forgive me if that's a chevy. i think that is a ford. the car show's organized by the southeastern cruisers. they do a really good car show every year at the bladenboro beast fest. and part of the reason it's called is the trophies are huge. they give out 50 trophies. each is the size of a sixth grader. but the beast fest is the annual local thing in bladenboro and always has this really good car show for such a small town. but one thing that every small town in america gets to know pretty quickly is if you hold your annual town get-together,

we are in raliegh, north carolina.esting fact about this buildinged, the governor's office is there. it has the longest continuous office for governor in the country in this building. it is paying close attention to the top of the ticket as about, jon. >> and of course, the nation's eyes are on how ohio. with me is the director of ash land university. we are on the western edge of the eastern times ago. the polls six hours from now. what are you watching? >> we usually see the smaller counties reporting earliest. and the rural counties tend to be the republican county and it looks good for the republicans early on. and as the night goes on, we'll see the larger cities reporting and we'll see that shift. and i think there are two counties that you can look at that are small counties that are good bell weathers for ohio. ash land county, probably the most conservative county in the state and only voted democrat twice for fdr and lbj. and if trump performs at 65 percent or better in ash land county in ohio, that is a good

a lot of stuff floating around. >> north carolina isn't the north carolina of years ago. >> no. >> northalked about the research triangle, a lot of college educated liberal people. it's in a three college area. unc, chapel hill, north carolina state, duke. you know, if you took that out of the equation as the governor said then trump wins -- >> trump will carry mayberry. he will have a hard time in raleigh. >> >> you don't think hillary has a slight edge in north carolina, as well? >> yes. no, in florida i said it is a in in north carolina i think she has a slight edge. i'm waiting for you to ask me about the overall. >> if that is the case and hillary wins florida and north c >> i >> i will make an overall prediction but first i need to extract a promise from you. that is that if i get this wrong -- >> i would never mention it. >> so here is my prediction. which a couple of weeks ago, two weeks ago i was much more confident in this prediction. tonight i'm not all that confident in it, but i think hillary is going to win. i think the electoral college works against republicans. i think s

we are coming to you today live from wilmington, north carolina, at the battleship "north carolina" to a battleship in a battleground state. donald trump in his second rally

local issues north carolina's been dealing with. >> north carolina's not necessary. if she wins florida -- >> correct. >> north carolina is interesting because of what you said. very competitive governors race going on. >> where can i go to the bathroom in north carolina? moved into the research triangle. that demographic -- you saw the demographic where that went from really being a -- >> suburbs of the city. >> right. and now they're trending south and they're going south. a lot of people feel that georgia maybe and north carolina by 2020 or 2024. we're seeing the deep south start to suddenly go ever so purple and north carolina may tell the tale this year. north carolina, not crucial to fact wins florida. >> which doesn't mean it's not the checkmate state. you know where it's happening, it's happening in and around charlotte. it's happening in and around the raleigh durham area where you have all of those universities and clean tech industry. and the people who would populate that from the northeast, from the pacific northwest, all moving in this traditionally ver

north carolina, she wins. [cheers and applause] and that means: that when i said the fate of the republic rests on you, i wasn't joking. but that shouldn't make you fearful. that should make you excited. it's not often when you can move the arc of history. don't let that chance slip away. young people here, it is not often that you know your voice will have an impact. don't let it slip away. don't give away your power. don't fall for the easy cynicism that says, my vote is not matter. that all politicians are the same. it does matter. they are not all the same. that is what hillary's opponent wants you to think because they do not want you to vote. and i have got to say, he has been getting help from republican politicians in this state who have been trying to keep you from voting. we are the only advanced democracy on earth that purposely tries to make it harder for people to vote. sometimesithin unfortunate traditions of america, what has been going on lately here in this state has been traveling. a few year

and it is not who north carolina is. north carolina is full of good and decent people. and courteous people. and people who are willing to cooperate with each other to try to make things better. that is what america is about. so, let me be clear, north carolina. bidness. let me be clear. there is something more at stake in this election than just plans. or policies. this is about the character of our nation. when hillary was young, her mom taught her the methodist crede -- methodist crede. do all the good you can for all the people you can in all the ways you can for as long as you can. that is her north star. she believes in that. she believes that we can summon what's best in each of us and that is what america is about. we are a country like no other. not because of the size of our skyscrapers or the power of our armies, but because we are a place founded for the sake of an idea. we hold these truths to be self-evident that all men are created equal, endowed by our creator with certain inalienable rights. we do not have to be born into wealth or privilege in this cou

and in north carolina tonight.here the polls close at 7:30, they are looking at these college town, university towns as well. if they are to win in north carolina it will be because of a spike in turnout there. we saw michelle obama with hillary clinton on campus there. we saw president obama going from campus to campus. that is what they are hoping for tonight if they are to pull out a win in north carolina. >> jeff zeleny and the clinton campaign headquarters in manhattan. >> we have a key race alert right now. take a look. hillary clinton now takes the lead in the state of florida. 30% of the vote is in. and she's got a significant 50,340 lead over donald trump. she's at 49.5%. donald trump at 47.7%. remember florida, florida, florida. 29 electoral votes are at stake. all of a sudden hillary clinton has a lead there. 30% of the vote is now in. let's go over to john king at the magic wall. i want to talk about florida. all of a sudden a big chuck of votes came in and she's doing well. >> a big chunk of votes from

north carolina is a must win state that republican nominee. donald trump has been in north he ends the swing of events in raleigh. today's rally will be at the arena at the north carolina state fairgrounds. door is open at 12:00. it begins at 3:00. as for his running mate governor mike pence, will be in another battleground state today. hillary clinton will be here and she will be visiting north carolina state university is where mikaya thurmond joins us. >> reporter: this will be clinton's final visit to north carolina before the election and she wont be visiting alone. she will be joined by her husband and former president former president bill clinton and she will be joined by her daughter chelsea clinton. they will host an election evening midnight get out the vote rally. she will discuss her economic plans and her vision to create an america that is stronger together. of nc state. doors open at 8:45 pm and the event starts at 11:45 pm. space is only available on a first-come first-served basis but with two nominees in our state, things wil

it in the right direction. >> so dana, the fate of the world is teetering on north carolina. i was watching going oh, that's no pressure for north carolinians. he knows his leggy is on the line here. >> not too much hyperbole. you are exactly right. it is about his legacy and he's making it extraordinarily personal. we saw him do it a few weeks back when he was speaking for the first time to the congressional black caucus. very blunt. says if you're worried about hillary clinton if you're not really sure if she's the right person for you, we've got questions, don't make it about her, make it about me and he's doing that not just on the stumps he made plainly clear of -- because of the fact that the american vote in the key states like north carolina, florida, too, is down. now, is expected to be down, with barack obama not on the ticket, it was extraordinarily high when the african-american community was voting for at first the first black president and then to reelect him, that's understandable and the hillary clinton people argue that she has a different coalition. that migh

early voting in north carolina and across the country has been heavy. and indicator of the intense interest in this election year. as of thursday more than 2.2 million people have taken the time to vote early in north carolina. many have voted in the ce the latest wral news survey usa poll released on tuesday shows incumbent richard burr opening up a six point lead over his democratic challenger deborah ross. libertarian sean hawe has 2%. the remainder undecided. tonight we're going to focus on this race and hear from all the candidates. and we begin with the incumbent richard burr. who has served two terms in the senate and already said if re- talking about the uniqueness of election 2016. >> this is the weirdest election cycle of my lifetime. so if some of your listens listeners have thought there are awfully weird. yeah about 300 million americans and probably 10 billion people around the world are watching this saying sure is strange. and it's strange from this aspect. that the presidential election so far seems to be about everything but the issues

north carolina. >> i think it's going to north carolina being one of the two or three states. trump needs four states -- florida, north carolina, ohio, and pennsylvania. he's got a very decent shot of winning ohio. mark was talking about the early votes there, they look like they're helpful to trump. he's in a very competitive situation in florida. he has to win north carolina but pennsylvania is a much tougher go. if he doesn't win pennsylvania he has to take all sorts of other states in the west and upper midwest so he has -- he started out three or four weeks ago as a long shot. she's a short long shot now. >> i'm keying in on it because we know hillary clinton and donald trump are there today so gloria let me ask you my next question. phil brought it up but honing in on the fact that tonight former rivals now together on the same stage, bernie sanders and hillary clinton. i don't think we've seen them together since he endorsed her in new hampshire some months ago. who exactly do you think -- and add pharrell to the mix there as well. who are they trying to reach out to? >

we are coming to you today live from wilmington, north carolina, at the battleship "north carolina" toexact. a battleship in a battleground state. donald trump in his second rally of the day, another airport hangar here at wilmington. after that he goes west, reno, nevada, then denver, colorado. midnight tonight, trump will have been to four states in three time zones. hillary clinton is busy focusing on two crucial battlegrounds. she just wrapped up a rally in southeast florida where she only spoke for about seven minutes because a huge rain storm led to a wild scene. tonight she'll be in philadelphia with katy perry. >> in three days, we are going to win the great state of florida, and we are going to win back the white house. some of the polls are good. i only really acknowledge them if i'm winning. and by the way, we're winning in a lot of polls. a lot of polls. we're doing great in texas, but we're doing great in new hampshire. we're doing great in iowa. we're doing great in ohio. doing phenomenally well in north carolina. i think we're going to win pennsylvania. >> the candidates

i love me some north carolina. i've said this before, i love north carolina.e people, i love the basketball. i always say north carolina, that's one place where even the people who don't vote for me are nice. we have a beautiful summer day in november. [ laughter ] i know you're hot so make sure everybody bends their knees, don't stand up too stiff. if anybody faints just give them a little room, they'll be okay. hydrate. i deon't mean to sound like you mom and your dad. so can everybody please give isz be -- isobel a big round of applause? [ cheers and applause ] we have a couple of outstanding members of congress here. gk butterfield is here and david price is here. one of the finest public servants in north carolina history, your former governor jim hunt is in the house. your current attorney general and your next governor roy cooper is here. [ cheers and applause ] and your next united states senator is here! and you're here too. somebody hollered "what about me?" you guys are here too and i'm going to talk about you and how much this country is going to d

i am in raliegh, north carolina. and the next president of the united states donald trump winning the last night's election in one of the political surprises of the modern history. president elect trump heads to white house to meet with president obama. and trump spoke with supporters with a unifying home. >> hillary has very long and very hard over a long period of time and we owe her a major debt of gratitude for her service to our country. and i mean that very sincerely. i pledge to every citizen of our land that i will be president for all american and this is so important to me. [applause] to those who have chosen not to support me of which there were a few people. i am reaching out to be you for your guidance and your help so that we can work together and unify your great country. i've spent my entire life in business, looking at the untapped potential in project and people all over the world. that is now what i want to do for our country. [applause] [cheering] tremendous potential. i have gotten to know our co

, although i do like north carolina. i think pennsylvania has been the start of the democratic national committee was held there. a lot of material coming in -- >> they don't have governor's race, though. >> your points are correct. >> kasie hunt, what do you want to know? what are you looking at? >> i'm looking, actually, at north carolina. i'm sorry to agree with rachel. this is where the clinton campaign, i think, has the vast majority of their focus right now. they think it's going to be potentially late into the night. it is kind of the fulcrum of so many different issues, whether it's kind of the culture wars, there's just so much going on there. and it's going to tell us what might happen, say, in georgia. this is really kind of the new democratic map runs through the south, runs through north carolina, runs through georgia. and it's moving away from ohio and pennsylvania. >> steve schmidt, same question? >> looking at florida, looking at north carolina, i think we have really clear indications of a direction of t

if donald trump hasn't kept north carolina, it's not going to be a good night. >> got to win north carolina>> i think it's very, very tight there. >> but hillary clinton also has not been down in a poll in new hampshire for a long period of time. the three states that the clinton campaign is watching, virginia, colorado, pennsylvania. she wins all three of those, she's at 269, game, set, match. >>> reaction to the tightening polls from the trump campaign manager, next. and you're talking to youro doctor about your medication... this is humira. this is humira helping to relieve my pain and protect my joints from further damage. this is humira helping me go further. humira works for many adults. it targets and helps to block a specific source of inflammation that contributes to ra symptoms. humira has been clinically studied for over 18 years. humira can lower your ability to fight infections, including tuberculosis. serious, sometimes fatal infections and cancers, including lymphoma, have happened, as have blood, liver and nervous system problems, serious allergic reactions, and new or worse

on the other hand, polling suggests they are okay in the state of north carolina. >> we talk about north carolina and florida in a second specifically. let's look at the trending of what's going on here. we are about 30 million. they were hoping for more. the record is 42 million. you still have several days left. in terms of who is showing up and who isn't, you have white, black, hispanic voting. let's show the rates of how we're doing this time versus 2008. >> do you want to look at the states? let's look at north carolina. here is by race. 2016. more whites so far. >> let's blacks and more hispanics. that number is not an impressive number. you have more hispanic. when you look at the trendings, rebecca, what does that trend? >> it goes back to what we are talking about in the previous segment. african-american turnout is so far diminished. for democrats especially, we expected democrats to do better in early voting. what they want to do is turn out low propensity voters. african-americans fall into the category. they want to make sure they voted on election day. they can focus on oth

north carolina? >> reporter: democrats, they like their numbers and they are seeing numbers and they are worried for the numbers. the president is so important here and he won here once and he lost here once both in 2008 and 2012. these were states that were as close as any other states in the union. in one case, the closest he won and the other case, the closest he lost. he knows how this can be one and loss on the margin. you heard the first lady goes out and speak. she was here in north carolina last week and talking about how 17 votes in individual precinct could have swung the vote one way or another. 17 vote in the precinct and she believes he could have won here when he lost. even though the democratic numbers are up, they know this is a race to the finish and they know these polls are as tight as they can possibly be and they are doing this push. you are going to hear the president, get out and vote, that's the main message here, this is a plastic tv effort because they know in spite of the f

here in north carolina.not back in the 1960s, now. >> president obama also expressed concern that fewer african americans are voting earlier this year. he warned that his legacy is hanging in the balance. >> if we let this thing slip, and i've got a situation where my last two months in office are preparing for a transition with donald trump who's staff people have said that their primary agenda is to have him in the first couple of weeks in the oval office and reverse every single thing that we've done? so if you really care about my presidency and what we've accomplished, then you are going to go and vote. >> president obama will be back in north carolina on friday. another measure of the stakes and uncertainty. here is randy kay. >> at mama dips kitchen in chapel hill, north carolina. voters are crossing their fingers that african americans show up at the polls. >> we absolutely need you at the polls. we need you voting. she's already voted for hillary clinton and working hard to get others in the african

. >> again, these are numbers from north carolina. in the race for the governor, governor pat mccrory with a slight edge over attorney general roy cooper just 2 percentage points there with 84 percent of the vote counted. >> and to the race for us senate, 84 percent of the precincts reporting. burr with ross with45 percent. we'll have live coverage from both presidential headquarters in new york to right here in the capitol city. the results of three big races we're following are not only watched here closely in north carolina, but across the nation. >> no race is bigger than the race for president of the united states, the electoral we still have a lot of states still out and counting. north carolina very close. virginia very close. states like that, these battleground states we've been talking to you about for several weeks now, several months in fact, that's where the race is going to hinge. crews are both presidential candidates in new york city, our cullen browder is at donald trump's headquarters in new york. the early map is lo

the theft of north carolina jobs will end. you've taken it harder than most states. real change begins with immediately repealing and replacing obamacare. sadly, it's just been announced that the residents of north carolina are going to experience massive double-digit premium hikes. 95 of the 100 north carolina counties will only have one insurer in the obamacare exchange next year. lots of luck negotiating. honestly, it's not going to matter because we're going to win and we're going to terminate it. you'll have much better health care for much less money. it won't matter. premiums are surging, companies are leaving, insurers are fleeing, doctors are quitting. by the way, doctors, they're leaving. they're quitting. i have a friend who's a doctor. he said, i have more accountants than i have nurses. it's so complicated. and deductibles are going through the roof. yet hillary clinton wants to double down and expand obamacare and make it even more expensive. i'm asking for your vote so we can repeal and replace obamacare and save health care for every family of north c

let's look now at where we stand in north carolina. cbs news is estimating that the state of north carolina is leaning republican. now this has been a republican state. it has enjoyed battleground status recently because barack obama was able to put it in the democratic column in 2008. he lost to mitt romney in 2012, but this is leaning republican. >> leaning republican. >.this would make you even more nervous if yo you're a drark tht wisconsin has just moved, sorry, it moved and moved back. never mind. >> how about michigan. >> those are all still toss ups. there was a brief moment where wisconsin moved but it's back to your point about north carolina. you know, donald trump needed to win. that's one of the states he needed to win. >> in addition we talked about picking off -- >> we're just now making a projection for north carolina, cbs news is estimating that donald trump will be the winner in north carolina. this is a critical break through for the trump campaign. john dickerson. >> yeah. i mean when we talked about the fact that t

and save health care for every family in north carolina. >> all right. that was the north carolina.ut bernie marcus said nationwide it is not working. the home depot co-founder is joining us now, bernie marcus is his name. and look at where georgia originated. that was a much tighter race and they shaded it pink on the notion it wasn't such a republican lock. what do you think right now? >> no, i think that georgia is going to go the right way and they're going to go republican across the board. johnny isaacson, a great senator is going to be reinvited into the -- into the senate. and i think that many members of the house like tom price are going to get re-elected as well. so i think georgia -- >> in other words you are not worried there is going to be this whole clinton wave that takes the white house, takes the senate, threatens the house, you are not buying that? >> no, let me tell you, neil, i sell -- i'm a retailer, i sell hammers. what the hell do i know about the election. you know, you're sitting there, you are looking at the charts, i get all of my information from your sh

north carolina a critical state.lorida, critical state where the two leading candidates are making appearances today, florida and north carolina. i want to bring back the panel as we look at the live pictures, donald trump to the left there, soon to get off the plane. hillary clinton to the right, pembroke pines north of miami where it's raining. the people there don't seem to matter. okay, let's talk about these two battleground states, all important. maeve, we heard for the past few modern elections, three modern daye elections it's florida, florida, florida. it could be the same. why is that? >> i think florida, obviously, has such an outside in our political culture. for hillary clinton, the real challenge down there is there's a, you know, this perception of florida being the blue hairs and an older state. really you have this huge, new population of millennials coming up on voting age. the clinton campaign actually to your most recent conversation has been talking a lot about what they are seeing in the early v

hillary clinton up three in north carolina. that's a very close battleground state, and hillary clinton up six in wisconsin, that's about where we were four years ago, a smaller lead than where she was at, one more i want to bring in, we don't have the graphics for it, but colorado. there's one poll out in colorado tonight showing this a tie, that would be a big surprise. we'll see if other data backs that up. colorado would be a surprise. eight polls i just went through. let me help you this way. this is where we have the race right now, 272 for clinton, 179 for trump. let me tap here and come here. donald trump's leading in nevada. if he can keep that, and leading in arizona, donald trump leading in ohio if he can keep they, that would get him up to 215. this is hypothetical, but logical to think if donald trump is building support in the west maybe he's building it up enough to get past that never-trump conservative evan mcmull in in utah. it gets him to 220, which is why we're going to go to the final days of the campaign t

it's not who north carolina is. north carolina is full of good and decent people. and courteous people. and people who are willing to cooperate with each other to try to make things better. that's what america is about. let me be clear, north carolina. business. let me be clear. there is something more at stake in this election than just plans or policies. this is about the character of our nation. when hillary was young, her mom taught her the methodist creed. do all the good you can for all the people you can in all the ways you can for as long as you can. that guides her and she believes in that. she believes we can summon what's best in each of us and make this country better for all of us. that's what america is about. we are a country like no other not because of the size of our skyscrapers or the power of our armies, but because we are a place founded for the sake of an idea. we hold these truths to be self evident that all men are created equal. endowed by our creator with certain unalienable rights. we don't have to be born into wealth or privilege in this

north carolina down 6% compared to where it was in 2012. that's a big problem for hillary. >> and early stats, though. >> rebecca, listen to a conversation that occurred between reverend al sharpton and president obama last night about folks within the fbi trying to influence the election. listen to what he said and i want to get your comment on it. >>ey is a good man and i do not believe he is in any way trying to influence the election one way or the other. the overwhelming majority of fbi feel the same way. the wheoverwhelmy's people feele same way. >> president obama came out the other day and did seem to express an opinion. he did say we don't work on innuendo or rumor. seemed to be critical of the fbi's timing and decision to issue this letter and the leaks coming out and seems to be walking that criticism back. the latest from your reporters? >> reporter: absolutely. president obama has been trying to walk a very, very delicate line here. he wants to speak carefully about the situation. you absolutely don't want to be trying to affec

which means north carolina. >> he has to hold north carolina? >> yes, i think. and then add ohio, florida and pennsylvania. pennsylvania seems like a bridge too far. they have to come together something else. combination of nevada, iowa and something else. the something else is one of the states that we have considered more safely in the clinton column. it could be colorado. it could be michigan. it could be wisconsin. those last two look very hard. new hampshire, as david said, looks difficult. every road for him ends at a state that has been considered more safely in clinton's corner. the question is whether they really are locked down. >> look what is happening in the turn out models. you have the president and hillary clinton going out trying to keep the focus on donald trump's vulnerability. it is interesting saying can you imagine him in the white house? really about making it about the character and what we see in the polls. don't see him fit to be president. you have the president of the united states urging african-american voters to come out or else hi

north carolina is in play. the eyes of the nation are watching us. 2 million north carolinians have cast their early vote. 43% of those have been democratic voets democrat democratic voters. 31% have been republican voters. democratic voters are outpacing republican voters by far. when you look at the african-american vote, which is very critical in north carolina, you should know that 30% of african-americans have already cast an early vote in this election. that is critically important. we have almost 500,000 african-americans who have cast their vote out of 1.6 million african-american voters. so we're continuing to push the early vote. we're engaged in every county in the state. the hillary clinton campaign has invested heavily. the senatorial campaign is active in north carolina. we're trying to take out senator burr. but all of the key significant races are within the margin of error. so every vote counts. we're playing office and playing defense. the defense we're playing is to make sure republicans don't

let's look now at where we stand in north carolina. cbs news is estimating that the state of north carolina is leaning republican. now this has been a republican state. it has enjoyed battleground obama was able to put it in the democratic column in 2008. he lost to mitt romney in 2012, but this is leaning republican. >> leaning republican. >.this would make you even more nervous if yo you're a drark tht wisconsin has just moved, sorry, it moved and moved back. never mind. >> how about michigan. >> those are all still toss ups. wisconsin moved but it's back to your point about north carolina. you know, donald trump needed to win. that's one of the states he needed to win. >> in addition we talked about picking off -- >> we're just now making a projection for north carolina, cbs news is estimating that donald trump will be the winner in north carolina. this is a critical break through for the trump campaign. >> yeah. i mean when we talked about the fact that the republican is behind based on the traditional states that go republican and

what about north carolina? you could talk about hispanic turnout in north carolina and also african-american turnout is fwhoot it wasp maybe not nor then senator and then president obama, but still could come down to north carolina tonight. >> right. a lot of people this african-american vote is down there because of voter suppression. we have to wait and see how it pans out. african-american voting is pretty good in other state. the question, why not there? the clinton campaign talked about the la tain oh vote, 2 or 3% of the population. population so great, could make a difference there and north carolina is kind of what virginia used to be pup weren't of these states that used to be considered a conservative state because of, largely because of a lot of college educated whites are now starting -- in a couple cycles probably be a blue state. we're kind of on the, you know, the cusp of that right now. >> i like looking back historic ken tox in '08. obama had 49.7% of the vote. mccain, 49.38. how close it was.

north carolina is actually a dead tie.e fall back to the two-way race where trump has a two-point lead in north carolina, so he's got that lead for now. but one point for hillary clinton could shift her back in that column. >> how do you account for people voting for gary johnson or jill stein? >> we're not including them in this. >> they don't ordinarily vote republican as an alternative route to get around pennsylvania where maybe he's given up. i can't tell. >> i don't think they gave it up in pennsylvania. they're going to be here and they're pumping ads on tv, but i think pennsylvania is a tough stretch for them, but it's not, by any means, out of the question. if our people think pennsylvania is a lock and don't vote, that's what i mean by turnout. they can win. but if our people vote, we will win pennsylvania. wisconsin, i thought the best news for hillary today was the marquette poll showed almost no movement from the last week when she was seven points ahead. that's great news. i think michigan, the eye of the ame

he probably has to win north carolina. 29 electoral votes in florida, 15 in north carolina.s to turn -- let's go back to the winning map for the democrats. this is eight years ago. here is the winning map for the democrats four years ago. if donald trump is going to win, yes, he has to keep all these reds from romney but has to turn something big blue. this would be 29. this would be 20. this would be 16. donald trump is looking number one, that's a must. if he gets that, then he needs a big blue to leap frog. cory's home state of new hampshire. donald trump's path is more complicated. what is he going to look for within these states? 8:00 hour is pennsylvania. we'll get some clues in the 7:00 hour. what are the margins in these small, rural counties? is donald trump running it up? less than one percent of the population but needs to run it up even more, white working class voters coming out to vote. what is he doing in these blue areas? he went to scranton on purpose. can this be a smaller margin for donald trump here? if it is, he's in play in pennsylvania. wolf, anderson?

north carolina being elected in 2000. he felt that this was his year and his campaign director said crisscrossing the state here in his message is resonating with to see if it resonates with all- purpose across north carolina. >> very good. we're going to take a break and come back and talk with some new faces tonight with perspectives on what is happening in north carolina. as we go to break to say thank you to dr. david mcclelland from meredith college and dr. joe kotowski. we asked them to stick around for a little more insight they >>> welcome back to our along with our capital bureau chief laura leslie. they are looking specifically for this happening here in north carolina. all the legislative races so far we have called a couple of races the wake county. >> that was 53 versus 47. >> david price an easy winner. as far as the race for president in the race for governor in the us senate they are all very close right now. north carolina one of the nine states in the eastern corridor listed as too close to call. >> that

two big events in north carolina today. hillary clinton is at a jay-z concert in ohio tonight with beyonce and big sean performing as special guests. donald trump was in new hampshire and in ohio and in pennsylvania today. trump's doing florida, north carolina, nevada, colorado, iowa and wisconsin this weekend. clinton's doing ohio, florida, pennsylvania, new hampshire, more ohio. on monday night on election eve we now know that donald trump will be in new hampshire with his vice presidential running mate mike pence. on election eve hillary clinton will be in philly with president obama and michelle obama. and basically no one sleeps between now and tuesday. but do past close elections give us any advice, any useful understanding for knowing what to expect in these last few crucial nutty days? joining us now is our friend michael beschloss, nbc news presidential historian. are you eating protein? are you sleeping? are you adequately hydrating? >> i'm not eating at all, and i don't think i'm going to breathe for the next fou