. >>> nouriel roubini was one of the very few people to foresee the economic downturn, the collapse in housing prices, and the problems in the financial system. now one year later what does he see on the horizon? nouriel is chairman of rge monitor.com, and he joins us right now from nyu. nouriel, good to have you on the program. >> pleasure being with you. >> let's talk about where we are in the economy. i've heard you talk about the possibility of a double-dip recession. i know that's not what you're forecasting necessarily 100%, but you see a possibility there. how would you characterize the economy right now? >> well, we're close to the end of this recession, so the economy is bottoming out and will start to recover in the third or fourth quarter, but the key issue is not whether we'll have economic growth, but whether the recovery will be sustained towards potential growth rapidly or is going to be more dynamic for a while, and i see the main thing now is this u-shaped slow recovery rather than a v-shaped rapid recovery for potential growth because we still have the financial imbal