loves what we did and are iowa -- that is what we did in our iowa poll.ere is al hunt and jennifer jacobs from the des moines register. the horse race here, mitt romney way ahead, then ben carson in number two. chris christie and jeb bush bring up the far rear. >> it shows us how wide open this race is between never seen anything like it. it is totally wide-open if it does not run -- mitt romney does not run. jeb bush down to 4%, that strikes me as such a gap between the establishment and rank-and-file. >> you know ben carson a little bit. the big surprise of this poll is him there in second place. talk about what you think are his strengths and potential weaknesses. >> he operated on my son, so i know him very well. he is every bit as good as his reputation. one of the greatest neurosurgeons in the history of the world. his appeal is that he is a genuine outsider. people hate washington. there is a certain niche andin republican circles ford african conservative. this guy is so much smarter than they are, and more authentic. he has a charming, low-key ma

first the iowa senate race debate. >> and now, our campaign 2014 coverage continues with the second debate for the iowa senate seat. bruce braley is facing state senator joni ernst. current senator tom harkin is retiring after five terms. the race is listed as a tossup. >> joni ernst is with us. >> hoping to win one of the most hotly contested races in the nation. >> i go to washington as a mom and a soldier. >> i will work with anybody who will help solve the tough albums we face. >> the campaign is getting national headlines. >> let's make them squeal. >> all to win a key seat long held by a democrat. joni ernst taking on bruce braley. still too close to call. tonight, head to head as the country watches. decision 2014. debate for iowa's next senator. >> those of you watching are waiting to hear from candidates in the hottest, closest senate races in the u.s. history. one that experts say may determine control of the senate. they are locked in a dead heat for the seat of tom harkin. the winner will be the first new senator and 30 years for iowa. there will be questions from our panel of

iowa. there will be questions from our panel of journalists, each with decades of experience in iowa, in a format aimed at giving candidates the chance to answer in-depth. i am the moderator of this debate. a coin flip determined who got the first question. that will be bruce braley. we begin with a question from social media. i am sick and tired of politicians skirting the issues and not providing plans about how to attack issues rather than their opponent. i want results, not the ideology of blaming and dividing the other side. the problems will require the best ideas from all sides. how will you work across the aisle and how will we measure your progress? >> i want to thank the station for hosting us tonight. and everyone watching and watching on television. great question. i am sick and tired of politicians who will not work across the aisle. i am here to talk about my record. eight years of working with anyone with an idea that is good for iowa. i created a job-training program for renewable energy. i worked with a republican to make that happen. i worked to get benefits for the iowa

we have scholarships for all kinds of students, our donors have been willing to provide scholarship dollars for iowa residents and noniowa residents. we have put together a package to make this doable for our instate students, but also for our nonresident students as well. i hope people understand that. >> i want to ask you something that our viewers across the nation have heard of which is the iowa writers workshop. what is that and how do you get it started? >> yeah, thank you for asking. the iowa writer's workshop is world famous, as it should be. we have had the best creative writing programs here for a long, long time. we have the only unesco city of literature in 2008, we're proud of that designation, we are embedded in what is known as the creative corridor here in eastern iowa and we're proud of that as well. again, the writers drive a lot of that, we have had tennessee williams, we have had writers who everybody has heard of come to our workshop, and we have writers on staff that people would know the names. we're also very well known for an international writing program, which was an offsh

federal government should not be overreaching with rules and regulations that are killing our industry in iowa and a nationwide. to make sure every rule and regulation is reasonable and still protects our environment. we can do that but not with a significant overreach. >> thank you. did you have a follow-up? >> if you are suggesting that the states regulate as opposed to a federal agency, how does the state have the wherewithal, the power to regulate a company that may not be based within the state? or another state has the jurisdiction? have you do that without doing it on the federal level -- how do you do that without doing it on the federal level? >> states can do that by working together. we can eliminate or reduce the size of the federal government's involvement. other regulatory agencies that can step in. states need to have control of what is going on within the state. so much of the power has been taken away from the states and is focused on the federal level. we have our own environmental protection commission that best knows how to preserve our natural resources within the state. >

federal government shouldn't be overreaching with rules and regulations that are killing our industry here in iowa and nationwide. we need to make sure that any rule or regulation is reasonable and still protects our environment. we can do that but not with a significant overreach that we're seeing from the federal government right now. >> thank you. did you have a followup? >> if you are suggesting -- i'm sorry -- if you are suggesting that the states regulate as opposed to a federal agency, how does the state have the wherewithal, the power to be able to regulate a company that may not be based within the state or another state maybe has the jurisdiction? how do you do that without doing it on the federal leff -- level? >> the states can do that by working together. now, we can eliminate or reduce the size of the federal government's involvement with the epa. there are other regulatory agencies that can step in. but, again, the states need to have control over what's going on within their state. and so much of that power has been taken away from the states and it's being focused at the federal g

>> you can watch earlier debates from the iowa senate race and races from across the country, as well as campaign ads on our website, c-span.org. a look at the ads running in iowa. >> i'm bruce braley and i approve this message. closer look at joni ernst. senate, ernst sponsored an amendment to outlaw abortion, even in cases of rape or incest. ernst even wants criminal punishment for doctors who perform an abortion. ideas, wrongadical for iowa. >> joni ernst promises to shut the department of education, hurting iowa students, abolish the epa, giving polluters a pass. wants why sarah palin ernst in washington. joni ernst. promises to them. too extreme for us. league of voters is responsible for this advertising. >> i get very upset. are you ready to apologize? >> you're damn right! >> that individual had no college education. ironic that there's this big push to shut down the house. any advanceve degrees in economics? there's hardly anybody working there. >> there's no towel service. >> a farmer from iowa. school.r went to law >> we're doing our own laundry down there. master's or have a ph.d. in health care

we have scholarships for all kinds of students, our donors have been willing to provide scholarship dollars for iowa residents and noniowa residents. we have put together a package to make this doable for our instate students, but also for our nonresident students as well. i hope people understand that. >> i want to ask you something that our viewers across the nation have heard of which is the iowa writers workshop. what is that and how do you get it started? >> yeah, thank you for asking. the iowa writer's workshop is world famous, as it should be. we have had the best creative writing programs here for a long, long time. we have the only unesco city of literature in 2008, we're proud of that designation, we are embedded in what is known as the creative corridor here in eastern iowa and we're proud of that as well. again, the writers drive a lot of that, we have had tennessee williams, we have had writers who everybody has heard of come to our workshop, and we have writers on staff that people would know the names. we're also very well known for an international writing program, which was an offsh

terry branstead is about to be reelected. >> last question, president obama's star has faded in iowa. ourshows him with a high disapproval rating in the state overall. only 27% saying they support him as much as they used to. do you think that hurts him when he hears that, he has suffered so much? >> a has to because that state has a 4.5% unemployment rate. the other thing that was striking to me is to look how hawkish iowans are. henry wallace has turned over in his gravestone. >> we are pleased to have you here. we will be right back. ♪ >> where live 24/7 on bloomberg politics.com. and taking exception with our conventional wisdom. lots about our previous bloomberg politics poll but there is one coming tomorrow. you'll hear about it here. "taking stock is next. ♪ >> this is what i am taking stock of today. activist investor bill ackman pershing square holdings fell 12% in its trading debut in amsterdam. he said he has a new u.s. target in his sights. >> we intend to use the cash for a new commitment. we will announce in the next 45 to 60 days and the capital will go for that new investm

iowa before obama care was enacted. i believe we should allow insurance providers to sell over state lines, tax credits for those that privately purchase insurance, allowing our small businesses to pull together their policies just as we already allow large businesses to do. but, again, we must make sure they address preexisting conditions and it must be affordable and work for iowa families. >> mr. braley, a quick rebuttal before we give you a chance -- >> sound bites have consequences. when you say that every iowan deserves affordable, quality health care, there were 47 million americans who didn't have access to quality, affordable health care before the affordable care act became law. and it's not perfect but we need to fix it and improve it instead of doing what you would do, which is vote 50 times to repeal it that doesn't do anything to make it better. i voted to allow people to stay on policies for two years. i made it simpler for small businesses facing the heavy burden of paperwork. but we can't go back to where we were. tim, i had a 2-year-old nephew diagnosed with liver cancer. he's one of those children with a preexisting condition who was affect

our hard working iowans immediately. immediately. which is something we have done with this tax cut that we have implemented here in iowa. but then work over the long term to reform our tax system. i say scrap the irs. let's start all over again. we need a tax that is fair, flatter, and simpler. again, we do need to find an option. and i am willing to sit down. we need to have bipartisan support on this. but let's make life better for . rd working americans we can't tax them to death. my opponent congressman braley that seems to be the answer for everything is higher taxes and more spending. we can't keep doing that to our hard working iowans. >> senator ernst answered everything is scrap it. scrap the irs. get rid of it. get rid of the department of education. get rid of the epa. get rid of the clean water act. every solution she has is throwing darts at the board, trying to get rid of programs that have had significant impacts and made a difference in the lives of iowans. so she wants to get the federal government out of the student loan business. what would that mean? it would mean 230,000 iowans who depend on those st

cost of living in iowa is very, very low compared to other states. and so if you look at our economy across the board what might be right in texas or california or new york city, may not be right in iowa. so i think states should make that decision. >> reporter: the u.s. chamber of commerce has endorsed ernst but a majority of small business owners nationally support raising the minimum wage to $10.10 an hour. mike draper, the owner of a clothing store in des moines is one of them. >> we make more money when more people purchase more things. so when more people have more money, more products get purchased. it's an incredibly simple formula to grasp. >> draper says workers at his store start at 12.12 an hour. many workers receive food stamps subsidized housing and other government grants. >> the minimum wage is so low and so whenever my tax money is going to support competitors that's when i think should be changed. >> reporter: the national restaurant organization has opposed the minimum wage campaign and supports ernst campaign. >>> a marketing director for five restaurants

they know that if we can hold it together in iowa, we can hold our country together. if we fail in iowa, our country falls apart. >> in regards to the ebola outbreak, there have been democrats who have embraced the idea of considering a travel ban. is that something you would be for? think that all options should be on the table. from what i am hearing from medical experts, that is not the right approach. we need to confront this out rake in a cone, concise, deliberate way. we need to stop it from spreading. we need to confront it at the source in africa. again, that is how we need to react. congressman king has a tv ad telling people that they should panic. that is not real leadership. this is the greatest nation on earth. we have been willing to react, calmly. i joined our military. i have never been afraid. the american people should not be afraid could we have a bright future. thester king, you said president ordered to send troops into those three west african nottries and it was something you would support you said soldiers should volunteer for that. why? >> i la

. >> i am beyond thrilled to be here today to support your next senator from iowa, our friend, bruceailey. you need to elect bruce bailey. leaders like bruce bailey. bruce bailey. bruce bailey. vote. >> stephen: wow! a powerful endorsement from the. first lady. it's definitely gonna get bruce bailey's name out there. whoever 'he' is. because the man running for senator is "braley" (laughter) honest mistake -- she must've missed the sign in front of her. she was probably distracted by the 'giant' sign behind her. you know i love you, ma'am. folks, this just proves that even the first lady isn't paying attention to the mid terms. but as a newsman, i am just as committed to covering this election as my colleague brett baier. brett, kickoff the midterm jams! >> we will talk all about the hot midterm races to watch and what's happening there on the map during our online show beginning at 7:00 eastern. log on at foxnews.com/sr online a little bit later just after the show. >> stephen: brett is so jazzed about the midterms he's, bringing you hot, up-to-the-minute coverage... a little bit la

theirs i'm sympathetic i know it's difficult for the lady and the business owner but i'm struggling iowa our role is i can support a short continuance but i'll be very reluctant to do so i'm a little bit where you are which is like i'm willing to give the alternative to see if perhaps there's a solution that mitigate our concerns >> commissioner. >> i'll move we continue this for a short period of time and see whether the parties can come together on that that. >> commissioner fung the boards purposes next week is probably too short the following meeting is in question we may not have enough commissioners on the october 29th meeting and the meeting on the next meeting we have an lawns of cases or next week. >> i'll hear from both parties or november 19th is acceptable. >> thank you very much commissioners i'm climbing on a plane tomorrow morning at 6 o'clock and begun for 8 days i'll be useful in the process of go trying to workout an agreement and take into account as you're determining how long a period of time you want to grant for a continuance. >> i have no objection to either date but

the next little chance of rain that's coming our way is drawing off a continental air mass which is very dry. these showers in iowa's our next chance for showers that arrives the second half of the day on tuesday. that tuesday afternoon, tuesday evening rain chance, it's thin. rainfall amounts probably below a tenth of an inch. if you're going to go outside today, chilly in the shade. you'll definitely need a layer of fleece if you're sitting in the shade. out in the sunshine, moving around, a nice day to be outside. going out to dinner, you'll want your jacket as evening temperatures will drop back down into the 50s. a cold start tomorrow morning, bus stop weather 40s between 7:00 and 8:00. tomorrow afternoon mild weather starts to return. it will be breezy tomorrow. it will be a southwest wind. so that will help with the warmup for sure. it is seven-day forecast time. 60s today. 70s the rest of the week. there's that little chance for a shower late tuesday. i wouldn't count on that one just yet. it's only going to rain at my place because i washed the car yesterday. >> you jinxed yourself. >> i know. >> chuck, t

a phd student in economics originally from dubuque, iowa... and ourn, a romance novelist from weymouth, massachusetts...

iowa? liberal out of control judges ignoring our traditional values and legislating from the bench. asn't their own values on iowa. making you serve the will of voters and we define marriage what will they do to other long established traditions and rights? three judges are now on the november ballot. vote no on retention of supreme court justices. >> judge ternus, i'm going to ask what your reaction of those ads. what was the effect? did you keep your seat? >> we did not. none of us were retained. i will point out only the second ad actually was on tv. the first video that you saw is i think about a two-minute video that was circulated within the religious community in iowa, which was kind of used as a grass-roots structure to organize no vote on the retention ballot. >> and do you think that the ad was responsible for your defeat? >> i'm sure it contributed. i don't know what single action they took resulted in our nonretention. but public opinion, based on polling done by the des moines register showed that the majority of eyen opposed same-sex marriage. they certainly had a recep

. >> proud to be here today to support the next senator from iowa, our friend, bruce braley.et's give it up for bruce. now, let me say that one more time, bruce braley. >> joining me now is jess mcintosh. did someone get fired for the bruce bailey screw up last time? it wasn't just michelle obama. >> maybe it was a tell prompter thing. bailly is a pretty common name. >>> now, you have a real figure in the polls for this. you guys have a particular outcome you want to see. but you have been working on this. this race seems to me to be tightening in every way. i mean, every race, even new hampshire, where it seems shhine should be winning fairly handedly. but there's two polls since everyone's written it off. it just seems like this race is actually really, really close across the board. >> this race has been really, really close. we have kentucky senate race for a long time. it's honestly one of the dumbest and most data-free things that i have seen happen since i started working in campaigns. she has kept him under 50% and more or less within the margin of error for, like, 24

iowa. i can say it's a powerhouse because it's one of our competitors of "sioux city journal." he has promoted from editor in -- last year and now oversees the gwinnett publications in sioux falls, st. cloud and iowa city. he was in california, editor of the cincinnati enquirer. rick is an ohio native. his first job was for the keysaqton. well, correction. we'll run a correction tomorrow. where he started as high school sophomore. please join me in welcoming rick green. >> congratulations on that baby. >> thank you very much. >> appreciate the welcome. >> well, good evening. how are you? am i okay here, mickey? am i okay here? boy, it's nice to see everybody. how is everybody tonight? i got to tell you how flattered and humbled i am, incredibly kind. chris, thank you for breaking away from that two-week-old baby. i'm sure your wife is pleasant and happy you're here tonight. i specifically want to thank you, margie chamberllin and your dead husband. starting this program, the legacy you leave and getting a chance to be here and be a part of this great program. journalism is so im

. >> i am beyond thrilled to be here today, to support your next senator from iowa, our friend bruce bailey. stand up for your families in washington. then you need to elect bruce bailey. lou: bruce brailey, probably not the performance the brailey campaign had been hoping for. better than appearing alongside a president who is toxic at this point. fox news political correspondent carl cameron with the report. >> reporter: with her husband down in the polls, first lady michelle obama hit the trail trying to energize downbeat democrats and candidates. >> if we keep on stepping up and bringing others along with us, i know that we can keep on making that change we believe in. >> reporter: democrats hope the first lady makes a better surrogate than embattled husband who last week made his party wince by echoing that the midterms are about him and his midterm agenda. >> make no mistake the policies are on the ballot. every single one of them. >> reporter: david axelrod called that line a mistake given how unpopular the president and his policies are in the polls. few noticed it but mrs. o

our campaign 2014 coverage includes the iowa senate debate. by the way, on monday, the debate over kentucky's senate seat currently held by mitch mcconnell and his challenger alison grimes will be. go to our website, campaign 2014 website for more information. speaking of this political season and the upcoming 4 pfeiffer minutes, we are interested in hearing from you about the qualities and qualifications that you look for when picking a political candidate. maybe it's a decision about

. >> momentum is going our way. iowa is one of my favorite races.ng absentee ballots in early voting and i think she will win this thing easy. i think they will pick up 8 or 9 seats realistically. martha: where is the surprise story out there for you? >> south dakota. between five or eight seats republicans will pick up. the place destiny to me is south dakota. which we have been saying for months south dakota was in there with montana and west virginia as states they would pick up for sure, suddenly there is a three-way race, and the former governor, republican governor is in real trouble that he could be defeated. still too early to say that, but if the independent or the democrats could now win that seat. that is something people should start watching. >> he has not lived in the state for a long time for the former governor will win this going away and i will bet you a steak dinner. >> either way i get a steak dinner. martha: thank you so much, see you next time. tonight greg abbott will respond to that ad at 10:00 eastern time tonight. so tune i

they know that if we can hold it together in iowa, we can hold our country together. if we fail in iowa, our country falls apart. >> in regards to the ebola outbreak, there have been democrats who have embraced the idea of considering a travel ban. is that something you would be for? think that all options should be on the table. from what i am hearing from medical experts, that is not the right approach. we need to confront this out rake in a cone, concise, deliberate way. we need to stop it from spreading. we need to confront it at the source in africa. again, that is how we need to react. congressman king has a tv ad telling people that they should panic. that is not real leadership. this is the greatest nation on earth. we have been willing to react, calmly. i joined our military. i have never been afraid. the american people should not be afraid could we have a bright future. thester king, you said president ordered to send troops into those three west african nottries and it was something you would support you said soldiers should volunteer for that. why? >> i la

first the iowa senate race debate. >> and now, our campaign 2014 coverage continues with the second debate for the iowa senate seat.

iowa propelled obama to the white house in 2008. now they have apparently turned against him. results of oursive poll. >> i am mark. >> and i am john. >> we are going to show you some of the top results in a key iowa senators race. justated in our poll by one point. that is effectively tied, much .loser than the september poll >> next, we look to the 2016 presidential election and ask voters to choose between hillary clinton and a raft of republicans. we also wanted to know who the most favorably-seen politicians are in iowa. on the republican side, terry branstad. 44% in thatn at state which once loved him so much. there is plenty more on this poll on bloomberg.com. check it out. >> and remember, our new bloomberg politics broadcast is p.m.ht at 5:00 and 8:00 new york time. check out the new bloomberg politics site, with new content, articles, and videos. reminder, "taking stock" is now on a 5:30, new york time. coming up, the imf valuations are frothy and investors react. ♪ >> on this columbus day, u.s. stocks continue to drop. in the s&p 500 has fallen below its 200-day moving average for

. >> your next senator from iowa, our friend, bruce bailey. need to elect bruce bailey -- leaders like bruce baily -- swing for bruce bailey -- go to vote.brucebailey.com. that's braley, what did i say? [ laughter ] [ cheers and applause ] >> jimmy: oh, no, no, no. oh no. tough for michelle obama. if only his name was on a a million signs around her just to remind her what his name was. [ laughter ] at this point, it would be easy if he just changed his name to bailey. we got a lot of momentum. [ laughter ] >> steve: won't you come home bruce bailey. nevermind. [ laughter ] >> jimmy: yeah. i read that due to last year's obamacare difficulties the white house is trying to lower expectations for the second round of obama care enrollment. yeah. but i saw some of the ads. >> steve: did you? >> jimmy: yeah. i think they're setting the bar too low. yeah. because look at the first one here. obamacare, like you know how to make a health care system. [ laughter ] it's like sarcastic. it just sounds sarcastic to me. here's another one here. obamacare, l

republican candidate and i told the iowa people, one, i am a woman, and second, i have been to war and this is not a war. any time they use the phrase, they should do it to honor ourservicemen and women. >> that's a powerful reminder that war is not played on the battleground of politics but where people truly get hurt. joni, one issue that you hear in talking to the people of iowa. what issue that they want you to address in the u.s. senate? >> i tell you, as i travel over iowa waso many people are concerned about federal government spending, they are concerned about obama care and they are concerned about our economy. and those are the things we need to address and i am ready to do that. >> you certainly have been busy on the campaign trail as i can attest. joni, thank you for joining us. it is a pleasure to have you. >> thank you, governor, thank you. >> coming up next, the update on the houston pastors who were ordered to turn over their sermons to city officials. including scathing letter to the mayor from a civil right's commissioner. wait until you hear what he has to sayayayayayay >> i would like to ask every pastor in america send her, the sermons, obviou

well, i tell you, hÑre in iowa, people love the fact that i am a southwest iowa form early and relating back to ourany people will come up to me and they'll say, joni, that's the way i grew up too, and i'm very proud of that, i think it's important, again, coming from an agricultural state, to represent the views of iowans. >> do you think the democrats have overplayed the message that republicans don't care about women? i mean as a woman candidate, that has to have been something that you've dealt with and confronted. how has that played out where you are? >> yes, and when the democrats talk about the war on women, i have addressed this and i addressed it the evening that i received the nomination at the republican candidate, and what i told the iowa people is that one, i am a woman, and second, i have been to war and this is not a war. any time that they use that phrase, they should be doing it to honor our servicemen and women. >> well, that's a powerful reminder that war is not something that is played on the battlegrounds of politics, but where people can truly get hurt. joni, if there's one i

we track relatively heavier rain at this point and iowa looking at our shore camera. you can see lightening off in the distance. atlantic city thinks camera but off to the north we are tracking heavier rained and round of thunderstorms as we speak. lets go right on over to storm scan three and yeah there is a mess out there to say the least but generally just on the outskirts of philadelphia and curving around. if you are traveling out of the city to the south to the east that is where you'll find these heavier round of rain. when we put things in motion what is happening here is that things are rotating through. we are going to see this rain eventually filter into portions of southeastern, pennsylvania as well. look at these storms. they are pretty nasty. there is a flood advisory because of the heavy amount of rape falling with this particular round of rain in ocean county. central ocean county you have a flood advisory until 6:45 this morning but that is one and only advisory watch and warning posted for our area but there will be round of rain, rotating through as

iowa today. fox news chief political correspondent carl cameron with our report. >> reporter: hillary clinton hit the campaign trail for bruce brailley in iowa, his republican rival has inched ahead. >> when it comes to protecting women's right to determine their own medical future, joannie earnst is not on your side, bruce brailley is. >> if she had her way, we would lose the preventive services that are now available like mammograms. the insurance company would get to turn the clock back to days when being a woman was labeled a preexisting condition. >> reporter: iowa is one of three blue states that democrat des naidesignate as must wins to protect their majority. >> this is not a war on women, if anybody is making it a war it is the democrats, they have pushed obamacare, with obamacare, young women are having a very difficult time finding affordable healthcare policies. >> reporter: latest quinnipiac poll shows earnst with the lead. and she horizon become one of 2014 conservative rock stars, he campaign ads within viral this year. she served in the first gulf war, so far they have spent $78 m

our invitation. thank you for your time out of manly iowa. martha: why the threat of isis may be emerging on street corners around the world. general jack keane joins us next on that. plus on a lighter note ... >> bill: they have become a dynasty. three world championships in five years. it's party time in san francisco. [ male announcer ] meet carl, who works from the coffee shop and uses the free wi-fi. marie works from there too. she's an identity thief who used a small device to grab his wi-fi signal. then stole enough personal information to hijack and drain his bank accounts. every year, millions of americans learn all it may take to devastate your life is a little personal information in the wrong hands. this is identity theft, and no one helps stop it better than lifelock. lifelock's 24/7 proactive protection could have alerted carl in time to help him protect his money. lifelock has the most comprehensive identity theft protection available, guarding your social security number, your money, your credit, even the equity in your home.