. >> well are overconfident in our ability to stop this. we are overconfident.ot sure wife can rely on the government to be straight with us. >> that's what i am saying. i think that they're just not living up to what they claim their goals and mission statement is. i actually thought, what is the cdc tasked. today i want to the website. never read it. i read what they say their goals are. let me just. you guys can rate this on 1 to 10. tell me. >> if you think they're living to their goals. >> 10 good. or 1 good. >> 10 is good. they say the cdc's role. detecting responding to new emerging health threats. >> okay. >> 4. >> 6. training the public health work force. that is a zero right now. >> three. >> give them an 8. here's why. the cdc isn't allowed to tell the states what to do. we have a screwed up mechanism. >> that is a whole another problem. >> that's one of the reasons, frieden is saying things that aren't happening. >> thing is. frieden. should he be the one who is in charge. why isn't there a surgeon general who says here is a standard protocol for eve

>> incredibly overconfident is the biggest concern that i see and mainly being here in dallas, we were the president was there on the 16th of september saying the likelihood of coming to america was very, very minimal. when he talked about that, we have all these stop gaps, the safety precautions that we are supposed to have. they multiple times failed with the patient that is here in dallas. we saw the failure at the hospital. we saw it when it came to the check on the airport and the failure when he went to the hospital the first time. we saw the failure with a kwar know teen and the kids going to school and we saw the failure with the hazmat crew that didn't come in for multiple days after he was diagnosed with ebola. i think we are overconfident and i think we should start looking at the possibility of maybe are we not as cautious or as good at dealing with this as we think we are? >> what do you think? do you agree? was the u.s. government caught off guard? >> the u.s. government was not caught off guard. the ball was clearly dropped with regard to not identifying symptoms of ebol

. >> overconfident at time but mostly it was an unravelling. it was hard to watch. it happens on both sides and to us today. >> get rest. start fresh. go for it. >> you can follow the updates on twitter from kansas city and mike shumann will report live from kansas city. >> the decisive game seven is today, again in kansas city with first pitch at 5:07 our time. >>> developing news, berkeley police are looking for a car seen speeding away after a deadly shooting. amy hollyfield is at the scene. >> police are still here. look at all of the evidence markers at the shooting scene. we can see 14 from here. a man in his early 20's was killed before 8:00 last night. we are sat the seapress market in berkeley on university avenue at the frontage road mention to interstate 80 the property of the east bay regional park district. that is the police department investigating. the business was closed. police do have witnesses. >> witnesses from what i understand did not report hearing the art but one reported shots fired and saw a couple of people fleeing north on frontage road

. >> despite the burglar's initial overconfidence. >> oops. >>> now for a look at what's ahead on the cbs evening news. >> scott pelly in new york. scott. >> reporter: hi allen and liz, great to be with you in the bay area. today, the chp issued new ebola quarantine rules. and, we will have a look tonight at how this deadly disease is having an effect on the upcoming mid-term elections. plus, an update in the california program that turns lives around. we will have those stories tonight on the western edition of the cbs evening news at 5:30 right after kpix 5 news. 6:00 tonight: the future of tens of thous of students is on the line. we're there-- as the fight save city college moves to e courtroom. also -- homeowners on the ok... for what used to >>> i'm veronica de la cruz. the fight to save city college moves to the courtroom. >>> also, home owners on the hook for what cruised to be the city's responsibility. now they want you to pay for keeping these trees green and it doesn't come cheap. >>> plus, our exclusion i have polls showing one bay area race for mayor going neck in neck.

. >> you're overconfident and you undermine your own. >> the texas health presbyterian hospital has come under fire for the virus spread, but also initially turning away the now deceased thomas eric duncan, here's what the hospital chief had to say about that. >> we were well prepared to take care of a patient walking in holding a sign that says i ebo ebola, and it was a gentleman who walked in off the street with a set of symptoms. obviously his second visit came with neon sign. we're proud of how we managed that. >> enough, k.g.? >> i don't mind this guy, for some reason, it must be something in his voice. >> we're proud about the way -- what is that? he's dead. >> i like his honesty about the rest of it. that last statement belongs nowhere in that piece, because obviously it was a fail, he was saying we have to learn, we made mistakes, we tried our best, we're going back over all of it to make sure that this doesn't happen again, because even one casualty from this is unacceptable. >> bob, there were reports of medical waste from eric duncan, thomas eric duncan piled up in a room. >>

some of the fans actually blame the fans for being overconfident. >>: reporter: once again the game isonight at 6 07. do not dig your 6 05 as it will not start until 6 07. they know they can close out today they go live to get on to the plan in 55 1/2 hours back to washington and try to do this in front of washington fans. it's another great day for the giants game yesterday's but the best part of yesterday the dodgers lost. <

i want to be known for one thing, strong, confidence, kissinger said the president will be no overconfidence. i want to be known for guts. he never held against lyndon johnson if he was bugged by johnson because it showed johnson had guts and we have got to not forget the name j. edgar hoover who was wiretapping everybody, bugging everyone so there was a culture of this going on to be sure, but to take it to the limits that the nixon white house did, and to go in, the brookings institute, the watergate, to do it in such a sloppy fashion it becomes embarrassing and one of the things i took away from this as a historian is how can a man as brilliant as nixon, and he was brilliant, have such a dark side to him, such a blind spot, and achilles heel and the chip on nixon's shoulders larger than the chip i have ever seen on an american major american politician. he was a major one. >> that is the question i set out to answer in my book. i really wanted to find out how somebody as intelligent as nixon, as politically savvy, let a bungled burglary destroy his presidency. the bottom line, absolutely

they actually thought that other fans were a little overconfident. >>: reporter: they still have two chances that. they hope the taken when it tonight. the last thing they want to do is get on a airplane in flight back to washington and have to win. they hope that they can get it done at home. as i said earlier the best thing about yesterday is at least the dodgers lost. <>: reporter: that was crazy down there. <

but -- >> you have to be very cautious about overpredicting or overconfidence in those predictions thate, or you'll end up exactly where you thought you would, but it may not be the right place. >> reporter: don't look for people scanning the surface for debris, those days are over. now it is all about looking in some places nearly four miles beneath the waves. and once again, hoping for a break. the search is scheduled to last for about a year, and if they find the plane during that time, of course, it will be a huge step. but a big mystery still remains, what ever caused this plane to go down. tom foreman, cnn, washington. >> and cnn's martin savage goes back to the beginning, retracing the key moments of flight 370 and asking experts the questions we all want to know. be sure to watch "van der: the mystery of malaysia airlines flight 370" this tuesday at 9:00 p.m. eastern. >>> we have so much more straight ahead in newsroom and it all starts right now. >>> all right. hello, again, everyone. i'm fredricka whitfield. here are the top stories we're following in the "cnn newsroom." from

. >> overconfident at times. mostly, though, it was hard to watch just an unravelling.t happens on both sides and it happened to us today. >> white the slate clean. get rest. start friend. go for it. >> tim hud son starts for the giants tonight. >> as a kid you think about it, as a big league player you think about it and you wonder if you will have that opportunity to do it and 16 years in the big leagues and finally, i had the chance and i am really excited about it. >>> hudson is the old of the game seven starter in major league history facing guthrie a rematch of game three. >> bumgarner is available, as well, and folks are looking forward to seeing some of him and that may happen. >> and mike shumann remains in kansas city to cover game seven of the world series and here are tweets. he is giving stats including wonderful pictures, as well. the fans are drinking heavy last night. here are some of the tweets from mike shumann. mickey is not a royals unanimous. -- fan. >> and we will have reports from kansas city on later shows and you can follow us on twitter. >>> be

>> as a republican, i would rather have them in that position than overconfident and not sealing the> 2012 still hangs over this. there was a lot of a belief that 2012 was going to be a very different election. how many people are coming out. how early voting looks, trying to figure out is it going to happen again. >> thank you, rich, coming up next, my colleagues from the fox business network, join me to talk about the state of the u.s. economy. the conference call. the ultimate arena for business. hour after hour of diving deep, touching base, and putting ducks in rows. the only problem with conference calls: eventually they have to end. unless you have the comcast business voiceedge mobile app. it lets you switch seamlessly from your desk phone to your mobile with no interruptions. i've never felt so alive. get the future of phone and the phones are free. comcast business. built for business. >>> [closing bell] >> that was a good sound today. the dow gained 188 to go back over the 17,000 mark. the s&p 500 was up 23. the nasdaq finished ahead 78 today. you take a look at the month

his overconfidence led to problems with them now having to backtrack several different stories. pointing to the ron fornier piece on that. schools closing and people increasingly worried or even panicking, what do you think about the reaction to all of this in terms of how do people process it and decide -- make big decision about whether to keep the kids home from school or not? >> i think the reaction. >> it seems a little overdone. >> yeah, but the thing is, it's something that i've learned in the last couple of weeks. kids differently than people without kids. >> absolutely. >> so i'm like -- i'm saying and i agree with bob. it's not just the cdc's lack of leadership. it's also a combination of creating dread by the media that helps encourage this. however, i think that that public dread is more pronounced among parents than there are people like me who hang out all night and get drunk. but there's also an interesting contrast of reaction to danger. there's been research that shows that conservatives react more strongly to negative challenges like disease and terror than lib

. >> let me ask you, do you think prior to treating thomas eric duncan it was simply overconfidence by the cdc and its ability to prepare hospitals for the ebola threat and play down the likelihood that someone could get ebola in the u.s.? >> any answer to that is pure speculation on my part. the reality is, no one is listening to us. we're saying put this in place now. we need the training before the patient walks into the hospital. we need to have the protocols in place and, in the case of dallas, they didn't have any protocols. the first response was to try to blame the nurses in both cases, both for nina and amber, when they did the right thing. they wanted to have those protocols in place. they didn't have the training prior to taking care of these patients. they clearly did not have personal protective equipment that was to the highest standards. and that's what we want to be, to have done. based on that then, do you think from the beginning the two nurses being treated for ebola should have been sent to one of the four medical facilities specifically designed to take on ebola pa

shoot straight with us rather than falsely artificially comfort us with almost an arrogant overconfidencethe facts. we're all on a learning curve here together. >> absolutely. that's not just what folks in dallas want. i'm sure that's what people want all across the country. mark davis thank you for taking the time. >> just ahead, as we are hearing these breaking developments, the cdc under fire for the response to these new reports of these nurses contracting ebola. who is really in charge here? we'll talk about why officially there is no surgeon general in that seat currently. plus, breaking news in the war against isis, one of the president's top military advisers made a significant comment about the terrorist group's momentum. we'll share that with you next. we've made hiring anyone from a handyman to a dog walker as simple as a few clicks. buy their services directly at angieslist.com no more calling around. no more hassles. start shopping from a list of top-rated providers today. angie's list is revolutionizing local service again. visit angieslist.com today. >>> let's talk about th

there are those warning maybe republicans are overconfident because races are well within the marginf error, they're very tight. do you think you will pull off upsets or surprises or the is die cast at midterms? >> i think there are surprises both sides of the aisle, i think three days after and four days after, recounts people didn't expect, races nobody was paying attention to have suddenly been close and competitive. so i think there is going to be a lot of wednesday morning quarterbacking the day after the election because of the erratic nature of polling and the competitiveness of these districts. shannon: okay. so gop picks up house seats where they already have i believe 233 majority there, and if the republicans pick up control of the senate, what will your life be like? are there republicans you feel like you can work with in the house? we know there is bipartisan legislation comes through all the time. it doesn't make headlines but it doesn't happen. >> yes. i founded central aisle caucus with former republican congressman tim johnson where we focused not on our disagreemen

but -- >> we have to be cautious about overpredicting or overconfidence no those predicts you make orup exactly where you thought you would but it may not be the right place. >> reporter: don't look for people scanning the surface for debris. those days are over. now looking into some places nearly four miles beneath the waves an once again moping for a break. the search is scheduled to last for about a year and if they find the plane during that time, of course, it will be a huge step, but a big mystery still remains, whatever caused this plane to go down? tom foreman, cnn, washington. >>> a fire may have destroyed some memorabilia from the september 11th terror attack on united airlines flight 93. the national park service says the fire damaged four buildings at the memorial site headquarters in pennsylvania. the damaged buildings housed about 10% of the memorial's collection of 9/11 artifacts. >> unfortunately, only about 10% of our collection is actually storied here. most of it is offsite and the items that are here, many of them are in fireproof safes or fireproof filing cabinet

education cuts the first year that snyder was governor and he didn't respond.y there was a degree of overconfidence and he felt like achieved big things and he is pretty popular with the d.c. set didn't respond his negatives started to rise and approval rating took a hit they are running the ads bout the comeback and now a month out you have the give shifting his messages, he still a one-on-oneo have debate with his democratic challenge challenger former congress plan is a very interesting dynamic partly because they allegations d to they are in much more dire straits than three months ago. host: a caller on the independent line from roger on the independent line. wiveragetsdz we've got kshsksh caller: we've got another flip-flopper. he's supported obama here and we are definitely as independents going to be supporting brink scott for reelection. >> and it's going to come down to what the independents decide to do. thank you for bringing florida into the conversation because i haven't mentioned it and it's probably the most important and truly toss-up governors' race of the year. rick scott, former

and was so confident about stopping ebola in its tracks, i think made people feel unnecessarily overconfident so then when you have two more infections people get really, really scared. but let's have some perspective here as rich was just pointing out, it looks like those first 48 will get through the 21-day period. most likely that other group of people being watched will get through their period. there have only been two infections here in the united states. with any luck it'll stay that way. >> all right, george. we agree, with any luck it'll stay that way. george will have a big show this morning. dr. besser will be on with much more on the ebola scare here in america. george will question dr. anthony fauci, the head of the national institute of allergy and infectious diseases, that is all coming up on "this week" right here on abc. george and rich, thank you once again. we appreciate it. >>> we do move on to another breaking story overnight. a sad discovery in the case of the missing college student hannah graham. police say they believe that hannah's body has been found and found less

isn't there overconfidence in the begining. >> exactly. the congressman is saying we feel confident. the mood is we want him to feel nervous and working extremely hard to make sure everyone is traced down. the rest of us -- i don't think anyone in new york should change their behavior. >> you talked about riding the train. you're not worried. >> i live five blocks away from him. i will be going out to the bars tonight exactly where he was. >> about 15 blocks away from me. all in the same neighborhood. what point confidence level here? you said you don't believe it's -- my question to you as we were listening to the press conference if they're going to sanitize the bowling alley and airport he transported on is being taken out of service and cleaned. why not the subway system and restaurant. >> that's the whole problem we've seen. we arary telling people it's safe that you have to be exposed to bodily fluids which is true but send a different message when we say let's sanitize all these other areas that he went to before he was sick so i th

. >> overreliance, overconfidence. maybe something you can talk about is the difference between information, like knowing that your phone is telling you to go north and then turn left after 300 yards, but to actually understand it, where you are, if you look at a map, you have to understand, okay, the lake is over here, the mountain is over here, i understand the environment. you don't have to have any understanding when you've got a phone. so being lost can take on a whole new meaning, because if you're lost on a map, at least you know what the map is. there was a case a few years back and this kind of thing has happened recurringly, where a couple got into their car, they wanted to go to vegas, they were in canada and they plugged in destination vegas and they said shortest route, instead of fastest route. they went on logging roads and they wound up in a canyon and the guy went off and died. i forgot to ask you more about your sort of background, maybe you can tell us a little bit about what you do and how informati

and there is perhaps an overconfidence in estimating that the minority vote will overwhelmingly be democratic>> i think you're putting your finger there on an important thing. people say the demographics are good long-term in this state. but hispanic voting has been lower. but it's not clear at all at this point from what i saw that wendy davis has electrified those communities. for grateful dead fans out there, they used to say -- >> there are a lot that watch the show. >> -- every silver lining has a touch of gray. i saw that gray when i was going out seeing the black churches in dallas and ft. worth. they were talking about voter i.d., voter suppression, the jobs agenda, things they want and getting out to vote. i didn't hear anyone in those crowds, name check wendy davis. let's be clear. in politics it doesn't matter if you're getting out. but at the persuadable level and bringing out the new voters, all the lingo we hear about, it's not clear they have someone at the top of the ticket who's electrified them. and we reserve judgment until election night where we'll find out real answers.

the i think that hospitals put a snap to it quickly, but i think they were a little overconfident about a hospital's ability to do all of this. >> it does raise the question, elizabeth, was texas health presbyterian up to this? you know there was the single ebola patient thomas eric duncan. now two more. these two new patients are in the care of this hospital. are there concerns that this might not be the right place for them? >> i think there definitely are concerns, i'm hearing it from officials. i'm hearing it even earlier with an experts. it's two things one is treating the ebola patient and saving that individual patient which can be complicated which often involves being very aggressive and getting experimental treatments. the second issue is keeping the workers safe. and i think there are concerns that this hospital is having trouble with both of those things. >> and now even a second nurse, now they have to go back and immediately do what's called contact tracing, right, where they have to find every single person that a health aide or health worker was in contact with. then you

. >> we are so overdependent and so overconfident in screening, but now it's the time to stop, re-evaluatehange it so that we can really make a difference in women's lives and health. >> reporter: for "this week," dr. richard besser, abc news, new york. >> our "sunday spotl >>> now our "sunday spotlight" shining on a new netflix documentary called "the e-team" about the extraordinary bravery of a unique group that fight for peace while exposing war crimes. they are witness to horrors few ever see, often the first ones on the scene of some of the world's most gruesome atrocities taking unimaginable risks to make sure the victims' stories are documented. >> they bombed us just half an hour ago. >> what. >> do we go there? >> reporter: they are human rights watch emergencies teams who rush into conflict zones, collect evidence to investigate war crimes. >> i found what we're looking for. >> reporter: and now a netflix documentary has captured the passion of these e-teams. >> a lot of people ask me the laws of war. well, what's the point? war is hell but there is a point actually because you'r

too much confidence, overconfidence. >> have same rooms all over.ifferent types of rooms everywhere. >> i believe it is a filipino title from idea purchase it from the philippine market. it does the job at esl. --you know? >> just hope the power of the brewing comes through for us today. --broom. >> reporter: thousands of fans are leaving after this lost. >> reporter: many of them saying that they think it was too much talk about a sweep. >> catherine: gary is still hanging with us. >> gary: i am one of these guys that played everything goalkeeper it cannot route if you are born to be on television. if you were too much thing you sound like a joke. my think is i even felt it today. that they were going to finish it off because the bumgarner. >> gary: finally, but the giants won that game and 18th ending at people at the party started high fighting. i have never high-five's more people in my life. people are responding look at the pictures here. a little white ball can unite a community spirit as corny as the sound. >> catherine: it's fun. people are

seriously at first and thought well, we won't see a patient with ebola and then there was a sense of overconfidence where they felt like no matter what we'll be prepared, it's not a big deal. now we've seen both those approaches won't work so it should be easier to get it done but it may be practical considerations, getting the actual gear or doing the training. but that's not an excuse. >> dr. devi, many thanks to you. >>> in other news this morning, a senior law enforcement source telling cnn there is no indication that the man who attacked four new york city officers with a hatchet had any ties to radical islamist groups or jihadists. looked like an ambush, though, thursday in queens as the attacker hid behind a bus shelter almost stalking the officers. two are hurt, one is in critical condition. eventually the officers shot and killed the attacker. now police in new york have been told to watch for random attacks and the president has been briefed on the attack but it follows a series of attacks targeting law enforcement and the military but still new york authorities say they can find no conne

. >> we are so overdependent and so overconfident in screening.ow is the time to stop, re-evaluate and change it so that we can really make a difference in women's lives and health. >> reporter: dr. richard besser, abc news, nork. >> some women say that and say, okay. maybe it won't always help but it can't hurt. so i think if you take a lot of convincing -- >> you're supposed to listen to your doctor and then you have this doctor telling you one thing and another doctor telling you something else. >> it is always tough. we'll be back with more "world news now." >> announcer: "world news now" contin ne >>> i'm about to take you an a journey deep into a jungle. once you see this strange creature oorkts not a sight you'll soon forget. >> they could teach us all a thing or two about having a swinging good time. we're "up all nightline" with abc's gloria riviera. >> reporter: a lush region in southeast asia, famous fo undisputed -- the bigger the nose, the sexier the beast. these primates like to stay hidden. these monkeys are leary of humans. but we'

. >> overreliance, overconfidence. maybe something you can talk about is the difference between information, like knowing that your phone is telling you to go north and then turn left after 300 yards, but to actually understand it, where you are, if you look at a map, you have to understand, okay, the lake is over here, the mountain is over here, i understand the environment. you don't have to have any understanding when you've got a phone. so being lost can take on a whole new meaning, because if you're lost on a map, at least you know what the map is. there was a case a few years back and this kind of thing has happened recurringly, where a couple got into their car, they wanted to go to vegas, they were in canada and they plugged in destination vegas and they said shortest route, instead of fastest route. they went on logging roads and they wound up in a canyon and the guy went off and died. i forgot to ask you more about your sort of background, maybe you can tell us a little bit about what you do and how informati

but -- >> we have to be cautious about overpredicting or overconfidence in the predictions or you endut it may not be the right place. >> don't look for people scanning the surface. now it is all about looking in places nearly four miles beneath the waves. once again hoping for a break. >> it is scheduled to last for about a year. a big mystery still remains. what caused this plane to go down? cnn, washington. and asking experts the questions. be sure to watch vanished, the mystery of malaysia airlines flight 37, 9:00 p.m. eastern. >>> no flight required for this week's episode. depending on where you are on the map, he goes all the way to the bronx in new york city. take a look at this clip. >> the bronx is seen as where it was scary. other people live there. it's an investigation of three people. africa and cool herc. guys who invented the sound track for the world as we know it. >> the hip hop which is now the sound track to every commercial, every football game and every song and everything we hear on the radio and everything. we try to make the case that it happened in the bronx

the long >> reporter: said payne ravenna wan drinking the champagne already were confident were overconfident i keep coming across this this of the drink of the day. >> reporter: i came across some people in the parking lot better sipping on champagne already which is bigger and bigger now drinks champagne later >> reporter: allow the people in the parking lot drinking champagne already >> reporter: and not here live out here that at&t part he knows the big game when people are toasting glasses of champagne at 1:00 in the afternoon and that is exactly what she saw there and that is exactly what is going on out here it at&t park there of 31 in this series just one more win and they'll go to the world series will be out here all night with highlights later at 8:00 thing live in san francisco j. r. stone kron 4 news >> reporter: it was an outbreak and violence at last night's game at at&t part police responded to a large fistfight fist fight outside the game the police and try to keep the peace and control the crowd just just in case they make it to the world series >> reporter: untrue a tragedy

in my mind that's overconfident. i don't think we should assign more than 10% probability. we also asked by what year, if and when we, if and when we do reach in the bubble machine intelligence, how long will it be from then until we get super intelligence? you can see it is different. i'm very sick ester are we are from human intelligence. if and when we've reached out point, there's a high probability and soon thereafter the reasons we are thinking about it because they often get rolled into one overall skepticism. the question of how far we are from now to sound rough notion of human equivalents or when they get there, how quickly will machines completely leave us in the dust? says some things hinge on this question, the question of how steep the takeoff would be. we will have a fast takeoff commended the minutes or hours, days, couple of weeks. for a start, it then seems like it's not going to really be possible to invent new solutions as we go along. if we are going to get a favorable outcome, it will be because of preparations that we take place before we developed pr

but don't interpret that as overconfidence. but what we need to do to suppress the epidemic in africa and someone comes with a suspicion of ebola or travel history, isolate them to make sure you protect the people are around. if they wind up having ebola and it is conceivable there will be other ebola patients to take care of them in a way to protect society and most of all projects the worker. >> one of the concerns is somebody could be infected and we don't know that there is a long incubation period someone could be a symptomatic to register a normal temperature boarding the airline flight and then obviously shows signs of days or weeks later. how do we watch for that or monitor that? and in that realm can you talk about the travel ban for people traveling here from west africa? >> we have heard many people propose a travel ban and i understand the appeal that somehow you can keep this out. but we have heard reasons why that could backfire. the most important those coming to the country how their tract and then don't get med

. >> that is why they got questions if they were a bit overconfident.aide said they were confident the with staf stoppeda in its tracks. had h it not been a major outbreak. bill: how are they pushing back? >> they are not focus on the challenges they have had, they are focused on their have been results, not a major outbreak, listen. >> the fact problems occur dealing with a deadly disease shouldn't be a surprise anybody. how do you respond? when you sel saw the two patiens recover from ebola base what they got from the doctors, report back with support from the federal government. >> the cases now are down in dallas. saying this could get worse before it gets better. so confident they will get past it, but some have been infected. the bottom line is this kind of crisis is not what the white house wants to be dealing with less than three weeks before the midterm election. bill: thanks. martha: senior writer for the weekly standard and fox news contributor. you look back at the handling of this so far and have to ask yourself why did we not implement a c

but one of overconfidence as recently as last friday. is that creating a pocket of opportunity in greece at the moment? >> it's not an area that we're investing in. but if you look genuinely what's happening, it seems to be a bit of a consensus trade. and i think a lot of people have jumped on that bandwagon. if you look at irish bonds, they were trading at one point below u.s. ten-year. is that really warpted? so i think there's a bit of a correction going on here in consensus trade. >> james, thanks very much. more from james in a few minutes' time. >> make sure to head to our website for all the latest market action. we want to hear from you, worldwide@cnbc.com. >>> coming up on the show, president obama cancels a campaign trip to deal with the ebola crisis as it emerges that a u.s. health care worker was let on a plane despite having a live fever. we head live to washington for the latest. >> and what's on the script for netflix? we find out how they plan to restore subscriber growth as it sees shares plummet in after-hours trade. >>

i do think it indicates how important it is to be over cautious rather than overconfident, and how when we are dealing with a new problem and a complicated environment like the u.s. health care system, you really need to, if anything, be over clear and overtrained and over cautious. >> that brings me to a question that we received from an audience member, jamal is a registered nurse. as you know, these nurses are on the frontline in this battle. and there has been a call from union leaders and local workers who say that they are not getting the training that is adequate. they are not being told what precautions to take. how concerned are you about that and is that the case be met. >> let me comment on that. because the nurse is correct on that, but with an explanation. first of all, in the beginning when this happened and the nurses were infected and i happen to be taken care of one of those nurses at our facility at the nih, when i came out there was comments that were not meant in a certain way like a breach of protocol but the nurses did not do anything wrong at all. making sure that

in my view, that's overconfident. i just think we should assign more than 10% probability to us still not having it by then. there should be a -- [inaudible] we also asked by what year, if and when we do reach human-level machine intelligence, how long will it be from then until we get superintelligence? and you can see the results there. again, my view is different. i think that -- i'm very agnostic as to how far away from human-level machine intelligence. i do think, though, that if and when we reach that point, there's a high probability we might get superintelligence very soon thereafter. and in the book i describe some of the reasons for thinking that. but it's important to distinguish these two questions, right? because they often get rolled into one overall level of enthusiasm or skepticism, okay? but the question of how far we are from now to some rough notion of human equivalence and how the question of if and when we do get there, how quickly will machines completely leave us in the dust. and so some things

but though whole thing is overconfidence to allow us to fail or succeed there be much easier problems to deal with. >>moderator: i will ask the question now for the last few days with top about possible ethics violations on the staff. suggesting possible violations with campaign fund-raising. you have to acknowledge this. are you unethical congressman and how can you prevent this from happening in the future if you are elected? honda: i am an ethical person might policies for may campaign whiz through my staff. i know we have had quite a bit of media attention but real people were talking about to be taking care of barrasso with the issues. the to work with the currently in the past to understand the mindset is a personnel matter of with like to not discussed at par but the high ethical standards for my staff has been reiterated it goes beyond though legal boundaries and expectation. but my chief of staff did not meet those expectations and she had a misstep. i was disappointed but she apologize publicly and to me that this will not happen again. so this situation needs to be acknowle

. >> you say the united states has been a bit overconfident when it comes to ebola.aining. why do you think people weren't better prepared? >> well, it's actually really hard to know because this is the cdc's job and it's the job of the hospitals and the local public health authority. what there should have been, we've had many months to prepare for what was very likely to be a case of ebola in the u.s. and someone should have been anticipating every single possibility and going through these drills and then making sure that people in hospitals were trained to implement them. what we see from what sanjay is doing there how hard it is to do these drills and train our people now. the answer is no one ever got a medal when there wasn't an ebola epidemic. what you get is a medal for responding. it's easier to get the respond up once you have cases here. >> in terms of that response, you say it's more important to focus on the training of the health care workers than taking people's temperatures at the airport. in terms of results and protecting people, that's more import

they overconfident in this guy as ceo or does he got the goods?k he's executing quite well and most people are looking at the metrics of any company at 85 p.e. saying is insignificant bre anything breaking down? that's not happened. facebook over the last couple of quarters coming to my attention, this whole issue about coolness with 20-year-olds has been around forever. but i'll tell you a growing segment. small business is now allocating a portion of advertising to setting up and maintaining facebook pages to grow business. and i hadn't seen that as much momentum as i have seen it now. every single one of the deals i'm invested in of sales under $5 has a facebook page and spends maintaining it. >> that's a great point. >> it is if i can jump in. we use it all the time. it's actually a great point. a small business and it's a small publication. having facebook likes and people following the page is huge for us. in terms of both general ratding new traffic and keeping our audience, existing audience happy. i love it. great point. >> fair point. ja

. >> overreliance, overconfidence. maybe something we can talk about is the difference between information, like knowing that your phone is telling you to go north and then turn left after 300 yards, to actually understand it, where you are. if you look at a map, you have to understand, okay, the lake is over here, the mountain is over here, i understand the environment. you don't have to have any understanding when you've got a phone. and so being lost can take on a whole new meaning, because if you're lost on a map, at least you know what the map is. there was a case a few years back, and this kind of thing has happened recurringly, where a couple got into their car, they wanted to go to vegas, they were in canada and they plugged in destination vegas and they said shortest route, instead of fastest route. easy oversight, right? they went on logging roads and they wound up in a canyon and the guy wandered off and died. i forgot to ask you more about k your sort of background, but clarence, maybe you can tell us a lit

education cuts the first year that snyder was governor and he didn't respond.y there was a degree of overconfidence and he felt like achieved big things and he is pretty popular with the d.c. set didn't respond his negatives started to rise and approval rating took a hit they are running the ads bout the comeback and now a month out you have the give shifting his messages, he still a one-on-oneo have debate with his democratic challenge challenger former congress plan is a very interesting dynamic partly because they allegations d to they are in much more dire straits than three months ago. host: a caller on the independent line from roger on the independent line. wiveragetsdz we've got kshsksh caller: we've got another flip-flopper. he's supported obama here and we are definitely as independents going to be supporting brink scott for reelection. >> and it's going to come down to what the independents decide to do. thank you for bringing florida into the conversation because i haven't mentioned it and it's probably the most important and truly toss-up governors' race of the year. rick scott, former

you can't be overconfident. case and you're hearing that time and time again that there may be another case. but they're urging calm. the question is whether they'll change what they say about the different guidelines at the airports and other considerations as time goes on. >> that's right. >> this is what the director of the cdc had to say. >> i understand that americans are scared about ebola, but you have to put it in perspective. there will not be a large ebola outbreak in the u.s. we stop it here by public health measures that track patients as it's being done in texas, by hospital infection control, that if done right will prevent any health care workers from getting it. we're not going to have the kind of outbreak here in any way, shape or form compared to what's happening in africa. >> so that was him this morning. he said a lot of nothing. calm down, everybody. meanwhile, the big question is, why americans are still worried about this, 'cause they're having trouble trusting the government because of th

and so, you know, perhaps she was overconfident in following these guidelines, and, you know, right now people freaked out. it does sound unbelievable someone was allowed to get on a plane with a slight fever. >> it is unbelievable. she called the cdc, todd. she treated an ebola patient and she's running a fever and she's a health care worker so i'm thinking perhaps she might even do some of the math herself but not to blame the victim here. >> she was below that, their cutoff. >> i don't want to blame her. >> you have to start somewhere. >> she was worried enough to call the cdc. >> i'm not blaming her. >> she was worried enough to call, who you said the agency in charge the cdc because they have been every where. she thought to call him. they did not not not not tell her not to fly. like 11 notes in it. why did they not not tell her to fly or whatever it is they said. >> there's a difference between the official guidelines. i don't think she was contagious. you're right it doesn't look good and i want makes people nervous. that's important. you don't want to freak people out and have