it can really do only a few thing and they start to become overconfident. >> i'm guessing that's oneons elon wanted to put out that information ahead of time, sort of change the narrative, if you will on that crash. one more thing, tim, before i let you go. that tweet by elon musk on april fool's day about the company going bankrupt, i know it was an april fool's day joke, but given the financial issue that's tesla is facing why would you joke about going bankrupt? >> well, investors don't seem to be laughing today. the stock went down more than 7% early today closing 5% down. some analysts i talked to were thinking maybe elon is trying to be bullish and overconfident to send a signal to the market that he has no fears here. >> okay. we'll have to see how that strategy plays out. tim higgins, always a pleasure talking to us today from san francisco. thanks. >>> we located jesse hernandez alive and talking. >> this is really a pretty incredible story. this 13-year-old swept away into what's called a maze of pipe. how he was ultimately found. >>> and we're tracking that weather out the

about the security of our next strike and overconfidence about or under confident about the willingness of other folks to play the brinksmanship game like we do? i'm thinking for instance about the -- you seem to be suggesting in order for our ultimate guarantee to be secure we have to be constantly attentive to little details to make sure it is in fact secure. but there's always this kind of perpetual disavowing in washington about pursuing war fighting capability. do you have a thought on that? should we perhaps be talking about the credible war fighting capability in a positive way as opposed to apologizing that we would never pursue that? >> when it comes to nuclear strategy for whatever reason you are right, people have this dichotomy, is a deterrence strategy or a war fighting strategy and i reject that dichotomy. and no other area of life do we think deterring something is divorced from what happens if deterrence fails. if you think about horizontal windows to deter crime but also to physically stop the crime if it takes place, nuclear deterrence theory is no different. if you're

they are looking for other models of success and other factors, not just an outgoing form of overconfidenceily: do you think silicon valley has rewarded the wrong kind of arrogance? john: i would say more broadly, not just pointing at silicon valley, but across the country, historically, yes, absolutely. emily: 2017 was very transformational for lyft in part because of what happened at uber. we saw the delete uber campaign, susan fowler's blog post that went viral, ultimately travis kalanick the ceo was ousted. how did that particular sequence of events impact your company? john: yeah, i mean, it definitely impacted us, but we have had so many moments as a company, both competitively and internally, that have been difficult over the five years of running lyft, and the muscle we have developed is to focus on our drivers and our passengers, because we can't control things that are happening outside of lyft, so that muscle that again took years to develop, and in the early days we were distracted by the competition, paid off, because we put our heads down and said we need to continue to serve

do you have to guard against overconfidence at this point? we heard a number of players say, it's only one game. kerr said it as well. >> yes, you do. because san antonio is so consistent. they don't beat themselves. you have to go every night and beat them. >> sweep coming up, five. >> that's a gentlemen's sweep? >> you're down 3-0, get the fifth game, fourth game out of pride and come back home and let popp get closer to napa. >> he's been saying this for two months. >> why wouldn't you want to be closer? >> you expected to see leonard at any point. willis reed type. we're back in san antonio -- >> it would have bern today. >> not game three back home? >> i don't think so. >> do you think leonard will play for the spurs again? >> something is going on there we're not sure about. i don't see that. >> whatever it is, it's very un-spurs like and extremely unusualpy mean, he's had the quad. he's only played nine games. he's going to come back. necessity had a team meeting, are you in, are you out? clearly he's not in. who knows, they'll have to

. >> that usually goes wrong, though, because permanent a little overconfident about their own skills. >> funny you should say that. >> ready. >> oh. >> did he manage to save his o o tookious. >> four, five other cars there already smashed up against the corner. people put dash cams on their car when they'reration so we've got footage from that bmw. you can see up ahead the old volkswagen golf and you'll see a burst of tire smoke. >> oh, no put think the other driver caused this driver to lose control? >> well, maybe it kind of threw off the driver, but there are reports in some of the descriptions that there was an oil spill on this corner which would explain why when you see this video that this corner claimed quite a few victims. no slowi >>> no slowing down in this next video either. >> you can already tell with nick and christian, more. >> one particular ride they're is about to get a very interesting ride. yeah, it happens really quickly, i'm going to back it up. that's kyle reynolds and as it happens see how he's off the right hand side of his bike standing next to to it? >> wh

the sharks put up eight goals in the third team but the team is definitely not overconfident. captain joe pafl ski remembers when the sharks dropped four games. >> enough happened in this room, we understand the challenges that still lie ahead of us. we'll have to earn next game for sure. >> tonight's game starts at 7:30 at the shark tank. >> coming up next on "today in the bay," people waiting until the last minute to file taxes get an extra day. what prompted the irs to extend the last day to file those taxes. >>> tell us the truth here, do you take pictures of your food before eating it? new this morning, we'll tell you just how many people actually do and how it's changing the restaurant industry. . >>> good morning, i'm kate rogers live at cnbc global headquarters. wall street will try to build on yesterday's gains despite a disappointing earnings report from ibm. the markets raltlied on the back of strong quarterly results from netflix, hit a record high. on today's watch list erngsz from banking giant morgan stanley and american express. the dow closing up 213 points, n

they are looking for other models of success and other factors, not just an outgoing form of overconfidence do you think silicon valley has rewarded the wrong kind of arrogance? john: i would say more broadly, not just pointing at silicon valley, but across the country, historically, yes, absolutely. emily: 2017 was very transformational for lyft in part because of what happened at uber. we saw the delete uber campaign, susan fowler's blog post that went viral, ultimately travis kalanick the ceo was ousted. how did that particular sequence of events impact your company? john: yeah, i mean, it definitely impacted us, but we have had so many moments as a company, both competitively and internally, that have been difficult over the five years of running lyft, and the muscle we have developed is to focus on our drivers and our passengers, because we can't control things that are happening outside of lyft, so that muscle that again took years to develop, and in the early days we were distracted by the competition, paid off, because we put our head stand and said we need to continue to serve our

problem we don't even know the extent of thathe problem yet and point out that a lot of doctors are overconfident and rate themselves as great physicians like most drivers think they are above average drivers. the experts make the point it's not about the sort of individual hubris or aggregate it's just they don't have the feedback they need to get accurate batting average is because there is no mechanism in place for that to come back to dems to go back to the autoimmune example where these patients that make up a huge 75% of them women are going to doctors before they are diagnosed and the first ones don't get the memo so they have the impression unless they hear otherwise she was just a stressed-out hypochondriac so that was helpful to see how it was self-perpetuating despite the best intentions of everybody involved. i don't know how that related to your question. >> they are in charge of what the doctors are doing. i've been a practicing provider but it's funny to think about them having to lose our contact independent introduction of getting the diagnosis but i learned recently how much wei

it is a nailed on certainty for an interest rate rise next month i think are being a little bit overconfidentoman accused of throwing acid over her former partner in an attack that left him disfigured, almost blind and paralysed from the neck down has gone on trialfor murder. berlinah wallace is accused of attacking dutch engineer mark van dongen in bristol in 2015. he ended his life in a euthanasia clinic 15 months later. she denies all the charges. jon kay reports from bristol crown court. he was an engineer from holland. she was a fashion student from south africa. mark van dongen and berlinah wallace were together for five years, living in this bristol flat. the prosecution claims that, one night in september 2015, she threw sulphuric acid over him while he slept. it is claimed she bought it online. the jury was told miss wallace laughed as she threw the acid saying, "if i can't have you, no one else will." berlinah wallace wiped her eyes as the jury was played a video showing mark van dongen in a hospital bed. struggling to speak and with his face and torso badly scarred, he told detecti

fault truly lies with lee, who is not the same swaggering leader without jackson and who lets his overconfidencevictory cloud his judgment. >> can you see how our boys are doing? >> general. general, are you all right? >> after stonewall jackson's death, robert e. lee struggles to find a replacement who matches his aggression and tactical brilliance. >> we will defeat the federals, sir. [ all shouting ] god wills us to victory. we shall prevail. >> robert e. lee did not adjust to the loss of stonewall jackson. he could become careless, too focused on defeating the enemy at any cost. and now what he wants, more than anything else, is to take the war to the north. one more victory might be enough to save the day for confederate independence. [ horse neighing ] general jackson, have your men cook three days of rations and prepare for march. >> sir? >> my apologies, general longstreet. force of habit. >> after stonewall jackson's death, at chancellorsville, his shoes are filled by james longstreet, who is arguably the best confederate corps commander of the entire civil war. but he didn't have the r

seek evidence that confirms our belief and blow off evidence that this confirms that and we are overconfident of our knowledge a of wisdom and rectitude. however, people are capable of reason if they establish certain norms and institutions like free speech anyone can criticize the claims of anyone else the debat debate, logical analysis, fact checking and empirical testing bringing me to the second, science. science is based on the conviction we can understand the world by formulating explanations and testing against reality. showing to be the most reliable way of understanding including ourselves that there can be a science of human nature just like any other beliefs in the world. science believes not just the technical know-how but fundamental insights and naturalism the universe has no purpose related to human welfarehe with the implication if we want to improve that welfare we have to do it ourselves. but in a closed system disorder increases things fall apart and stuff happens there are vastly more ways for things to go wrong then right and evolution, humans are competitivere which sele

seek evidence that confirms our belief and well off evidence that this confirms that and to be overconfident of our knowledge and rectitude. however people are capable of freezing one -- reason through those norms and institutions such as free speech anyone can criticize. open criticism and debate with thoughtful analysis, fact checking and imperial cult testing that brings the second of the ideals of science. with that conviction we can understand the world by formulating explanations and testing against reality. science has shown the most reliable way of understanding including ourselves with the enlightenment ideal is a science of human nature and that is just like any other belief of the world. not just technical know-how but fundamental insights of the human condition. naturalism, the universe has no goal or purpose related to human welfare with the implication if we want to improve that welfare and in a closed system disorder increases things fall apart and staff happen -- to happens more things can go wrong than right. mins are the product of a competitive process selected for reprodu

seems there is an element of overconfidence and we could bring in the law of probability this is the possibility of it collapsing is one out of a million but we should suspend traffic until it's completed. how would transparency and diversity how would they stop traffic even if something could possibly go wrong. >> were not bridge engineers, key thing is that there will be an investigation and we will know more. it's important not to speculate it about causes. that being said two things resonated. one is that probabilities and failures are almost always too low. your point about flexibility is a great one. the space shuttle was supposed to fill one in 10000 times. if failed with tragic and fatal results. just like the bridge did. one thing were saying that applies is this idea of learning from the system. seems like there was a collapse of presentation about how there are cracks but not an issue. that doesn't seem like doing a great job of paying attention. >> thank you both for being here and thank you all for coming to the event. you can get copies of the book at the cash register.

i think that in conjunction with the shorts that have become overconfident around that tax state, they starting to pile up. those were all cleared just a few days ago when that happened, when it spiked one day. >> i want to talk about the spike, the volatility. at one point yesterday it was claimed that bitcoin jumped more than $1000 in 30 minutes. this is an asset that has $130 billion in market cap. how do we see such volatility? is in the short squeezes that make the sudden moves? >> the short squeeze is what happened the other day. it is also the super liquidity of the entire asset class. you can change your position very quickly. you can go from a cast position or u.s. dollar position on most exchanges. we see big swings because we are not used to this type of liquidity, this technology that allows you to jump in change positions in the blink of an eye. >> if it's the blink of an eye? the latency issue is there, the speeds of transacting that are promised hasn't been as speedy, but there are scaling issues. >> sure, definitely. when i talk about the speed, what we are talking abou

i think that in conjunction with the shorts that had become overconfident around that tax date and they to really pile up were all cleared just a few days ago when that big bump happened, when your chart when it spiked that one day. caroline: so i want to talk about the spikes, i want to volatilitythe because at one point i think yesterday, it was claimed that bitcoin jumped more in 30 minutes. this is an asset that is cap.billion in market how do we see such volatility? you talked about the shorts, squeezes short that make these sudden moves? the short squeeze is what happened the other day, but it's also the sort of super liquidity of the entire asset class. you can change your position quickly. you can go from a cash position or from a u.s. dollar position on most of these exchanges so we see big swings because we're not used to this type of this type of technology that allows you to jump and change positions eye.e blink of an caroline: is it the blink of an eye? because we understand that transactions, you know, the there. issue is the speeds of transacting that have been promised w

>> one thing being a reporter gives you is overconfident we can jump into anything and figure it out. so the first book on national defense i knew something about the subject but i had never done a full book so i covered rumsfeld but i had never done a biography. or politics & prose i had never been in business of any kind. so you see a pattern. [laughter] but it was an easy transition in part because i felt very much at home as much as i have ever felt which there were moments. [laughter] but it's just a longer process. having been an author a couple of times from when i became a bookseller but one moment i remember during the rumsfeld book we had been at it for almost three years and about to come to the conclusion and we had a cover that i liked and i remember being told we have to change the cover and i said why? because the sales reps don't like it. when you are an author ut you long -- you tend to see it from one end and there is a long part to it through production and sales and so on. in the sales reps are key to the end of that going along the bookstores to persuade the buyer

and overconfidence is one of the great challenges of human existence. especially leadership. they were so challenge and learning from those of us below them and in taking joy in our achievements. that's the key to a) two. take joy in how they do. it's missing balance. you have to have confidence to be a leader, but you have to have a measure of humility to allow you to be better. >> mike: you'll be teaching a course on leadership and ethics at the college of lehman mary. what is your one ruler lesson for ethics? one thing to keep in mind to make a spot decision when i have to? >> james: the most important thing is the golden world. the thing that run-throughs all the world's religion. am i treating this other the way i want to be treated? is most important touchstone. that's why it's the golden rule. >> mike: who in this russia thing has been a model of good behavior? >> james: that is a great question. i'd have to look to the government side to that. i admire and write in the book that jim clapper is the leader in government i most admired. [applause] he had that balance of

don't get overconfident.rker magazine facing a backlash after calling chick-fil-a, a christian-owned restaurant chain, "creepy." right back with that controversy on "the five" ." how do you gauge the greatness of an suv? is it to carry cargo... or to carry on a legacy? its show of strength... or its sign of intelligence? in crossing harsh terrain... or breaking new ground? this is the mercedes-benz suv family. greatness comes in many forms. lease the gla250 for $349 a month at your local mercedes-benz dealer. mercedes-benz. the best or nothing. ♪ >> jesse: when chick-fil-a opened its first restaurant in new york city a few years ago, my prayers were answered. leave it to the left to politicize its expansion in the city. the the new york magazine callit a creepy infiltration. why is it creepy? according to the columnist, the brands arrival feels like an infiltration in no small part because of its pervasive christian traditionalism. i like the new yorker magazine because they have david sedaris, my favorite au

at the same time, he confesses that he's very aware that he can be overconfident and stubborn and pridefulou see moments when he is attempting to live up to those standards of ethical leadership, but he doesn't necessarily always get there. when he came out and spoke about hillary clinton's e-mails and spoke very aggressively, he looks back and wonders if, you know, maybe the reason i spoke out in this way and announced that i was reopening the investigation late in the year right before the election was because i was thinking politically. i was thinking she's probably going to be the president. you look at the polls. i don't want it to be said later that, you know -- >> dana: that it was not a legitimate presidency. >> yet he prides himself so much on being apolitical. on not thinking about the political consequences or certainly not the polling data. so there's something of a contradiction there. he also speaks out in sort of vague and harsh terms on his former boss loretta lynch, the former attorney general, and suggests that there was some hazey intel that suggested maybe she could hav

the sharks put up eight goals in the third game but the team is definitely not overconfident.he captain said that he remembers when the sharks dropped four straight playoff games. this is back in 2014. >> enough has happened in this room that we understand the challenges that still lie ahead of us. we're going to have to earn this next game for sure. >> and tonight's game starts at 7:30 at the shark tank. >>> and tens of thousands came out to celebrate 50 years at the oakland coliseum and then governor ronald reagan throughout the first pitch but they wanted to show appreciation by inviting fans to watch the game and all for free. 47,000 fans attended and the a's ended up winning with a blow-out score of 10-2. this is against the white sox. >> all right. the weather cooperated too. >>> cooperating today as well, like the rain, sun is coming around the corner. >> you'll have a little bit of it all today. mix of sun and clouds and a live look outside in san jose. looking cloudy. to santa clara where we'll start to see the sun peeking out by early afternoon and a beautiful evenin

three games to zero and they put up eight goals in the third game but the team definitely not overconfident. captain joe pavelski remembers, we all do when the sharks dropped four straight playoff games in 2014. >> enough has happened in this room where we understand the challenges that still lie ahead of us. we're going to have to earn the next game for sure. >> all right, we'll still root on those sharks. >> thousands are expecting to celebrate the legalization of marriage marria marijuana this friday, 4/20. city leaders are getting ready every year as they do for this event. today they'll hold a press conference. the big issue all of the trash that gets left behind in golden gate park. >>> happening this morning in morgan hill, a major crackdown on those who violate traffic rules. it's part of the vision zero plan. santa clara sheriff's office and police will be helping out of the major focus will be the school zones, enforcements period starts at 6:30. >>> james comey's book tour continues, the fired fbi director has been appearing on all of the networks. this morning on the "today" sho

the sharks put up eight goals in the third game but the team is definitely not overconfident.elski remembers when the sharks dropped four straight playoff games in 2014. >> enough happened in this room where we understand that the challenges that still lie ahead of us. we're going to have to earn the next game for sure. >> and certainly you want to be there to support because the sharks game starts at 7:30. this is at the shark tank. >> tens of thousands came out to celebrate 50 years of the oakland coliseum for the a's. five decades ago, then governor ronald reagan threw out the first pitch. yesterday the team wanted to show their appreciation by inviting fans to watch the game for free. some 47,000 fans ended up attending. the a's ended up winning with a score of 10-2 against the white sox. good to see. >>> a san francisco's sxts pca turning 150 today. >> they are throwing a blow-out bash, a san francisco banker helped open the spca on this day in 1968. now in dog years that's nearly 1,000 years ago. this was just the nation's fourth humane society to open and the first west

officials in the white house saw as a sign of his asen dance in the west wing, but others saw overconfidence hailey outranks him being she's a member of the cabinet confirmed. and bolton is hiring and firing however he wants. reasserting his authority over the chief of staff in that way because with the homeland security adviser who was dismissed this week when he informed him he was going to dismiss him last week, he said i want to speak to john kelly. bolton told him it simply wasn't john kelly's decision to make. a word of caution to those two staffers here if you fly too close to the the sun, they sometimes get burned in the trump white house. >> how does this impact john kelly? >> reporter: it certainly does diminish his role in a way here because when john kelly was brought into the west wing, everyone was reporting to him including the president's daughter and son-in-law. but larry kullow is reporting to the president. and overstepping john kelly and an example of that is one of the national security advisers. someone that the chief of staff john kelly liked and wanted to keep around

we learned from the iraq example that weship the be overconfident in understanding how far the north koreans have come. even basic questions of where their developmental facilities are. so one of the big questions coming into this is we've seen, as you're talking about, victor, what's happened in tests both on the nuclear and missile side but i'm not sure that we're seeing everything there is. and that puts a premium on a question i think the north koreans are going to be uncomfortable with. can we have inspectors on the ground from the west or from the u.n. that verifies what the north koreans say. the details here are going to be a lot tougher than people think. >> sam, we have to remember there are three americans still being held prisoner in north korea. what does the president do with that? >> the president spoke briefly about this during his press conference with shinzo abe. but this has to be on the table if president trump meets kim jong-un. and it's entirely possible that kim jong-un does release these prisoners ahead of the talks to increase a positive momentum. and i certa

as he put in his own book in the beginning that he is driven by being prideful, driven by being overconfidentn ego. >> what do you think, is james comey's approach to this jeopardizing his creds at all? >> first i have to say that talking about a white house spokesperson talking about somebody being humble and having their aliamance to the nation is kind rich since every day donald trump is an example of lack of humility and lack of respect for our nation. it is a all approximate him. and we are just seeing more of this. so yeah, i don't like the way comey has acted in certain particulars. there are certain things that have come out in these memos and in his book, you know, where he for instance wants leakers' head on a pike. this is the way james comey talks. he sounds like trump. and yes, you could make an argument in the same way that you could with hillary clinton, ironically enough, that you know some of this material might contain classified information. but we've seen nothing to indicate that any of this jeopardized the investigation into conspiracy and collusion. >> and in terms of th

he put in his own book, in the beginning, that he is driven by being prideful, driven by being overconfident, driven by his own ego. >> james comey has a lot of editorializing within these memos. at no point within them, and frankly in his testimony last year, before congress, both in march and in june after he was fired, does he allege that the president asked him to do anything inappropriate. when you look at james comey, he has a real credibility problem. >> and the democratic national committee has launched a surprise legal attack on the president, filing a multi-million-dollar lawsuit in federal court, alleging it, the dnc, was the victim of a conspiracy by the trump campaign, russian officials, and wikileaks to disrupt hillary clinton's campaign in favor of donald trump. it's a lot to talk about. we have the people for it. let's bring in our leadoff panel for a friday night. matt apuzzo, "new york times" reporter, msnbc contributor, and a man who was just awarded his second pulitzer prize. vivian slamama, nbc news political reporter covering the white house, and daniel goldman, former

and we're overconfident about our knowledge, our wisdom and our rectitude. however, people are capable of reason if they establish certain norms and institutions such as free speech. anyone can criticize the claims of anyone else. open criticism and debate, optical analysis and empirical testing which brings me to the second of the ideals, science. science is based on the conviction that the world is intelligible, that we can understand the world by formulating possible explanations and testing them against reality. science has shown itself to be the most reliable way of understanding the world including ourselves, an important enlightenment ideal is there can be a science of human nature and that beliefs about society are testable just like any other beliefs about the world. science provides not just technical know how and handy gadgets, but fundamental insights about the human condition. naturalism, the universe has no goal or purpose related to human welfare. with the implication that if we want to improve that welfare, we've got to figure out how to do i

when we see the stubbornly low volatility, it makes companies seem more reliable so is giving overconfidencers. matt: how do you see this issue? i think theilarly, point on volatility is a very good one. credit markets have become relatively sanguine to the risks . we have been avoiding them slowly because the rates have been inching up in america and andrs have been following strict parity. it's been taking a while. we are about to hit 3% on the 10 year. it will take something like that futures are sentiment change in the credit markets. that's probably going to be the key. matt: is something like that imminent? when you look out there, do you see it as a possibility? dani: certainly the 3% threshold is something we have been keeping an ion. -- eye on. it's 3% it all of a sudden, markets will care. it's a moving target. one thing i would .2, another charted brought with me, you can see how closely volatility and credit spreads track each other. we had the recent pickup. this is historic volatility in the blue for stocks. it does tend to be a leading indicator, so volatility remains high. th

i also though do not think democrats should be overconfident.uld be a mistake and this can't be anti-trump vote. i don't think that's the campaigns we are running. we need to be careful not to fall in that trap run on issues and run on candidates. >> sandra: what's the as of now? >> maria: depends on the district. we are running district by district. look what conor lamb ran on. cultural message resonated with his district. we have very good candidates around the country. i'm not counting my chickens before they're hatched here but it looks good right now for democrats if we keep up -- >> mike: what happens to the conor lambs of the world if they getting elected and can't do anything because their party shuns them. >> maria: i think the party is changing in the house particularly. if democrats take the house nancy pelosi is not going to be speaker. i think it's going to be someone like joe crowley. there are a lot of younger members in the party who don't owe their seats to nancy pelosi. although she has been a great historic leader for the part

still, raising questions over whether he was overconfident heading into the upcoming meeting with kimorning joe, richard haass said it's too early to evaluate the american negotiating position. >> everybody needs to take a deep breath here. trump is being criticized for having given away the store. he has not given away the store. what matters in a negotiation is not where you begin, it's where you end up. >> well said. meanwhile, white house press secretary sarah sanders was asked if the administration planned to take north korea's overtures at face value. >> certainly we're not going to make mistakes from previous administrations. and we're not going to take the north koreans simply at their word. like i said before, and we've said many times before, the maximum pressure campaign is going to continue until we see concrete actions taken by -- look, we're not naive in this process. >> i'm joined by susan page, washington bureau chief for usa today. covering the funeral on saturday, i just felt great to cover such a great marriage and to honor the marriage. and the marriage and honor o

so far it looks like donald trump has been overconfident on twitter and on public saying for exampleale in the next year i think he will have to think again. would it be fairorunfair have to think again. would it be fair or unfair to suggest that this meeting should come with some published concessions or would that have been too early? absolutely before accepting the invitation i think that the lowest bar they could ask for is the release of three american prisoners still in north korean prisons. now i think it is incredible to see the nominees for the us secretary of state come and go from pyongyang without securing the release of those prisoners. the fa ct i the release of those prisoners. the fact i think there‘s a lot more that could have been achieved in terms of setting conditions before accepting the invitation. i think the prisoners will eventually be released, but it is not something the united states should negotiate for. actually been a condition for engaging in this outreach. mike pompeo has a rather curious status here, he has not been confirmed as new secretary of stat

basically said as he put in his own book in the beginning that he is driven by being prideful, overconfidentgo. what he has decided is to put his ego in front of the security of the american people. when you are looking at james comey, who has been a leaker, who has basically decided to provide classified informations to a third party to then give over to the media, i think it's very troubling. and it should be troubling to the american people. >> do you think, though, the president believes these are fake memos or is he now accepting them? he says they prove there is no obstruction. can we take that to moon he take the memos at face value? >> i think it's very clear that comey himself was delusional in so many cases. he's the one that asked for these private conversations with the president. he's the one that flip-flopped in so many of his -- what he has been talking about in terms of his testimony. i mean when you look at the fact that he said, well -- you know he said at one point he claimed that president trump told him to top investigating michael flynn and then he said that no one need

i'm not overconfident.he recognition of ancient, things that once -- the taliban district to join buddhist statues. and the statues were many centuries old. and was able to start, those are artifacts that are forever in world history. i'm not talking middle east about artifacts. we talk about human beings and communities. remember when isis advanced and for the first time in 1600 years, that -- was not celebrated in mosul. individuals and communities. we are all for finding ways for refugees to be resettled in the right places and the right ways and the right time.but we have to remember, refugee resettlement. refugee resettlement means that the communities there are gone forever. christianity is a cradle of civilization. but they're gone forever. we are not doing enough. i think this administration has been doing some good things. the news about funding and where the funding is going is where will be directed as a step in the right direction. there are good people working on this. in fairness it is an enor

we could write an entirely different book on male overconfidence, right?s tweaking to be done there. what we realized is for girls, understanding what's going on is the most valuable thing. so they can say, oh, right. if i take a few more risks, i get used to it and i can speak up for myself. >> male overconfidence leads to marketing crashing, wars beginning. i'm dead serious. >> yes, serious. >> that's what men have lacked through the ages that women add to a discussion. it's what i always talk about to you one of the most telling studies i've seen in your area came a study of third and fourth grade boys and girls. the boys always overestimated their math skills. the girls always underestimated -- again, on average, their math skills. it begins at an early age like you say. >> actually, they're doing pretty much about the same. i think the other thing that does seem to hit in with puberty. i'm sure you see it with your girls. social media kicks in and they get this huge pressure to be perfect online, right? they want to present the perfect sexy picture of

i don't want to come across as overconfident about this, but i will tell you statistically of the things that i'm concerned about intrinsic inappropriate behavior, i would say the one i keep a close eye on is nothing that is as explicit or as obvious as actual out and out assault or demeaning behavior. it's sort of more inappropriate language that sort of opens up amateur for other sort of more of what's a predatory, more inappropriate behavior that somebody thinks it's okay to do this so now it's okay to do that. fun very cognizant of that. i think we're attacking it fairly aggressively. as to your reprisal concern, you know, i'm always eager to learn and come up with, get better techniques that against them for my college teletype all just tell you the most important thing i can think i can do as a senior leader is the message everyday and every way that anybody who has anything that concerns them needs to bring this up to somebody that they trust in the chain of command, or not in the chain of command but a sexual assault or sexual harassment advisor. >> in the navy reserve, similar t

in retrospect saying i wasn't from harlem was a way of avoiding his overconfidence about having always figured out with science and in that moment, i was scared. his voice was steadily increasing in volume, perpetuating each word like this truck strike of an organ for. the rest of harlem disintegrated as if both he and i existed in a vacuum . i felt alone. what if he hits me? what if he pins me against the outside wall of the deli? found myself alone and pretended to enter his number into my directory. luckilyfor me he didn't lean over to see what i was doing . the woman who went into that deli was not the same one who continued home. as soon as i walked to the end of theblock and waited for the light to signal it was okay for me to proceed. i do nothing had changed . i had been violated but i could not remain in mine have been crossed. he did not make more remarks about my body. not rate me and yes men were posted upoutside another deli , he now terrifies me. the pioneer supermarket, the restaurant, the nail salon became two-dimensional as if they could fall down like poker cards . po

is he scared or is he overconfident? what were the iranians thinking? micha micha michael gerson. says the president lives in the eternal now. the purpose of intelligence is context. it's all about history. it's all about consequences and hence the challenge we have. by the way, i talked about the phases. woe went from ignorance to opposition to acceptance, inevitability. phase 4 is when the muller report finally comes out. >> do you think he'll accept it? >> that's why phase four is different from three. we don't know what it is and what the response will be. but right now the president has been chipping away, making more institutions. can that spread again because he's done it before to the intelligence community. the point i try to make in the book to people still in government is in addition toll your own conscience and being who you are, you are sponls for these institutions. for their survival. you cannot accommodate so much to the peculiarities and quirks of any one president that you delegitimate it for the history of people and future presidents. >> general hayden, always

i don't want to come across as overconfident about this. but i will tell you, statistically, of the things that i'm concerned about in terms of inappropriate behavior, i would say the one that i keep a close eye on is nothing has explicit or as obvious as actual out an out assault or demeaning behavior. it's sort of more inappropriate language that opens up the aperture for other more predatory, more inappropriate behavior. it's okay to do this or that. so i'm very cognizant of that. and i think we're attacking it fairly aggressively. as to your reprisal concern, you know, i'm -- i'm always here to learn and come up and get better techniques. and i get them from my colleagues all the time. i'll just tell you the most important thing i think i can do is message every day in every way that anybody that has anything that concerns them needs to bring this up to somebody that they trust in the chain of command, or not in the chain of command, but a sexual assault or sexual harassment advis adviser. >> in the naval reserve, the -- similar to the