. >> in 1972, pat caddell was a pollster for george mcgovern's campaign. mcgovern was polling at 5% nationally, months before the caucuses. >> so the game in iowa was -- to exceed what you expect people will do, give money, support and momentum. >> mcgovern was second behind the frontrunner and won the nomination. then lost to republican richard nixon by a landslide. gerald ford replaced nixon after watergate and in 1976, iowa republicans move there'd caucus to the same day as democrats to share the media attention. that year, reconfirmed the importance of iowa. more than a dozen democrats were competing to run against the incumbent, ford. one was former governor jimmy carter who announced in december, 1974 and was at 1% in the polls in october, 1975. >> forgot him in the last poll. >> but pat caddell, an adviser for cartener '76, says his candidate had a plan. >> the strategy was simple. iowa's a launching pad to put him on the map. >> the peanut farmer and born-again christian worked iowa hard. >> he would stay at people's homes and make his bed in the m

. >> in 1972, pat caddell was a pollster for george mcgovern's campaign. mcgovern was polling at 5% nationally, months before the caucuses. >> so the game in iowa was -- to exceed what you expect people will do, give money, support and momentum. >> mcgovern was second behind the frontrunner and won the nomination. then lost to republican richard nixon by a landslide. gerald ford replaced nixon after watergate and in 1976, iowa republicans move there'd caucus to the same day as democrats to share the media attention. that year, reconfirmed the importance of iowa. more than a dozen democrats were competing to run against the incumbent, ford. one was former governor jimmy carter who announced in december, 1974 and was at 1% in the polls in october, 1975. >> forgot him in the last poll. >> but pat caddell, an adviser for cartener '76, says his candidate had a plan. >> the strategy was simple. iowa's a launching pad to put him on the map. >> the peanut farmer and born-again christian worked iowa hard. >> he would stay at people's homes and make his bed in the m

. >> in 1972, pat caddell was a pollster for george mcgovern's campaign.g at 5% nationally, months before the caucuses. >> so the game in iowa was -- to exceed what you expect people will do, give money, support and momentum. >> mcgovern was second behind the frontrunner and won the nomination. then lost to republican richard nixon by a landslide. gerald ford replaced nixon after watergate and in 1976, iowa republicans move there'd caucus to the same day as democrats to share the media attention. that year, reconfirmed the importance of iowa. more than a dozen democrats were competing to run against the incumbent, ford. one was former governor jimmy carter who announced in december, 1974 and was at 1% in the polls in october, 1975. >> forgot him in the last poll. >> but pat caddell, an adviser for cartener '76, says his candidate had a plan. >> the strategy was simple. iowa's a launching pad to put him on the map. >> the peanut farmer and born-again christian worked iowa hard. >> he would stay at people's homes and make his bed in the morning. he was a far

. >> in 1972, pat caddell was a pollster for george mcgovern's campaign.cgovern was polling at 5% nationally, months before the caucuses. >> so the game in iowa was -- to exceed what you expect people will do, give money, support and momentum. >> mcgovern was second behind the frontrunner and won the nomination. then lost to republican richard nixon by a landslide. gerald ford replaced nixon after watergate and in 1976, iowa republicans move there'd caucus to the same day as democrats to share the media attention. that year, reconfirmed the importance of iowa. more than a dozen democrats were competing to run against the incumbent, ford. one was former governor jimmy carter who announced in december, 1974 and was at 1% in the polls in october, 1975. >> forgot him in the last poll. >> but pat caddell, an adviser for cartener '76, says his candidate had a plan. >> the strategy was simple. iowa's a launching pad to put him on the map. >> the peanut farmer and born-again christian worked iowa hard. >> he would stay at people's homes and make his bed in the mor

. >> in 1972, pat caddell was a pollster for george mcgovern's campaign.% nationally, months before the caucuses. >> so the game in iowa was -- to exceed what you expect people will do, give money, support and momentum. >> mcgovern was second behind the frontrunner and won the nomination. then lost to republican richard nixon by a landslide. gerald ford replaced nixon after watergate and in 1976, iowa republicans move there'd caucus to the same day as democrats to share the media attention. that year, reconfirmed the importance of iowa. more than a dozen democrats were competing to run against the incumbent, ford. one was former governor jimmy carter who announced in december, 1974 and was at 1% in the polls in october, 1975. >> forgot him in the last poll. >> but pat caddell, an adviser for cartener '76, says his candidate had a plan. >> the strategy was simple. iowa's a launching pad to put him on the map. >> the peanut farmer and born-again christian worked iowa hard. >> he would stay at people's homes and make his bed in the morning. he was a farmer th

. >> pat caddell an advisor in 76 says his candidate had a plan. >> iowa was a lunching pad.t would put him on the map. >> the peanut farmer and born again christian worked iowa hard. >> he would go to people's homes make his bed in the morning. he was a farmer that was a big deal. he understood rural america. >> carter finished ahead of all other candidates and the rest is history. >> are you prepared to take the constitutional oath? >> i am. >> what impact the jimmy carter at the caucus? >> that became the blue print for other people to follow. lots of folks since then have said if i could own iowa i could leverage that into being a major player. >> which is why frontrunners ignore the caucuses at their peril. ronald reagan discovered that in 1980. >> the campaign staff con fined him he didn't have to spend as much time in iowa as maybe he should. >> reagan's son michael campaigned for him. >> i went to iowa and i called my father i told him george bush is going to beat you. >> george h. w. bush did win with 32 percent of the vote. he beat reagan by 2 percentage points. >>

>>neil: to say nothing of the incredible summer humidity in the northeast, and pat caddell says the excusesweapons a president has in his arsenal or arrows, is when a president of the united states, remember people have a lot invested even the opponents. when they get up and say, look, i goofed, i saw the other night, watching 3:00 in the morning, a cut of john kennedy after the bay of pigs saying i'm the responsible officer in government. it was our decision. i'm the responsible officer. it rests with me. i'm going, my god. his numbers went up after that. but when ronald reagan or jimmy carter or bill clinton, you cannot do et all the time, you get up and say, look, i made a mistake. this president will not ever add pit and he is robbing himself of something, and after a while blaming everyone, and, specifically to the issue, and this is dangerous politically, this thing about "you're lazy," well, we are not working at hard. i went to a focus group with people in the country this summer and what you really were inspired by people, the fact that people were doing two and three jobs, they cu

to pat caddell who says "come on," this is not about our suitcases this is about politics of both parties acting like nut cases. you say bag these guys but here we go. >>guest: yes, i certainly am not going to defend the airlines because they have been ripping the country off and their customers and the country when they took the tax money they didn't, that wasn't collected, and decided to keep it, but, you know what? rome is burning and these people are fiddling. they are fiddling with something to get them support, both the entire structure of both political parties and the establishment have collapsed, and the president is able and we have $15 trillion we passed every day it gets worse, and they are not doing anything to stop what is the country's perception of we real decline and real disaster and they just keep kicking the can down the road, reading the papers today was so depressing. because for them, it is just politics as urge. >>neil: what do you make of the argument that, look, this is stuff that we can agree on, we can try to address, and there is a big debt stuff that pat is a

pollster for president jimmy carter and an adviser to george mcgovern's presidential campaign, pat caddell. the editor of citizen jane politics and the contributor to the daily beast, patricia murphy. and a republican u.s. senate candidate in texas, ted cruz joins us. and your web site is ted cruz.org. let's start, just briefly with the penn state child sex abuse scandal because this is such a horrifying story. pat, your thoughts? >> i think it's just -- emblem emblematic of the colleges and the football programs, chasing after money. you know, this has spread throughout our society, lack of any moral responsibility when they see something wrong, if it will affect their job or their career or whatever. it's endemic -- epidemic in this country. it's awful. the people who let this go on should be -- >> i mean, that's the thing, patricia. we have seen numerous people having knowledge of this over many, many years and nobody report its to law enforcement? >> i don't know how many times this has to happen until everybody in the country happeneds, if you see anything -- if you hear anything, if

doug schoen and pat caddell say 2012 may be the moment for hillary clinton. doug and pat have more on that as they host "campaign confidential." it's a live show on foxnews.com that streams live every monday. go to foxnews.com, click on the "watch fox news.com live" link. so coming up here, this story for you, the crumbling below your feet. torrential rains causing highways in southern california to fall into the ocean, and homeowners hearing the worst. >> i'm concerned. i just live up the street. i have been keeping my eye out. all because so many people came to louisiana... they came see us in florida... make that alabama... make that mississippi. the best part of the gulf is wherever you choose... and now is a great time to discover it. this year millions of people did. we set all kinds of records. next year we' out to do even better. we setso come on downecords. to louisiana... florida... alabama... mississippi. we can't wait to see you. brought to you by bp and all of us who call the gulf home. where they grow america's favorite wpotoes. idaho, everyone k