let's talk about the fed with patrick spencer from robert b. baer. great to have you on the show. there is a lot of concern about the lack of inflation. fomc members are trying to look for it it's nowhere to be found do you think it's a temporary phenomenon or longer lasting >> i think yellen will run the economy hot despite inflation. so irrespective of that, they're committed to cutting the fed's balance sheet. they have talked about reducing that if you look at the financial markets, they're predicting a 90% chance of a fed hike in december you know, the script is normalization, and i suspect even though the dot plot from the fed is considerably higher than consensus rates, higher rates are coming >> is she right to continue with the tightening cycle maybe that's what the market needs, the financial sector is hoping on? she's really boxed herself into a corner if you will >> yes, dare i say never it's different this time you do have technology, you have the participation rate which is bigger in the u.s., which is most probably the actual employment group which is much larger th