hi jason, paul levinson. should there be a protracted budget stalemate for a delay in raising the debt ceiling, what might be the impact on both economic growth and job creation in the near term and long-term future? >> right. again, i mean, for a shutdown for the debt ceiling, i mean, it's pretty much the same perspective, which is the congressional leaders have said they don't want that to happen. that they don't expect it to happen. the president certainly doesn't want it to happen. and certainly doesn't expect it to happen that. there are obviously some differences of opinion, you know, those are issues, you know, that will have to be worked through so i don't think it would come to that. in terms of the real difference for the economy that i'd focus on, though, what does it mean to short-term growth if you're making very large cuts in the budget very abruptly this year when job growth is starting to strengthen but isn't so strong that they could sustain a very large movement opposite direction. so i woul