how many people are familiar with paul samuelson?e wrote the standard textbook in the -- where he argued that if the growth rates continue as they were, the soviet union would overtake the united states by 1985. this is one of the nobel prize -- did a lot of other things that were brilliant, but that turned out to be incorrect; then, cover article after cover article in the harvard business review predicted that america wins the cold war, but japan and germany are going to be the dominant post cold war economies. those predictions seemed rather silly in retrospect, but it is not to diminish the contribution of the skeptics. i think what the greatness of the nation is that at times of crisis, at times where things may not be fully on track, it is the skeptics who speak up and say we may lose and force us to re-examine our policies that allow us to adapt and continue to lead, and i think the same thing -- same principle is true right now. we are -- our manufacturers, particularly, small and medium sized manufacturers, are doing extraor