with us is paul sankey there are a number fundamental factors and we have the strong dollar, of coursefears and everything going on with the russian oil supply and goldman sachs, though, still saying they believe that the sell-off has been overdone what do you think? how do you weigh all of these factors against each other and where we are for oil prices now and what you think we're going to see here in the short term? >> yeah. you're quite right the first concern we always have is the dollar and the dollar is implying oil prices and we've sort of rationalized that because historically the u.s. was such a huge importer and a much smaller producer of oil and gas and now we're a net exporter so we put the dollar to one side the second is we ran out of refining capacity and think, refining capacity is the primary demand for crude oil and then at the same time, as you mentioned, russia kept supplying oil and supplied more crude oil post-ukraine invasion than before, believe it or not. you didn't mention and i'm sure you're fully aware and the strategic petroleum reserve is being released a