professor when you heard about the conditions on the ground that peter ackerman was talking about, about role of leaders in the ukraine, are there the necessary preconditions for this not to end the way it has in the last two cycles? >> well, it may end temporarily that way, but i see ukraine's crisis as something that is reoccurring and not likely to go away, even if this particular episode is settled. i think right now the country seems to be on the brink, or has been on the brink of civil war because parts of the opposition have seized power in certain places. the regime was mobilizing its force in order to take back the area. and i think the reason why it backed off is that t military balked, and so yanukovych fired his minister of defense, but realized he didn't have the power to really crush this movement, so we're kind of at a stalemate at this point in time. and i don't see the leadership being united enough to overcome its differences in the long run, and i really think there is an issue about what happens to the extremists. they are mobilized, you know, some have -- have arms p