. >> peter kenny, thank you very much. >>> in dallas today, the federal reserve bank released a survey of businesses in the reenchen. and a plastics company said we wish we could receive some encouragement from the stalemate in congress. it's hurting the u.s. economy and it could affect the president's chances for re-election. john avlon, leslie sanchez and paul begala are with us. good to have all of you with us. john, let me start with you. a few good economic headlines, they come amidst an overall picture which is grim. they change sentiment, are headlines like this good holl day, not great jobs creation, but some jobs creation, enough to deliver him this election on a silver platter? >> not to deliver anyone on a silver platter. the trend -- if you look at overall, that's the important thing, the trend. when reagan, leading up to his landslide in 18984 had 8.5% unemployment at this dime. that's why it felt like morning in america. the fact that the economy seems to be stabilizing is a positive sign. this is not over until it's over. it's going to be a squeaker. >> one thing that co