how can we see this phillips curve? so ideally, what we would like is to have a very stable phillips curve so it doesn't move around and have deviations from the optimal targeting rule, some shocks to that optimal targeting rule. in that case, if we have demand shocks that move us along the phillips curve that are not offset by monetary policy, we'll be able to trace a right slope. this is easy to see in this simple model, but it goes through in a more complex quantitative setting that central banks are using as well. so just to summarize, in order to actually see the phillips curve in the data, we need to control for supply shocks. that's not simple and it's not sufficient. many shocks with the economy are part supply and part demand. and it's not sufficient because we need these demand shocks to move us along the supply relation or aggregate phillips curve and not offset by monetary policy or other policies. now, in practice economies, economists have used monetary policy shocks, deviations from optimal policy due to

yes, there's a flat phillips curve. but at least as important we've had decades of higher inequality, long-term real stagnation for middle and low wage workers, lots of people in places left behind and bargaining power deficits that are offset by full employment. i recently wrote a paper with keith bentley where we concluded that these change in dynamics should create a symmetry in the fed's reaction function to elevate the benefits of full employment and diminish the risks of inflationary pressures. i say that with recognition of janet's point that those risks haven't gone away and the flat phillips curve could be a problem on the other side if you're hit with persistent inflationary shocks. david miracle is an analyst from goldman sachs and he makes the same point. i only put that in there because he's -- you know, i'm sort of associated with the left side of the spectrum, so there's my point. here's an inflation analyst arguing that the tight labor market poses less risk today and policy makers can exploit the disinf

how can we see this phillips curve? so ideally, what we would like is to have a very stable phillips curve so it doesn't move around and have deviations from the optimal targeting rule, some shocks to that optimal targeting rule. in that case, if we have demand shocks that move us along the phillips curve that are not offset by monetary policy, we'll be able to trace a right slope. this is easy to see in this simple model, but it goes through in a more complex quantitative setting that central banks are using as well. so just to summarize, in order to actually see the phillips curve in the data, we need to control for supply shocks. that's not simple and it's not sufficient. many shocks with the economy are part supply and part demand. and it's not sufficient because we need these demand shocks to move us along the supply relation or aggregate phillips curve and not offset by monetary policy or other policies. now, in practice economies, economists have used monetary policy shocks, deviations from optimal policy due to

solving the because the national wage phillips curve remains alive and well.o how much variance does the labor market this explain anyway? this is a very simple exercise i think is hopefully somewhat revealing in the sense regress the ust change in core inflation, on inflation expectations, and then residual, so you net out the part of the variance that's explained by expectations, and then you do a olling regression on the residual using, the gap, so far we've only used cbo's, a mouse click away, there is that. start rate, and then you peeling off the r squares from how this slide shows you much of the variance in inflation does the labor market, or at least the unemployment gap explain? in recent years, it hasn't explained very much at all, but and this to climb up is very much consistent with her point it's not everything but and in fact, ther omething like 12% of the ariance is explained, and 12% of our time today should be spent talking about the labor market. his is the wore of what i wanted to talk about. these dynamics create an opportunity. flat phill

. >> the restoration wizard, callan "cal" phillips, born 1925.e spends his childhood working on the family wheat and potato farm in south-central idaho. cal serves in the pacific in world war ii, returns home to work on the family farm, gets married and raises six children, then gets divorced in the late 1960s. he remarries to marilyn hanshew, who has three children of her own, including sherri. it's like a blended brady bunch. >> it is. the blessing was, i got a great dad, and i got some really great stepsiblings, too. >> and, says sherri, her stepdad knows how to fix just about anything. >> you had to figure out how to fix that car or fix that engine or make it work because, obviously, time was money when it came to farming. >> in 1994, after half a century working the fields, 69-year-old cal phillips decides it's time to hang up his farmer's hat and begin sellling off his acre. >> he was tired. he knew that his health was not going to let him do the farming as he would have liked to have done. >> but rather than quietly slipping into retiremen

phillip? >> heartbreaking story gabe, thank you. >>> a dramatic escalation in president trump's war of words with democrats in the wake of the house's impeachment inquiry. in a late-night tweetstorm the president suggested, "what is taking place is not an impeachment. it is a coup, intended to take away the power of the people, their vote." well, we should point out a coup is a violent sudden seizure of power while impeachment is a process spelled out by the constitution >> meanwhile, house speaker nancy pelosi will meet with intelligence committee chairman adam schiff later today to talk about the investigation. nbc's peter alexander has more on the new questions surrounding the president's inner circle >> reporter: mike pompeo ignoring questions in italy. >> do you have any comment on reports you're on the july 25th call with president zelensky >> reporter: the secretary of state now caught up in the impeachment firestorm with new revelations he was on that july call where president trump as

this shocking footage shows pc phillips being knocked to the ground.stressing for us to show here. he was left fighting for his life. in a stolen police car, hussain hit speeds of up to 97 mph as he wove in and out of traffic. he eventually stopped here, and people came out of the shops, and passers—by joined in to try to restrain him. but he still wouldn't give up. get down on the floor! down! down on the floor, now! even with a gun pointed at him, hussain continued to try to escape, before finally surrendering. despite extensive injuries, pc phillips was able to walk into court today, watched by his wife and colleagues, his statement was read out on his behalf. i have to say that in all my years of policing, i have never known an incident have such a dramatic impact on staff, including myself. he wants to be able to return to work as a front line officer, but he may never fully recover. phil mackie, bbc news, birmingham. regulators have warned that the nhs in england is facing a perfect storm with increasing demand, staff shortages, and patients with

. >> the restoration wizard, callan "cal" phillips, born 1925.tral idaho. cal serves in the pacific in world war ii, returns home to work on the family farm, gets married and raises six children, then gets divorced in the late 1960s. he remarries to marilyn hanshew, who has three children of her own, including sherri. it's like a blended brady bunch. >> it is. the blessing was, i got a great dad, and i got some really great stepsiblings, too. >> and, says sherri, her stepdad knows how to fix just about anything. >> you had to figure out how to fix that car or fix that engine or make it work because, obviously, time was money when it came to farming. >> in 1994, after half a century working the fields, 69-year-old cal phillips decides it's time to hang up his farmer's hat and begin sellling off his acre. >> he was tired. he knew that his health was not going to let him do the farming as he would have liked to have done. >> but rather than quietly slipping into retirement, he surprises friends and family with news that he wants to try something com

i'm frances rivera >> and i'm phillip mena. a pivotal figure in the ukraine scandal will face congress today as part of the impeachment inquiry into president trump ambassador to the european union gordon sunlandt l position befo house committees meanwhile, president trump is railing against democrats after the emergence of a second whistle-blower nbc's tracie potts is in d.c. with the latest. and, tracie, on top of all of this, the house has also issued another round of subpoenas >> reporter: right, phillip. they want more evidence from th, from the secretary of defense about whether or not there was an attempt to withhold aid from ukraine in exchange for investigating joe biden. now, sunland, who you just saw, is set to talk to lawmakers today. they want answers about a series of text messages, including exchanges between sunland and another diplomat who was skeptical of this idea of withholding aid. in fact, in those text messages, you can see where sunland is defending the president saying that there was no quid pro quo of

this shocking footage shows pc phillips being knocked to the ground.w here. he was left fighting for his life. in a stolen police car, hussain hit speeds of up to 97 mph as he wove in and out of traffic. he eventually stopped here, and people came out of the shops, and passers—by joined in to try to restrain him. but he still wouldn't give up. get down on the floor! down! down on the floor, now! even with a gun pointed at him, so no mubashar hussain continued to try to escape, before finally surrendering. despite extensive injuries, pc phillips was able to walk into court today, watched by his wife and colleagues, his statement was read out on his behalf. i have to say that in all my years of policing, i have never known an incident have such a dramatic impact on staff, including myself. he wants to be able to return to work as a front line officer, but he may never fully recover. phil mackie, bbc news, birmingham. the judge at the infected blood inquiry has praised a witness for showing no trace of bitterness as she set out her "remarkable account" of

she is the greatest gymnast of all time "early today" starts right now >> good friday morning i'm phillip mena >> good to be with you i'm frances rivera >>> breaking news out of northern syria, tens of thousands of people are fleeing a growing war zone turkey has escalated its invasion into syria. turkish military have been shelling pounds and villages in air-strikes and ground attacks the scenes at local hospitals just devastating and civilians get caught in the cross fire the death toll continues to spike. so far over 100 kurdish fighters have been killed and nine civilians. joining us from iraq is bill neely. bill, the humanitarian crisis is exploding there in the region. >> reporter: yeah, francis, the latest figures from the u.n. are that 70,000 people have now fled remember, they said 60,000 had fled in the first day alone. we're now on day three there is heavy fighting so i think you can expect that to continue as you say, distressing scenes in hospitals i saw one image of a girl who had lost her leg, her 12-year-old brother had been killed so civilians are certainly suffering. the

i'm dara brown. >> i'm phillip mena. syria plunging into chaos. as turkish forces advance, president trump ordered a withdrawal of troops from northern syria 1,000 troops are set to evacuation meanwhile, fears of an isis resurgence grows as supporters escape from a detention camp joining us is matt bradley whatan you tell us about the u.s. withdrawal? >> reporter: you know, it is surprising how unsurprising all of this is it is very rare that the worst predictions come true in such fast form. that's exactly what we're seeing first of all, the troop withdrawal, they're calling it a withdrawal, the u.s. government. it looks a little more like a retreat. one of the things that precipitated all of this was the near attack by turkish forces, artillery firing near a u.s. base, which almost actually struck the u.s. base that, obviously, would have created a massive international incident because, of course, turkey is a nato ally. turkey has also taken control of the highway, the main artery from east syria to west syria. that's

lauren was a place junior doctor lauren phillips was ever seen.ed musician, and her car was found attached abandoned on the coast. her body has never been found. attached abandoned on the coast. her body has never been foundlj attached abandoned on the coast. her body has never been found. i think she felt it was a privilege to be a doctor. she really wanted to do a job that could make a difference, and that she could help people. for former nhs manager andrea graham, the pain of losing her daughter is ever present. nowhere more so than here, where she was last seen. and year is not alone in her grief. 0ne doctor in every three weeks takes their own life in this country. in 2016, the year before lauren phillips disappeared, junior doctors went on strike in protest at government changes to their working hours and pay. laurenjoined the picket lines and posted about her fears for the nhs. she felt that the new contract was unfair and wrong and infile new contract was unfair and wrong and in file —— and new contract was unfair and wrong and infile ——

who took these tiny men with no court jesters under phillip the 9th in the hole but he doesn't paint them ridiculous the asshole us and i was this is a portrait where the last because it takes people as seriously as rembrandt on the sets both artists have in common is that they are both great portrait chests as you pirate it was i think it was the distance into. dimensions with our sister. both painters represent the golden years of the countries in the 17th century the recurrent themes of power love or faith and of course realism are woven through both men's works the artists meet at our level they do it differently but they both make their mark equally as strongly the exhibition also juxtapose its works of other dutch and spanish artists of the same period but no other comparison is as exciting as that between rembrandt and velasquez both revolutionized the art of the time previous and goes for us because we know that the last case was the friend of the king in this respect he had many freedoms and month on the other hand there was rembrandt to also felt obligations to the rich peo

for now, i'm joined by phillip bump a political reporter with the "washington post," paul butler is a former federal prosecutor and elise jordan is a former bush administration aide in the white house and the state department. thanks to all of you for being with us. yamiche, let me start with you, with the news we lead the show with tonight, a second whistleblower emerging, our reporting here at nbc suggesting this is someone who says they have more information about that phone call, that july phone call between trump and the ukrainian president. what do you know about this and what the white house is preparing for here? >> well, i've been e-mailing with the attorney for these now two whistleblowers and what we see here is the president really his push back on this first whistleblower really falling apart. the president initially saying the whistleblower had the complete facts of the call wrong. he then said this person had secondhand knowledge and none of what he was saying was true. now we have a second whistleblower coming forward saying i actually have firsthand knowledge. we now

we've been watching what is happening with phillip reeker. and you've seen one republican so far that has gone for this deposition. do we expect this to finish soon? >> we do think that it's actually winding down. that it should finish at least in the next couple hours. but we're getting a few details that are emerging from what is being said behind closed doors. what we know is that phillip reeker did talk about the ouster of the well-respected ukrainian ambassador, marie yovanovitch. that's according to a source very close with his testimony. we're also hearing that he also discussed about the role of mike pompeo. and that he also talked about the three amigos and those are energy secretary rick perry, eu ambassador sondland, and special envoy volker. these are the three people that were put in place from the -- by the administration -- after yovanovitch was ousted and recalled back to the united states. and they are the shadow state department that was starting to run ukraine policy for the united states. so as we are hearing a little bit

political editor of the sunday mirror and sunday people, nigel nelson and the political commentator, jo phillips

what people have put on the right-hand side typically is the phillips curve. what i've done instead is plugged the wage inflation using the employment cost index which is the blue line and the gdp price which for the purposes of thinking about mark-ups is clearly much better value than the cpi and this is what we produce and basically, it's visually striking which is that although we saw from the previous graph that the wage inflation was kind of okay. the philips curve was okay and there doesn't seem to be much of a violation with the gdp price deflator and the employment cost index and it's the disconnect. people have talked about the -- it's true. there's a lot of variation that -- that in the price index which is not coming from the cost index. these two dimensions. so starting there, my reactions today, so i think the first puzzle is the slope of a relation between wage inflation and unemployment and on this, i think, we're not clear as to where the slope has really declined or not. my sense from our own regressions is that it has, but somebody argued tha

phillip? >> all right, gabe, thank you. >> the justice department is now sharing the results of an elaborate fbi sting operation. a man in california has been arrested and charged with working as a foreign agent for china's intelligence service the multi-year probe is providing a new look at u.s. efforts to crackdown on spies living and working among us. nbc's cynthia mcfadden had this report >> reporter: edward pong is in custody, a naturalized american citizen who worked as a tour guide in san francisco despite receiving a degree in mechanical engineering in china. >> the chinese are the number one intelligence threat to the united states right now. >> reporter: no question >> no question the russians are up there for sure, but the chinese are number one. and they are also the number one threat in the political espionage context. >> reporter: the criminal complaint reads like a spy thriller, complete with dead drops and code words beginning back in march of 2015, when the fbi launched an ela

is tracie potts tracie, good morning >> reporter: phillip, good morning. so nbc confirmed overnight as this news developed that this review by the justice department of how the russia investigation began has now itself turned into a full-blown criminal investigation. and in the last few hours, we have already started to see reaction to that from the democrats who are heading the committees in the impeachment inquiry. they released a statement, a joint statement overnight, saying that these reports, if true, raise profound new concerns that the department of justice under attorney general william barr has lost its independence and become a vehicle for president trump's political revenge. they go on to say that this criminal investigation of how the russia probe got started could be an attempt to try to help the president win reelection here on capitol hill there is thoughts it could be an attempt to distract from the ongoing impeachment inquiry. that continues tomorrow. on the weekend, with testimony from another career diplomat, as republicans continue to

woolacombe bay in devon, the last place junior dr lauren phillips was ever seen.ndoned on the coast. i think she felt it was a privilege to be a doctor and she really wanted to do a job that could make a difference and that she could help people. for former nhs manager andrea graham, the pain of losing her daughter is ever—present. and nowhere more so than here, where she was last seen. of losing her daughter is ever—present. and nowhere more so than here, where she was last seen. but andrea is not alone in her grief. 0ne doctor every three weeks takes their own life in this country. in 2016, the year before lauren phillips disappeared, junior doctors went on strike in protest at government changes to their working hours and pay. lauren joined the picket lines and posted about her fears for the nhs. she felt that the new contract was just unfair and wrong and ill—founded and was going to badly affect patient care. so i wasn't surprised to see it. i was proud of her actually being willing to stand up and be counted, to speak up for junior doctors. i know that laure

. >> and i'm phillip mena. syria plunging into total chaos as turkish forces advance, president trump has ordered a withdrawal of u.s. forces from northern syria the defense secretary says about a thousand troops are set to evacuate meanwhile, fears of an isis resurgence grows after isis supporters escaped from a detention cap. joining us is matt bradley what more can you tell us about the withdrawal >> phillip, they're call it a withdrawal it kind of looks like a retreat because the turks have managed to take over the m4 highway, that's complicated the withdrawal u.s. forces are going to have to find a way to get out of there without stepping on the toes of the turks who they have allowed to essentially make that incursion, which is causing this very, very -- i would have said slow motion humanitarian catastrophe, but it's actually really picked up in the last couple of days we're now talking about well more than 100,000 internally displaced people who are now leaving their homes, trying to avoid that bloody t

i'm frances rivera >> i'm phillip mena.ur actor james spader will talk coming up on the third hour actor james spader will talk look! a door to another dimen... oh, no, just a bag. train insane, or remain the same. phew! we'll never totally figure them out. but we do know what makes them happy. meow mix. forty years and still the only one cats ask for by name. >>> good morning to you. it is friday. it is october 4th. that means it's 10-4 little buddy. everything is going to be okay. looking live at the bay bridge this morning. thank you for joining us. >> i'm marcus washington. happy to be on a friday. >> i had a s but it's almost worse. >> yeah. >> right. >> whatever. >>> first world problems. take another look outside this morning. a cold

phillip: for the landlords, of course we are seeing rental income.scountsot being offered, but what we are seeing is the discounts landlords are offering is for the time when the mall is closed. they are not offering it across the board, it's not someone saying my sales are bad because of the protests. they are saying new close for two days and we will give you a discount related to those two days. i think that's a reasonable offer and limited in scope. rental leases are assigned for three years. i think the impact will not be as big as people think. yvonne: even with the mortgage lending restrictions or the limits that were changed, you said it was a bit of a surprise and that's why we are seeing stocks rally. how much did that spur homebuyer demand? it's not the mortgage rules that are hurting buyers, it is the property prices. isllip: the mortgage change not the change from the bank, it's from what loans are eligible from mortgage insurance. from the banks perspective, the risk is unchanged. what this does is essentially act as a secondary mortgag

. >> and i'm phillip mena. it is a holiday on capitol hill, but there is no break for the house impeachment inquiry into president trump. a former aide on russia and europe is expected to testify before lawmakers today, and later this week, the u.s. ambassador to the european union is in the hot seat after initially refusing to comply with the subpoena. meanwhile, joe biden's son is also breaking his silence after coming under fire from the president. nbc's kelly o'donnell has the latest >> reporter: after the president's repeated taunting -- >> whatever happened to hunter >> reporter: joe biden fighting back >> no one has asserted my son did a single thing wrong no one has asserted that i have done any wrong, except a lying president. >> reporter: and for the first time biden's son hunter is also speaking out through his attorney about hisnternational business ties that have been weaponized by president trump. hunter's announcements an attempt to blunt those attacks, first cutting ties to a chinese investment

dr lauren phillips‘ body has never been found. i don't have anywhere to go to grieve for lauren.a more beautiful place to be and to think about lauren. marie ashby reporting, and you can see more on that story on inside out, south west, at 07.30 on monday and later, on the bbc iplayer. the us secretary of defence says all remaining american troops in northern syria are expected to be relocated to iraq. turkey has been carrying out an offensive against kurdish forces in northern syria following president trump's decision to withdraw us forces from the border region. a temporary ceasefire has been declared but both turkey and the kurds have accused each other of breaches. it's reported that up to 300,000 people have fled their homes since the offensive started. our correspondent barbara plett usher is in turkey and spoke to me earlier... we are in day three now of the ceasefire which is actually a temporary halt to the turkish offensive into these areas just across the border in syria. they stopped the offensive in order to give the kurdish fighters a chance to withdraw 30 kilometr

dr lauren phillips' body has never been found. i don't have anywhere to go to grieve for lauren.o think about lauren. marie ashby reporting — and you can see more on that story on inside out south west at 7.30pm on monday and later on the bbc iplayer. parliamentary elections in switzerland have seen a big rise in support for green parties. according to projections the two swiss green parties are expected to have taken a combined 20% of the vote. the right—wing swiss people's party, which historically dominates swiss politics, saw its support drop by a projected 3%. our correspondent imogen foukes has been analysing the impact these results could have on the country's government. the swiss can see the glaciers melting a dull pain communities threatened by rock and mud slides. today voters took those concerns to the ballot box and many of them voted green. projected results, we expect switzerland's green parties two together have about 20% of the vote and they will be a significant force in politics and could even challenge for the seat and government. the traditionally very succes

paola: tenemos detalles sobre dÓnde se encuentra esta refinerÍa, estÁ a lado de la phillips 66, en elontra costa. una zona principalmente industrial. ramÓn: estas son imÁgenes captadas por los conductores de la autopista, al percatarse de la explosiÓn. paola: imÁgenes impresionantes, las describen como apocalÍpticas. claramente se ve cÓmo el fuego cobra fuerza y provoca tambiÉn estallidos. ramÓn: tenemos cobertura de equipo. julio poletti nos habla de las consecuencias de riesgo que puede tener para la salud respirar el aire contaminado, producto de las llamas. paola: asÍ es, suheily lÓpez con la ventana al tiempo nos dice de las partÍculas que contienen este humo. ramÓn: carla farÍas pospone en contexto lo que ocurriÓ con este incendio. en vivo,adelante carla. carla: esta se produjo antes de las 2:00 p.m. provocÓ un aparatoso incendio en dos tanques de combustible. ademÁs del cierre de la carretera i 80 durante una alerta de emisiÓn de partÍculas contaminantes en el aire. recordemos lo que se viviÓ en la tarde. en ese servicio la planta de combustible, aledaÑa a la refinerÍa phillips

dr lauren phillips' body has never been found. i don't have anywhere to go to grieve for lauren. about lauren. marie ashby reporting, and you can see more on that story on inside out south west at 7:30 on monday and later on the bbc iplayer. the longest nonstop commercial passenger flight has landed successfully in sydney. the qantas plane took just over 19 hours to fly direct from new york. the airline is considering whether to begin regular nonstop flights between the cities, and it's enlisted the help of university researchers to find out how such a long flights affect passengers and crew. the duke and duchess of cambridge have paid a second visit to a children's village in lahore in pakistan, after thunderstorms prevented their return flight to islamabad. it's understood that the duchess was particularly keen to return to the organisation, which supports more than 150 orphans in boarding homes. after a quick game of cricket, william and kate were given friendship bracelets — a pink one for the duchess and a blue one for the duke. now it's time for a look at the weather with d

dr lauren phillips‘ body has never been found. i don't have anywhere to go to grieve for lauren.to be a more beautiful place to be and to think about lauren. marie ashby reporting, and you can see more on that story on inside out, south west at 7:30 on monday and later on the bbc iplayer. the headlines on bbc news: the government says it's determined to press ahead with efforts to approve borisjohnson's brexit plan, even though he's been forced to ask for an extension to the deadline. a double murder investigation has begun after two 17—year—old boys were stabbed to death late last night in milton keynes. further violence on the streets of hong kong as police fire tear gas at demonstrators marching in defiance of a police ban the us secretary of defence says all remaining american troops in northern syria are expected to be relocated to iraq. turkey has been carrying out an offensive against kurdish forces in northern syria following president trump's decision to withdraw us forces from the border region. a temporary ceasefire has been declared but both turkey and the kurds have

dr lauren phillips‘ body has never been found. i don't have anywhere to go to grieve for lauren.ce to be and to think about lauren. marie ashby reporting — and you can see more on that story on inside out, south west, at 07.30 on monday and later, on the bbc iplayer. the us secretary of defence says all remaining american troops in northern syria are expected to be relocated to iraq. turkey has been carrying out an offensive against kurdish forces in northern syria following president trump's decision to withdraw us forces from the border region. a temporary ceasefire has been declared but both turkey and the kurds have accused each other of breaches. it's reported that up to 300,000 people have fled their homes since the offensive started. president trump has said he is abandoning his plan to host the 2020 g7 summit at his florida golf resort. it comes after democrats said the decision was evidence of the president misusing his office for personal gain. from washington chris buckler reports. white house officials said that they knew there would be criticism when they announced t

dr lauren phillips' body has never been found. i don't have anywhere to go to grieve for lauren.k about lauren. marie ashby reporting — and you can see more on that story on inside out south west at 7:30 on monday and later on the bbc iplayer. the longest nonstop commerical passenger flight has landed successfully in sydney. the qantas plane tookjust over 19 hours to fly direct from new york. the airline is considering whether to begin regular nonstop flights between the cities, and it's enlisted the help of university researchers to find out how such a long flights affect passengers and crew. alanjoyce is the ceo of qantas. this is part of project sunrise and the first of three test flights that is going to come up with recommendations of how we manage pilot fatigue, how we actually manage passengerjet lag, and after 19 hours on the flight, i think we've gotten this right. the duke and duchess of cambridge have paid a second visit to a children's village in lahore in pakistan after thunderstorms prevented their return flight to islamabad. it's understood that the duchess was par

what are they talking about doing about it, phillip? >> well, the strategy right now is to just try to be quiet. >> duck and run? >> duck and run pretty much. you ask, you know, rank and file republican senator these days at the capitol to respond to these things and they'll give you some variation of an answer that basically says i might be a juror in the senate trial. i'm not going to engage and answer that question. i want to wait and see all the facts come forward. but behind the scenes, these folks are very concerned because they know that they're ultimately going to probably have to make a choice between their conscience and a political calculation because trump remains so popular with republican voters. they're fearful of voting to convict him even if they feel like the facts warrant that measure. >> you know, i found it interesting that just as a former white house chief of staff john kelly said in an interview over the weekend that he warned the president not to replace him. kelly, a sycophant. has been a constant target from g

phillip reeker testifying in front of the three house committees. are we learning anything more about this subpoena, the circumstances? was he originally just invited, refused or sent a signal that he might not come and they had to then subpoena? explain the sequence of events. >> reporter: yeah, so phillip reeker received a subpoena as part of his deposition today. this is the same procedure that we have seen for all of the current administration officials who have testified so far. the committees are interested in talking to reeker because he could potentially help corroborate some of the previous testimony they've had. reeker worked with george kent and kurt volker, two of the witnesses that have already testified on ukraine policy and he was part of the effort to try to shield former u.s. ambassador to ukraine, marie yovanovitch in terms of who was fired back in april. he was trying to stop her from the campaign being led by rudy giuliani to smear her and so he's part of their emails that he was sending to kent and volker to protect her from tha

joe johns, abby phillip, thank you. you're still seeing live pictures.ding the first housewide vote in the impeachment inquiry. this to determine the rules going forward including granting rights and privileges to republicans such as rights to call their own witnesses and having the president's lawyers have a right to question witnesses. we'll stay on top of that debate and bring you the vote shortly as it comes. please stay with us. newest signal. -mobile's no signal goes farther or is more reliable. so you can get more out of the new iphone. better battery life, new ultra-wide camera. and at t-mobile get unlimited for only $30/line for 4 lines on a network that goes farther than ever before. and right now, switch at a t-mobile store and get the new iphone 11 on us! only at t-mobile. what's the time? device: a dime is ten cents. severe cold or flu? take control with theraflu. powerful, soothing relief to defeat your worst cold and flu symptoms fast. device: (sneezes) theraflu. the power is in your hands. listening and observing for scientists at 3m. one

phillips: thank you, madam speaker. i yield myself as much time as i may consume for the purpose of closing. i thank the gentleman from florida, my good friend, ted owe ho, for your remarks as well -- yoho, for your remarks as well. i urge my colleagues to support this important, bipartisan bill which allows america to compete on the world stage. as i said before, representation starts with listening. if we pass this bill, we will have shown the american people that democrats and republicans can put their differences aside, listen to their constituents, and get something done. i yield the balance of my time. the speaker pro tempore: the gentleman yields. the question is, will the house suspend the rules and pass the bill h.r. 4842 as amended. those in favor say aye. those opposed, no. in the opinion of the chair, 2/3 being in the affirmative, the rules are suspended, the bill is passed, and without objection the motion to reconsider is laid n the table. the chair will now entertain requests for one-minute peeches. for w

bob phillips with carson wealth. much have a great weekend. >> thank you. >>> and up next, the b business reason that streaming companies want releases on the big screen. first. ♪ ♪ >>> and finally tonight, another first for apple. the company is a releasing movie in theaters today. on the streaming service.able but apple isn't alone.in julia boorstells us why the battle for streaming is starting in the theaters. >> here you are. enjoy. >> m nie theaters are the barmgd for the streaming giants. to draw sscribers and content creators. because you need movies on the big screen to qualify for. awar apple's major documentary elephant queen opens today in ten cities in u.s. and uk before included in apple tv plus november 1st launch the film drawing arrive which apple assured a highlight to proposals in the new service. this is one of three apple releases in fal followed by indy feature hala ii november and drama, the bank ner december. amazon is release be five films and netflixt0 films, the m er in the key fall season.

dr lauren phillips‘ body has never been found. i don't have anywhere to go to grieve for lauren.o think about lauren. marie ashby reporting — and you can see more on that story on inside out, south west, at 07.30 on monday and later, on the bbc iplayer. you're watching breakfast from bbc news, time now for a look at the newspapers. let's look at the front pages. "the house of fools" is the headline in the mail on sunday, referring to the decision made in the commons yesterday to approve the letwin ammendment and further delay brexit. the telegraph reports on borisjohnson's decision not to sign the letter sent to eu leaders asking for a further delay to when we leave the eu. it also refers to another letter the prime minister has sent to donald tusk in which he says a futher delay would be "deeply corrosive." the observer says mrjohnson could face "fresh court action"after rejecting a delay to brexit — it also features a photo of crowds of pro—eu protestors in westminster yesterday. and the sunday mirror refers to saturday's commons drama with one word — humiliated — saying there

political editor of the sunday mirror and sunday people, nigel nelson and the political commentator, jo phillipsf tomorrow's front pages are already in. the telegraph says ministers are discussing plans which could see borisjohnson veto the eu's seven—year budget and send a euro—sceptic commissioner to brussels if the prime minister is forced into a brexit delay. the observer leads on a claim that leading tabloid newspapers targetted prince harry and his friends over many years. the express carries a warning from the prime minister that he'll take the uk out of the eu on october 31st — unless brussels agrees to a compromise deal. and the mail on sunday goes with the duchess of sussex's father explaining why he made parts of a private letter from his daughter public. a flavour of some of the headlines and we start with brexit, as ever. laughter you are just the man to ta ke laughter you are just the man to take us to the sunday telegraph and the suggestion that borisjohnson is about to start playing dirty. he has been playing it fairly dirty so far but now he's virtually declaring war on the eu.

i'm phillip mena. >> i'm frances rivera. we begin with breaking news. nearly 200,000 people have been ordered to evacuate in california this doorbell video shows a family frantically leaving their santa clarita neighborhood l.a. county officials say at least 26 homes were destroyed as the tick fire burned more acres in southern california in the north, hurricane force wind gusts fanned the flames of the kincade fire in wine country. this video was taken by a firefighter who said this is the most aggressive fire he ever worked, and the winds reached 95 miles per hour there jennifer is in napa, california. is there any hope of getting this under control soon? >> reporter: yeah, frances, unfortunately, they are not even expected to put a containment line around this fire until november the 7th as you mentioned, yes, it is an evacuation of historic proportions. 200,000 people chased out of their homes because of fire and many sleeping in emergency shelters like the one behind me. in northern california, fire is racing across the landscape. >> i can report t

the empirical phillips curve looks like it is zero, but the structural phillips curve could still beve and well. i think that is a very tangible thing. alix: bullard joked that the debate reminded him of a fed policy discussion. i feel like for economists, that was probably the liveliest you will get for debate on the phillips curve. coming up on this program, the democrats take the debate stage and take aim at big tech, health care, and more. we will discuss how to hedge risk in the 2020 election cycle. we are a little bit weaker, with bank of america delivering solid margins. this is bloomberg. ♪ everyone uses their phone differently. that's why xfinity mobile lets you design your own data. you can share 1, 3, or 10 gigs of data between lines, mix in lines of unlimited, and switch it up at any time. all with millions of secure wifi hotspots and the best lte everywhere else. it's a different kind of wireless network, designed to save you money. switch and save up to $400 a year on your wireless bill. plus, get $250 back when you buy an eligible phone. that's simple. easy. awesome. c

into these tiny men with no court jesters under phillip the 9 but he doesn't paint them because dick jealously at all us and always this is a portrait where the last because it takes people as seriously as rembrandt does and i know that's what both artists have in common is that they are both great portrait chests it was not if you put the distance into the writer. dimensions what artist or. both painters represent the golden years of the countries in the 17th century the recurrent themes of power love or faith and of course realism are woven through both men's works the artists meet our level they do it differently but they both make their mark equally as strongly the exhibition also juxtaposes works of other dutch and spanish artists of the same period but no other comparison is as exciting as that between rembrandt and velasquez both revolutionized the art of 3rd time business for us because we know that the last kiss was the friend of the king in this respect he had many freedoms and month on the other hand there was rembrandt to also felt obligations to the rich people who gave

a serious situation with response units from chevron, shell, marathon, phillips, they all work in that area. they all have incidents from time to time and they help each other out at a time like this. >> they all have their own resources because this is a very specialized and dangerous work. refining ethanol and these products is dangerous and complicated. all these facilities have their o firefighting efforts before calling city and county which then race to the scene as well. you're looking at the left side of your screen. i-80 will be closed until at least 11:30 in both directions from highway 4 to the carquinez bridge. that's a big area that will be out of commission for commuters all night tonight. >> in fact, we're looking at a stretch of freeway where they're diverting traffic off of i-80. you can get on 4, but can't get on i-80 towards the scene of the fire. >> if you look to the right of your screen and see the tank that's collapsed and burped, the smoke has clearly diminished in the last five or six minutes. not nearly as much smoke is coming off this fire at the nustar facil

thanks for waking up with us i'm frances rivera. >> and i'm phillip mena.today, an exclusive look at an all femal >>> a weekend tweet storm from president trump. who is on the offensive as a second whistle-blower with firsthand knowledge is made known in the impeachment inquiry. >>> deadly twist just days after a dallas cop was convicted of killing an unarmed black man in his own apartment, a dkey witness in that case is shot and killed. the murderer is still on the loose. >>> drone hunters. we'll take you inside a sting operation that took place at the world's largest hot air balloon festival. >>> former president jimmy carter injured in a fall we have the latest. >>> surprising week five in the nfl. we have all the highlights >>> plus, the fall classic is in swing with do or die games

down the street to the white house where we find cnn's abby phillip. we've not seen president trump in public. he's made his presence enfelt on twitter. >> reporter: loud and clear and attacking this whistle-blower. this morning sending a tweet that is misleading at best. it said, so if the so-called whistle-blower has all secondhand information and almost everything he's said about my perfect call with the ukrainian president is wrong, why aren't we entitled to interview and learn everything about the whistle-blower and also the person who gave him false information? but the problem is that yesterday there was an extraordinary letter coming from the inspector general of the intelligence community, michael atkinson, who the president appointed that pushed back on that very narrative. here's what the inspector general wrote. the whistle-blower stated on the form that he or she possessed both firsthand and other information. the icig reviewed the information provided as well as other information gathered and determined that the complaint was both urgent