i think that was a plausible view in 1993 and plausible view in many places and many times. at the current moment when ten-year real interest rate is zero, and price earnings ratios are at extraordinarily high levels, very high levels -- not extraordinarily high levels, very high levels, by historical standards, i don't find that line of thought to be particularly compelling as a way to understand fluctuations in investment going forward. >> yes. over there. >> bonnie, i'm in the investment business. to mr. barro, this is to some extent a variation on this question. that link that mr. summers doesn't see i think is provided by alan greenspan on the subject of confidence. you mention simpson-bowles, and that's why i'm addressing this to you. i think what greenspan would say, if you look at the lack of investment, it's all in long-term assets, not the stock market which is perceived as a short-term investment. long-term investment. then he says when you look at the situation with the budget deficit and projected budget deficits, which are an order of magnitude higher than they

i do not think that fiscal restraint is plausibly a major growth promotion strategy at a moment when interest rates are effectively zero. and it was reasonable to think of fiscal restraint as a central growth strategy in 1993 when capital costs were high and plausibly were what was holding back investment. i think you can -- i think there's a very good debate to be had about the respective role of public investment and reduction of barriers to private investment. i think that, obviously, one has to pay attention to long run fiscal sustainability. but i would tell you that i think if we are successful as a country in raising the growth rate to anything like 3%, there will be a strong tendency for these fiscal problems to melt away as the economy grows out of them. almost regardless of what we do in terms of fiscal packages. and if we are not successful and and the underlying growth rate of the economy remains in the 1, 1.5 to 2% range, i think we're likely to be preoccupied with questions of long-run fiscal health almost no heart what fiscal packages -- no matter what fiscal packages

i would call it a plausible chance.gain, those are the three biggest prizes among be battleground states on the map as we see it now. eithernlikely that candidate is going to pick up all three, it were he to do so, yes, he could still piece together a win. charlie: either candidate is going to pick up from what i understand, he is behind in north carolina but ahead in ohio and florida. the florida number is very much in dispute. the clinton campaign disputes the washington post/abc poll, the tracking poll, that showed donald trump up by one, but certainly the direction that clinton' is believe there has been eroding, and it is essentially a tie there in florida. molly: it is still the case that in those three big states, trump has to win all of the other states, including places he has fallen further behind him, like colorado, and then he asked to pull states that have not been swing states in the past, like arizona, and hillary clinton is campaigning this week to perhaps the strategy last week to play off it very aggre

amendment, senators were at least formally chosen by state legislatures, and you could make a halfway plausible argument that the senate had something to do with protecting federalism. because you could construct a story whereby senators would worry about keeping their jobs, to keep their jobs they would have to have the goodwill of state legislators, and this meant that they would have to be concerned with protecting the progress thetives of state government -- prerogatives of state government, things like that. once senators are popularly elected, they don't need to worry about state government. what they worry about is bringing home the bacon. and so from my perspective, the modern senate is nothing more than an affirmative action program for the residents of small states. and i think that of all of the affirmative action programs in the country,s this is probably the least defensible. but, yes. i mean, to go back to your initial question, i think americans have at times the most ridiculous veneration for the constitution, far more so than framers themselves who recognized that they were --

amendment, senators were at least formally chosen by state legislatures, and you could make a halfway plausible argument that the senate had something to do with protecting federalism. because you could construct a story whereby senators would worry about keeping their jobs, to keep their jobs they would have to have the goodwill of state legislators, and this meant that they would have to be concerned with protecting the progress thetives of state government -- prerogatives of state government, things like that. once senators are popularly elected, they don't need to worry about state government. what they worry about is bringing home the bacon. and so from my perspective, the modern senate is nothing more than an affirmative action program for the residents of small states. and i think that of all of the affirmative action programs in the country,s this is probably the least defensible. but, yes. i mean, to go back to your initial question, i think americans have at times the most ridiculous veneration for the constitution, far more so than framers themselves who recognized that they were --

i would call it a plausible chance. again, those are the three biggest prizes among the battleground states on the map as we see it now. it's unlikely either candidate is going to pick up all three, but were he to do so, yeah, he could still piece together a win. >> rose: right now, according to what i understand, he's ahead in ohio and florida but behind in north carolina. is that correct? >> that's right. and the florida number is very much in dispute. the clinton campaign disputes "the washington post" abc tracking poll that came out yesterday that showed trump up by 1 in florida, but certainly the direction has been -- that clinton's lead has been eroding and it's essentially a tie in florida. >> rose: molly? it's still the case that in addition to those three big states, trump basically has to run the table of all the other swing states including place where is he's fallen further behind like colorado, then hold states that haven't been swing states in the last like arizonay hillary clinton is campaigning this week

i think it's a plausible narrative. >> it's plausible. but like a lot of things donald trump says, he's just pulling it out of the air. it's entirely possible there is social shaping. but i have seen plenty of left-leaning beltway journalists going, i'm coming out of the closet for my support of hillary clinton. so i think -- kennedy: do you think it's harder to be a hillary or trump supporter. >> depend on where you live. there are parts of this country that don't like diversity of opinion. kennedy: if you did a facebook experiment and created two sued numbers and said i like donald trump. i think he's great and did the same thing under another fake name other than hillary clinton, who would get more feed. >> there are self-described deplorables who are willing to let their flag fly. kennedy: donald trump has vocal supporters. i talked to eric bolling earlier today and said what do you think of the new florida poll that 28% of republicans are voting for hillary clinton in until a 25% going for trump. he said that's the malarkey nonsense.

. >> and you are saying it is plausible for trump to win north carolina and florida obviously. a democrats would say wait she leads in both states after a few tough days. so is it a trend? >> these are just two of the toughest states in american politics. back to florida in 2012. this is our 2016 map which we'll fill on tuesday. but this is the closest state in 50-49 between obama and romney in 2012. a very competitive state. hillary clinton is ahead right now. they think early voting especially among latinos will help then but it is entirely plausible to think donald trump could still win florida. if you are down one or two then you are in the hunt in the final days. a tough state for democrats, for anybody. competitive. north carolina, same thing. remember obama won in 80. -- '08. romney in 2012. close. and the early voting so far african american turnout is down. so you would have to say north carolina is in play as well. yes a slight advantage for clinton. she has more money and a better organization we believe but they are definitely in play without a doubt. >> and hillary

the argument was plausible if we just take up the americans of the chaos we have to do it together and that was the legal theory notwithstanding the restrictions on combat. >> so your story of ford and the is where we favor transparency your clarity the choice that the framers made it is this an area where the rules are helpful quick. >> and if i was a lawyer in the government it is where you wish it was not fake then you would not have to do very much it would be a lot easier. but i also thought that, it is a virtue that is unappreciated in the well functioning system. think about what kind of choices one would make if don't know exactly the dimensions of the national security crisis and you have rules and indians reduce selector rule that says you could do a lot or very little? opposed you say i don't know which? if you say you can do a lot that may be too much but very little could be too little power. if you just love to open in the basic instruction was like my father would give me don't stay out too late. [laughter] it is hard to violate and hard to comply. >> is father was a law

what i was told is, 2020 earliest, 2024 is more plausible . this person made a comparison with california. have a large, you growing latino population that typically tends to be in urban areas. then you have really, really employeeepublican unions that are more than happy to spend money on voter registration, localization -- mobilization, all of that. in texas the latino vote is much more spread out and in rural, small towns. you do not have the financial infrastructure that california democrats had in texas. as a result it is going to lag the curve. it will be on a completely different trajectory in nalifornia was -- tha california was. arizona might be in the middle, so it is foolish to expect them to behave exactly like california. he, 187?h where was it really alienated latino , it got generation ago worse and worse and worse. look at what mitt romney did it to rick perry, where he tried to take a moderate position on immigration and romney just killed him with it. republicans have not paid in the way keep wilson had in california in 80's

but now new hampshire and maine, those are plausible now. they're plausible. >> yes, but look, just to go to the clinton campaign, they did a conference call today where they talked about early vote. and they look at the early vote numbers in florida, and look at the early vote numbers in north carolina, and they say, we're on track to win those states. and if they win either one of them, no trump presidency. unless he somehow wins michigan. >> i agree. the big five is the big five for a reason. all right. excuse me. that is the current state of the race. now let's take a look at the end game. there are just four news cycles left until america pix its next president. between now and then, hillary clinton and donald trump are going to crisscross america, landing in as many states as they can. there are probably going to be a few states added to this list before the final events, but here is what we know so far about their schedules. tomorrow, saturday, clinton and trump are going to be in florida. trump also goes to north carolina, nevada, or

it's entirely plausible if you look at the, a better way proposal, to see your way towards them being able to cover people. listen, i am -- i'll acknowledge that a better way is not crystal clear. you can't see everything there. i realize it's sort of looking at ink blots. is that an owl? is it a volkswagen beatle? is it a late enrollment penalty? but if it is more like a late enrollment penalty accide, theno intend to cause coverage. i don't immediately give away millions and millions of coverage just because republicans say they want to do something different. >> want to jump in there, cindy? >> sure. you know, i agree that nobody has been campaigning on eliminating coverage for people. and so i would agree with rodney about that, which is why i start with the focus on, let's look at that 20 million people as well as the people on employer-sponsored coverage and make sure we don't go backwards, and let's hold everybody accountable to that. if they don't invest some dollars, for example, whether it's stabilization of mark marketplace or affordability of tax credits or whatever other

do you not think that that's plausible? >> absolutely. let me talk about syria because it's a good example. on the surface, american policy has been to overthrow the assad regime but in practice it actually hasn't been that at all. the united states blocked anti-aircraft weaponry and anti-tank weaponry until 2013 to the rebels. i was in syria talking to people resisting against the assad regime at the time, and they're desperate for weapons to defend themselves against the genocidal onslaught from bashar al assad. and what changed the calculus in 2013 was the rise of isis. then the u.s. started , in fits and starts, to send weapons or allow weapons from qatar and saudi to the syrian rebels. but to fight isis mostly. and even to this day, in fact today, president obama -- it was in "the washington post" today, i believe, that obama directed the pentagon to increase the targeting against one of the -- the al qaeda franchise in syria whom is an integral in the rebel movement. it's also a major opponent to assad. objectively what's happened i

>> it's plausible when you think about u.s.erage, even though, as i see it, america's leverage with its major trade partners, even when you put them all together in the form of the tra tra transpacific partnership is sizable. what he is concerned about, i think rightly so, is maximizing that leverage and going bilateral would accomplish that goal. >> already china stepped in to fill the void, talking about a regional pan-asian trade deal, talking with partners like korea and japan. should the u.s. not feel threatened and not feel that it's going to get left out of a major chunk of the global economy in terms of commerce? >> i think china is blowing so much smoke. it's amazing to me how many presumable nknowledgeable americans haven before falling for the idea that china could lead the world and east asia when it comes to trade. the problem is china's consumption levels and import levels are so low, and china's trade barriers are so high. china still relies on a massive trade surplus for its growth. there's no subs tight ftitute

. >> wow, that is insane and scientifically very plausible. >> going with science. >> i'm wondering if the vibration is causing, like, the camera itself to magnify that. i have a hard time believing that it truly is deforming as much as it looks like it is. >> kind of like the pencil trick, when you bounce the pencil, looks like it's curving causing the extra distortion. >> magnified by the vibration. >> i say real, too. >> i'm with you guys. i had thump in my saturn trunk back in the day, but didn't have the cameras that they have now to pick up the fine detail of what was going on. i'm with you guys, going with real on this one. >> okay, last and final one, fake! >> no, that part ain't fake. i'm going real >> no >> no one will mess up that with a glass of wine and try to look foolish like that. >> hold on, did she even spill a drop? >> no. >> fake, in my opinion. >> fake, you would spill it. authentic, you save that wine! >> yes, but look at the way she does it. >> she spilled wine, it spilled on her. you can see it right there. >> i go real on all fronts, including -- >> well, four

>> it seems more plausible to look at the numbers across -- don't interrupt me.you choose one poll. and three states. wouldn't it make sense to look at the aggregate number -- >> what's the aggregate among african-american voters? >> i don't. >> okay. corey does. >> i have the numbers right here. >> one particular poll. >> survey "usa today.." >> there's new article, after news article, donald trump is actually under performing. >> which one? >> which news article? >> let him finish. >> i don't happen -- >> give me one. >> "new york times," the "washington post." >> who wrote it? >> don't give me this nonsense. >> i'm not getting paid by one of the candidates, okay? >> neither am i. [ overlapping dialogue ] >> on that note, stand by. stand by, stand by. 27% of african-american vote in colorado, there's like five african-americans -- >> are you kidding? please. >> there's 27 black people? who are you talking -- >> we'll be right back. >>> back now with my panel. kaylee, i want you to pay close attention because i want your reaction first. i want to get your reacti

es una posiciÓn muy radical, sea o no sea plausible.mos esta entrevista sobre un grupo de originarios de puebla. despuÉs de tres semanas se las emociones y sorpresas, los padres regresaron a mÉxico. reportera: padres e hijos estuvieran separados por largos aÑos por una simple razÓn. no tiene papeles o no puede vivir. hicieron que muchas familias pudieran abrazarse en nueva york. los encuentros estudiosos de imprevistos, emociones y sorpresas. le digo, mami, discÚlpeme, ya no la reconocÍa. eran mis hermanos, pero tambiÉn eran unos desconocidos. >> se desmayÓ en la calle. se desmayÓ en la calle y terminÓ en la cÁrcel. reportera:consideraste cancelar el viaje de tu mamÁ? marÍa: "historias de puebla y new york". ♪ inglaterra comenzarÁ a remodelar su rostro a partir de abril. durarÁ una reeditada y tendrÁ un costo de 47 78 millones de dÓlares. tambiÉn en inglaterra se permitiÓ que congelaran el cadÁver de un adolescente en vez de ser enterrada, como habÍa pedido ella. tomaba esa decisiÓn con la esperanza de ser resucitar el futuro cuando pud

the hill was this way, and still a steep hill but more options and you can make plausible paths adding colorado to that mix gives you more plausible paths. >>> coming up, kayleigh, where do you want to see donald trump focusing his own presence in the coming days? >> i want to see him where he is now. blue states that need to be return turned red. he has to win florida, ohio, keep north carolina an i think he will. and in many polls he is leading in those states but he has to flip a leaning blue state red that. means michigan, pennsylvania, wisconsin, just one of those he needs to flip. what he is doing, going to these states that's good. i think he's taking the right path. >> if you look at the clinton campaign and resources, all of the surrogates going to pennsylvania. they are concerned about that where a week ago they weren't. what we see is donald trump and his campaign ivanka trump in new hampshire tomorrow. donald trump is back in new hampshire on monday. barack obama is in new hampshire on monday. it's going to be battleground state. this could come down to one or two electoral

if he adds michigan it is a plausible path. >> do you sense a late surge with trump? it seems like he has remained quiet for the past week or two weeks. >> look, if you believe the polling, ours now and everything that has come out, the trump surge peaked somewhere last wednesday or thursday when it came to all posts, fbi comey memo. seen the clinton turn out machine, particularly in florida, start to pay dividends and i think you're starting to see some opening up again for clinton and her lead. the trouble spot here for trump is that, is that while clinton's number moves up and down. she was 48 or 49 in the last poll, now down to 44, the trump number is hovering awful close is there that much out there for him to win this late in the game? i don't know. >> all right, chuck todd for us, thank you so much. at the election headquarters in new york. we want to remind everybody that you can see a very special edition of "meet the press" this sunday at 10:30. >>> they may not be old enough to vote just yet but that won't stop new york kids from casting their presidential

unlike american republicans, the french conservatives are trying harder to offer a plausible candidate. outright rejection of nicolas sarkozy in the first round of voting last week. shifting now to the british press, which is focusing on that harrowing sex abuse scandal. >> it is an escalating story. it is one that is threatening to engulf the new capital united now. a player alleged that he may have been a victim of what is possibly a pedophile ring in british football. the story came to light last week after andy woodward, a former footballer, gave his account of being sexually abused as a footballer to the media. the alleged perpetrator is a convicted pedophile, named barry but now. he is a high-profile -- and barry bunnell. story has snowballed. in some cases, they do not allege they were abused by him, but people close to him to just it may be far wider than we think. a hotline was set up. they received 50 calls in two hours yesterday. that is a lot. finally, it is the end of an era for americans who loved "the mom, florence henderson died. tell us more. >> she was known as the su

he has more options and you can make plausible paths. add go colorado to that mix gives you more plausible paths. >> where do you want to see donald trump focusing resources, focusing his own presence in the coming days? >> i want to see him focus where he is now. the blue states that need to be turned red. he needs to be perfect. he has to win florida. he has to keep north carolina and i think he will. and i think in many polls, he is leading in those states. he has to film a leaning blue state red. that means michigan, wisconsin, new hampshire. just one of those he needs to flip. what he is doing now, pulling resources into michigan. that's very good. i think he is taking right path. >> i think if you look at the clinton campaign and where they're spending their resources. they're now concerned about that where they weren't a week ago. a week ago at this time we talked about the clinton campaign winning in texas and arizona. this will be a blowout of epic proportion. we're not seeing that now. we see donald trump and his campaign. dona

but it is a plausible theory. things the little quirky , like, one of the questions they asked is, should the next president -- and they gave three options -- continue barack obama's policies? a second option, change to more conservative policies? the third was changed to more liberal policies. those who said continue obama's policies, clinton won them 91-5. those who said change to more conservative policies, not surprising, donald trump won 83-13. but 17% said change to a more liberal policy -- change to more liberal policies than obama had, and trump won 23% of those people, 70-23. you sort of look at that and you say, what is going on? an sort of similar to that, question -- do you think the 2010 health care law went too far?care and trumpith too far, got 83% of that vote. right was 18%, and trump got 10% of that. not surprising. 30% thatabout the thought obamacare do not go far enough? trump got 18% of those. of theone out of five people that thought that obamacare do not go far enough voted for trump. [laugh

he has multiple plausible paths to 270 >> so many paths for donald trump. coming up on 11:30 p.m. in the east. we'll be here right until the end. so much drama here tonight. could the biggest upset in presidential history be in the test text1 underline test text1 underline >>> it's now 11:30 p.m. in the east. we have a projection. it's the state of florida. 29 electoral votes, they go to donald trump. donald trump has won the state states, one of his keys to victory. he said all along, he was going to win that state. he has a home there, worked hard in this state. he pulled out a victory there, pulling ahead of hillary clinton. 222 electoral votes to 197 for hillary clinton. matthew, this is a big one. >> it's huge. this is the one, for the last month, the clinton folks said, has many different ways to get to the 270 votes he needs to be the next president of the united states. >> cecilia, counting on a surge of latino votes, they got one, but it wasn't enough. >> it wasn't. and radio silence from brooklyn right now. we know that hillary clinton is in a hotel there with bill clint

he seems like a more plausible kind of candidate than some of the others we have heard. >> we will see. thank you so much for joining us. as we noted, donald trump election is having an impact around the world. in france, the prime minister says it could lead to marie le pen, the leader of the far right national front, winning next year's presidential poll. from paris, lucy williamson reports. lucy: some leaders talk about unity, also aware that divisions have grown over jobs, immigration, security the role of islam. its least popular postwar president, frances heading for change. the center right opposition party is about to choose the candidate they hope will beat pen to right leader le the presidency next year. one man has already campaigned butnst her and her father, nicolas sarkozy's has always -- in a bid to woo voters he has proposed banning the muslim veil and locking up terror suspects without trial. critics say he is sailing too close to marie le pen. >> that's what journalists say. it is not what the people think. we have nothing in common. has beenne who criticized most by

they both seem plausible. but if there is one thing that can bring us together, it's starbucks.diverse people, mnt to be a symbol of unity and it works because everyone loves it, oh wait they dopt because [bleep] the internet.

everyone agrees, he has closed the gap but there is still no, under the current public polling no plausibleassage for , electoral votes. 270 he has a lot to do if he is going to be in the game in less than a week. john: one of the biggest changes is that a week ago, smart people that we know were saying the only suspense left in this election was whether hillary clinton would end up between 250 -- and 400 electoral votes. 350 no one is talking like that anymore. you look at all these battleground state polls and the states hillary clinton needs to win, she still, she is kind of where she has been. if you look at the last three months she has a small but , stable lead in a lot of battleground states. right now, if you look at all this data, there is not really a path for donald trump. again, he is within the margin of error in a lot of places. he is within striking distance in a lot of places. he is more behind then he is narrowing the gap where he would want to be six days out. mark: even as clinton plays defense in states like wisconsin, michigan, pennsylvania by going herself and having s

. >> >> i just it be reduced so it is plausible. >> he had the good fortune of making his case before brian ma hone who is still under investigation after we reported he wiped out a fine on his own traffic ticket. gordon who had -- dash who at $90,000 a year saw his ticket >> it's not right. >> reporter: martha got ticketed at the same meter and unlike gordon her what challenge was denied and with interest she now owes $275. >> that $275 and $250, i'm sorry, that's ridiculous. >> reporter: at least gordon was ticketed. at the justice center, the handicapped parking signs are largely ignored. the spaces are taken by law enforcement >> can i ask you about your handicap? >> i didn't realize it. >> i was getting to court jievment what if i use that excuse? the signs are right there, officer. is that all you got to say? >> there are people that really, really need them and they are taking up available spaces for those who need them. >> reporter: finding a suitable parking space is more than an inconvenience. >> i have a spinal cord i broke my neck at c6 and c7 and i am paralyzed from the c

up completely different stories, that have nothing to do with reality, so the jury thinks there's plausible deniability, what's it called, shadow of a doubt. just make up a story, because that might be true, too. it might be true that he doesn't even exist as barack obama. it works for some people. >> this is bringing back flashbacks to the campaign trail, actually, right after the primaries in new hampshire and bill clinton was telling voters to be careful, because a lot of this is going to happen during this campaign. and it's not about facts anymore, it's simply about raising the suggestion, putting the suggestion out there and letting it multiply. and we're seeing that not only by trump, but by some of the people who are some of the leading conspiracy theorists, quite frankly, who have now been brought on, like michael flynn. if you look at some of the things he was tweeting just days before the election about hillary clinton and child pornography and money laundering. it's really crazy stuff. >> can i say, we're beating around the bush here a little bit? donald trump goes for the perce

. >> the gop early vote, 28% switching over to hillary, is that plausible? >> not from the polling we've been seeing. the polling we've been seeing says it should be lower than that, so we'll see. >> this is a crazy map and that's why americans aren't getting a lick of sleep. thank you for joining us on the night shift tonight. >>> attention, men and women, for that matter, everywhere. you'll want to hear what the president had to say tonight about men and women. this is "the 11th hour." when coughing keeps your family awake. breathe easier with vicks vaporub. soothing cough relief that starts working instantly. intercom: the library [ kis now closing.] ok kid, closing up. goodnight. the hardest part about homework shouldn't be figuring out where to do it. through internet essentials, comcast has connected over 3 million people in need to low-cost internet at home. welcome to a brighter future. comcast. >>> regardless of your feelings for our president, this is a moment to pay attention to. this took place in ohio tonight. president obama got personal. he to

it was reopened investigation into her e-mails, swing-state number seven tight-end giving him a plausibl path to victory,y, lauren travolta campaign trip in philadelphia as investigators raid offices looking for evidence of voter fraud, state police investigators raided the offices fieldworkst llc yesterday afternoon looking for templates that could be used to construct fake voter registration forms, workers had no comment about a local congressman says stems from a flood of bogus registrations to the delaware county board of elections.ro this is about protecting the registration system, this isot registration fraud, and is it voter fraud? that is to be determined, we will see on election day. it marks the second time in as many weeks as agents have raided the office to look for o election fraud.. no surprise to go to the polls on election day and come home with all kinds of stufff with a candidates name plastere on it. historian who has been memorabilia since 72. is collection dates from the 1780s to present day, sun luck garden started?d? re-election nixon in 1970, he says he traveled