earlier today jay polaski of tbw spoke about the currency's importance. jay: the dollar is key for us. if the dollar rolls over it is bullish on the exposure for 20 25. american exceptionalism at risk. there is no room for mistakes and in the u.s.. that is the main take away. there is room in the rest of the world. so, that audibled anova suggests to us -- the dollar rolling over suggests to us, where are there opportunities elsewhere? scarlet: morgan stanley has a note out focusing on some of those opportunities saying traders looking to sell the dollar are actually far more common than thought. matt hornbeck is morgan stanley's global head of macro strategy. great to see you. before the opportunistic trades you might be looking at, i want to get to the knob -- nub of morgan stanley's short dollar thesis. is it that there is less market strength. the market realizes or that the dollar has peaked and is ready for a regime change? matt: our thesis is a combination of factors. what is usually required to get the dollar to move in a big way. certainly, the i