well the president obama has been very smart about this because all the polling data that we've seen in the united states says that the democrats have a seventy to seventy five percent chance of winning the house of representatives that's a pretty substantial opportunity for them they've got to win twenty four states in order to be to have control of the house and right now all the polling data that i've seen shows them winning as many as thirty or thirty three seats so they have a very good you have to take the house of representatives and president obama started this race starting this campaign in the fall knowing that the election much is only going to be two months away so it's good to be in his part and he knows that he has a greater chance of being successful in this part of the analysis said donald trump when and this is something that barack obama said as well is that donald trump's election some p.r. at least in part was a backlash of a pretty asian nation against barack obama so having said that if iraq obama's on the campaign trail might this fire donald trump voters to go

should the polling data showed that like thedn't really conservative domestic ideas of the republicans, but they did that republicans seemed more competent, meaning eisenhower had been more sopetent at foreign policy it was more of an endorsement of eisenhower than anyone else. that one of the reasons kennedy won is that in the end foreign policy didn't matter that much to the voters election, that the -- you know, it's interesting that despite the emphasis on education, the polling data shows that a lot of voters were by kennedy's endorsement of k-12 aid and aid and that they really didn't quite understand what he was trying to say. it.asn't clear enough about on the other hand, the democrats really did pound away medicare, medicare, medicare. they made a lot of -- they gained a lot of votes from independent voters on that issue, particularly elderly voters who had social security coverat wasn't enough to medical bills. my question is just sort short preface. from my reading of the four people on the two major party had clearly the strongest civil rights record, and i think was put on

polling data showed a lot were confused by kennedy's and it really did not understand what he was trying to say. hand, the democrats did not pound away at medicare, medicare medicare. very short.on is from my reading and many may disagree, but from my reading on the major party tickets, the lodge had the strongest civil rights record and was put on the ticket partly to appeal to african-americans. the question is a two-part. theyr one, do you think enabled the nixon campaign to pick up more like post and do you think it could've been more effectively utilize and less undercut by the nixon campaign, do you think nixon could've been a higher percentage of the black vote than he did? prof. rorabaugh: generally speaking, vice residential candidates don't matter. in the private letter, johnson had been the first buys presidential candidate to matter very much as teddy roosevelt. he was responsible for several other states. was well written. johnson really did make a difference. with the rep. king: party, nixon -- with the republican party, nixon did not have a job. with rockefeller on the tic

in the wake of this poll, the white house has released their own polling data to present a different story. according to the white house, president trump is polling at 60% among his own family. he has an impressive 100% approval rating based on a recent poll of murderous dictators. 75% of the four horsemen approve of him. famine, disease, and war-- the lone hold-out, petulance who is no fan of his trade policies. >> it's "the late show with stephen colbert." tonight, two kinds of stormy.

the other point i would make briefly is the polling data, which i find fascinating. as negative as the administration and others are about trade, the american public is more pro trade now than it was a year ago. it was more pro trade a year ago than it was two years before that. part of that is the economy is better, so people feel a little more expansive. we see the same trend in europe, by the way. but, part of it, i think, is some growing appreciation that we are part of a more integrated whole and that we need to succeed in that environment. and to succeed in an environment, things like trade become net positives for the united states. mr. reinsch: let's pursue that for a minute. some of you were elected officials, too. the polling data shows growing support for trade. it also shows some partisan divisions in trade. democratic voters tend to be more pro trade right now than republican voters. yet, democratic politicians are less pro trade than republican politicians. there seems to be dysfunction in both parties, where both they parties some other elected officia

the other point i'd make is the polling data, which i find really fascinating. negative about trade, the public is more pro-trade now than it was a year ago and was more pro-trade a year ago than it was two years ago before that. the economy is better so people feel little more expansive. the same thing in europe by the way. the part of it is i think the growing appreciation that we are a part of a more integrated whole and we need to see in that environment and in that environment things like trade become a net positive. >> let's pursue that for a minute. some of you are elected officials at different levels can comment on this. the polling data shows willing to work with trade. it also shows some positions of trade. democratic voters tend to be more pro-trade right now than republican voters, yet republican democratic politicians are less pro-trade and republican politicians. so there seems to be at this junction in both parties. both parties elected officials are out of sync with their voters. why does it matter? you're going to go away. >> i will address tha

most of the polling data shows the house is a you to turn and be in democratic control after the novemberions. i think that is very accurate. in states like pennsylvania, that is not a referendum on the resident or anything else. of pennsylvania, the court chose to redraw the district lines. those seats are likely to flip democrat. david: you know washington well. assume the house does go to the democrats. what does that mean for washington? >> it will probably be more partisan. democrats, in places around the country, especially the northeast, dimmick rats will ioding antitrust -- riding anti-trump fervor. to be concerned about the desire of members of the house wanting to move for impeachment. that will likely be one of the things at the top of the democratic agenda, if and when the democrats control the house of representatives. ,avid: if things work properly one of the things we took away from the opinion polls is a 63% approval rating for mueller. does that undermine the president's attempts to take away from mr. mueller? >> the president has been successful at chipping away at it. ,

in the wake of this poll, the white house has released their own polling data to present a different story. according to the white house, president trump is polling at 60% among his own family. he has an impressive 100% approval rating based on a recent poll of murderous dictators. 75% of the four horsemen approve of him. famine, disease, and war-- the lone hold-out, petulance who is no fan of his trade policies. >> it's "the late show with stephen colbert." tonight, two kinds of stormy. plus stephen welcomes: neil degrasse tyson and michael rapaport featuring jon batiste and stay human. and now, live on tape from the ed sullivan theater in new york city, it's stephen colbert! ( cheers and applause ) >> stephen: hey, everybody! >> stephen: hey! thank you. please have a seat, everybody. welcome to "the late show." ladies and gentlemen, i'm your host, stephen colbert. ( applause ) right at the top of the show, i just want to say everybody on the southeast coast-- nouk, virginia other my home state of sith carolina-- hurricane florence is coming your way. this is serious. get out of ther

how's that translating when you look at the polling data?think the number one objective for both parties in a mid-term election -- actually, three objectives. turnout, turnout turnout. president obama still a very popular figure with democrats. democrats didn't do well on the 14 and 10 mid-terms because of turnout. democrats are energized. it's sort of always a clichÉ. we have the votes to win elections in negative. we just have to turn out. and i think that's all really positive for democrats. >> let's talk a bit about texas, first of all, if we could. a lot of attention focused on the lone star state. you've got senator cruz seeking re-election and up against republican o'rourke. how likely is it he'll be able to pull this one off? >> i think in 2018 if you're on outsider, if you're not part of washington, you have an advantage. i think senator cruz is incumbent, he's in washington, he's the establishment. texas is a very tough state for democrats, but it's becoming increasingly competitive. look, i think the cruz and o'rourke race are one

molly: let's take a quick look at some polling data the on supreme court appointments as to whether ortment is being very important to votes overall. this from september 18th through the 24th, pew research center. democrats, 81 president, republicans, 72. this has been a -- 72% p. this has been a key promise that the president has a made on the campaign trail in the runup to his election to becoming president. he said, you know, the supreme court was something he promised, and there were people out there that maybe did not love president trump, but they were really worried about the supreme court. and perhaps cast their ballot specifically on that issue. what do the you make of that poll and what it could mean for the midterms? >> all right, let's apply it to this election because i think it will play a role, and it's going to play a role for both sides. but human nature being what it is the, it's the side that loses the kavanaugh battle that will be angriest, and i've learned over many, many years that anger produces votes. so the side that's satisfied by the outcome, i'm not saying t

nbc news has just published new polling data on kavanagh's nomination. the first time they polled on kavanagh was in july. and in july kavanagh had historically low levels of support in the nbc poll. the raw numbers were 32% of americans wanted to confirm him, 26% did not. it's sort of easy to look at the total, the right column there. 32% in support, 26% not in support. he was plus 6 in terms of the difference between the number of people who wanted him on the court and the number of people who did not want him on the court. plus 6 is really, really, really low for a supreme court nominee. that was july. then the next month in august, nbc did the exact same poll and his support actually dropped a little bit. he went from plus 6 in july down to plus 4 in august. now nbc tonight has just unveiled new polling that's been in the field since this serious allegation was made against brett kavanagh by christine blasey ford. support for him already low, plus 6, plus 4. support for him now has fallen off the cliff. support now is at minus 4, by a four-point margi

real clear politics does the average of all the polling data and shows cruz up by 4.5 points.you think this is real? do you think beto o'rourke -- >> i've been hearing this a long time how texas is going to go blue. >> texas can go blue. >> beto o'rourke has a real chance, he's on the ground speaking directly to the people and they are running a great ground game, and i do believe there's going to be a surge of unlikely voters to vote in the mid-term election, and if beto can turn those folks out in texas and they check the box for him, the issue is that folks are not necessarily -- like a governor's race in texas is not going to bring the people out. this is the race among some or congressional races on the democratic side. they will bring folks out so he has a chance. >> the governor, greg abbott, is very popular. >> he's extremely popular in texas. >> do you think ted cruz is kind of in trouble or is this acting like he's in trouble? >> remember the peanuts? >> lucy and the football. >> right. >> it's the football. you keep hearing in texas how democrats are going to sweep

polling data did not get it right. my friend andrew gillum in florida is one of them. one. completely missed the mark. so what i'm comfortable saying, i'm not opposed to it. if i was, would probably still get it wrong. >> politico is reporting that florida governor perry doesn't mention trump any more on his senate campaign trail. president george w. bush will be with scott at two fund raisers instead. and obviously, this comes as donald trump's approval rating has sunk to 36%. a six-point drop from last month. a lot of other polls showing a similar drop. is it fair to say that in anything other than red states or maybe even in red states, donald trump is a drag on the ticket? >> look, i think florida is a situation in and of itself. rick scott is a two-term governor who has got a heck of a high name i.d., who has a political profile so far aside from republicans in washington, let alone president trump, that that race is going to be about a whole bunch of different things happening in florida. and it's going to be a tight race on the senate race and the governor's rac

it was the polling data. so it wasn't are you coming to lunch or where are you going to be on tuesday. this was really important information that was apparently bent around and used by perhaps the trump campaign, we're going to find out eventually but what do you think you see coming up and what do we do? because these things tend to happen within the last two weeks of the campaign when it's too late to react, people can't get themselves organized to understand what happened and explain it. what do you think people should be doing?>> this is what they use to call the october surpriseproblem . we see by the way the original october surprise, remember back when carter was running and the iranians held the hostages because they wanted to basically, i don't know if they wanted reagan, they made a big mistake because he was not good to them but they didn't like carter and there were going to try to affect the election. this goes on not just online obviously we want to do the best we can to make sure there's no int

so generally white people when we look at everything from polling data and the state of the nation at the time were increasingly at unease with this idea of civil rights. by the time we see urban rebelions what critics call race riots and what the president -- the kerner commission calls civil disorders, that start in 1963 in birmingham, alabama, by 1964 harlem explodes. in 65 the watt neighborhood in los angeles explodes. and we see massive urban rebelions in newark and detroit in 1967. so between 63 and 6 we're going to have hundreds of civil disturbances in hundreds of american cities. and what the kerner commission argued -- and that's the president's own commission -- is that the root of the violence and the rioting is going to be poverty and institutional racism. it says that white racism has created and maintained urban ghettos and it's only white society that can get rid of these ghettoings in that sense. so there's going to be increasing unease and there's increasing unease about the level of radical rhetoric that black power activists are engaged in. because what black power

he was attorney general for the state of delaware and according to polling data he would be elected,was a war hero, he came back for a year in iraq, he was a hell of a guy. the docs looked at me and said go home and run for governor. and just keep pushing until you can't push. because we prayed that science would outrun the disease. i don't have to tell you, these breakthroughs when they occur they can occur overnight. they have been worked on for years, months. and they can occur. what you should also do, if you're lucky you have family or friends and you should begin to plan, begin to plan for what is going to happen. in our case, our son had two children and a beautiful wife and so we started thinking about it. his brother was successful in his best friend and i we started to set up making sure there is a college fund for his kids. if you lived we still would've done it but it was just reasonable. the quarter we can do about the mortgage on the house and we had the resources to do collectively. so there are practical things you did at the same time. >> did you talk about prognosis

it is done through purging polls and people data and vote data and many other means was gerrymandering. i want like to hear what you say about that. >> the caller referencing the interesting information, resident have gone to court and asked for judge man dated improvements to the selection. election. these issues are not litigated in this way and asked for how they mighting achieved. what you see there is a valid impulse and not enough has been done to protect the foundational elements of the democracy. no matter where it is taking them to court, there is a growing chance that our government needs to do more to protect these. >> hi, kevin. >> i haveËyquestion, the democrats are hacking into our system. the value of the hack mines they are just controlling who is controlling our government. have we looked in to the security. oir a democrat hacking. >> we have smart people. if and party wanted to hack the election. >> we have done that. it is an obvious hacking. obviously discourse coming from both parties and that the of a connection even if they get out in terms of midterplingz. and c

i think we're going to have to continue march polling with other data. consumer data in real data and stuff were seen online, get much quicker than we have in the past. but i think as a tracking mechanism, it is god-awful. as a quantitative exercise, it's a train back. proportionally as a media prompt, there's also nothing that drives media faster during a campaign season a new poll showing somebody up, down, good, bad. it's a longer discussion we can have here and a fairly technical one. i'm a big fan of way more interviews and i don't even care about the trivialities of the inside campaign geared mostly junk these days. >> all right. [applause] >> will have the signing right appear. thanks again for coming out. [inaudible [applause] [inaudible conversations] >> next, obama administration education secretary arne duncan discusses the successes and failures of schools in america. he's interviewed by kaya henderson, former chancellor of the district of columbia public schools. "aft

we have to continue to merge polling with other data to get much quicker than the past. as a tracking mechanism and it is a train wreck. and nothing joining me faster during a campaign season it is a longer discussion then we could have here, but i'm a big fan of way more interviews. i don't even care about those trivialities speeseventeen. >> we will have a signing appear. thank you again. [inaudible conversations] once a year we get to talk to you at freedom fest about your latest book to write one book a year? >> i have written about 20. and as a venture capitalist and with those perils of enterprise. but depending on how you count

hand i've received some polls and historical data for further investigation by the end of the year with that key condition met the executive committee of water has chosen to place it's trust in her saga but it may be a decision that puts the agency's reputation at stake. you are watching t w news we have more for you at the top of the hour i mean rita will be with you then thanks for watching. stories that people in the world over information they provide the opinions they want to express d.w. on facebook and twitter are up to date and in touch follow us. around. the markets of industrialized nations in europe and north america are saturated so multinational food companies have set the sights on the developing world aggressively expanding their presence in countries like kenya. they found a vehicle of growth in small packages of western style processed food conglomerates promise healthy high quality food for all but the products are high calorie nutrient poor foods stuffed with salt sugar and flavor and concerts in brazil the result is plain to see lifestyle diseases are undermining the

i also want to point out that some of the more recent polling data that has come out since dr.ntage in some of these races. >> sandra: so you are an optimistic democrat? "the wall street journal" writes this about kavanaugh, the impact on the elections. they are spreading the claim that kavanaugh lost, it could have a midterm upside. candidates would light up the base by highlighting their ambush tactics, voters would rush to the polls. an ultimate confirmation. >> bill: that is interesting. "the new york times" is saying the opposite. if kavanaugh goes on, you're going to see evangelical christians and republicans, they are going to be really disappointed that he did not stick with kavanaugh. that's what they did not help them across the finish line. you see two different arguments. this was an 11th hour ambush. we will see what the facts are. i don't want to prejudge them. dianne feinstein, the fact of the matter is, even if this is a legitimate claim by dr. fort, dianne feinstein had it in july and sat on it. >> she sat on it because ford did not want to come forward. >> she

races or the cook report and how they rate the congressional races, whether you want to look at polling datathe advantage the democrats seem to have at the moment is so much greater than what you would expect in an academy of this strength -- economy of this strength, even though it is not talked about, what is going on in the white house, the way trump is running his presidency, seems to be having an effect on voters. >> steve schmidt, a strong economy doesn't always mean that the party in power in the white house wins elections. 1994, republicans won despite bill clinton and joined a strong economy. 2006, the same with george w. bush. democrats won big that year. it could happen again in 2018. but do you see any signs that democrats and the media and the political world may be surprised again that donald trump and the republican party far outpaces expectations and they overperform and maybe everybody wakes up the day after to find that donald trump and the republicans are still running washington. >> i certainly wouldn't if i was a democratic strategist working on the races in washington,

. >> for me looking at the polling data, in the span of one weekend fbi rating where republicans fallnts when the president started attacking them. >> nick, heidi, rick, eugene, thank you all for being on the show. >> you used to love the press. wait a second. >>> coming up it turns out the president's tax overhaul may not be a good talking point for republicans on the campaign trail. what can they talk about? wheel explain. but brett kavanaugh's accuser -- >> they attacked law enforcement officers to keep their families safe. they attack cia officers who, my god, keep us safe. >> all right. brett kavanaugh's accuser lay out the terms under which she will testify and it won't be monday. "morning joe" is coming right back. [ [ cheers and applause ] >> how is our justice department doing? r justice department doing? . until i held her. i found my tresiba® reason. now i'm doing more to lower my a1c. i take tresiba® once a day. tresiba® controls blood sugar for 24 hours for powerful a1c reduction. (woman) we'd been counting down to his retirement. it was our tresiba® reason. he needs insu

people who are detached from the campaign, but people who are sending money and looking at the polling datahis election hinges on basically one subset of the population, college educated female voters. there is nothing else almost that matters. those voters went for donald trump in 2016 in larger number than people expected and have peeled off. you talked about the florida senate race and the texas senate race. you're seeing women in big numbers go for democrats and you could chalk that up to whatever you would like, but i think most republicans feel like they are going to have a woman who is going to be most likely sitting at a table, emotional about an episode that she recalls 30 years ago and you are going to have a bunch of white men who are going to go ahead with the nomination and vote on this nomination for brett kavanaugh just days after that. so if you talk to republicans privately, there's no question they're concerned about the dynamics and the optics and as you put it the cosmetics of this. again, we are right on the doorstep of election day so it's incredibly important the opti

. >> we did view a very kind of brief data poll. they polled all d.r.s that were within the last three years. i believe there were 60 of them that had the keyword "roof deck" in the project description. the reason we didn't include that in our analysis is there may have been projects that were d.r.'d that didn't have the term roof deck in the description. we can go back to our data, but it will have to be more of a data dive to get that information, but we can certainly do that. >> president hillis: i think it would be good to live in the residential design guidelines. because that's what they are and it would be great. if people comply with the guidelines, they -- the expectation should be that it's approved over the counter. there isn't much -- we're consistent with that, unless it's an unusual circumstance that would warrant a d.r. as commissioner richards said, it minimizes the process. >> we received that feedback a lot. something apended to the guidelines with illustrations, numbers, more clear guidelines would help. >> presid

we are discussing polling andida andidaand data. help the guys here.n this with full sincerity. we are in the middle of this. white men who run the senate. who cares if they are democrats or republicans. they are trying to face the movement of the specifics of this case and a movement and election 50 days away. i thought kellyanne conway was the highest ranking woman in the white house. struck a reasonable position. don't insult her or smear her. let everybody be heart. is that a reasonable position? shouldn't the men take the queue here? >> the other thing is not dismiss the seriousness of what is being alleged. that's not something brett kavanaugh is doing. he said it never happened. i heard rumblings behind the scenes of folks saying well, is it such a big deal? if we don't want 17-year-old boys thinking this is an okay way to treat women. my advice to republicans is do not for one moment dismiss the seriousness of what is being alleged here. >> that's good advice and important to not just be respectful and think about these actions and how serious

polls. and i'll share one data a point from nbc news "wall street journal" poll.ying that kneeling during the anthem is not appropriate, the numbers are no, not appropriate 54%. yes, it is appropriate 43%. so i guess we'll see how this arc goes as the season does start. and no doubt owners and players are watching. >> nothing has really changed. football is getting richer. owners are getting richer and the conservative vehicle that has kept football very white and very -- it won't move when it comes to black issues. it is the exact same thing. the fan base the white consume arer ship believes that kneeling is still a bad thing. and yet we've consistently strayed away from the actual cause of why we are here. black people are being killed disproportionately by believe. inequality is the same as it has always been. nothing has changed in the country for people color specifically black people as it leads to now. so that is why you have colin kaepernick around two years aing a sgoe tago take a knee and do e thing numerous have done for the entirety of american history

majority of which i says russia has now fulfilled a key point has been a lack of access to data and some polls stored in the moscow lab the world anti-doping agency now says the offer of access to an independent expert would meet its criteria however the major sticking point in the road map of compliance has been the report by richard mclaren stating russia run a state sponsored doping scheme the list is called for russia to acknowledge its complicity and doping russia denies ever ever such a program existed but has admitted that were issues with its anti-doping system let's take a look at the allegations. the damning mclaren reports on alleged state sponsored doping in russia has led to many athletes being stripped of their meadows and others prevented from taking part in major events including the olympics however a few things in the report just don't add up before we break them down it's worth noting that the international olympic committee itself was not satisfied with the evidence in a letter to richard mclaren the i.o.c. ostrom more conclusive proof the document was covered with the phra

all the data and polling indicate that the intensity among democrats and the enthusiasm about votingsignificantly higher than republicans. that reverses where we were in 2010 and 2014. so that is the first big factor. the second big factor is we can't know exactly what will happen between now and november. i don't think anybody can predict the exact number of seats. the one thing i will say, by the who is that beto o'rourke is running this extraordinary campaign in texas against ted cruz if he happens to win that election, that will be the canary in the coal mine. david: you talk about the level of passion and motivation for the democrats. your new job, with your partner, is to bring people toward the center, to try to rise above partisanship. how do you square those two things? when you are running a campaign, you want to motivate people and that often means you take more extreme positions. >> we are under no illusion that we will end partisanship. mike murphy and i, who is running this enterprise with me, disagree on most issues. but what we hope to do is promote a political dialog

optimistic overall that this enthusiasm that were seeing, forget about political polls, it's reflective and economic data that this has a strong pillow in. >> i do, and another thing is a higher participation of women in the labor force. that's always an important factor of a strong environment , the more people you have participating in half of the participation, it's a good thing. >> i would ask will just add one more thing, social media made so many things easier. you can start up a business in your basement or in your attic or whatever because of social media, a lot of infrastructure you have to accumulate and build are really not needed anymore. i think that opens the floodgates to the kind of things were talking about. >> and there's no more's stigma. you can go to an event. it used to be a real business starting stopper. this is not the case. being a woman in business just doesn't exist like it used too. >> in this money sloshing around, do you think that will still be available? just looking at these profits and the money that's being raised, billions, billions and billions of dollars. >> there a

there is also purging polls, voter data and many other means. gerrymandering. would like to hear what he has to say about that. guest: the caller is referencing --eresting litigation judgment mandated improvements to the security of elections and that is complicated. these issues are not ones that have been litigated in this way, to ask for judicial rulings on what cyber security standards are sufficient and how they might be achieved. what you see there is a valid impulse, one that is not enough has been done to protect the foundational elements of our democracy and whether the recourse is the executive, legislative or the courts, i think you see a growing sense from the citizenry that government needs to do more. host: kevin in michigan, democrat. caller: thank you. i have a question. were hacking into our system but the value of the hack just means they're going to be controlling who controls our government. have we looked into if the republicans or the democrats are hacking the election because the stakes are much higher. if a party were to be hacking into

>> what our poll had enough data in it that you could break it down by districts.icts, i'm sorry by regions. so for example, in the midwest focus on the economy, focus on tax cuts that will keep jobs, focus on cutting back regulations that will build up jobs here in america. in other areas in the south and the some of the other swing districts, focus on the immigration issue. that is not a club for growth issue but it does motivate the republican voters in rural and suburban areas. they don't want to see sanctuary cities, for example, because to suburban voters that means crime will be coming out to the suburbs if they don't prosecute the criminals. charles: what about simplicity of the message? again, we're seeing retail sales through the roof. we're seeing consumer sentiment and consumer confidence through the roof approaching levels not seen in 30 years. we're seeing all of these things happening, and listen, i drive by anecdotally, i see help-wanted signs everywhere from strip malls, it is out there. seems like it needs to be nudged and highlighted i about poli

the data shows after october 28, hillary clinton's polls plunged. howie: there are a lot of the reasons she lost. lanny: when i wrote the book i didn't use the word lie. lice an intentional will fus misstatement. that was not me when i talked to anderson cooper or cnn. it was a mistake but not intentional. james comey knew what edtold congress. not that i will disclose something even 11 days from the election. i will take a look first. during this interviews he never said i'm sorry, i made a mistake the way donald trump will never say i'm sorry i made a mistake the way i'm saying i am sorry, i made a mistake. howie: your critics say you are a big hillary clinton booster, you wrote a book about how she got screwed out of the presidency. that you took on michael cohen's case to use him to get revenge. lanny: there is no question i believe is an extremely divisive and harmful president. when michael cohen came to me, it took me quite a while to listen to him as to why he had changed his mind about donald trump. i took on the representation because he w

polls suggesting that... we were talking about social media data problems in the observer, they picked up on this tory‘s demandretary has lost his own app. this is quite a serious issue but children, especially young people, are spending too much time on social media. the idea of this is that the government will put out guidelines for what is a self —— safe or healthy amount. used in the same way as alcohol guidelines. would we all stick to. that does beg the question. for years, my parents didn't set guidelines or i ignored them and i always thought that i turned out fine but now we are talking about children as young as five or six who are on these very, very addictive social media platforms. and when i worked in a boarding school, we had to lock the kids' bones and i packed up at night otherwise they wouldn't sleep, and thatis otherwise they wouldn't sleep, and that is something, at night time, taking the devices away is a good idea. you do question whether this is an issue on which you want the government to be setting the boundaries because it goes back to what we were discussing, as to whether the govern

and you are seeing this administration right now at its most dangerous because polls and analysis revealed, the voting datahowed a sharp dip in its popularity. the reasons for that are not the spreading of the manifesto of hatred, but also the fact that modi's announcement of the monetization, diluted legislation of 80% of the -- ancy in november 2016 few days ago a bank came out with figures which were shocking them at which s said 99% of t te currency has returned to the banking system. cost was a story about a india 1.5 million jobs in the gdp dropped by perhaps a whole percent, a percentile. there is that. there is a m massive scandal brewing about the purchase of fighter jets from france, which the scale of who's correction seems to be unimaginable. -- at thislot of time they seek to change the script. by wresting the very well known lawyer and activist, people who are versa for us, people who represent the most vulnerable populations both in court as well as in the media and so on, it is a way of silencing a massive population. you know? thatght sound very minor you just put people under house arrest

poll of 10,000. generally speaking the data is constructive a bounce in sterling transpire so the pound is bouncing ists coming off line. talking about other fx markets the dollar is trading on the back foot, with the exception of renminbi euro/dollar is inching dollar, about a third of a percentage point firmer that correlates well for a change with some of the price action we're seeing in italy and italian bond yields as they continue to rally. euro has been given some support. dollar/yen is an interesting one. dollar trading stronger versus yen. yen is about a third of a percentage point weaker. it helped the nikkei trade a bit firmer overnight yen weakness is helping there. again, that is on the back of anticipated hedging activity that could be coming out of yen on the back of the news that one of the japanese chipmakers there is buying a u.s. integrated device company that is the picture for foreign exchange i talked about the nikkei having a firmer session overnight chinese equities weaker. most of the majors in europe are trading on the back foot ftse mib down a quarter of a percentage point f

ads depending on what state we are talking about concerning healthcare per your polling shows the same thing. what is your data you about voters now? >> healthcare has become huge. it's hard to underestimate it. usually there is a holy trinity of three issues that voters care about. jobs, the economy, education, public safety to some degree and over the past 14 to 16 months healthcare has shot to the floor. is something very specific about healthcare. is the cost of healthcare. you scrape away what it is people are concerned about and yes, it's not that they aren't concerned about service or delivery, but the big issue is the tremendous uncertainty of cost and that's why to huge election issue because neither party of that space. there's tremendous opportunity right now because no one owns that space. cheryl: there is a really interesting forms piece out now written by a doctor who basically did his own work and it there zero look at what people are talking about and to your point prescription prices, 50%, then single-payer coverage and then medicare. i went to ask you about the, your party, as they are target

data. we did a lot of detailed polling afterwards to make sure that these answers and archetypes were just in it total. if you didn't understand this election, and of the book for you. is there anyone out like me? this is a realignment, but also inside the ballot box. in institutions right now. sometimes it's not healthy. you see a playoff or sentiments toward the press, media, hollywood, sort of everywhere. that is in a nutshell the book. >> thank you. 1986, each senate seat went from republican to democrat. eight governorships went from democrat to republican. i'm not election day in 1986, they elected a governor of one-party and a senator of the other party on the same day. you mentioned very little crossover, very little is what ticket voting. you want to talk about that? >> first of all, that's a great point. that will be less likely to have and now i was say. however, governorships are a little bit different. so we see even today that voters will sometimes vote for a candidate for governor of one-party and cross back over and vote for their normal party is a presidential election in

data was quite good. on the house front, things were quite accurate from our polling perspective. we are doing similar tactics this cycle, maybe in a larger way. for the most part, no, we're in pretty good shape in most districts. the ones nine shape, those were -- not in good shape, those were second or third tier districts anyway. >> any specifics? charlie: we are seeing data all the time. for the most part, we are at offense. i have been most pleased with the returns in minnesota three and other suburban districts that i would not have predicted to be in the shape we are in. sean: one of the tactics from republicans is to tie democrats across the map to nancy pelosi. we are seeing that virtually everywhere. is nancy pelosi a political liability for democrats, and if so, how should democratic candidates respond to the attacks from republicans? charlie: this is somebody who did a great job as speaker, would do a great job going forward. the reality here is paul ryan is the single most unpopular clinical figure in the country. trump's numbers continue to drop. his jobs numbers are