there's another new poll, quinnipiac is respected, look at the new numbers. much closer than what we saw in the cnn poll. they seem more reflective of the state of play. all polls are snapshots. when you see one that sticks out like that, it makes you curious and it's interesting this next poll seems to be more consistent. it's basically what it has been. biden is there, warren is making moves. he's up on sanders beyond the moe there, the margin of error. buttigieg holding, and yang, impressive, given he's an outsider. let's bring in the wizard of odds. how big of a deal is it that gillibrand is out? >> i think it gives you a pretty good understanding of the state of play and these are the ten candidates who qualified for our september debate. unless there's a poll that drops in the next 2 1/2 hours, there will be no more. we're not expecting a poll. these are the ten. you notice, gillibrand is not on the list. there are other candidates who are not on the list as well. i wouldn't be surprised if there isn't another candidate that drops out because the fact o

in what "the washington post" aaron blake described as donald trump's worst poll, the brand-new quinnipiac poll shows donald trump getting wiped out in a head-to-head race against joe biden. if the election were held today, joe biden would get 54% of the vote to donald trump's 38%. the news goes from bad to worse for the president. bernie sanders beats donald trump 353% to 39%, elizabeth warren 52% to 40%, kamala harris, 51% to 40%, and mayor pete buttigieg beats him too, 49% to 40%.

what do you mean, think of quinnipiac moving up with her on sanders.be another assessment basically with the plus minus of 5? >> i think if you look at the average, you see she's leading. this is an important thing, chris. the poll based upon how much attention you're paying to the campaign. if you're paying a lot of attention to the campaign, we see warren very close to biden, 32, 25, sanders all the way back there, and that's a sign of the momentum. those paying attention like warren. >> i don't understand two things, one, i don't understand how if you're doing it a lot, you like him less than if you're not paying attention that much and how his numbers are the same. biden's all the way across. >> part of this is an age issue. he does better among older voters. they tend to be the ones paying the most attention. elizabeth warren does well with college-educated voters. sanders voters are those without a college degree as well as younger voters so it's not surprising here he does best in the some or little to none category. >> what's your other big poi

so let's start with the new series of head to head polls from quinnipiac which show the president in hypothetical matchups against five major democratic candidates getting beaten badly, losing by at least nine points. joe biden, bernie sanders, elizabeth warren, kamala harris and pete buttigieg all ruoute te president. voters say the economy, the president's marquis issue is getting worse. more say it's getting worse than say it's getting better. 41% believe the president's policies are hurting the bottom line. then we have the new suffolk "usa today" poll which shows widespread dissatisfaction and anxiety among the american electorate. nearly 40% of respondents said if their preferred candidate loses they can't be sure the election was fair. and when asked how they feel about the 2020 election, four of the top five responses conveyed alarm and angst. they use words like frightened, nervous, chaotic and train wreck. so how is president trump responding to all of this? by going on a multi-tweet rant this morning suggesting all of cable news is now unfairly against him. suggesting fox

we're seeing biden as this new quinnipiac poll, holding on to his double-digit lead over his closest rivals, at 32%, elizabeth warren at 19%, bernie sanders at 15%. this mirrors pretty similar to a cnn poll that was released last week, but it also comes after a poll from monmouth university earlier in the week to show that there was no apparent leader between bernie sanders, elizabeth warren and joe biden. monmouth called that poll an outlier, something that the biden campaign has been quick to point out. the campaign manager has also pointed out that biden is leading among most demographics in this new quinnipiac poll, which includes among black voters, biden coming in at 46% among support for black democratic voters. one big takeaway, as you mentioned, from this poll, it appears we are only going to have one night in the next democratic primary debate with only ten candidates and, dana, for the first time we'll likely be seeing joe biden and elizabeth warren face off. voters are eager to see how that will play out. dana? >> such a good point, important point, a dynamic we've not se

and this quinnipiac university poll shows him holding around 32%. again, another indication that monmouth poll was an outlier and biden is holding around 30. >> okay. spent a lot of money trying to get on the debate stage. what do the polls show? >> he does not at this particular point look like he's going to make it. here's why. this quinnipiac university poll had him at 0%. he needed at least 2% in one more poll. doesn't look like he's going to get it. i don't believe there are any more polls out there, so he's basically done. that means if you look at the e debate lineup, this is what we're looking at for the september debate. all the candidates, the ten candidates on one stage. all these folks. we'll finally get that big matchup between warren and biden that people have been looking forward to. >> cutting that field in half, really, from the last debate. significant culling of the herd. >> exactly. there may be 20-plus candidates in the race right now, but in reality, there's just ten on the debate stage. >> another sobering number for the presi

buttigieg is ahead 49-40 in the quinnipiac poll. the front runner in the democratic race, joe biden, had a meeting with a small group of people yesterday and we are lucky enough to have someone who was in the room with joe biden yesterday in that meeting, nolan mccaskill, describing how the meeting was supposed to go and how joe biden immediately changed the expectation. the report began this way, joe biden's campaign convened a dozen or so black reporters from major media outlets tuesday for what was offered as a private, off the record sitdown with the democratic front runner. but biden opened the discussion, allowing himself to be quoted. and then he started talking and he talked some more and before everyone knew it the former vice president had held forth for 90 minutes, an extraordinary amount of time for a major presidential candidate to meet the media in a single sitting. one of the highlights of the discussion was what joe biden had to say about how he would choose a vice presidential nominee if he wins the democratic presi

the suffolk poll, quinnipiac poll.. so you're seeing a consistency there as well. the other piece of news, though, from this quinnipiac poll, i'm looking at the other end of the poll on the democratic side. tom steyer. needs one more poll at 2% to qualify for the debate. did not get it in the "usa today" suffolk poll that came out earlier today. desperately needs it. he gets -- tom steyer, unless there's a new poll between now and midnight that nobody knows about and has tom steyer at 2%, he won't make that debate stage in mid-september. the other name eliminated today it looks like is tulsi gabbard. she needed both of these polls this morning to put her at 2% to make the debate stage. that will happen for her in neither poll. that means if this holds, one night, one stage, one debate, ten candidates all going head-to-head. >> and, eddie, the last time we had a head-to-head mautchup tha showed donald trump getting trounced by joe biden and other democrats in the field, it's not about what happens a year from now becaus

but she is not the last to drop out. >> okay there is a new poll from quinnipiac showing what's been a consistent factor for all the polls, a strong lead for joe biden there, 32%. 13 points before warren more above sanders. is he the unassailable front runner at this point? particularly with the monmouth poll out earlier looks a outliar. >> he is always right up there. always near the top. never a poll any place step the top three. there is a relevant crvelcro fa him for older voters and moderates that will be hard to shake off. it's interesting to see andrew yang climbing up in the top five. that's an interesting new development. but biden has a velcro lock on a certain set of voters who are not going anywhere. >> one of knows groups that he has a strong lock on are black voters. he has 46 support, the next closest -- they are way behind warren and sanders with 10%. harris just 7%. interview with black journalists. biden said black voters might prefer him and know him and his character. he did caution in 2008 he had more black support in south carolina. about but once he lost big in

use the quinnipiac poll as an example. two things, you mentioned kamala harris, also this biden number, look how far apart they are right now, 32% for biden, kamala harris back at 7%. we've seen this in a few different polls and think back to just two months ago, that first democratic debate here on nbc, you had that showdown, kamala harris went after joe biden, seemed to catch him flat footed. remember, there were polls that came out in the week or two after that debate this had biden support crash into the low 20s, kamala harris surging close to 20%. that happened in the course of the summer, yet here we are at the end of the summer, she has regressed, biden surged back into a lead in this thing in the low 30s. they're back where they started basically. i think it showed you kamala harris obviously in sort of that rehearsed moment she pulled off on the debate stage, she did herself some good. she was not able to follow up on that and again, as you guys were talking about there a minute ago, i think that second debate and

head-to-head match-ups in this quinnipiac poll. almost every single one of the front-runners are beating donald trump in a head-to-head match-up. biden with a big lead. bernie sanders, 53 to 39% over president trump, as is elizabeth warren, as is kamala harris, as is pete buttigieg. democrats right now believe they've got a strong case that if any of these in the top five were taking on president trump, that they could win. also i should point out one difficult number for president trump right now, he's under water right now in trms of his handling of the economy. this has been the strongest number, the part of his support that's been the strongest right now, alex, it shows, according to this poll, that most americans are not necessarily supportive of the way he's handling the economy. >> absolutely crucial because he's going to need a good economy if he is going to be competitive next year. ryan, there is another big political headline today. georgia republican senator johnny isaacson is saying that he is resigning at the end of t

with the election 14 months away, a new quinnipiac poll shows trump trailing each of the top four democratic candidates by double-digits. look at these numbers. former vice president joe biden leads him by 16. senator bernie sanders is up by 14. senator elizabeth warren by 12. senator kamala harris up by 11. meanwhile, new york senator kirsten gillibrand beset by low poll numbers announced late today she is leaving the presidential competition. but the president does not get more than 40% in these polls. in any of the matchups with the democratic front-runners, 40% is his top. trump has held an approval rating in the low 40s in most polls and the real clear politics has him at about 43. trump has been counting on the reasonable process that once the democratic nominee is actually selected at the convention next summer, his position will be strengthened, that he will look better in comparison. but the new numbers out now, the matchup numbers may explain why in recent days we have seen the president attacking everyone he thinks has done him wrong, lobbing attacks at the mayor of san juan in pu

this quinnipiac has him leading. >> i just dug through some of the numbers in this poll. also some really tough numbers for the president of the united states on the economy. >> yeah, he's under water on the economy. his economic approval rating is under water in this poll which is something given that number is his best number. if you look at the matchups against the top four candidates, he's trailing by double digits to all of them in the horse races. >> do we have that graphic? i think that's interesting to see the head to head matchups with pretty much. if not you're saying double digits? >> he didn't crack 40 against any of them. biden holds the largest lead. biden is up around 15 points the same as sanders. >> i have a number which i think explains all of this in terms of the president. for the first time quinnipiac says since president trump was elected more voters say the national economy is getting worse than getting better. >> yeah, and that to me is very troubling news. and given the economic news we've received, we stood over there at the magic wall a few week

that's the current state of play according again to this latest quinnipiac poll.en is beating the president by 18 percentage points among white women, sanders the same and warren 13. anna, what does that mean to you? >> well, it's tremendously good news for democrats. what i would say also is if you look between 2016 and 2018 and in many cases 2018 turnout was almost presidential, there was a big shift among women. trump won white women. democrats broke even with white women, maybe down 2, up 2 depending on the poll so there was a pretty significant shift between '16 and '18 and now it's a bigger shift. so it's a trend. it started really from the moment that he was inaugurated with the women's march. the other thing i'd have to say you have to look internally what's happening. college educated women have moved dramatically to the democrats. we also now are seeing softening on white blue collar women and that's been a strong source of support. there's no way you get to plus 18 if you're not doing okay with white blue collar women. >> first of all, if you go back to

here's a new quinnipiac poll released today. a double digit lead over the rest of the democratic nominees. crucially with 46% support among black voters. let's discuss now. stan herndon is here, stan is with "the new york times". and florida nominee andrew gillum. good evening. >> good evening. >> you were among a handful of reporters that sat down, of black reporters that sat down with joe biden, a round table discussion. it is clear he sees black voters as his key to, at least one of them, maybe the main one, to becoming the president of the united states. he's leaning into this, into that relationship, right? >> yeah, he's talking about it more and more. i think that's for a couple reasons. one, he wants to fend off his reputation of the candidacy geared to white working class. the electability notions we talked about with joe biden before can he peel back some of the democrats that left for president trump. he knows that, he courts that, but he wants to round out that message saying, i can also win working class voters acros

this new poll today, from quinnipiac university, mirrors cnn's poll, and one other, which shows thatll has a significant lead. it turns out that the one earlier this week, from mon mouth, was an outlier because that shows joe bide-a significant dip. i should say the head of that poll even admitted they were. and overall, what do we now see about where this race is? >> well, my view is that at this point, voters are still getting to know everybody. you still got a relatively big field. these polls are usually relatively small sample sizes so you're probably going to have large bands of error. joe biden's got a lot of things going for him at this stage of the race. the question is are those things going to be able to sustain him as the progressive base of the party begins to settle in on a candidate. the thing about the mon mouth poll that was interesting, if you total up the sanders and warren share, it, you know, sort of outstrips whatever biden has, and in that poll or any other poll for that matter so iffy biden i would be a little concerned with that, but at this point there is du

the quinnipiac poll is a problem.what it tells everyone and it tells the president is people are not expecting the economy necessarily to either stay strong or to get better. and in fact, they do not think that president trump's stewardship of the economy or the country is positive. one of the data points in that quinnipiac poll was they felt like more americans felt like the president's policies were hurting the economy than necessarily helping it. so a lot of red flags for the president. and on top of that, nearly every top tier democratic candidate beats him handily if you put them head-to-head. the problem is building the wall doesn't necessarily solve that problem for him when it comes to the voters that need to be persuaded to come over to his side. >> joe, i think the wall is a really interesting illustration though. in the campaign emails, they're already claiming that the wall is being built. it's already been a victory. when the dpb has told our reporters that they're refurbishing of 60 miles of wall that ne

joining me now is mary snow for the quinnipiac university poll. mary, gooed to see you again. let's talk about climate. there is no big distinction amongst people who think climate change is real in america. the question you asked is whether you think it's an emergency. let's see what democrats 84% said it's an emergency of democrats only 14% think it isn't. only 18% of republicans think it's an emergency. 81% don't. but of independents, again, a big majority think it is an emergency. >> yes. so you see partisan divide on this question about urgency. not everyone sees the urgency of climate change. when you take a look also at age groups, young people 18 to 34 lead the way in terms of saying that climate change is an emergency. now, while not everyone sees this urgency, take a look at the number of people saying that the united states is not doing enough to address climate change. that's 67%. that's the highest level. we have been asking this question since 2015. it's been inching higher. this is the highest its been. >> and this is a really important issue for the candidates

a quinnipiac poll shows the top five democrats easily beating the president in the head-to-head match-ups. buttigieg topped the president. >>> how would you like it if this were coming straight at you? a volcano eruption in italy sends people running and boating their their lives. but perhaps this year, a more exhilarating endeavor awaits. defy the laws of human nature,at the summer of audi sales event. get exceptional offers now. here's the story of green mountain coffee roasters costa rica paraÍso. meet sergio. and his daughter, maria. sergio's coffee tastes spectacular. because costa rica is spectacular. so we support farmers who use natural compost. to help keep the soil healthy. and the coffee delicious. for future generations. all for a smoother tasting cup. green mountain coffee roasters. i wasyou could see the look in their eye, like they recognize the smell on you and they'd be like... and you just die a little inside because you knew you, you offended someone. even though i know who i am and i love who i am and i'm very confident, i really like took a hit from people's reactions

. >> reporter: with the next debate two weeks away, a new quinnipiac poll shows biden leading his closestdigits. similar to his advantage in a cnn survey released last week. the quinnipiac poll showing the top five contenders each beating president trump in head to head match-ups. take biden taking his pitch to south carolina. >> we can't just campaign to beat donald trump of black democratic voters are a key components with 46% saying they back the former vice president. biden telling a group of black reporters, people know me. or they think they know me after all this time. they have a sense of my character. >> biden also told that group of reporters that he would prefer to pick a woman or a person of color as his running mate. but he did add that he was not quite ready to commit to that just yet. he wants to make sure that his choice is authentic and that that person will be on the same page as him. >> all right. thank you very much. just ahead, james mattis speaks out with dire new warnings. like you, my hands are everything to me. but i was diagnosed with dupuytren's contracture. and

in fact in that quinnipiac poll, 88% of the people who disapprove in trump's job performance also saidhat they believe he is a racist. that just gives you a sense of how illegitimate he is to the circle of this base. this is just an extraordinary moment in the country. on guns, where we're going from here is very uncertain. the politics of guns have fundamentally changed in the last 25 years. in a way that makes it possible for democrats to go forward but lead the obstacles in the senate. >> this polarization which you outlined there, especially from that poll, it obviously is disturbing, but how does it play out politically? i mean, it only emboldens his base. i guess the concern is, for those who are somewhat on the fringe, if there is anyone? >> there are a couple things here, martin. the first thing is, i don't think trump would turn to this kind of open racism. look at what we're talking about, the go back tweets and comments, attacks on baltimore. i mean, everything that's happened, i don't think he'd do that -- yes, it is his kind of go-to place. fomenting cultural division is w

a new quinnipiac poll out this morning did not qualify anyone new for the debate stage. that same poll showed front runner joe biden with a solid lead. joining me right now to discuss, jeff zeleny, cnn senior washington correspondent, and sahil kapoor with "the washington post." so the next debate lineup seems to be locked in. ten candidates in one night. it's something the top-tier campaigns have wanted to see, something democratic voters have wanted to see. so will this give candidates more time, greater opportunities to explain a little more about themselves? >> fredricka, there's no question that a lot of candidates have been waiting for this and some have not been waiting for this, but the biggest change this is going to do is for the first time put elizabeth warren on stage with joe biden. they have an interesting history. they certainly have some acrimony in their background over bankruptcy bills and laws from senator biden's days in delaware. they have really not talked much directly at each other on the campaign trail. they have very different views on health ca

a quinnipiac poll showing biden firmly leading the pack with 32% followed by warren at 19 and sanders15, kamala harris at 7%, pete buttigieg and andrew yang the only other candidates holding above 1%. meantime, with just a few hours left before tonight's deadline, only ten candidates are likely to qualify for the next democratic debate on september 12th; cory booker, beto o'rourke, amy klobuchar and julian castro joining the cases on stage. sad news tonight, kirsten gillibrand and her desperate attempts by offering t-shirts for $1 donations were all in vain. the new york senator announcing she's dropping out of the race after failing to meet the criteria for the third debate. president trump reacted by tweeting: a sad day for democrats, kirsten gillibrand has dropped out of the presidential primary, i'm glad they never found out he was the one i was afraid of. [laughter] here to break it down, an all-star party panel, and let's get started with republican strategist alexandra wilkes, author of panic attack, robbie suave, and someone else with pointy hair, it is comedian and head write

this is from a new quinnipiac poll out this afternoon.s the president holds fast to his belief that it's a hoax, there remains a striking partisan debate on this issue. it's worth noting that republican leaders in places like florida have woken up on the effects of climate change and aren't afraid of the phrase anymore. also consider trump loyalists like lindsay graham who also happens to be from a coastal stage. he's called on the president to admit that climate change is real. >> i have really taken this issue to heart, and i would encourage the president to look long and hard at the science and find the solution. i'm tired playing defense on the environment. >> republican senator thom tillis went from dismissing climate change as a fiction to now advocating for a massive global response to the program. then there's matt gates from a coastal district as well in the panhandle of florida. he's defended so many trump conspiracy theories it's hard to keep track at times. but climate change, he doesn't defend him on that one because it's sta

shortly after, quinnipiac, biden in front, warren, sanders. you do not 2% or above, the name tom steyer. so tom steyer had two shots this morning to get that magical fourth poll that would put him on the debate stage. he did not get it. tulsi gabbard had two shots to get the two polls she needed. she didn't get it, either. it looks, chris, like there are only ten unless a surprise poll comes out today. that's it, ten candidates, one stage, one debate, one night. >> consistency for joe biden, right, 32-32. double-digit leads. >> the other day we were talking about that monmouth poll, looked like biden was slipping down to 19. was it an outlyer? a number of polls say that was an outlyer. >>> professor at the university of texas school of public affairs and an msnbc contributor. michael singleton worked on the campaigns, and mark bazzle. ba glrks ark baz -- basil, you're sitting here with me. >> with respect to these polls, some really important names don't make it to that stage for the next debate. i'm a new yorker, so the fact that my u.s. sena

pete buttigieg is ahead of trump 49%, 40% in the quinnipiac poll.hat whoever the democrats nominate for president will beat donald trump in the electoral college. she's using the same election modeling that allowed her to predict the big blue wave of 2018 long before most people saw that coming. joining us now is political science professor rachel bitecofer with the lawson center for public policy in new port, virginia. this is your third round here on the "last word." and i actually want to once again start from the beginning and step through this analysis. and, you know, there's a lot of emotional reaction to this kind of talk now because i think there's such a shocked electorate especially on the democratic side that donald trump won before. and i believe that there is an exaggerated notion of donald trump as some kind of super man politically including in the media, which overreacted to donald trump squeaking out the electoral college. >> right. >> and i have not given up on looking at polling information in the traditional way. and all of the p

we will get you those quinnipiac members as soon as they come out, dana. >> dana: what about bill deo, the mayor of new york, what has he said lately? what did he say today. >> you should watch "hannity" he has some head-scratchers. mayor de blasio gave an interview to politico where he said he believes fellow competitor for the white house, senator bernie sanders would have beat then candidate donald trump for the presidency had he been the democratic nominee. that would not be that interesting until you consider that a bill de blasio indoor secretary clinton in her battle against sanders for the nomination and ran the senate campaign. there was a moment where there was a desire for change. jennifer palmieri, clinton's head of communications emailed in response writing omg, if he thinks that bernie would have been trumped, then he should've had the foresight to endorse him in 2016, his view is of little importance now. politico reports that he named sanders as a candidate who would most likely be wanting to road trip with. converting republicans to democrats saying that that would b

the quinnipiac poll shows bide within 32% of the support, followed by elizabeth warren, 21%. up 6 points since the last debate. sanders has 14%. kamala harris 7% and pete buttigieg is at 5%. sanders wrapped up a two-davis to it southern california and toured sites yesterday. he held a round table discussion on the subject of calling homelessness a crisis that's been ignored for a long time and can affect anybody. >> when they lose their job, or landlord raises their rent and they find they and their kids can't find affordable housing and it's not them but me who is out on the streets. >> before a rally at long beach college, a man was arrested for posting a violent threat against senator sanders. >>> voters in san francisco will be electing a new district attorney in november, for the first time, no incumbent. four candidates are in the running. amber lee was at the debate where they faced off before hundreds of voters. >> reporter: supporters for each of the four candidates held sign on the steps of uc hastings before the debate started. on stage, were the candidates. a form

quinnipiac, the most prominent amongst them.really where democrats are, here. i think the most important stories how stable joe biden's frontrunner status has been. are you surprised by this? >> jason: have never heard the words "stable" and "joe biden posted in the same sentence. [laughter] as someone who never votes for democratic and would never vote for joe biden, i don't understand the appeal of looking to yesterday. i think it represents everything that is wrong. i just don't see the appeal. but i do understand, having looked at that poll, they just want somebody who can beat trump. but i think biden versus company debate, i relish that i don't think he would prevail but democrats sit to choose what they want to choose. i just don't see the appeal. and the vision, if you will come of joe biden. i don't get it. >> jessica: it's the obama-biden vision. that's what we are banking on. biden is over 90% popular amongst all democrats, 99% approval amongst african-american voters. his candidacy does make sense when you considered

in a few quinnipiac university poll released today, 41% of voters said that president trump's policies are hurting the nation's economy, 37% said president trump's policy are helping the nation's economy, and those numbers are not numbers that bode well for the president's reelection to put it mildly. this is the kind of story where we need to turn to people with real experience working on economic policy in a real white house, and we need people with full fluency in republican economic policy before trump, and what it has become during trump, and we have that full range of expertise covered by our first two guests tonight. we're joined by jayson -- jason ferman, currently a professor of the practice of economic policy at harvard's school, and jennifer reuben an opinion writer at "the washington post" who never had to struggle hard to find agreement with republican economic policy until republican economic policy became trump economic policy. jennifer is an msnbc contributor. jason, you worked on obamacare and many things under president obama, often referred to as one of the architect

the quinnipiac poll, 8:00 a.m.ours from now, about 8:19 from now, the quinnipiac poll is coming out. the dnc counts that poll. if tom steyer is at 2% in that poll, tom steyer is in the debate. if tulsi gabbard's in that poll, she's one poll away from making it. she could get her fourth poll in the "usa today"/suffolk poll coming out tomorrow. tom steyer, two shots. if in either one of these polls he can hit 2%, he can join the candidates on the debate stage. tulsi gabbard would need 2% in both polls. marianne williamson, there really isn't a scenario for her unless there are more polls coming out tomorrow. realistically speaking the drama is around tom steyer, maybe tulsi gabbard too. it's a question, are you going to have a one-stage debate for the first time? or are we going to have another one of those multi-night affairs? we will know 24 hours from now. >>> raise your hand if you're being outspent in the 2020 presidential election. when the "the 11th hour" continues. - in the last year, there were three victims

he's at 32% in the two new polls out today, "usa today" poll and quinnipiac poll. you were here yesterday. we focused on the ad, very deeply personal telling of his personal tragedy, which also brought him deep into the american health care system. i know you did some digging around. tell us what you learned. >> i always try to follow up on the homework assignments you give me, nicolle. >> if anyone can find out, garrett can. >> i'm told by sources in the biden campaign that this ad was produced in-house. like any modern campaign, there's two parts to this, the emotional ad that they put on television airing in iowa that we talked about and digital followup. the television ad is the bait and television ad the hook. the television ad tells us why this matters to joe biden and the digital ad will it tell folks who do a little research what he claims to do. i asked joe biden about this at his press gaggle after the first event today, the decision to talk about something that is so deeply personal with him, that he normally talks about one on one with voters on televis

. >>> in a quinnipiac poll biden beats president trump by double digits. senator sanders warren and harris poll about 50% in a matchup against the president. >>> facebook enacting new stricter rules for political ads. the social platform advertisers trying to mislead users as to who was funding the ads. the label confirmed organization will now indicate an advertiser has been verified. to earn this label tax id numbers a government domain name and federal election commission number are required. >>> facebook has been under fire since the 2016 election. the ceo pledged to fix how it handles political advertising. the new rules go into effect and mid-september. facebook said if an advertiser doesn't provide information by mid-october it will pause and organizations ads. >>> the live news desk list take you to southern california los angeles. that is a car chase. that just concluded a little while ago. the two suspects in this vehicle driving erratically. being chased by police through the community of bell gardens. you can see them hopping over speed bumps l

they fed the president down against every major democratic candidate in this quinnipiac poll.fficult time with women voters and with black voters and biden is going to feel happy about this paul compared to the monmouth one, which had him losing ground. >> monmouth poster, extremely well respected and no one is certainly criticizing him for the methodology there, even published a note saying this is clearly an outlier. we had three national polls since then that show us back to normal with biden up about 12 or 13 points. but the 16-point edge in the head-to-head with president trump certainly has the biden camp smiling there and somewhat say 50% went african-american voters. i can't emphasize enough how important it is that people consider the fact that the road to the democratic nomination into victory in 2020 runs through communities of color for the democratic party. elizabeth warren is surgeon, but she is not surging with that community. you can't get there without it. >> martha: i just want to change gears here for a moment. you've done a lot of reporting on the president

and a quinnipiac poll came out today. a 14 candidates at 1% or lower.get out. it's been passed time for people to get out and this was the democratic party of a stress plan all along, have to go debates were very inclusive. two nights of ten people on each night. when september arrived, to start putting the field. now it looks like you're going to have a 10-person debate, which is a lot, but at least it's one night. >> bret: we should point out that no candidate at this point, republican or democrat, has been 1% or less and gone on to win back the presidency. jimmy carter in 1975 was at 2%. even though this is still early, it still history. okay, mollie, what about the president weighing in here. >> and actually -- i previously placed a bet on the possibility that the eventual nominee hasn't even entered the race yet. i feel like this might be one of those weird years where anything could happen. it does seem like people haven't coalesced around a particular person, but kirsten gillibrand was failing to gain anything in donor support. >> bret: two gover

candidates and a very strong presidential nominee in the political world frankly looks like the quinnipiacls today where every democrat is beating president trump divisively in hypothetical matchups that, yes, you could see a situation where democrats get to 52, 53 senate seats in 2020. the prosecute em that democrats have right now, though, is kind of a weak bench in georgia where the republicans -- >> a lot of states have a weak bench in these competitive races. >> you look at the people who are named for possible replacements who would be running for that seat for isakson who brian kemp the republican governor would get to a point. people like attorney general chris carr, those are bigger names than the people who are even running right now to go after the current seat that we were all focused on. and that is against senator david purdue. so democrats need a candidate, and then as you mentioned they're going to need a presidential nominee who is strong in georgia and the sun belt. >> what i'm wondering is when republicans -- this has been quite the month, there's been a mini exodus of j

. >>> the latest quinnipiac poll showing elizabeth warren making gains and kamala harris losing ground. joe bidden remains the front runner. he has 32% of the vote. warren with 21%. harris just 7%. now, two weeks ago warren had 15%, harris with close to 12%. >>> speaking of senator harris, she appeared on "meet the press" this morning accusing the trump administration of waging a campaign of terror against minority communities. she mentioned mississippi specifically. >> this administration has directed dhs to conduct these raids as part of what i believe is this administration's campaign of terror, which is to make whole populations of people afraid to go to work, children are afraid to do to school for fear when they come home their parents won't be there. >> she said she believed russia used the issue of race to disrupt the 2016 presidential election. senator elizabeth warren her goal as president would be to cut the number of gun violence deaths by 80ers. key parts of her plan include investigating the nra for corruption and hiking taxes on guns and ammunition. anyone convicted of a

pete buttigieg is ahead of trump 49%, 40% in the quinnipiac poll. that whoever the democrats nominate for president will beat donald trump in the electoral college. she's using the same election modeling that allowed her to predict the big blue wave of 2018 long before most people saw that coming. joining us now is political science professor rachel bitecofer with the lawson center for public policy in new port, virginia. this is your third round here on the "last word." and i actually want to once again start from the beginning and step through this analysis. and, you know, there's a lot of emotional reaction to this kind of talk now because i think there's such a shocked electorate especially on the democratic side that donald trump won before. and i believe that there is an exaggerated notion of donald trump as some kind of super man politically including in the media, which overreacted to donald trump squeaking out the electoral college. >> right. >> and i have not given up on looking at polling information in the traditional way. and all of the

. >>> in a quinnipiac poll biden beats president trump by double digits.ator sanders warren and harris poll about 50% in a matchup against the president. >>> facebook enacting new stricter rules for political ads. the social platform advertisers trying to mislead users as to who was funding the ads. the label confirmed organization will now indicate an advertiser has been verified. to earn

[laughter] dagen: we got another poll the quinnipiac comes out. >> fantastic, bring it on.en: we talk about polls because it's interesting, that's why. also on deck attorney general from the state of north carolina jack to talk about the state's concerns over vaping and what north carolina is doing, partner to talk china, pennsylvania congressman and member of house labor to veteran affairs and chief of staff to vice president mike pence marc short on trade and former fed official wrote the resistance among former fed officials, i will leave it at that. let's look at futures, 44-point gain, gains across at the moment amid more uncertainty of any trade deal between united states and china, the chinese foreign ministry not aware of any weekend phone calls between china and u.s. trade representatives, president trump said there were two calls at the g7 summit, counselor to the president kellyanne conway to talk to martha on story last night weighing on on whether a deal would be reached with president xi? >> the president is open to continuing talks and negotiations, he's made

cable news to cover the economy, to cover anything outside of maybe a snippet about jobs or the quinnipiac pool which talks about how more americans are concerned about the economy. to have story after story about what americans are facing at the ground level to make ends meet. the reason why we focus on the economy so much is because we have to be intentional about it for it to get coverage. there are so many other things going on. to get people to focus on these particular things is always a real challenge. just setting aside the policy for a minute, the one thing we see more and more around people's concern with this administration is the chaos. the ongoing chaos that comes every single day. picking fights with allies, trade wars and tariffs, issues around race and justice. we continually see -- not about ideology. people just want our leaders to stop and pause. they don't want a new crisis manufactured and created by washington every day. i think it's really important that while we need to take donald trump on, our candidate and the nominee have a forward vision for the country. and th

. >> quinnipiac poll says 80% of african-americans believe your rhetoric is racist. why is that message not getting out? pres. trump: because the press doesn't talk about what i have accomplished for african-americans. they don't. they don't talk about criminal justice reform. i did it. i had to really twist arms. it was hard to get some of the people. and we got it. it is being hailed -- many people hail it, they talk about it, but they don't even mention i had anything to do with it. it could not have happened without me. i was the one that was able to get it done, so if the press fairly -- i don't want to complain. i am president, right? how bad could it be? the truth is if i was not able to get out my own message, i would not be elected anything, because the press is very unfair. if the press did treat me fairly, i would have tremendous support from the african-american communities. when kanye west comes out and supports me, it has a big impact. jim brown, amanda hollanfield, holyfield, mike tyson, so many athletes, representatives, and so many more. when kanye d

heather: let's look at two of the latest polls, usa today quinnipiac polls which show biden in the lead. biden and sanders were tied at the top but we see biden back in the lead, harris, buttigieg at fourth and fifth place but the top ten, we can bring the qualifications they all had to pass to meet the threshold to qualify, had to earn donations from 130,000 people, four polls showing them at 2% or more. we have kirsten gillibrand who has dropped out, tulsi gabbard who did not make it for this around and she using the dnc needs more transparency. what do you think of that? >> she is a pretty spectacular candidate and she took on harris, dropped her down from one of the top contenders to be an also-ran. i think the democrats, a tough situation because they have to whittle down the field. they had 20 in the last debate, now they have 10. i can't blame the democrats for doing it that some candidates like the congresswoman are not going to be in it and that is a shame for american voters. jillian: -- heather: slamming the trumpet ministration for moving fema funds to the border but there a

lou: new "quinnipiac poll" finds 12 of dems 2020 hopefuls are polling at 0%.know amongst these dems who they would vote for. that quite a category. and 1% of voters who would not vote at all. it may be time in fact for those candidates to reconsider their -- well ther there their presidl aspirations. >> frank -- spewing speechous nonsense on nbc's air. nbc not objecting it was directed at president trump. listen to the connection between the had the's act of mourning and his order to fly our flags at half-staff for 5 days, and nazi. >> president said that we will fly our flags at half-mast. until august 8. that is 8-8, the numbers 8-8 are significant in neo-nazi and white su supremacy movement, because the letter h is the eighth letter in the alphabet, to them, 8--8 to them is heil hitler. lou: that fel fellow is stone cd peculiar. i don't know him. i would not want to. he is talk about just -- >> unhinged. lou: white a whack job. >> hea let me tell you who appod him at fbi that is robert mueller, he has been on hsnbc for last two and a half years, spouting to

if you look at that quinnipiac poll from a couple weeks ago, trump is peaking at 39%.ssibly a third party candidate as well, he doesn't really have margin for error right now. what's interesting, when you start to dig into these polls is where his standing is on individual issues. as you mentioned, he's sort of below water on the economy right now. that was the only issue he was doing well. you look at the other things, health care and national security, even his view on immigration, there are a vast amount of americans who disagree with his policy. what we have found is no matter what news happens, good or bad, trump's approval ratings essentially sort of stay in the low 40s, high 30s. >> around 42 pretty much, right? that's where it tends to always fall. what does that mean, then? if it can stay in that range, is that good for the president? chris? >> what it means is his only path to victory is one of two things. it's a third party candidate needs to jump in there or he needs to trash the democratic nominee and bring that person down to his level. it's not thought t