raphael bostic saying we should stay there for a long time. jim bullard saying a similar thing. so it does feel like there is a consensus at least about getting there and holding rather than cutting right away, which is what the market has come to anticipate. dan, you are talking about how the data rolls in, and it feels like the data that rolled in at 10:00 a.m. eastern was overshadowed by pal's speech. inflation expectations did take down. is that all gas prices? what is your read on that? dan: it's a good question, and i have always been a little nervous about relying too much on inflation expectations as a guide to policy. you know, intuitively of course you can see how the expectations of businesses and households matter for the future course of inflation. but we don't have a very good idea of what changes expectations, and i think there is a fair amount of evidence for the proposition to which you just alluded, that at least for short-term consumer inflation expectations gas prices have a very, very big effect. and, of course, those fluctuate with much less attention, or m