we have polster scott rasmussen from new jersey. great to see you. we saw the numbers at the end of the week that showed mitt romney was losing ground to obama. nine points in our fox news poll and 7 point in the cnn poll. people said he needs to make a bold move and needs to make it now. do you think in terms of public opinion it will turn things around and if yes, why. >> start with the premise that he was in trouble. it does show him down 9. but those following the race it is a tossum and that is a good approximateliation. we show romney up by two in the rasmussen daily tracking poll right now. i think the campaign is very close and romney is a slight favorite to win. the pick will determed in the next 48 or 72 hours. right now. 39 percent of voters nationwide have a favorable opinion of rhine. 29 percent unfavor and independent voters most don't know who he is and opinions are soft. there will be a battle to define and introduce paul ryan. >> how hard do you think those numbers are scott in deepest darkest dolled rum of summer and most of the cou

here now is ace pollster scott rasmussen, founder and president of rasmus report.our headline poll today, 50% now view ryan favorably. he's come up in the last two or three days. what can you tell us about that? >> well, he did come up. and largely that's because a lot of people didn't know who he was before he was introduced. political junkies and activists were aware of ryan but a lot of americans weren't. 50% favorable, 32% unfavorable. a lot of that is simply because if you're a romney dpan, you want to be excited about this. and so people that back mitt romney and demographics that back republicans are saying we really like this ryan guy. >> he's drawing huge crowds, scott. >> sure is. i think 7 out of 10 republicans had a favorable opinion of ryan before he was selected. that number has moved up. he is adding energy to the base. before the selection, most romney supporters said this was the election between lesser of two evils. so ryan is perhaps giving them a more positive reason to support the romney-ryan ticket. >> i want to put wisconsin in the play becau

eric rasmussen is live to show us some of the damage and what protesters are doing right now. >> reporter: police just arrived here outside this office in the last 10 or 15 minutes you can see the windows have been smashed out. our cameras started following this crowd you were talking about. some in the crowd of maybe 100 or 200 broke off and started smashing the windows here as you see at the oe obama campaign office. i talked to one man who was working here he said there's actually a lot of people inside this organizers for america office. he said they were having a meeting when a couple of people started smashing the window with what looked like metal bars. he said he heard shouting from the crowd saying leave marijuana alone. however as our cam ares continued to follow the crowd that made its way through the streets here in downtown oakland tonight. one of our photographers randy diesen was also handed a flier from one of the protesters and they said this is what it was about. it was a flier blasting oakland police for the shooting of 18- year-old allen become luford back in may. ther

eric rasmussen is live to show us some of the damage and what protesters are doing right now. >> reporter: police just arrived here outside this office in the last 10 or 15 minutes you can see the windows have been smashed out. our cameras started following this crowd you were talking about. some in the crowd of maybe 100 or 200 broke off and started smashing the windows here as you see at the oe obama campaign office. i talked to one man who was working here he said there's actually a lot of people inside this organizers for america office. he said they were having a meeting when a couple of people started smashing the window with what looked like metal bars. he said he heard shouting from the crowd saying leave marijuana alone. however as our cam ares continued to follow the crowd that made its way through the streets here in downtown oakland tonight. one of our photographers randy diesen was also handed a flier from one of the protesters and they said this is what it was about. it was a flier blasting oakland police for the shooting of 18- year-old allen become luford back in may. ther

rasmussen has them up four. gallup has them even. rasmussen's likely voters. gallup is registered voters. you know how polls at this time of the year are rather erratic. but those two polls take daily counting. so with all due respect to the other polls that everybody is referencing, these in my opinion, are the two gold standards historically and this year. secondly, i do disagree with you that the romney campaign did not jump on the obama ad. the governor himself attacked it quite aggressively, and the romney campaign today has put out an ad using the obama ad as the base against which they're questioning his character. i actually do think that the long-term effect of the obama attacks is going to hurt obama more than romney. but having said that, let me explain where we are in the campaign. we're about it two or three weeks in front of the convention. we're still in the primary season. governor romney's campaign spent all their primary money on the primaries that he had to fight. they knew obama would be saving his, quote, primary money, unquote, until july

but rasmussen has a very -- tells a different story. margie, you can close it. >> well, i would direct, i know a lot of your viewers want to look at the data. i would direct people to huffington post pollster. look at all the past data. all the past polls to see how these numbers have been consistent except for two points where those wrong track numbers really spiked higher than they are right now. during the debt ceiling showdown and waning days of the bush administration. >> laura: approval for obama on the economy is terrible. we appreciate it plenty more as the factor moves along this tonight. battle of dueling ad. both campaigns without new spots. who is more effective. military veterans critical of president obama are now accused of using their uniforms for partisan politics. we hope you stay tuned for all those reports. >> laura: in the unresolved problem segment tonight, we are just about two months away from the election. the political ad war is a take no prisoner situation. both obama and romney teams put out new ones today. t

that they note those polls were snap shot in time and not the daily tracking polls like gall up and rasmussen which has a narrow margin. and they make the point when the running mate is announce ready to go to the republican national convention. they will combine for a 11 point bounce. it is rare that a campaign would put a number. and they expect to get a wave of momentum to put them in the lead by the time they end the republican convention in tampa florida and they start in north carolina literally the next week. >> it may not be too difficult to get the len point. and bill clinton, he got the grand prize it was 16 points coming out of the democratic convention in 1992, as he made the announcement, romney misspoke himself and tell us about that. >> well, yes. he had initially mentioned paul ryan and running mate as vice-presidential nominee and when he literally brought paul ryan to the stage he referred to him the next president of the united states and then corrected himself . take a listen. >> join me in vehicling the next president of the united states. paul ryan. ♪ every now and then,

he's not. >> i wanted to end with a segment from rasmussen reports.y asked people will the media try to help obama, help romney or offer unbiased coverage? >> there are the numbers on your screen, shocking. 51% believe the media are out to help obama and 22% offer unbiased coverage. remember that. if you see something that you feels shows evidence of media bias. up next, will the next big political debates be fair and balanced. . >> the debate commission names the members of the media who moderate the big debate and ignites a big debate on who got picked. will one side have a big >> the debate commission announced the moderators for this year's vice-presidential debates this week. they are cbs's bob shiver and candy crowley and jim lehrer and abc's martha, what do you think of the lineup? >> the establishment right there. and what we should expect of the symbol of the establishmentism. and it's a shame, brit hume i think did the best interview so far with paul ryan wasn't included in there. >> good choices, bad choices. >> absolutely, how can you not

and scott rasmussen from rasmussen reports from new jersey, what's the results of the fch practicingobama is up. he woulden by 7 the last time and includes some states that are on the fridge of what you might call swing states like michigan, pennsylvania, states expected to go for the president, all 11 of the states were won by president obama four years ago, and they include everything from states that lean to obama down to the pure tossups of ohio, virginia, and florida e so this is an average of the 11 states? >> that's correct. if this average moves to the point where they're tied, in all 11 states, that probably means romney is going to winnowo virginia and florida. if the president can get into the range he's in right now, 2, 3, 4 points in his favor it means the race for the white house is a tossup. is there a trend in the swing states towards the president or towards hess challenger? >> there really hasn't been much trend in any of the polling. we saw the president up for 3 points the best in a couple of months, but really, it's just at the upper end of the range, he's gettin

om on 2 tonight ktvu's eric rasmussen share why some are wondering if the men have done this before?rter: it happened so quickly a man with a gun was on top of this jewelry storeowner and her husband before they knew. it as the gunman jumped over- the-counter two others moved in behind him, five cameras inside juliana's fine jewelry recorded the robbery that lasted 53 seconds friday morning. >> it was fast and brutal. >> reporter: when one employee made a run for the door they tackled him down and the 87-year-old man went after the man with it gun before he was slammed to the floor, hit his head on i jewelry case. but when the masked-men mad their getaway, one camera caught a clean view of least one of their faces. >> he came in through the front door with a sledgehammer through the glass. >> reporter: a day earlier on the other side of the bay, pave's jewelry store in oakland was the target of a similar robbery. a series of surveillance cameras at the jewelry store gave employees a good look at the men who were about to rob them and a buzzer slowed them down just enough to everyone

joining us today scott rasmussen , president of rasmussen reports.at i can tell from your data and you collected daily, you are seeing a trend downward in a absolutely. when we talk about investor confidence right now, it is down six points over the last week. down ten over the last three months. the only good news i can tell you about investor confidence overall is that it is not as bad as it was in 2009 and 2010. lori: scott, hi there. thank you for coming on. 64% of consumers say we are in the recession. technically we are not. when you talk about a self-fulfilling prophecy and majority of people think we are already there and these are savvy investors, that is concerning the neck right. it is concerning. every single night for more than four years, coming up on close to five years now, majority of americans believe we are in a recession. they do not believe we are talking about a double dip. part of the reasons is the job crisis. part of the reason is what they see in the housing market. whatever it is, people have not believed we came out of the

eric rasmussen, ktvu news. >>> arsonists suspected to have been the cause of yesterday's grass fire in palo alto. flames broke out shortly after 4:00 p.m. in the preserve. after a fire started a witness reported seeing a suspicious person at the scene. the suspect was detained but later released. a total of five small fires had been intentionally set in the area. the investigation remains open. >>> a sacramento superior court judge refused to ordering a change. a group says the wording is misleading. ballot descriptions are written be i the state attorney general. the judge has set a ruling for tomorrow for the prosecutors to make a final ruling in the case. >>> jobless claims dropped by 6,000 to a seasonally adjusted 360,000. economists had predicted the number would rise by 5,000. the total number of people receiving benefits fell by 200,000 to 5.8 million. >>> hundreds of people lined up today outside the metrion in san francisco. it was the first day of a job fair to hire employees for a target store opening at the complex. the line of people hoping to apply wrapped around the corn

eric rasmussen is live, where the criticism is coming from several directions, eric. >> reporter: itis and the issue came up tonight over a protest of the police shooting of bluford. someone put a giant pink slip on the doors of the city hall demanding the officer that shot bluford be fired. and the talk of opd got things fired up. >>> the parents of allen bluford led this rally at city hall. bluford's mother insists hpd isn't sharing information about her son. >> that's not cooperating, that's not standing up for justice. that's not getting to the bottom of what's going on. >> reporter: the police department's handling of the shootings was among the number of new concerns raised in the latest report by a federal monitor appointed to investigate reform. it could mean that the department is closer to federal take over. >> are you concerned that this department is pushed into take over. >> reporter: part of the solution is putting more officers on the street. >> right about here is when i realized they were on my tail. >> reporter: aronnte kings says three men tried to rob her. but she

we're live here in fremont, eric rasmussen. >>> contra costa county officials are now focusing theirorts to control west nile virus in the west side of the county. a dead bird found in el sobrante tested positive the disease. it was picked up in san pablo road. >>> republican presidential candidate mitt romney spent the day campaigning in colorado following a week long trip over seas. people told people gathered that he has a plan to make the nation energy independent. >> in eight years we're going get a north america energy independent where we don't have to buy any oil from the middle east or venezuela. >> reporter: romney will name his vice president mate later this month in florida. >>> all i'm asking is, that we go back for folks like me for the top 2%, go back to the rates we played under bill clinton. by the way, if you remember that was when our economy created nearly 23 million new jobs, the biggest budget surplus in history and a whole lot of millionaires to boot. >> reporter: president obama started his campaign day in florida before moving to virginia. he continued to pus

eric rasmussen, ktvu news. >>> arsonists suspected to have been the cause of yesterday's grass fire inlo alto. flames broke out shortly after 4:00 p.m. in the preserve. after a fire started a witness reported seeing a suspicious person at the scene. the suspect was detained but later released. a total of five small fires had been intentionally set in the area. the investigation remains open. >>> a sacramento superior court judge refused to ordering a change. a group says the wording is misleading. ballot descriptions are written be i the state attorney general. the judge has set a ruling for tomorrow for the prosecutors to make a final ruling in the case. >>> jobless claims dropped by 6,000 to a seasonally adjusted 360,000. economists had predicted the number would rise by 5,000. the total number of people receiving benefits fell by 200,000 to 5.8 million. >>> hundreds of people lined up today outside the metrion in san francisco. it was the first day of a job fair to hire employees for a target store opening at the complex. the line of people hoping to apply wrapped around the corner

eric rasmussen is live, where the criticism is coming from several directions, eric. >> reporter: itnd the issue came up tonight over a protest of the police shooting of bluford. someone put a giant pink slip on the doors of the city hall demanding the officer that shot bluford be fired. and the talk of opd got things fired up. >>> the parents of allen bluford led this rally at city hall. bluford's mother insists hpd isn't sharing information about her son. >> that's not cooperating, that's not standing up for justice. that's not getting to the bottom of what's going on. >> reporter: the police department's handling of the shootings was among the number of new concerns raised in the latest report by a federal monitor appointed to investigate reform. it could mean that the department is closer to federal take over. >> are you concerned that this department is pushed into take over. >> reporter: part of the solution is putting more officers on the street. >> right about here is when i realized they were on my tail. >> reporter: aronnte kings says three men tried to rob her. but she's b

we're live here in fremont, eric rasmussen. >>> contra costa county officials are now focusing theiro control west nile virus in the west side of the county. a dead bird found in el sobrante tested positive for the disease. it was picked up in san pablo road. >>> republican presidential candidate mitt romney spent the day campaigning in colorado following a week long trip over seas. people told people gathered that he has a plan to make the nation energy independent. >> in eight years we're going get a north america energy independent where we don't have to buy any oil from the middle east or venezuela. >> reporter: romney will name his vice president mate later this month in florida. >>> all i'm asking is, that we go back for folks like me for the top 2%, go back to the rates we played under bill clinton. by the way, if you remember that was when our economy created nearly 23 million new jobs, the biggest budget surplus in history and a whole lot of millionaires to boot. >> reporter: president obama started his campaign day in florida before moving to virginia. he continued to push

live here in union city, eric rasmussen, ktvu, channel 2 news. >>> and you can get ktvu news to go. download the ktvu app, click the live icon, and you can watch all of our news live from your app. >> temperatures tomorrow, we can subtract about 4 or 5 degrees off these numbers. it's going to be cooler. fog is not there now. but tomorrow morning, the computer model pretty aggressive with this. the fog back big time. we're going to see more of a westerly flow. not sure there will be this much fog. i think it will be patchy. by the afternoon and evening, it will really be in. temperatures trending down. i'll let you know what you can expect as we go into the 10:45 hour. i'm going to have the five-day forecast with the bay area weekend in view. >>> the search for two women caught on surveillance video. >> but up fi [ female announcer ] you want family dinner to be special. dad, we want pizza. you guys said tacos. [ female announcer ] it doesn't always work out that way. you know what? we're spending too much money on eating out anyway. honey, come look at this. [ female announcer ] my

joining us now is scott rasmussen himself of rasmussen reports and the author of "the people's money. you were talking about, foreign policy as well, you want to start with foreign policy? as we know, governor romney just returned from his overseas trip. >> kelly, really doesn't matter where we start. the numbers are evenly divide. we asked who is better to deal with our allies and 44% say it's president obama. 44% say it's mittevery week whee talk about how the poll of the real clear poll which has a loft registered voter polls shows the president up by a couple points. likely voter polls like ours show romney autopsy couple of points. i think the thing that perhaps revealed the state of the race more than anything else this past week, the obama campaign placed a $77 million ad in eight swing states, all states that the president won the last time around. those states had 100 electoral votes and that's where the election will be decided unless something big changes between now examine november. >> kelly: does that suggest he's worried about his status in those states? >> it certainly

and we have a former adviser to the house republican conference, and independent pollster, scott rasmussen is with us. nice to have you with us. >> great to be with you. >> we have a lot of great viewer questions because we do talk about the polling numbers and the questions of why are they that way is what the viewers want to know. a great question, david, from one of our viewers, scott jones. he wants to know: is 2012 shaping up to be another reagan 1980? where reagan was in the polls, compared to carter. do you see a similar pattern in this election? >> i think there is an opportunity for that. when you take a looka this has been an even race, you are looking at a sitting president, the economy's gone atrociously for. the challenge to governor romney is to provide that alternative. i think the selection of ryan clearly indicates that he knows to make that alternative and make that -- lay that out. that's the challenge. if he can do that, which is reagan did, there is the possibility of that outcome. >> bernard, what do you think about the comparison, when it comes to the number, want ne

that is the lowest level of optimism ever measured by rasmussen.ght really? kids today seem like they have it pretty good. they have every techno log call device under the sun. they seem spoiled. so are parents being worried about their kids? >> greg: i say they do have it worse than kids in '90s but i'm talking about like '98. every person born has a longest life span than the person born before because technology improved, the healthcare improved. everything is improved. you have an easier life. is it not our fault if you waste it on video game and porn. that's your choice. a lot of times they make it worse by their own doing and live their life publicly. when you live your life publicly, you punish yourself publicly. social network and twitter. >> dana: they don't know any other way, though. >> greg: that is the scary part. >> dana: they had things we didn't. >> andrea: building on that, what about women? they're graduating at a disproportionately higher rate from college and earning more. do they have it worse than their mothers did? >> dana: i

live here in union city, eric rasmussen, ktvu, channel 2 news. >>> and you can get ktvu news to go. download the ktvu app, click the live icon, and you can watch all of our news live from your app. >> temperatures tomorrow, we can subtract about 4 or 5 degrees off these numbers. it's going to be cooler. fog is not there now. but tomorrow morning, the computer model pretty aggressive with this. the fog back big time. we're going to see more of a westerly flow. not sure there will be this much fog. i think it will be patchy. by the afternoon and evening, it will really be in. temperatures trending down. i'll let you know what you can expect as we go into the 10:45 hour. i'm going to have the five-day forecast with the bay area weekend in view. >>> the search for two women caught on surveillance video. >> but up first, we're going to go live to new orleans, where a curfew is in place right now. isaac's threat is still very real. a game changer. ♪ it means cleaner, cheaper american-made energy. but we've got to be careful how we get it. design the wells to be safe. thousands of jobs. us

gregg: all right, scott rasmussen of rasmussen reports. some of the latest polling date a.tt, thank you very much. >> thank you, gregg. martha: fox news alert the taliban is now claiming responsibility for shooting down a nato helicopter in afghanistan. that caused a crash that killed 11 people, including seven u.s. troops. the blackhawk was shot down in the southern part of afghanistan. we are told that four afghans have also been killed in this. three members of the country's security forces and one civilian interpreter. nato is investigating the crash and has commented on these claims by the taliban. gregg: more than a dozen people are dead in a string of bombings across central and northern iraq. more than half of the blast targeting the city of kirkuk. a car bomb exploded outside a restaurant and a second bomb detonated targeting the officers rushing to the scene and a third attack targeting the home of a military officer. this is at the center of an oil-rich center home t home. martha: we have to warn you that this video is very graphic. people were literally digging

more breaking news, mitt romney is now back ahead in the daily rasmussen poll.nd president obama 44. and now shows a swing to romney. to the big board, and a bet that ben bernanke is going to print. the dow is up 111 points. if he prints, the dollar goes down, up goes stock and by the way up goes oil. up $1 a barrel and the mayor of costa mesa says he's the victim of union thuggery, he says that a private investigator working for the police union placed a 911 call falsely accusing him of being drunk and the police came to his house and gave him a sobriety test and he passed, but he says the tactics are widely used by the unions. >> what's happened, i've gotten calls from all over california from theski council people, from city managers just shaken down and the intimidation is unbelievable. one of the final things on the play book to tell you as a police officer or a union representative to go ahead and get what you want, focus on an individual, avoid spreading your energy and focus on a city manager or council person and keep the pressure on until that person a

this is dead even in the rasmussen. 45-45. that report also showed ohio's opinion of paul ryan, midwestern guy, porn% favorable. 39% unfavorable. favorable for ohio. what do you think? >> look, i think we are likely to see this duplicated in a lot of places. as people get to know this attractive 42-year-old, thoughtful, reasonable, sensible, constructive member of the congress, they are going to say, that's a good choice. not only that, he's a truth teller who takes complex issues with deficit, debt and government and break its down in terms we understand paul ryan's district was won by al gore, won by barack obama and after his first race, which he won with 57% tpaul has been re-elected 6 times with 63 to 68% of the vote. and in a blue-collar, democratic-leaning district, he can carry the message to the people who will decide the election. >> sean: you are right. every modern democratic president has won ryan's district. obama won by 4 points and he has 60-some-odd percent -- >> 68. >> sean: well, he split the ticket. people

. >> i'm going to be skeptical of what you are saying here until i see a gallup or rasmussen or a fox news poll that reflects that but be that as it may, that's what you are putting forth. >> but, you know, the other point, bill, is that in all of stuff, he has not gained a point he hasn't gained a point fox news has him up from it's all over the place. >> rasmussen has him down by 4 and gallup has him down by two. >> polling now doesn't mean much. >> my point is it's expects the exact same polling as it was five months ago. >> bill: explain to the folks negative campaign that can work what is the difference? >> for negative ad to work. it has to tap into a preexisting view that people already have of the target. it can't just be new information. if i put an ad out there that says bill o'reilly abuses dogs or something. >> bill: careful. >> people are not going to believe it on the other hand, if i put an ad out there that says he abuses guests on his show. >> bill: oh, now we are in bad territory: the president's acolytes basically put forth that mitt romney and paul ryan want to hur

we got the latest from the scott rasmussen polling on the swing states.president obama against mitt romney. and 47-44. that's a 3 point advantage to the president, yesterday, it was a 4 point advantage to the president. and we're going to keep you up-to-date on the swing state tracking poll daily because that's where the election is going to be decided. and oh, i'm waiting for president obama, because he is about to come out and start speaking on the storm. he's going to be a few minutes late. and i want to talk about this, the swing states. i'm laying it on thick here that the swing states decide the election. am i going too far, too strong, brian? >> no, it's been, that's been the the case. stuart: it is? >> that's the case for the last several election cycles and i think that's the case this time. the only way it's wrong is that sometime in october with the debates, that the electorate just turns off the incumbent and decided goes with the challenger. at that point it goes beyond, but until that happens i think you're right, it's the battle ground stat

let's now turn to ace pollster scoot rasmussen. scott, what did you make of this?an want romney. if it was up to them, the election would be over. >> 56% would vote for romney, 36% would vote for obama. obama, by the way, counters that with a 17-point lead nong those who work for the government. on the public payroll, they support obama. entrepreneurs goes to the other direction. >> who's got the -- do private entrepreneurs have nor votes or public union workers? >> there are more entrepreneurs. and really, this defines the whole issue. what is your issue of what drives the economy? the entrepreneurial free enterprise system or is it the government? is is that's the deciding point in the election, it's very good news for mitt romney. >> if you ask me, it's the entrepreneurs. oh, i thought you were asking me a question. >> i knew that one. i knew how you would answer. >> all right. let me ask you another poll on your website today. the majority of voters want lower taxes and lower spending in order to improve the economy. >> well, larry, i will ask you a question. w