and it's estimated marshall at kens and analyst with raymond james and he's estimated they filed 26% by 2015 and that's just around the corner. and also would cut the trade deficit by 82% by 2020. so it's tremendous where we're headed and what it's done, but most importantly we're into a cheaper price regime as a discounted price regime for both oil and gas for the consumer so lower cost to the consumers here in america. that's $15 a barrel right now is the difference and we're talking $2 natural gas here and we're talking $2 natural gas in china today so it's a tremendous difference. what the impact of the new production to america is, better national security, drastically reduced deficit and budget deficits, jobs creation, good pay and better class jobs and we've seen that in oklahoma, texas, montana, and wherever the gas is and what we've done is estimated by api and we could add 1.2 million jobs to the 1.3 million jobs that's currently in the industry today by 2030 and then in the american wealth creation and we're talking wealth creation to our own federal government, 18 trillio

and it's estimated, marshall adkins, a renowned analyst with raymond james. he's estimated that will fall to 26% by 2015. that's just around the corner. and also, would cut our trade deficit by 82%, by 2020. so it's tremendous, where we're headed, and what it's done. but most importantly, we're into a cheaper price regime at a discounted price regime for both oil and gas for the consumer. so lower costs to the consumers here in america. about $15 a barrel, right now, differs between us and brent's price, and we're talking $2 natural gas here and we're talking $12 natural gas in china today. so it's a tremendous difference. but what the impact this new production to america, it's better national security, drastically reduced deficit, and deficits. job creation, good-paying middle class jobs. we've seen that in oklahoma, texas, north dakota, kansas, montana. you know, wherever oil and gas is. so what we're doing is estimated by api, we could 1.2 million jobs to the 9.3 million jobs that's currently in our industry today, by 2030. and in the american wealth crea

not hugely so, but nonetheless, raymond james down rated yum brands on sales going down and china has been forumy things like kfc, a big market. >> we have breaking news from the market flash. let's get to jackie deangela, over to you jack. >> a 52-week low today. analyst are questioning the plan announce et on fried to unload pension liability. shares are down about 4.5% now, rebounding a bit so at $21. 19 is the 52-week low. stock lost a third of its value from the ipo price of 33. that's in november 2010. maria? >> jackie, thank you. 15 minutes before the closing bell sounds for the day. this market is back and forth all day. 30 point right now on the dow industrial. >> stick around. stocks are lower in the final hour and we are just getting start on this "closing bell" for monday. >> will expectations become a reality? steve reeceman and rick san telly go toe to toe next. >> what running any kind of responsible financial operation with the opportunity to borrow money at a rate of 2.5% for 30 years wouldn't be taking more advantage ever that opportunity? >> with wo the government b

raymond james downgrading 76 names including a lot of financials. i isi estimating jpmorgan's trading loss. financials higher all the same. we do have individual movers to focus on. i want to mention jc penney. ceo ron johnson making some comments at a consumer conference today uptown about their pricing strategy. investors still aren't buying. lower again today. mandy and rick? >> thanks very much for that, courtney. >>> over to rick santelli now. to what extent are we seeing some profit taking now, at least in the longer dated treasuries considering the recent rally we've had? >> you know, a little bit, whether it's profit taking or just the accelerator pedal easing back on buying at these unbelievably high prices, low yields. the outcome is the same. we're all waiting for gadot. but it's really code for some plan in europe. granted, there's been a bit of a reprieve today. i think the only chart that really matters is watching that 10-year in spain. you know, on march 30th, last week, it had its recent high watermark around 6.65. down about 35 bas

raymond james downgrading yum brands. shares fell sharply after a friday's low u.s. jobs number.ally one of the major reasons behind this downgrade. they cited the tremendous volume in shares of yum on friday. do downdraft in the stock. they're concerned about china. >> it's a multiple. their margins in china have come down a little bit. i had an opportunity to speak with dave novak probably three weeks ago. he said he's not seeing any major slowing down. for everyone trying to grow in china they want to be like yum brands. these guys have gone on the ground and culturally inculcated not only the people that work for them but customers and buyers. weakness in china is an opportunity to buy the stock. it's not cheap. you need to trade around some of these levels here. but there's nothing broken about this company. their margins are coming back. >> ron, you buy into kfc sales slowing in china? >> you know, there may be a little bit. but i would take tim at his word. david novak has been an extraordinarily straight ceo for quite a long time. he's been a great one for execution. i ha

. >> falling after raymond james downgraded to a market perform last friday.r analyst saying some checks in china indicated that sales are perhaps slowing at kfc. yum now down 11% in the past three months. >> china was going to be their really big market. >> i heard that on "trading the globe". >> there you go. a tease. delta airlines flying high or low? >> it is flying low. in fact, all the airlines are down today. this one has the largest stock drop. we're not picking on delta only because the numbers are bigger. and they showed a drop of traffic of about .06%. the good news is capacity also fell, meaning the load factor, number of people on the plane is about 84%. so you have about 16% empty seats. still, stock getting hammered. >> boeing is another one we're watching today. but it's a better news story. >> yeah. nice segue off the delta news. boeing upgraded from buy to hold at stifel nicholas. they see strength in the aerospace cycle all the way through 2014. they have an $80 price target. what is that $13.43 if my crummy math is less crummy an upside. >>

. >> meantime, raymond james today lowering estimates on 76 large cap banks because of lower interestgin, slower loan growth. we're still waiting on moodies to make their call on some of the big ones. >> this is a yield curve. i hate to talk about the yield curve, it's one of the most boring topics in the world. there's two ways they make money. they invest it in a very short-term instrument. greenspan -- or in cds if they're jp morgan. >> but if it's greenspan made it so that the shorlt term rates were so much higher than the or night rates the banks could just print money. we do not have that situation right now. >> i know a lot of people will say you want to be invested in u.s. centric banks. but at the same time, it seems like overall the environment -- whether it be at a macro level or the interest margin level -- it is not the time to be in banks. if you had to put a dollar someplace, would it be in financial zfss at this point in the united states? >> until friday's number, i think the answer was we're geting there. maybe we begin to see some rates going higher. that number was

raymond james lowered expectations for the casual dining industry saying the abrupt slowdown in montyd in march continued in may. it has a strong buy on red robin. some analysts believe casual dining could suffer but so-called fast casual could do fine. for example, compare sonic to darden. bank of america merrill lynch says they are losing share to fast casual. when you're here is familiar is slogan to darden's olive garden. earnings met expectations but sales were light. big picture. they expect the economic recovery to be frustratingly slow. >> the environment is bumping along at a level not as robust as any of us would like. >> meantime, this week sonic came in with solid earnings and earnings are raised maintaining a buy and chipotle pulled back from april highs but outperformed darden, cheesecake faculti factory and panera bread. they hope lower gas prices will get people dining out. the price on cracker barrel has been increased. it's our view that average miles driven through summer season may increase 1%. food costs are dropping. maybe not so much for beef. darden ceo clarenc

raymond james worried aby eied kentucky fried chicken sales. >> in western china? >> they've got at least 30 cities with more than a million people. >> the think about western china, they are -- obviously cities aren't as big. any slowdown is marked. it's a much more sort of rural area in general. in the western part of china. but the concerns about u.s. multinationals in china and things softening, that's really becoming much of a bigger deal. deutsche bank today taking down the price target of mcdonald's down to 100. they're heari ining executives about weaker margins because of europe and overseas. this is all coming to a head here. >> it sure is. a lot of people are just talking crunch time. that we're in crunch time for the world right now. my only issue with crunch time is it tends to last -- crunch time tends to be elongated because of exactly what you said, david. you have 17 countries that are going to somehow make it so crunch time lasts a little longer so that we will be discussing crunch time for several months. which makes it more of a noncrunch. >> wh

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