rcp average, it's in the fox poll.that point it's hard to imagine that you lose the electoral vote: that's a pretty big margin. a lot of, of course, is wasted for democrats in new york. >> california, et cetera. someone says about 3%. still, it's hard to see how you lose the election. >> if people don't come home. there is a difference between answering a poll question and going out to the polls. let me ask you a question. you and i have known each other for a long time. and the whole thing disturbed me, this whole election cycle. everything about it i didn't think this was classy. i didn't think -- i don't think either of the candidates understood what a president of the united states should be. i don't think either one of them do. >> um-huh. >> okay. my opinion. i could be wrong. do you think hillary clinton is a corrupt woman? do you think she is corrupt? >> i do think she is. and she and her husband -- well, i mean, you asked me about her soul, i don't know. but if you watch her operate, she and her husband operate

rcp florida, real clear politics average, but he is up -- what is it -- up by 1.2.over her by 1.2%. >> well, win the mar john of error. >> clinton is up. that's what i meant, ithe early votes -- i mean, one thing we have to get used to, and you are more used it to than i too, used to be election day was the day people go to polls. election day is the day americans stop going to the polls and voting, robbie mook, we just talked to him, he expected 40% of all american votes will have been cast before we get to election day 40. %. and right now, there's a huge hispanic turnout in florida, and not unreasonably they think that's going to heavily for clinton. so you bank votes now, and then you can focus, particularly clinton, who has a great ground machine, you can focus on what is going to happen in getting the rest of the vote out, maybe lower propensity voters to go out on election day. >> north carolina, she is up by two opinions. the real clear politics average so we don't consider there to be a marin of error. we say this is what it is. you're leading by two in nor

meaning, rcp has this as a toss-up. trump was trailing hillary clinton late september by double digits. then the october surprises with the fbi release of the information that they were reopening the clinton e-mail investigation and clinton's numbers began to slip. trump steadied himself in october and caught up. tonight, talking to supporters in new hampshire, trump says it is up to the voters now to make country, from florida to minnesota, from new mexico to right here in new hampshire step on to the voting booth tomorrow, there is one fundamental question for you to consider. do you want america to be ruled by the corrupt political class? or do you want america to be ruled again by the people? >> reporter: of course you know the people are going to have not only nationally because of this vote but law enforcement as well. we can tell you here in new york city, there's a small army and perhaps a real army of police officers and law enforcement across the city making sure this city is safe tomorrow with both presidenti

he's ahead of those in the rcp average. that only gives him 244. he has to win north carolina which mitt romney won. that still gives him 259. i would spend less time in iowa and ohio where he is ahead and pend more time in florida and north carolina loon gnaw where he is behind. he has to pick three of these states. nevada, new hampshire, colorado, wisconsin, michigan, wednesday wednesday. that's roughly the order starting with the one where he is closest to the one where he is furthest away in the real chlor politics average. >> the political firestorm is getting worse by the day. director james comey and attorney general loretta lynch meeting behind closed doors for the first time. katherine harris has the brand new details. >>> fbi computer exports developed a software program with key duping. a second phase kicks in known as i gone an fbi praise for physically reviewing the e-mail. the trump campaign says these heil slins tive documents are on the computer. >> the bureau is having to clear personnel to be able to look at the e-mails. if they a

are hearing from our sources that mike pence will address the crowd the trump campaign wants you to rcp. you can head to our website and we have a link with everything you need. tim kaine will be in the valley tomorrow. we will have complete coverage once we are allowed inside. >> preparations are happening at this second for hillary clinton's visit. katie conner has more with the polls pretty close. took that is right. here tonight to make one final push to voters. right now they are looking on building the stage for her. organizers expect thousands of people to attend. this will be her second visit to arizona. her opponent has been her seven times. even though it is shown to be a close race the last time airs on it voted blue was in 1996. he held three events in arizona house campaign. you can see the setup is all underway with the gates opening and 3:30. clinton is not expected to take the stage until 3:30 -- 6:30 tonight. >>> a slight windy -- win for the sharp in his case. the criminal charge coming from racial profiling case. one group wants to give voters a free ride but only if

as of tonight, based on the rcp of polls. tonight, donald trump would win arizona, and also, nevada, and iowa, ohio, he would win georgia, north carolina as of tonight. and also, as of tonight, he would win florida. now, florida is an average for donald trump of 0.2 ahead. if you look, 265, you need 270 electoral votes to win the presidency. if you fill in the others, this is colorado, and then, you have michigan here. over there, wisconsin, michigan. pennsylvania going to hillary clinton here. as does virginia and look at this. 265. there is one state remaining. that is the state of new hampshire. and tonight, hillary clinton is 0.3 lead in the after itch of polls bringing you to 273. as of tonight that is how it stands. as you can see, there are a number of these states that are within 1 or 2 points. and the panel of voters is going to be key. it's been a busy election season for lawyers as well. >> the courts have become increasingly important to make sure that all voters have the right to cast their ballot. a flurry of la

she has the rcp average, 333 and now 273. the race is tighter than michael moore's yoga pants. [laughter] harris: i'm going segue from michael moore, when you look at the electoral college that's really important because part of the criticism for the trump campaign was fine, you're going to get popular votes but you're not going to able to get the votes within those battleground states and what you're saying is that's changing. >> what's scaring democrats now because it was over 300, they thought it was going to be a blowout. there is the argument that the popular vote leads the states. i don't know. harris: places like florida and all key battleground states is where we are seeing candidates and right now we have donald trump, in fact, ready to speak. let's watch him now. >> we are on the cusp of an incredible historic change that transfers power from a failed political accomplishment and returns that power to our families, communities and citizens, to you. the system is rigged, remember that. the system is rigged. right now it's rigged. we are going to change it. there's some

let me point out four years ago at this very moment the rcp polling average had mitt romney up eight tenths of one percent. a week later he lost by four points. while i use polling averages i also admit that they can be off too. nothing is perfect. >> you're saying 2.2 because that's what she's up in the average of all polls there which is what larry looks at. what do you make of it karl. i know team trump feels heartened by these poll shows momentum for trump and that trump may be up right now. >> well, first of all, let me set the record straight. sabato wants a free white board. i bought my own white board, sabato. they were not given to me. i worked hard for him. you know, i love how you free -- you academics living in your ivory towers want free this and free that. i earned this by the sweat of my brow. in fact i got two white boards, man. i got two of them. >> send one to me. bernie sanders would have given me a white board. >> hello. can we get back to the news? >> i agree with dr. sabato. i'm dubious about a poll that goes 14 points in ten days. i want to see a little more --

the rcp average has it dead even. and it appears republican holdouts in north carolina are beginning to back donald trump. in nevada, hillary clinton was leading by just over a point and a half, but after a three and a half point swing, donald trump now leads in nevada by two. and according to a new cnn opinion research corporation poll, trump's trust worthy numbers in nevada are rising. clintons are falling. and let's finish in the battleground states where the numbers have swung the most. arizona and new hampshire. in both states, hillary clinton has lost about four and a half points. she is still holding a small lead in new hampshire, but has relinquished her lead in arizona. the bottom line is that more than 60 electoral votes that appeared to be on hillary's side of the table last week are now back in play. >> thank you. larry electoral map has changed dramatically over the past two weeks. and he is now predicting a much tighter race. larry's the director of center for politics at the university of virginia. larr

right-hand side there but democrat russ feingold is still holding on to a nearly 7-point advantage in the rcp average. a super pac ad backing incumbent republican ron johnson all but acknowledges hillary clinton will be the next president. they're warning this has some colorful language. >> are you sick of all the political bs in this election? ready for it to be over? enough of the crap. when democrats controlled everything in washington, it was, well, ghetto. career politician russ feingold was there. terrorism. job losses. and premiums 25% higher with obamacare. feingold just votes the party line. that's why we need ron johnson. to cut the crap and keep hillary clinton and the washington politicians from running wild. >> locked in a tight re-election bid, senator richard burr of north carolina is apologizing after these comments were revealed by cnn. >> nothing made me feel any better than i walked into a gun shop i think yesterday, there was a copy of "rifleman" on the counter. it's got a picture of hillary clinton on the front of it. got a little bit shocked at that. didn't have a bulls

because trump, if you look at the rcp, real clear politics average he has surged slightly ahead in to the lead in florida. he is back ahead just by a hair in ohio. he is still up just a bit in iowa. one crucial piece of the puzzle for him is winning all of the romney states from 2012 and the only one where is he trailing currently is north carolina. a couple favorable polls in the last. >> he needs romney states get him to 206 out of the needed 270 electoral votes so he would need to start picking off states in addition -- florida would be a big piece of it, that would give him another 30, get him to 235 if he carries north carolina but then he has a ways to go still, right? >> north carolina is the one, i think, a very important race to watch. because if he can gain the lead there and win north carolina, then he is -- and he holds the lead elsewhere he has all the romney states plus the small leads in florida, ohio, iowa. then he needs one more big blue state or a combination of a few small blue states to get to 270. >> tough but doable? do you think so nina. >> tough but doable. the

what are you seeing on the ground there, the rcp average has her up by one slim point. >> the momentum is incredible here. i was speaking in churches all morning, and all day in ft. lauderdale and everywhere i go, people wearing make america great hats. and i'm just going to random places. the amount of enthusiasm in this state and everywhere i've gone frankly is incredible. people want their country back. people are sick and tired of career politicians. and we'll win on tuesday. i really believe we'll win on tuesday. >> you say yyou feel momentum ot there and we'll see on tuesday whether that translates to enough to change the dynamic. it's close when you look at the battleground states. i thought it was interesting earlier your father was talking and he was in minnesota and he said -- or in iowa rather and he said when i started this on june 16th, i was sort of the ultimate insider prior to that. and now perhaps i'm as outside as you could possibly get. what changes have you seen in the man, in your father, over the course of this journey? >> well, i love my father to death. he's inc

current rcp average shows mccain leading by 10 points, but not taking anything for granted.nd fox news contributor, digital editor and host i will tell you what, tell you what. how are you guys doing? >> good. >> hey, bill. bill: i want to show our viewers and i want you to analyze, little -- the knowledge or historical significance that we've seen, okay, so far in the campaigns. take it back to 2012, mitt romney-barack obama. let's go the florida n. the state of florida southern part of the state you had about 26% of the total vote four years ago come from these three counties, miami-dade, broward, and palm beach. if you were to pop up to pennsylvania, this is where hillary clinton will end her campaign, you had 20% of the total vote from the state come from these four, five counties in the southern part of pennsylvania. this is the city of philadelphia. look at this. i think the overall result was less than 300,000 votes statewide and barack obama has 600,000 votes in the city of philadelphia compared to mitt romney which is shy of a hundred thousand. you start thinking ab

we'll look at the rcp average of the polls in florida. you see donald trump at 45.5, she is 44.5. >> the race in florida is tight because you have two big competing constituencies that both candidates are doing well with. you have hispanics and white voters that are prime trump country. trump has consistently had a slight advantage in florida compared with other states with large latino populations. let's take a look at nevada which looked days ago to be lost for donald trump. it's now very tight as well. >> you are right. nevada is one of those states where donald trump has a big hotel with his name on it. it's the sort of state where he came to play and he believed it's on the table for him. in nevada republicans have a chance of picking up a senate seat there. you have good stuff going on in the down ballot race to make this a ripe pickup for republicans. martha: hillary clinton has been ahead for the most part. now, you see the latest polls 47-46 well within the margin of error. >> north carolina is a state where down-ballot is less g

we checked and the latest rcp poll is showing hillary clinton up by three points in colorado. but it was a busy week for both campaigns and their efforts continue. today's stop comes after a week of prominent isits from both sides. ben carson campaigning if for trump yesterday. mike pence in loveland this past weekend. the trump campaign saw donald trump jr. and newt gingrich in the clinton family also hitting colorado hard as well. chelsea clinton making a two day stop tuesday and wednesday and bill clinton making three stops yesterday. now today senator bernie sanders is expected in highlands ranch and former new york city mayor rudy giuliani is expected to campaign for trump this afternoon at 1:00. we'll have more details later in the show. reporting live outside national western complex, amanda del castillo. >>> just yesterday former president bill clinton campaigned for his wife. during his first stop he scoffed at melania trump's comments on cyber bullying. >> i never felt so bad for anybody in my life as i did for his wife going out giving a i thought, yeah, especially

put up the rcp average, this includes election polls election day. 45.5% to 42.2%. right now it's still adding up this vote total. the vote total has hillary clinton up over donald trump by about 1 point. so, this is the second time in recent history where the winner of the presidency has potentially and we believe this is going to happen lost the popular vote and won the electoral college. >> not surprisingly in both cases it was the democrat who whop the popular vote and lost the electoral college the way the country is structured california and new york being heavily democratic states, the democrats run up the score, winning those states and, in fact, you could say almost waste vote in those states, and we didn't d. an analysis of the polling and roughly speaking, if a democrat wins the popular vote by 3%, that translates into an electoral college vote finish which is basically what happened yesterday. the democrats won the popular vote because of new york and california and illinois and those places but they lost the electoral college. >> finally, quickly, this

. >> i think nate silver -- they do the best they can with the rcp stuff that they get. they have a system for it. but i mean there are some places that should be served a little crow today. "daily news." "huffington post," left it in the entertainment section. as a journalist post, they i thought was entertainment. >> what's that place? >> it's a journalist is tick world around this idea of trying to predict at all that because of nate silver and his success last election and the election prior there became this move toward data science. we kept talking about data science, that you could game these things out and "the new york times" had a meter last night, you could follow it. >> it blipped by the end. >> at some point in the night it did a 360. >> it's only as good as the data. >> it's only as good as the day too ta. >> and the data stinks. >> as a member of the mainstream media, it's going to be difficult to talk about this but the mainstream media is the loser in this. >> yeah. >> not just in trying to analyze what was happening but in trying to influence. >> there