neil: but we're looking at rcp average here.ge, how this could all go down by the midterms. >> take an individual poll like marist, it shows that the republicans are doing better right now on the generic ballot than obama was in the 2014 midterms in august. and that year, the democrats only lost about 13 seats. if the republicans only lose 13 seats, they're still in control. and based on the targets that people have put on the backs of republicans right now, if that's the end result, that's a very good day. >> that's today. these polls -- neil: you think this trade stuff, the unusual way it's gone about is what's going to help him? >> the problem with game planning this thing, trump could go nuclear on something else that makes people say, well, this guy is crazy, throw the bumps out. neil: but he is a prize right now. there does seem to be a method here. appearing. >> i'm surprised the republicans are in bad shape as they are, given the state of the economy. i'm surprised by that. >> he did a good job. the president did a good