final example is san,jaoquin, refr, you see 2006 is missing. there's a couple of points. one, the flashier nature that will continue as we lose snow back. the other is from a flood standpoint, but if you think about the hundred year flood has a chance of occurring one in a hundred years. most of that analysis was done in the first or middle of the past century. all the higher flows have occurred since then some what is the real hundred year event now and what is it going to be. so how do you design your flood systems to deal with that and they may be robust and not just rely on flooding levies. next slide. again, kind of a summary. much higher inflows during winter and early spring we have to maintain greater flood control space and if all you do is that you probably lose greater water supply and clearly have to operate reservoirs and in california or anywhere else someone telling you how is haresy. we have to do that very methodically. let's go on to the next slide. california water plan layed out at basic approach to how to deal on our future uncertainty and strategy an

he was instrumental in negotiating the, san jaquin, refr river. we think this will be one of biggest restorations in our nation. please welcome me in welcoming. ja rad. >> welcome susan and welcome to all of you. the first or worst fear of any water manager is running out of water. i lerned that in my four years at,m oren, county the water district serves about 230 thousand people in that county and it's an agency that almost ran out of water in the 1977 drought and despite major investments in imported water supplies and water recycling the fact is they have been operating in a water supply deficit. thankfully for that period we've almost always had above average rain fall. if that occurred today, those residents despite all their plumbing facilities and other efficiency measures would have to reduce demand an additional 70 percent in order to keep from running out of water. the choices faces, them like many in the west are not easy and certainly not cheap. you're going to find a common thread the area of cheap and easy solutions to water supply

he was instrumental in negotiating the, san jaquin, refr river. we think this will be one of biggest restat

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