our republicans do. and so this is how we get to th first two speeches of the president joe biden re-election effort in 2024. friday at valley forge in pennsylvania and today at the mother emmanuel ame church in charleston, south carolina, the two kickoff speeches of his re-election campaign.n speeches about our status as a democracy, the fight to establish ourselves as a democracy in the revolutionary u war, the fight to keep our democracy in the civil war, the threat to end democracy today posed by the republican party and trump. and i don't know. i don't have insider information, but i doubt this is the ground on which the biden campaign hoped to be making its case for re-election. they have other things they want to talk about, like nancy pelosi was just describing with jen psaki in her exclusive interview tonight. they want to talk about kitchen table issues, right? and they have a lot to talk about. the unemployment rate has been below 4% -- below 4% -- for nearly two straight years. that means thi

the republicans do. if with the departure of bill johnson it is going to stay the same, but if tom suozzi wins, higgins remains, they will go down to a one-vote margin. have you had any conversations with brian higgins about staying longer to tighten up that margin of error? >> i have not had that conversation with congressman higgins. it is also not by understanding that he has put a precise definitive date on his departure and it's a reasonable conversation at least in the short term for democrats and republicans to figure out how we can govern in an enlightened way that will benefit the american people that we serve and what is clear is that the only way to get things done for the american people in the house of representatives is through a bipartisan governing coalition. that is the only way forward. at this point, house republicans can't organize a two car funeral . they can't do it. they can't even pass their own rule. it is not clear to me how anything gets done unless traditional republicans can

what are republicans doing?hey're trying to ban abortions and their focus on stupid stuff like impeaching a cabinet member. this is so ridiculous that even the witness that they routinely call, jonathan turley, that issl that all of these different hearings, himself said there is no quote cognizable basis, end quote, for this impeachment of secretary mayorkas. so the republicans are focused on issues that no one in america really cares about. and i hope the american public tells them stop this sham impeachment of that work together on trying to make our economy even better. and with that i yield back. >> questions?ott. >> there seemed to be some democrats who are uncomfortable with what they are hearing in the senate negotiations, tightening amnesty, some that are republican policies. how confident are you that your were together whatever they can pass out? >> well, we need to see what the language looks like. we have seen in a legislative texts. we've talked about that before an immigration policy. it's incredi

our republicans do.o, this is how we get to the first two speeches of the president joe biden reelection effort for 2024. friday at valley forge in pennsylvania, and today at the mother emmanuel ame church in charleston, south carolina. the two speeches kick off his 2024 reelection campaign, speeches about our status as a democracy, establishing ourselves as a democracy, the fight to keep our democracy in the civil war, the threat to end democracy today by the republican party and trump. and i don't know and i don't have insider information but i doubt this is that ground on which the biden campaign is hoping to make its case for reelection. they have other things they want to talk about. like nancy pelosi was describing in jen psaki with her exclusive interview tonight, they want to talk about kitchen table issues. they have a lot to talk about. the unemployment rate has been below 4%, below 4% for nearly two straight years. that means this is the best jobs market in america since the 1960s. jobs number

the republicans have done just that.hey have not taken the a sink the fact witness in the two hearings we had. the only two were temperature cats that w charging and secretary mayorkas does not rise to the level of impeachment. when you are in charge do igg about you want to and democrats are prepared to address the impeachment effort tomorrow with facts. we think history is on our side and we are convinced that at the end of the day, the public will see at the end of the hearing exactly what you see taking place. and absolute expha k charade in the name of an impeachment process. we'll lead the floor open to any questions you may have. [indiscernible] >> we know that referral was based on the resolution offered by congressman green. it's to pacify her. and in all if you make a referral, you should go to judiciary, but it came to homeland security. we were there and prepared to just it. pa again, it's ausual and speaks ever a deal being made. and the republican leadership weren't beated. i will let leader jeff nice respo

to me that's a very sad thing, as someone who grew up as a republican, who joined the republican party because i view myself as a reagan republican. the party today has very clearly said if we have to choose between the constitution and trump, we will choose trump. we seen that happen again and again. the are a lot of reasons. i think the elected republicans themselves have been playing a very damaging role. i think donald trump has managed to lie to and convince millions of americans, very good people, that somehow he will be their voice. he has prayed on patriotism. the people who are elected in washington like mike johnson and many others, know that what donald trump is saying is not true. they know the election was not stolen and they know what he did on january 6 w illegal. yet they have decided to go along with it. we have sort of lost sight of the extent to which elected officials have an obligation not to be a collaborator or enabler. not to sit on the sidelines. when to many republicans have sat on the sideles and suggested that trump will just fade away, what that means -- wh

i have called out republicans and i called out democrats. i praised republicans. i praised democrats. legislators love to be prized and hate to be called out. whether i was calling out china and russia, they didn't like to be called out. >> governor haley, thank you very much for being here in the room and speaking to the voters here in iowa. thanks so much for all of you for sitting through this evening and thanks to our hosts at grand view university. governors hailey and desantis will be back for the final republican debate before the caucuses. jake tapper and dana will host here. right now, abby and laura will take it away. >>> it is our special two-hour coverage of tonight's cnn republican presidential town halls with ron desantis and nikki haley. it continues now. i'm laura coates in washington both are taking their shot at the candidate you didn't see. we are digging into all of it over the next two hours together. >> so stay with us. we are going to start here in new york with our great panel onset with me here. scott jennings, you're in the hot seat. i wa

democrat or republican. republicans, 268, thousand democrats, 262,000. vast majority of republicans that vote today are almost certain to go to donald trump, poll after poll after poll, has made that point, jack, has made that point as well. it's undeclared how many of them vote in the primary and where those votes go that are so critical. what we know going into this day is that nikki haley has a clear advantage with the undeclared voters. the latest cnn university -- donald trump at 30%. here is the reality with that. number 28 point spread is certainly a good number for nikki haley, needs to be bigger given trump's strength within the republican party. those who are already registered republican. what is that going to mean? where is nikki haley really need to run up the vote going into the night? let's go back to 2016. this was a critical moment in the republican primary. after donald trump had lost iowa narrowly, he won new hampshire and by a wide margin. nearly 20 points. really going across the graphics, across socioeconomic lines, showing his stre

this electorate was basically half republican and have non-republican. among those who are republicans in this primary, trump won by basically 50 points. 74 trump, 25 haley. among independent voters, they made up for 3% of the electorate, hailey 60, trump 38. and among democrats, this is an unusual member of -- the strength for her was just overwhelmingly to the extent it was a government for her, it was almost strictly on the backs of non republicans. just based on some of that rolls in the hands, the political traditions and new hampshire, the democratic makeup of new hampshire, that's with the perfect mix for nikki haley, for a candidate with the strength she's shown. and she still is going to lose, it wouldn't, they're probably by governors. so if you take the cut apartment she had with republicans, losing them by 50 points, self identified republicans, and start going through what's next in this race. nevada is complicated -- that next contest is halle south carolina's, a month from now, if the mix is like what we showed you with republicans, indepe

spree and republicans talk about it the labo| republicans talk about it the labo push comes— republicansblican president irr— push comes to shove the republican president in office, _ push comes to shove the republican president in office, they— push comes to shove the republican president in office, they really- push comes to shove the republican president in office, they really say. president in office, they really say no to— president in office, they really say no to new— president in office, they really say no to new spending _ president in office, they really say no to new spending and _ president in office, they really say no to new spending and allow - president in office, they really say no to new spending and allow the | president in office, they really say- no to new spending and allow the new spending _ no to new spending and allow the new spending is _ no to new spending and allow the new spending is usually— no to new spending and allow the new spending is usually tax _ no to new spending and allow the new spending is usually tax cuts and - no to new spending and allow the n

house republicans are paralyzed. don't support bipartisan reform that's happening in the senate, so this is the only thing they can hang their hat on. this is the only thing that unites them related to the border. they have but i would caution any democrat who is thinking about supporting this, that this is republican extremism that brings them all together. [inaudible question] so what happened to the ukraine peace? is her chance of that passing severally? >> we don't know. there was an opportunity. the first act that the speaker himself did was to pay her aid to israel with, you know, with dramatic cuts here in the house. he had an opportunity to advance ukraine and israel support, and he did not. right now i don't kw what those prospects look like. the united states senate seems to be incapable of advancing that. and mitch mcconnell is listening to donald trump, and donald trump doesn't want to help ukraine. so until house and senate republicans come back to reality, put our national security interests first, we'r

look, and coming from the republican base like idea, republican voters want a son of a bit. jerk. they want an asks. they want someone cruel to be the their nominee. desantis was cruel, and he tried to give them that, but as simon said, trump is cruel, but trump has charisma. he does the trump thing. desantis is cruel without any charisma. >> and some would argue his cruelty was even a bit of a fake. he was putting on this stick in order to appeal to the right of trump. but in reality, it was just performative. and that's not who he really was. maria, simon, joe, please stick around, we have more to discuss. after the break, a deeper look at what led to desantis failed to campaign. congressman matt gaetz says republicans want trump, not diet trump. does gaetz have a good point for once? we'll talk about that. most common side effects were nausea, indigestion, and stomach pain. ask about nurtec odt. ♪3, 4♪ ♪ nausea, indigestion, and stomach pain. ♪hey♪ ♪ ♪are you ready for me♪ ♪are you ready♪ ♪are you ready♪ power e*trade's award-winning trading app makes trading easier. with

he's encouraging republicans not to support this emerging border deal and encouraging republicans toemand everything or nothing. you will see at home and on the ground, a lot of supporters of the former president get frustrated with the folks were supporting this. the fact that james lankford received his reviews at home, he has been the central republican figure so if anybody it would be him but a pretty stunning situation and fallout, the fact that t man leading border security negotiations is getting democrats to cave on some of their key things and put things on the table they never would have ske previously. james lankford has been the leading republican for this negotiation. it shows the pole that john --that donald trump has in the host: party. host:what about senator murphy? guest: it was a question asked earlier. they've been consensus builders. chris murphy played a key role in the gun safety bill passed recently. they have worked across the isle before and they are now taking on one of their biggest challenges. kyrsten sinema is the third negotiator from arizona who is kno

the fact it is republicans that are threatening aid to ukraine and republicans cannot pass aid ukraine and israel, have a lot of procedural explanations for why they can't get aid to ukraine past, the meantime vladimir putin is watching with glee. that's not the party of reagan. it's not the rty that is effeively advocating what i believe is the right position on national security policy, which is peace through strength and king sure -- and the lenski has said -- and zelinski has said democracies have to be armed. gerald: another part of the republican formula is it was a party in which business people in the country were comfortable. it is now not so much that party, there is a much more nationalistic, populist economic policy. i'm wondering whether repuicans like you and business people have a home. ms. cheney: i think we need to build a new home. i think that is a product. right now the focus has to be on defeating donald trump when weet through the election cycle, the coury needs to have a party, wheth it is the republican party we can rebuil or a new conservative party, i think ar

the republicans do not want to solve problems.y want to create chaos because as leader jeffries said, they consistently put politics over people, and we are here to want to address the solution to the border because we want to secure our homeland, and we want to do the work that the american to do.sent us here thank you. >> thank you thank you . there's a term in the south thay says don't confuse me with facts, my mind is made up. republicans have done just that on the committee. they have not taken a single fact witness in the two earrings we had. the only fact witnesses presented were democrats, and they all said that what you are charging secretary mayorkas with does not rise to the level of impeachment. but, you know, when you're in charge you can do anything you want to, whether it's right or wrong. so democrats are prepared to address the impeachment effort tomorrow with facts. we think history is on our side we are convinced that at the end of the day the public will see at the end of the hearing exactly what you see taking

phil. >> it's a huge day for anti-trump republicans, republicans that want someone else than trump as nikki haley faces what could be her last chance to not just pull off an upset. let's take a look at why the haley campaign has been so keyed on the granite state, the second competition that's happening, the primary after the caucuses in iowa. if you want to know how seriously they were taking this race, look at the spending it itself. $29 million for nikki haley, nearly double what donald trump and his outside groups have spent, much more than ron desantis who is now no longer in the race. what did haley say? it's going to correct what they did in iowa. you'll see one township is filled in, that would be dixville notch. just after midnight, all six votes in that place voted for nikki haley. that's not really indicative of what is going to happen. it is a fun tradition, over six-plus decades. haley happy with that. can it continue on? if you went to know why nikki haley wanted to choose this state. it's demographic. higher income that iowa, less evangelical, let's conservative. modera

it is a republican primary, she's getting decimated among republicans. i think the fascinating thing that we have seen and we saw in iowa, that we're probably geeing to see in new hampshire, is on one hand donald trump's incredible dominance of the republican party and how well he does among republicans, he's probably going to do better among republicans than any other republican that has run for president on a nonincumbent run for president in the history of the republican primary system. new hampshire is showing his incredible vulnerability that he has in a general election, where he's losing unaffiliated voters, democrats are enthusiastic enough to vote against him to come vote in the republican primary. you have two opposite things going on. incredible dominance and incredible vulnerability among voters that are going to decide the yen election. there was a "wall street journal" article that had a scathing summary and i want to read it. between desantis's withdrawal and haley's having little path forward, the race could be over on wednesday. the part

house republican extremists want to impose a nationwide abortion ban.nt to criminalize abortion care. house republican extremists ameh government mandated pregnancyies even when that pregnancy undermines the health, safety and well-being of women in this country. we're going to stand on the side of reproductive freedom and expose the republican extremism on this issue which will be on this afternoon. the house floor questions? democrats here this n now? now? reporter: you're going to have the c.r. this afternoon and probably a lot more votes on this bill than the republicans, you've done that on the debt ceiling and other c.r.'s that you're in the minority and you have to continue to carry the weight of the majority. hakeem: house democrats believe in doing the right thing for the american people on every issue. l government shutdown will hurt everyday americans, hurt the economy, and hurt the ability of the federal government to meet the needs of the american people. so it's my full expectation, and houseemocrats will continue to do the responsible thi

will this wind up hurting republicans?it's a sort of signal moment here, the idea that they would put naked political game ahead of a problem they say is intractable and the demise of america, there is poisoning the blood of the country, and then it would be so naked lee partisan i think is a searing referendum on the modern-day gop. to be honest, i'm a little surprised that this story even leaked, because it makes republicans who support trump look so bad. this is not a border deal. we don't know exactly what was in it, but from the initial reporting that we have, it was not a deal the democrats really liked. it was in exchange for funding ukraine. i honestly think this moment plays very well for president biden, who starts his presidency with a comprehensive immigration plan. it goes nowhere. he basically plays with the republicans on their terms, and they scuttle it because it's not going to help trump, or it could help brighten and therefore hurt trump in an election year. it's so craven as to almost seem like a democr

in the republican primary. in 2016 it was 22% independents as a share of the overall republican primary electorate. nikki haley had 44% independent share yesterday, and still came up short by double digits. and then look here, dana, among white born-again evangelical christians. in the 2016 republican south carolina primary, two-thirds of voters identified themselves as white born again or evangelical christians. two-thirds. just look what happened in iowa last week among this same voter group. not a monolith obviously, but donald trump won a majority of white evangelical christians out in iowa, 53%. nikki haley was only at 13%. you could add up all the opponents of donald trump and he still had more. >> david, i want to bring our friend and colleague jeff zeleny in who is here with me now, was here with me last night. what are your thoughts on those numbers that david just showed us? >> look, it's a dramatically different electorate. if nikki haley was going to have a big rise and up-end this race it needed to

let democrats and republicans vote on it as americans can not as democrats or republicans. i think we could get something passed. the question is if he puts something on the floor. and while we are waiting for the senate bill can i set is thinking number for homeland preparation, we don't have the numbers, allocations. part of it is because we don't know if we will put $14 billion with a supplemental, how does that affect that allocation for homeland appropriation? there is a lot of things affecting the appropriations because we don't have that allocations. guess what, march 1st, march 8th are around the corner before we know it. >> your argument that the momentum is here and these are opportunities that are rare when something can pass, something this controversial as immigration reform. i want to play what independent senator kyrsten sinema, one of the three senators negotiating has said about all of this a few minutes ago. >> i think because we are at unique. of time where we have never had a border package this substantial, this serious in front of the united states con

it makes me sound like a republican.course, republicans bow down to the democrats whenever the democrats say we want this done, and they let it go. i lived in a town that has got at least 15 people living on the streets. we could be spending it right here but we are sending an overseas to other people. host: on this issue foreign aid, specifically focused on israel and ukraine, there is a caller saying this is a small assessment of what we get back. a lot of our callers saying we could spend that money here in america. host: what is the argument for foreign aid? guest: i think that number one, some leaders don't see it as a zero-sum game. we could effectively spend on her foreign priorities, domestic priorities the argument for some lawmakers, let's talk about ukraine. protecting ukraine against the russian invasion, lawmakers who are in favor of increased aid see it as one way to keep american soldiers out of a fight. you can arm the ukrainian army without shedding any american blood. and they also see putin's ambitions

house republican extremists want to criminalize abortion care. house republican extremists want to see an america with government-mandated pregnancies, even when that pregnancy undermines the health, safety, and well-being of women in this country. we're going to continue to stand on the side of reproductive freedom and expose the republican extremism on this issue, which will be on full display on the house floor this afternoon. questions? reporter: what's it like for you and the democrats here where we ■hrnoon now? you guys are probably going to have a lot more votes for this bill than the republicans. on the debt ceiling, two of the c.r.'s, you guys are in the minority, and you have to continue to carry the majority. rep. jeffries: well, house democrats believe in doing the right thing for the american people. on every issue. and we recognize that partial government shutdown will hurt everyday americans, hurt the economy, and hurt the ability of the federal government to meet the needs of the american people. so it's my full expectation, and h

, elected republicans echo him. then there's no problem. if the deep state is so powerful, it can deny him election victories but they didn't do so in 2016. there is no logic to this. for tens of millions americans, he put together a conspiratorial narrative that overlaps qanon and has hung out with anti-semites. they are buying this and republicans from top to bottom are going along for the ride but most don't. i think they are there for the power and the ambition. it is dividing the country and creating issues so that rich and i can't come out here and talk about what's the best tax policy or what we should be doing or not doing about climate change. we are being sucked into this black hole the donald trump is created that republicans have enabled him and are encouraging as we head toward the next election. guest: obviously, the only says elections are rigged when he loses. he is working his way up to nikki haley. the exit polls seemed more encouraging for her than the final result. if he had been beaten in new ha

yes, to unseat his own new republican speaker, mike johnson, the guy who took over after far-right republicans kevin mccarthy, for basically the same thing, keeping government running. actually getting a deal done. and who knows? maybe will burn through half a dozen republican house speakers before election day. it's absurd in no small part because the republican party's problems don't have anything to do with mike johnson personally. they are about the nature of the republican party. the party has basically retreated from any actual policy agenda on the many issues and problems that face the nation and the government exists to address. is one example. people are angry about grocery prices. understandably. they've been high. what is the republican plan to lower grocery store prices? i genuinely have no idea. i could not possibly even begin to tell you, and i do this for a living. we're not talking about that or any other policy. of course this one exception. there's one thing they will talk about, which is the border. they will hold press conferences there. they will entertain plans to end the

if a lot of -- >> so vulnerable republicans? >> vulnerable republicans, not from deep red district. talking nicola lotte on long island, nick vardy in -- biden won that district by 20 points. endorsing trump, the sort of pressure points are not the same for them as they are for the rest of the republican conference. and you are seeing this capitulation that -- you look at the map that steve just showed us, it is a bulldozer plowing through the next several primary races. and you are seeing that reality doan for republicans. >> although nikki haley as mayor of washington, i would like to see that contest. >> yes. >> and why not, everyone needs a second act. look, i guess i see it like this. good night for trump. not a great night for trump, precisely for the reasons we've discussed. when you're standing on that much ground and you are only doing this number that you have some weaknesses, even if yes, you are clearly being declared front-runner by your party. so you think back to years ago. eight years ago feels like a long time to me in the news business. and i remember where i was,

, elected republicans echo him.hey win, then there's no problem. if the deep state is so powerful, it can deny him election victories but they didn't do so in 2016. there is no logic to this. for tens of millions americans, he put together a conspiratorial narrative that overlaps qanon and has hung out with anti-semites. they are buying this and republicans from top to bottom are going along for the ride but most don't. i think they are there for the power and the ambition. it is dividing the country and creating issues so that rich and i can't come out here and talk about what's the best tax policy or what we should be doing or not doing about climate change. we are being sucked into this black hole the donald trump is created that republicans have enabled him and are encouraging as we head toward the next election. guest: obviously, the only says elections are rigged when he loses. he is working his way up to nikki haley. the exit polls seemed more encouraging for her than the final result. if he had been beaten i

among republicans we have two cross current issues.they believe it's an invasion at the southern border, and they have no faith joe biden would follow a law if it was passed. not having text and having joe biden be the principal cheerleader for it right now is hurting among republicans and if he wanted some good faith, he would say to the american people, i will reverse all of my day one executive actions and go back to the trump policies and that would show faith. >> this shows joe biden is taking initiative on an issue that has been a thorn in democrats' side for a long time. they said it didn't really exist, it wasn't a problem. we awoke to that, and donald trump is being an impediment. the mayors of thee cities who have complained to the white house, we need our good mayors like frank scott from little rock, like jackson, mississippi, we need randall wolf from birmingham, alabama, and mayors like eric adams in new york city to stand up for this piece of legislation and say this is what we need done. this has to be the messaging and

i am a republican activist. tell that the lady who was on earlier from pilot -- i do not really worry about voter fraud in places like iowa or north or south dakota. what i worry about our states like illinois our neighbors to the west. declaring that chicago was the most corrupt city in america, i have seen studies that showed illinois was the third most corrupt state in america. when you have that level of corruption, can you seriously think that the public officials involved in illinois and chicago -- i live in indiana and i work in chicago. i am -- i worked in chicago. i am retired for many years. what astonished me was how tolerant they are with the high levels of corruption that go on in that city. they are very resentful of even bring up the idea that official corruption -- one of the top democrats in chicago was convicted of corruption. he is like the 39th councilman that has been convicted for corruption. voter fraud is a reality. progressive democrats pretend that it does not exist. or they will say it

first of all, the republican party do? first of all. they — the republican party do?ll, they should not - the republican party do? f "st of all, they should not support a convicted felon for president of the united states. i am one of the united states. i am one of the united states. i am one of the few candidates who has said i will not support that candidate if he is convicted of a serious felony and if these are serious felonies. the republican party needs to be aware that donald trump's strategy is to wrap this nomination up quickly before the storm clouds gather, before the storm clouds gather, before the convention, and then, if he is convicted, the republican party has an even tougher decision to make, do you stick with him or abandon him and go with him or abandon him and go with somebody else? none of this is a pretty scenario but right now it is set for a strategy that will lose in the file. i hope we can get it together and change the course but it is going to take some momentum coming out of new hampshire and it is going to take the electorate to rethink t

d of tomorrow >> the last time that republicans had a contested republican primary was in 2016. though it seems sort of impossible to imagine now, the party was kind of divided about trump's victory, all the way to the convention floor. you saw that no more clearly than when senator ted cruz went to the podium. in a primetime speaking slot, i may add, and refused to mention trump's name during his convention speech. boy, oh boy, the people notice. >> if you love our country, and they have your children as much as i know that you, to stand and end vote your conscience, vote for candidates up and down the ticket who tries to defend our freedom. god bless each and every one of you and god bless the united states of america. >> so to that moment, the four though she has deafening booze, ted cruz and donald trump had been going at each other from months. relations between these two men were not good. trump regular went after ted cruz's family during the primaries. he willingly and baselessly had used a chemist cruises five have planned well on the candidates agitation. even started c

and i quickly endorsed shapiro after the primary, because many republicans, a large numbers of republicansin part, publicly supported sir shapiro. because mastriano was so unacceptable. mccormick will have that problem, i suspect, with much of the republican establishment that mattresses. so it's a totally different dynamic this time around, a lot of the republican establishment has been very unhappy with donald trump in the last election, for endorsing mastriano and four interesting oz.

we must unite the republican party. i think she's playing for that. >> jesse: so you think she's going to force the issue, drag this out, get some clout with some delegates going into the convention, and leverage her way onto the ticket? >> kayleigh: i think it's a real possibility. >> jesse: that should be interesting. i'm not sure the republican base is going to be thrilled about that. politics is crazy. >> kayleigh: they will vote for trump. >> jesse: what contributed to this trump win? let's bring in sandra smith, coanchor of america reports. >> sandra: we have brand-new data to show you about voters and what they said about trump's strengths, and what we have seen so far tonight. as far as those maga supporters on the ground in new hampshire, half of them identify as maga supporters. look at their support for donald trump, 87% of them voted for trump. he also did very well with those conservative voters, as you can see here. 68% supported donald trump. he also did well with those without a college degree, the rural

i have helped build the republican party in arkansas, i have always expected to support the republican a precarious time for the party and i think we can come out of this but we have got to move quickly away from donald trump's hold on the party to a more independent voice, a more conservative voice and a principled voice and we will see if we can do that but that is what i will be focused on. governor, last question, you travelled the state of iowa, you braved those freezing temperatures like everybody else, what is your takeaway, having spoken with the voters across the state? first of all, gives you type in democracy, theyjust washington and our federal government to work better but they believe in our country and they really paid attention. they obviously came to a different conclusion than i did but we have to respect that and say this has been the honour of my life to run for president, to engage in the debate and i think it reflects the strength of our country and our people and i know, i was really impressed with so much of the foreign media that was there and how they are pull

republican governor, john kasich, who ran in the state of ohio and finished second in the republican primary in 16. we're gonna get some familiar faces. and longtime washington political veteran, margaret carlson, governor. we went through a lot of it. your thoughts tonight? >> i think what hailie is counting on are the independents and the democrats to come over and vote in the primary. i think the problem that she is having is that she doesn't have a comparative narrative when we elected to our mccain you couldn't put him in a box, he was independent, iconoclastic. that's where she is wasting space. so much overtime just to attack trump. that's fine, but what are you gonna do? what is it that you're going to do to get your people excited? and because of that, the wave that will come from the independents and the democrats will not be as great. probably not enough to have her when. she is, my friends on the ground in new hampshire say that they think that these polls, which are really getting clobbered are probably not right, they're looking at probably about 10 to 12. we will have

does that give you hope as an anti-trump republican? >> pro-democracy republican. it certainly does but that number is staggering. all these numbers show us some sharp contrasts with what we saw in iowa. there is hope that nikki haley should be able to be within a sense, couple points of for a couple points down, and has a full month to walk into the south carolina primary. if she shows up a few points up or down in this race, think the donors will start to come in and give her a legitimate talk -- shot to change some minds. >> another number that was significant -- the same number of voters in these early exit polls so that they did not believe that joe biden won the election in 2020. the same number thought that joe biden did win the election in 2020. >> that is disturbing for the republican party because it means that people are living in fairytale land. they have taken what donald trump said and they are not asking questions. i listened to it kristin was saying earlier about makeup of the electorate and it reminds all of us that when donald trump ran the first

joe biden is not saying all republicans are bad guys, all republicans hate the rule of law, all republicansifference, because there are a lot of republicans out there and independents out there that joe biden is going to get voting for him. >> i'll agree with everything you've said. i definitely agree with mitch. joe klein, i didn't agree with. i don't think joe biden looks weak at all. there are so many accomplishments that you don't even know where to begin. that's not just me talking. it actually defies history in terms of the modern american presidency in terms of what he's been able to get done on a bipartisan level at the most divisive time in american history. >> especially on a bipartisan level. >> communicating it can't be just on biden. it's got to be the campaign and the democratic party. if you look at the number of iowans who think the election was stolen, look at the number of people who don't care that he's been indicted, isn't that a sign that a good amount of the electorate is poisoned? and how, mitch, do you counter that? we can talk here about how great he is, but if a lo

other republican race. republican candidate -- win national polling lead this big. an excess of 30 points. donald trump is the first republican since george w. bush -- des moines register poll showing anything like that kind of lead donald trump walked into this with. so it was expected, and it was assumed in 2000 that george w. bush was gonna win iowa. and the question was, what would the margin be between him and steve forbes? and it created an atmosphere where there was pretty low interest overall on the republican side. bush got the win, forbes got second place, he said he had momentum, he went absolutely nowhere. we moved back to new hampshire, it got interesting. but the dynamics in 2000 when you had the lowest hour of the most similar to 2016. in terms of drawing a correlation, you, know one thing to keep in mind here, in 2000, lowest ever, that was george w. bush who went on to win the nomination and did go on to win in contested fashion the presidency. >> right, now it's just coming up on nine pm e

in independence but also the republicans?— republicans? in new hampshire, our ollen republicans?ollen suggests, trump - our pollen suggests, trump would not when in the match againstjoe biden. that said, new hampshire goes have a huge number of unaffiliated voters, independent voters who tend to vote differently than the republican party. i think while new hampshire, it is a very interesting race he passed concurrently it is indicative of the whole country. new hampshire as a whole during the general election is much more purple to blue and it is purple to red. we will have to see what happens. i think it is going to be an interesting couple of weeks coming up. nikki haley �*s campaign will be looking closely at these numbers. the breakdowns, the way in which people are voted in the coming days. what do you think her campaign can learn? the biggest takeaway is she needs more work on her message to the republican base. i think people don't quite see her as the alternative to trump or the one capable of beating biden as perhaps she would like to be seen. i think she spent a lot of

only independents and republicans can vote in that republican primary.ost: next is arizona on our independent line. go ahead. caller: yes i am concerned about people discussing nikki haley as a moderate. she is a warmonger. she is interested in war with iran, with russia, with china. to discuss her as a moderate seems unbelievable to me. so, i do not understand that. host: paul, is she considered a moderate by new hampshire voters? guest: let's talk about what the other candidates are saying first, then we can geto that. donald trump and ron desantis have been criticizing haley questioning her conservative agenda and record. they are painting themselves as much more conservative and he we were talking about foreign policy and national security, which is what this caller was referencing. on that, she skews to the more traditional, conservative, strong overseas involvement by the united states, which was the republican's policy decades until donald trump and maga reshaped this party over the last two election cycles. you have seen some differences here. i

republicans.o you think joe biden legitimately won the 2020 election? which he did. it's split half and half. 49% say yes. 49% of primary voters today say no. again, in iowa last week, two-thirds of republican caucusgoers said biden didn't legitimately win. though he did. big difference. is donald trump fit for the presidency even if he's convicted of a crime? today in new hampshire, republican primary voters, half say yes. he is still fit for the presidency even if he's a convicted criminal. no, 47% of voters say no. again, big difference from the two-thirds who said yes in iowa last week. then we asked overall, no matter who you're supporting tonight, will you be satisfied or dissatisfied if donald trump wins the nomination? 56% of republican primary voters, no matter who they support, say they will be satisfied if trump's the nominee, but 43% will be dissatisfied. that shows the work ahead for donald trump if he becomes the nominee, that he will have to do some healing within the party, jake. >

republicans and independents.w important this is issue and how much you think it should be a part of candidates' campaign message and their stump speeches in the next ten months. >> this is an issue where the vast majority of americans agreed with roe. they were comfortable with restriction around viability. but they ls also feel very strongly about reproductive freedom. and by the way, this is where biden can make up ground. he can make up ground with independent voters. he can make up ground with suburban women and make up ground with republican voter who is feel strongly about this. there's a wide swath that do. this is a smart strategy the. they basically the dog caught the bus. now the bus is in the process of running over the dog because america is not going to put up with women going back 50 years in terms of their freedoms. my state is going to have an ip on the ballot. hopefully they are gathering signatures now that would also return to a viability standard. i think that is a very much in the majority an

he was the big story of the 2022 election on the republican side. and he was thought of as donald trump's biggest threat. but from messaging mistakes to money issues, his campaign quickly, and i mean, quite quickly fell apart. he was a bit of a paper tiger candidate, meaning he was great on paper, a governor of florida, a lot of credentials. but the more people saw him, the less the seemed to like him. we may have hit this point a week ago, but desantis did pull off a distant second place finish last weekend iowa, a state where he put in the work, he really did, his campaign, he visited all 99 counties, and he still finished nearly 30 points behind donald trump. he hung in, there he still hung in there a little bit longer, even with no real plans to compete in new hampshire and a dwindling set of financial resources or backers. we will definitely be talking about that tonight. after hesitating to go after trump for months, even going to the right of him at times, like say the time he signed the six-week abortion ban and all of the times he went on a

the republicans. biden. independents are talking about what we found out, will vote for biden. nobody, the republicans people said that if trump is on the ballot box, they will not vote at all. host: any thoughts on that, paul? guest: that is an interestingco. there are plenty of people who do not want to see donald trump returned to the white house. that is crystal clear. not just democrats. at the same time, donald trump still has a lot of support in the republican party. people say that the party is still firmly under his grip. host: we are going to get in one more quick call from patrick in new hampshire who is a republican. go ahead, patrick. turn down your volume on your tv. caller: hold on. yep. i will take it easy on you. how annoying is that ear piece you have? host: [laughter] guest: [laughter] it keeps falling out, but that is ok. i appreciate the concern. host: all right, where there any other questions about the election before we let you go? caller: ahcan. i am going to vote for trump. i