ricardo evangelista from -- in london. ricardo evangelista from activtrades joins me now.t to ask you why personal consumption expenditure is the best in five years. home sales have had the best three months since 2007. so what is it that is going to propagate a rate cut, two rate cuts, in your view? domestic, or global issues, first of all? ricardo: i think that is both. starting with domestic issues, the american economy is coming to the end of the cycle. it is still growing. it is still displaying many signs of health and vitality. this cut is mainly driven by consumption. in the u.s., this consumption has been driven by credit. the levels in the u.s. are very high. we will have a for sure political pressure on the fed. it is not also real economy pressure from data that will be coming through the year of. of0 the fed at the moment -- 2020. i think the data will deteriorate. data iso think that the going to deteriorate -- i always get nervous when i reflect back on data from 2007 and 2008. i do get nervous. there is one lady i pay attention to, catherine mann. she spoke