the first one i reach out to is robert lucas. really wanted in the book. he said, you know, i'm busy. i'm not 100% sure i can do this. i said, all right. i better get myself an insurance policy. so i approachedder have nonsmith, another nobel and i said, would you write a chapter for us and i pitched a chapter to him. he came back and said no. so i'm thinking to myself this isn't promising. i might have to go back to the president and we got a little ahead of you sir. and he comes back to me and says, you know, there is a chapter i would like to write, not the one you mentioned. i have been studying the houses crisis. i've been looking at every recession since the great depression, and what i'm finding is housing let us in -- lead us in to every recession and out of every recession. it's a better indicater than business on the severity recession, as well as the recovery. and the two exceptions don't just -- [inaudible] his research was shortly after world war ii, when it was a mild recession. and the other was in 2001. i had said that's interesting. and he