let's bring in robert shiller, who joins us from new haven.rful to have you. you said before that perhaps the spirit of thinking with say that the longest bull market in the stock market on to come to an end soon. do you expect negative returns? robert: it's very hard to predict the stock market. the talk about the longest bull market is something that pete last year, and it seemed to have a temporary effect on the market, but now that narrative is fading. we've gotten past that. we are now in record territory, and we are still going fairly well. joe: what is the narrative right now, in your view? robert: unfortunately, there's not just one narrative. some narratives are very a particularike policy rule. other narratives that might help , they tend to be more psychological or social or political. that will about facts be very familiar to you. you might doubt they are driving the market, but they may well be, what else can account for the huge upturn in the stock market that we have seen, and an earnings as well, that reflects buying patterns.