joined by robin oakley. politics makes for interesting bedfellows.have him coming out hard against his former coalition partner and ed milliband. tells you about the pressure right now. >> neither of the two major party leaders, they're insisting they're going to win, outright, majorities, they don't really believe it. at heart. and they know that this is a battle that is going all the way to the line. every vote counts. but either of them. david cameron or ed milliband may need the remaining liberal democrats, going to be smaller in the next parliament than the last. they might lead them as partners. the two party leaders, are trying to appeal to voters. david cameron, promising tax cuts. ed milliband. saying under the conservatives, national health service is going to go to peaches. he has documents which he says show national health service is going to have a deficit. 2 billion pounds. scare story there from labor. but everything to pay for. one of the keys will be if we get tactical voting. could upset pole predictions. is it true that nick may n

let's bring in robin oakley for analysis on this election. robin, good day to you.ave part of the country essentially supporting austerity and another part, the more liberal block that feels quite the opposite. how does the prime minister united this country? >> yes, he has a huge balancing problem, george, has david cameron. the scottish nationalists, they're a party well to the left of any of the others in british politics at the moment. they are entirely anti the austerity program. they have 56 of the 59 seats in scotland. they say they'll make sure that austerity is the issue. but what can they actually do because david cameron has an overall majority in the parliament and it's difficult to see what the scottish nationals can achieve which is only going to raise further fears of pressure for another referendum on scottish independence north of the border. and david cameron has another kind of balancing problem. having had this victory now governing on his own without liberal democrats, he's going to face pressure from a lot of the right wingers in his own party

let's bring in cnn political distributor robin oakley for some analysis. robin, good day to you. vote, it is slated for no earlier than 2017, but could it come earlier? >> i don't think it will come earlier, george, because there have got to be negotiations with 27 countries within europe and the president about the changes that they'd like to see in the european union before he makes his recommendation to the british people about whether they should vote in or out. i don't think we'll see that referendum before the end of 2017 for when it's promised but, of course, if britain should vote to come out of the european union in that referendum, we're also likely to see another referendum on the future of scotland in the united kingdom. because the scots are very keen on their membership in the european union. if the rest were to come out they would most certainly demand a referendum so that they could vote to stay in the european union. that's just one of the many problems facing david cameron with this new phenomenon of 56 scottish nationalists at westminster. in that interesting r

let's bring in, cnn's political contributor, robin oakley.off on this huge question of europe. will britain stay or leave european union. will this be the defining issue of david cameron's second term you think? >> certainly. the outside world its concerned, sound to be the key issue. the president of the european quigs was the first to send congratulations to david cameron. to say he was happy to talk to him. and hope to be able to strike a deal on the changes, david cameron is going to want in the european union if he is going to advocate a yes voten the referendum promised before 2017. of course, david cameron was the one european leader who fought against his opponent taking on the job with the european commission, andrew. >> nothing really changes in politics, sir, does it? what do you think though, robin, is it likelihood of the uk leading. britain leading? it really would be an enormous burden i guess for david cameron to be known as the man who took the country out of europe. >> yes. and if he became the man who took britain out of eu

i am joined by political contributor, robin oakley, you said this is the closest poll you have seen.olitical career which spans decades. stunning. >> the amount of time. nothing moved since january. the two main your parties. neck in neck. all of the activities of the minor parties are, having been much greater effect on this election or potential effect. the possible outcomes are varied. so that's why we are seeing ed milliband sit down with a comedian, outspoken. dismissing politicians, he has millions. he took a risk to do that. it now seems to be. could pay off for him. >> yes, russell brand, very big following on social media. this is something that they, ed milliband engratiate him with younger voters. in particular. russell brand so long. how seriously should we take him. you shouldn't vote at all. comedian would be for a loss. he doubted democracy now. he says a dialogue with the british people. i mean, glad he has come round to it. this sort of celebrity factor that all the parties feel they have got to go in for. bringing in, you know, film actors, j.k.rowling, labor. andre

robin oakley. the economy is a big issue.a possible referendum on whether the uk should be part of the eu. and david cameron's party, conservatives haven't been as vocal about that, but they have been on the back foot. what will that do to the outcome of this election that issue of immigration and being part of the eu? >> one of the depressing things about the election, the lack of interest in the outside world shown by the leading politicians. all a poker game. i'll give you 10,000 more doctors. i will raise that by 5,000 more nurses. big issues like the future of the our pine unio-- european un. and what vladamir putin is doing. all of that neglected. the european referendum have only really crept up thanks to ukip, united kingdom independence party who they are pressing for a referendum on europe. david cam run to saeron, whethe stays in the european union by end of 2017. labor who used to be an anti-europe party at one stage of their history are very much saying no referendum under us. not unless circumstances change. we