let governor romer, the former governor of louisiana into the debate, they were saving this debate for the serious candidates. >> i want to get tough with you. what are the odds on the presidential election next year, 2012, odds right now? >> the odds that obama wins? >> yeah. >> 55%. >> what do you think it is? >> i have no idea. you know, look -- >> think it is 55%. >> any incumbent tough to beat. is obama nearly as tough to beat as everyone on the left thinks he is? no, he's not. >> he could lose, but he won't lose, he will run a great campaign. he'll raise a ton of money. >> i don't think you can answer that question. >> think it is roughly 50/50 right now. i think it is roughly 50/50 based gas prices, real economic factors are going to end up being the number one issues in the country coming the next year. steve mcmahon, thank you, you're steve mcmahon, you're todd harris a great guy it is a tough show, i know. >> yes, it is. "hardball." >> if you want an easy run, go to fox and they'll warm up for you. >> the green room. >> this is what you do with what you got and you got us. an

we will warming up considerably this afternoon. 84 rooms romer park, 80 in the bottle, san rafael 80egrees, cooler around the coast upper 60s for the most part, downtown san francisco 68 for you, 81 in castro valley, 83 in fremont, 680 down to pleasanton we are looking for temperatures mid-upper 80s. in the south bay a or '80s. your 7 day forecast if you have any outdoor plans we have a chance for a sprinkle and cooler temperatures as well. 67 degrees for inland spots, chance for a sprinkler two at this point it will be light, it will fall mainly to the north, breaking it down more detail in just a whilethe close three get >> erica: you can see the cars stacking up the meter lights have been turned on. this is only affecting one half of the toll plaza, traffic is moving well, it looks good up the incline and along the deck. 13 minute trip from the foot of the maze into seven francisco. san mateo bridge nothing to report here, it's easy ride into foster city. golden gate bridge ride is still quiet as you approach san francisco. across town for ways looks good were the james lick museu

tim pawlenty, ron paul, buddy romer, rick santorum.>> there is a run on the bush record. i'm fine with that. >> this is not a significant debate for the republican party and the gop leading into 2012. i agree that where this is really important for president obama is in the leadership issue. reuters did a poll about a month and a a half ago that 17% of people would describe barack obama as a strong and decisive military leader. this blunts the kriccriticism o that point. tomorrow, president obama has the opportunity to give that speech at ground zero to connect emotionally with the american people. that is a place where obama has had a bit of trouble, that he doesn't seem to necessarily get it where the american people are coming from. we saw that in the debate over the ground zero mosque. and let's remember, he's not -- he hasn't released the pictures and i think that has a really important cathartic symbolism for the american people that the monster has been slain, the devil has been killed here and if president obama does that, i th