i take issue with ron paul on two points.ed did help us get out of the deep recession, that credit crisis in 2007 and 2009. without the fed there, with all that liquidity to try to get the investors to be more confident in the economy, to stop that crash that we had in all asset prices, the fed was critical. the point is that was in 2007 and 2009, the fed should not be still at a 0% fund rate after six years of economic expansion, and so it's this fed and the mistakes that this fed is making that are the problem. david: deirdre, i used to work at "wall street journal," the editor of the journal was forgiving of the fed. he said they serve one purpose as a lender of last resort. when you have a financial crisis like 2008 and 2009 have an institution that could be the lender of last resort but let the markets decide what the interest rates should be, the not federal reserves? >> that point is very well founded, david. in 2008, we needed the fed, all hands on deck. one thing i'm curious about is when the fed chooses to raise rat

got me interested. >> i came across ron paul. >> ron paul. >> youtube videos on friedman.n: where did you find them? >> i typed it in the search box, and milton friedman came up and i've been hooked. >> i heard about libertarian from you, on fox news. >> my economics and government teacher in high school played your public choice video. these are not the kind of ideas showing up in textbooks that are written nowadays. >> i'm originally from russia, and moving to the united states, i saw that there is such thing as liberty. john: right! the young people sure know more about liberty and life than i did when i was their age. that's good news, that's our show. from the students for liberty conference, see you next week for another new episode in our new time slot, friday on fbn. good night! , that is born classified. that is what they will be talking about. kennedy: good night. >> harsh allegation. always fun to debate with you. kennedy: we are out of time. thank you for being with us. join us your tomorrow. ♪ kennedy: hello. i watched a press conference with diamond donald tr

that special friend is ron paul. those who had the pleasure to serve with ron no how he's served with unwavering principles, whether he was fighting the federal reserve speaking out against unnecessary war, or defending life, ron paul lived out the principles he holds dear and upheld the constitution. that is why i supported him when he ran for president of the united states of america. mr. speaker, it was ron paul who started the liberty caucus which i am still a member. i will always remember very fondly when we met in his office in the canon building for lunch meetings. he would invite speakers who were expert in everything from monetary policy to foreign policy. we all got so much out of those liberty caucus meetings. he helped me and many of my colleagues have a better understanding of monetary policy. what a good policies and what are bad policies, too many times our leaders don't understand the impact and complexities of monetary policy. it is obvious with our growing ebt of $18.3 trillion that our leadership i

i am sure you heard ron paul at the top of the show. >> well, i ami am a market watcher.s a catalyst for volatility, but so are so many other things. extraordinary volatility. >> people are asking me what is going on. >> china was the catalyst. even that was well anticipated. we are entering a new environment. it is much wilder volatility.volatility. one of the key reasons that is not talked about that much, the impact of these measures have taken the banks out of the marketplace playing the role they traditionally played as shock absorbers. >> when the market goes down the bank looks and says, ibm at this prices up by. >> exactly. >> and now they are not doing. >> because their capitol is tied up. almost uncoordinated mandates, and they had just stepped back from the marketplace. >> a lot of people are blaming the algorithmic traders. you don't think that's true? >> that is a factor as well. there is never any one factor. the missing piece is the bank as the shock absorber. it's like a car going down the road, and it is fine as long as the road is nice and smooth, but gi

ron paul. who knows the fed better than ron paul. you can disagree with the guy on a lot of things. out. it is a huge day. could be huge for markets as well. please don't miss a moment of it. >> that does it for us. "risk & reward" starts right now. [screaming. [sirens] dierdre: these are images that most in the western world don't expect to see in europe. the migrant crisis is reaching fever pitch. hungarian police firing water cannons against refugees trying to cross the border. christian whiton former state department official. what does this signal as far as u.s. commitment to take in 10,000 migrants?

i think that really interesting question is whether he is, another ron paul. are these supporters who going to follow him, who are engaged with him but not broader political process, he will top out 30%, but not really get more, then -- >> why might he not get more. >> how? how is he going to appeal to people, where his basic approach is to attack the person they support. demean them -- >> he has not done that with ben carson. >> belittle them in their policy. >> hang on. >> austin come on in. >> respond to that. he said ben carson was a half-rate doctor. you are not going to have warm and fuzzies for donald trump. >> i think he has been much nicer to ben carson than others. >> that is not really a big compliment. >> we have whole panel here, a all-star cast. we have with us richard goodstein, and richard fowler. and many additional team coming forward. let's go to ford, we've talk about whether or not trump can hold on this lead or build on this lead. what is your sense of where he stands right now? is this a tipping point for him. and the party? >> i don't t

. >> the ron paul crowd, if you will, believes that we helped create what happened in syria.is in correct. it is not just a different point of view it is wrong, we invaded iraq in 2003. the other end of the broader middle east, you know whether we invaded iraq or not, what happened in arab spring would have happened, we would have this the syrian war, and this refugee crisis. charles: that was former state department advisor on the show last week, he said that ron paul, and others who think like him, saying that america created this situation in syria. therefore the migrant crisis was wrong that is not the case. nevertheless, the crisis is growing. we said last week, at least president obama did, he would like to accept 10,000 refugees. over the weekend, a senior democrat on foreign relations committee said we should accept 50,000 of them. joining me now, tammy. and christian. the debate goes back and forth. the american people, i think will be asked by this obama administration to accept more than 10,000, we've taken in 1500 so far. but with germany saying we'll take 800,000

ron paul. who knows the fed better than ron paul. you can disagree with the guy on a lot of things. he knows the fed inside and out. it is a huge day. could be huge for markets as well. please don't miss a moment of it. >> that does it for us. "risk & reward" starts right now. [screaming. [sirens] dierdre: these are images that most in the western world don't expect to see in europe. the migrant crisis is reaching fever pitch. hungarian police firing water cannons against refugees trying to cross the border. christian whiton former state department official. what does this signal as far as u.s. commitment to take in 10,000 migrants? >> you know it is a bad sign. i don't think it is a good sign when you have refugees throwing rocks and bottles of water at police. they have been through a lot. not any situation i would wish on any people but these people are coming from an area that is rife with islamism, radical islam, terrorism. things like this, vast majority of refugees may have no interest in that. there may be isis operatives or sympathizers. may be others sympathetic to radical

ron paul fired back. really, there is a sophomoric quality that is entertaining about mr. trump, but i am worried. i'm very concerned about having him in charge of the nuclear weapons, because i think is response -- his response, his visceral response to attack people on their appearance, short, tall, fat, ugly -- that happened in junior high. reporter: in the three-hour device -- televised debate, they hit on immigration, minimum wage, abortion, and taxes, but nearly all coming back to hit hard at trump, who is leading in the polls. >> one guy that has some special interests that i know of, they tried to get me to change my views on something, was donald trump. he wanted casino gambling in florida. >> i didn't want it. >> yes, you did. i'm not going to be bought by anybody. >> i promise, if i wanted it, i would have gotten it. notrter: he voted he would vote for carly fiorina because of her face. fiorina: i think women all over this country heard very clearly what mr. trump said. mr. trump: she's got a beautiful face and i think she is a beautiful woman. reporter: his riv

it's a scandal that started in the ron paul for president campaign in 2012.llegations that the ron paul campaign paid a bribe, that they bribed an iowa state senator in order to get that senator's endorsement. federal prosecutors say the rand paul for president campaign made more than $70,000 in secret bribery payments to this iowa state senator and then they conspired with him to cover it up. that scandal has already led to that iowa senator pleading guilty in federal court. earlier this summer it led to federal indictments of three paul family staffers, two of whom have been work recently to get rand paul elected president this time around. all three of them have pled not guilty. but this scandal from his dad's campaign, it's already led rand paul to lose two of his top aides at a time when he really can't afford to be losing anybody. but they were charged. they're pleading not guilty. they've had to resign from rand paul world. so he's lost them. and now there's new bad news for rand paul in terms of what's about to happen in this story. the federal trial

. >> it hurt rand paul like it hurt ron paul, there's a sentiment to buy more weapons even though we have them. >> there's 14 guys against rand. he's one guy. and he can get that back, that constituency his father had. >> he made a lot of sense on the debate stage. >> i agree. >> it's a problem at a time like now when the republican rank and file is fueling more hawkish than usual with what's happening with isaac. >> they don't have any solutions for anything. it's a lot of talk. nobody wants to send except for lindsay graham. >> he and putin can get on just like that. >> they'll be pals. that's what i said. >> the dynamic in the debate is quite interesting. and that is that the dynamic is the dynamic of something called bravo, which is house wives who argue with each other. >> bravo, i thought it was a cable tv channel. >> house wives of new jersey. >> yeah, because the dynamic is they argue with each other, and that is what's going on here. chapel would put one of the candidates against the prospective view of another, and engage him in sprightly conversation. in bravo, the real ho

. >> i might vote, i never would say, ron paul because -- >> you said what. >> vote for ron paul. i never thought i say that. he wants to get rid of the fed. these guys are jokes. they're -- >> what i said was this fed was probably own positive actor for a period of about four years in this economy. neil: no doubt. >> during the greatest distress this economy had been in since the great depression. neil: that's a good point. >> when you say the fed has lost credibility -- >> right. >> i suggest they gained back some. >> with who? >> well the same people who you thought lost. >> no, they haven't. >> my god, charlie. neil: i don't even understand what he is saying. >> signaled absolutely nothing about a rate -- >> read the last statement. the last statement. neil: questioning credibility with stuart varney. i will say this, lou is on to something here, that say what you will of the federal reserve. i agree with a lot of chicanery, they're only adult in town. only one getting anything in done. they are only one addressing -- which is bad. i'm not giving them a compliment. >> let's no

real libertarians like ron paul are not for any of this garbage. in fact, democrats have always been behind some of the bigger sanctions that didn't work in the past. japan before they attacked us because they had no oil. carter put it on the soviets with the grain embargo. recently obama with syria, how are those sanctions working? that place is a bigger mess than before. they don't work, they ear not a free market. that is why it doesn't work because black markets form and all the stuff you read about in economics classes is what builds when you have this artificial impact on a real free market. have a free market with iran. i know we hate them, but we'll actually have a better outcome than sanctions. >> ashley, sanctions did work for a while, and they were putting pressure on the economy in iran. if the free market decides we're not going there, would that effectively put the iran deal to bed? >> well, look, the problem right now is this iran deal gives iran exactly what they want. it gives them more than $100 billion in sanctions and that's goi

i think a lot of those people probably supported ron paul last time. we see where the more outrageous the behavior of trump he seems to solidify his base even more and all that to them as evidence that he is not going to be like everyone also rules go out the window when that starts happening. number one i do think there is this deep desire to be anti-washington absolutely without a doubt. second of all you have to factor into that in the early stages that's all they know about some of these candidates is their anti-washington. herman cain was an outside washington candidate who went to the top is it that. people can tell you very little about herman cain and over time it was proven that he shouldn't be president. i'm telling you that that's necessarily going to be proven about carly or trump. >> if you look at the difference between last time and this time he mentioned some candidates are running in specific other candidates rather than the rest of the field. he mentioned mike huckabee. correct me if i'm wrong. it was put then person a category and pu

and try to appeal to those same ron paul supporters. just like scott walker rand paul has seen his decline, his standing erode pretty dramatically in the polls. and he needed something to shake things up. i'm just not sure if he did that. >> especially when you have that moment, several moments where you saw jeb bush coming to terms with his own last name. during the debate. as the clip you showed earlier, about keeping the country safe, at one point he acknowledges that he smoked marijuana in high school and my mother is unhappy with me -- sorry, mom. gwen: and he tweeted out sorry, mom. always good to remind people that barbara bush is your mother, i guess. >> that was another thing for those of us following social media during the debate. he is standing there and yet tweeting at the same time. and -- >> multitasking. >> and in the meantime, i got some notification of him joining some other social -- vine. he joined vine. during the debate. gwen: and who the biggest winner was on social media during the debate, bernie sanders. his face

people are interested in these ideas and perhaps do not want an older guy, but libertarians -- >> or ron paul>> but he had a chance and if the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over, maybe we ought to switch it up. john: one thing that bothers me is they pretrade the hero as a nerd which made the film say we wanted to be accurate. put her on the asp burgers spectrum. you kind of have to read. most of us are indoctrinated , but then we have to read books like this to break out of the conventional wisdom of what most people believe today. >> i think that it takes a lot of thought. >> if you look at the online numbers, one of the things you see his socialists have an enormous market share. conservatives have a small market share. we will see a demographic twist, the older generation -- john: are not being counted because they don't have land lines. >> and hearing people are tired of establishment politics. far left hand outside of the democrat establishment and the student movement for ran paul pushing back against establishment politics, and it is a matter of time where we

in fact, the closest to them is i think they supported ron paul last time. they -- you know, because we see where the more outrageous the behavior of trump he seems to solidify his base even more and all that is to them is evidence that he is not going to be like everyone else. and so, you start rules of engagement sort of go out the window when that starts happening. number one, i do think there is this deep desire to be anti-washington. absolutely without a doubt. but second of all, you have to factor into that, too, in the early stages, that's all they know about some of these candidates is they're anti-washington. her mman cain was an anti-outsi washington candidate went way to the top because of that. people tell you very little about herman cain and didn't know if he should be president or not and i think it was proved he shouldn't be president. i'm not telling that's necessarily proven about carly or ben carson or trump but i'm telling you we have gotten nowhere near that period where people made that determination. >> if you look at a difference of l

four years ago, ron paul finished 3803 short vote of winning the caucus. and they were genuine to the why is that significant? winter break. this type is february 1. this be the first time in over a decade the caucuses have occurred when school is in session, when students are going to be a round. you look at that map and you can see how much opportunity there is. caucuses and organization and student strength, those are where we are very well positioned. >> so in other words, some of those kids who are at sea back every year and loved rand paul and make him a winner of the straw poll of you are going to be in school in iowa speak was just absolutely. >> how -- >> iowa has doubled the population of new hampshire with w the participants because it's a caucus state. when you look at how many citizens of the aisle is also not one of the biggest of big it is schools like university of iowa, iowa state. those are two of the biggest schools in the country. so there's a massive student population. he mentioned the cpac. since they canceled the iowa straw poll, th

i think a lot of those people supported ron paul last time. because we see where the outrageous the behavior of trump, he seems to solidify his base even more. to them that's evidence that he's not going to be like everyone else. rules of engagement start going out the window when this starts happening. there is a desire for people outside of washington, without a doubt. in the early stages, that's all they know about some of these candidates, is they're anti-washington. herman cain was an outside washington candidate who went way to the top because of that. but it people could tell you very little about herman cain and whether he should be president. over time it was proven he shouldn't be president. i can't tell you whether that's going to be proven about carly or ben carson or trump. what i'm telling you is we've gotten nowhere near where people have made that determination. >> if you look at the difference between last time and this time, you mentioned some candidates are running against specific other candidates rather than the rest the f

four years ago ron paul finished 3,803 votes short of winning the caucus and they were january 3. this time it is february 1. first time in over a decade at when the school is in session and the students are going to be around. so you look at that map and you can see how much opportunity there is out there. >> so in other words some of those kids love rand paul and make him the winner every year are going to be in school. >> iowa has doubled the population but half the participants because it the caucus states and when you look at how many students are there isn't one of the bigger states that there is the students like iowa, university state those are the biggest schools in the country so there is a disproportionate student strike. just this past weekend in the straw poll this is the biggest straw poll so far and just this past weekend rand paul one and finished ahead. he was writing from the debate last week and yet we still win. that is indicative of the passion passion of passion that fell passion of hell for us among our supporters. >> talk about the political aspect of that

today, the person in a is ron paul -- rand paul, bobby jindal. that shows you the depth of our field. we have a good field. sometimes, in a semi final match, every match is just as tough as the finals. we will slug it out here in the finals, but whoever here is the winner will be a good candidate and give us a good chance to win the right house. journalist: on your public inside, the voters are extraordinarily angry. he spoke about this. that is the mission of the freedom caucas is to respond to the public discomfort with washington. it seems like the discomfort of the establishment which you are a part of -- guest: wait, wait, wait -- did you say i'm part of the establishment? [laughter] journalist: respect for the, sir, you are in your fifth term in congress. you are part of the establishment. guest: the guy who is the head of the freedom caucus is part of the establishment. that is a first. journalist: it seems like there has been something unleashed that the establishment has a hard time grasping or putting their arms around or even understan

in fact, the closest to them is i think they supported ron paul last time. they -- you know, because we see where the more outrageous the behavior of trump he seems to solidify his base even more and all that is to them is evidence that he is not going to be like everyone else. and so, you start rules of engagement sort of go out the window when that starts happening. number one, i do think there is this deep desire to be anti-washington. absolutely without a doubt. but second of all, you have to factor into that, too, in the early stages, that's all they know about some of these candidates is they're anti-washington. her mman cain was an anti-outsi washington candidate went way to the top because of that. people tell you very little about herman cain and didn't know if he should be president or not and i think it was proved he shouldn't be president. i'm not telling that's necessarily proven about carly or ben carson or trump but i'm telling you we have gotten nowhere near that period where people made that determination. >> if you look at a difference of l

at the top of the hour, congress and ron paul.would do to solve europe's crisis. ...that sound good? not being on this phone call sounds good. it's not muted. was that you jason? it was geoffrey! it was jason. it could've been brenda. perfect driving record. >>perfect. no tickets. no accidents... >>that is until one of you clips a food truck, ruining your perfect record. >>yup... now, you would think your insurance company would cut you some slack, right? >>no. your insurance rates go through the roof. your perfect record doesn't get you anything. >>anything. perfect! for drivers with accident forgiveness, liberty mutual won't raise your rates due to your first accident. and if you do have an accident, our claim centers are available to assist you 24/7. for a free quote, call liberty mutual at switch to liberty mutual and you could save up to $509 call today at see car insurance in a whole new light. liberty mutual insurance. charles: taking a look at oil down 74 cents now 2% but the most volatile time for oil. the last time at th

ron paul started this, forget this election, this is the future of the country and i hope he does morehey are the true contrarians flying in the face of this emotionalism that is destroying academia and the college experience. well done. scott walker is doubling down on the whole border control thing. it's good if it's good enough for the south, it's good enough for the north. >> he sort of has a dead eyes thing. i guess he is trying to ride the coattails and say yes, let old awol, let's cover the country with saran wrap like christo used to do. >> miles and miles. >> the u.s. gets 40% of its own energy from the u.s. then mexico is the next and then canada. and so i'm just thinking that we are cutting off the north and the south. where are the rest of our energies coming from. >> is this really a problem? is that running from al capone? [laughter] >> there is one individual that did try after september 11 from algeria to come to florida. and i guess that that is probably what was a part of a. kennedy: it's not a reason enough to build a 5500-mile long wall. i don't necessarily think so

>> ron paul. >> i wish i was still on snowden with you. >> the punch line was hitler. >> i just think when i think -- reagan when i think stuff like that. >> you said university of chicago is one of the last fash -- facist universities. >> yes. >> they are you all raving about bernie sanders. >> jessica you said college is a utopia and you listed a bunch of reasons including there is a girl who is willing to sleep with you no matter how unattractive she is. >> i said -- how unattractive you are. >> that's what i was checking. >> the girl is probably really ugly too, but she will still do it with you. >> i thought you were going to say you are, but you said she is. >> i'm sorry. >> it might be my fault. new york city health department employee disciplined for using the robotic voice. glad they don't have the policy here. tom, you brought up that the judge said what was apparent from his rambling explanation was he felt his skills and education to be inferior to his job. he is not able to do the job he wants. so get a new job? >> i know. i guess he keeps thinking -- >> i mean you. >> tr

former texas congressman ron paul on fox business yesterday strongly criticized the fed decision. >> if you have a housing bubble or bond bubble or student debt skyrocketing there is still a lot of malinvestment. that to us is inflation and distortion of the economy. nicole: well he has to have a chat with janet yellen. meanwhile during wednesday night's debate the donald trump attacked former congressman's son kentucky senator rand paul, saying quote i never attacked him or his looks. believe me there is plenty of subject matter right there. that is what he said during the debate. here is congressman paul's reaction. >> now he is it hads home. some people say he looks a little bit like me. i might take that personally, you know or something. but you know, a lot of stuff we hear in debates and rather annoying and pretty childish what is going on. nicole: in that debate senator paul slammed trump saying voters are getting tired of former reality tv star's silliness. he called name-calling type things sophomoric, like high school. lauren: junior high. nicole: junior high. is that what

ron paul. [laughter] >> now we leave this in hands of the very capable man of lou dobbs. lou: good evening. i'm lou dobbs. donald trump in new hampshire tonight about to hold a town hall meeting there he is in rochester new hampshire talking from the rochester community center. the republican front runner getting back on the campaign trail plan day after sparring with ted opponents in the second presidential debate. this is an important event for a truck for the latest poll of the has a 4.lead over dr. carson. 22 over 18 percent. we will bring you the event is a matter of moments live. also political pundits are pointing to carly fiorina as the big standout last night. "the new york times" called the former ceo himself assured and at times deeply personal. the question is can she capitalize on her performance? we will have a full report and political analysis with republicans strategist karl rove. and chris plant is among our guests. congressional leaders trying to avoid a repeat of the 16 day government shut down two years ago but it may have been. roughly two dozen cons

this campaign has never caught on with the ron paul coalition. those libertarians that supported his father, have been lukewarm on the son. that has hurt paul for the start. he's never caught fire with that part of the liberty base of the gop. >> let's talk about the ceiling. you're talking about his ceiling. can he get that ceiling to go up, because of tax offers to people? really santa claus type offers. according to a new nbc/"wall street journal" poll, donald trump is the most popular figure in america right now. 25% of the country has a positive view of trump. 58% holds a negative view. what the undecided is obviously the rest. three out of five people don't like the guy. what's his ceiling. >> but it's a national poll. it's not a reflection of what's going on inside the gop or actually going to be voting in three months on who the nominee is going to be. that's why national polls don't really matter at this point in predicting what donald trump -- >> so republican voters can be bought with a bogus tax offer? >> it's not that republican voter

i think a lot of people supported ron paul last time. outrageous the rules of of trump -- engagement go out the window. number one, i think there is this desire to be anti-washington, absolutely without a doubt. you have to factor into that too that in the early stages, it is all they know about the candidates. herman cain was an outside washington candidate. people can tell you very little .bout herman cain over time, i think it was proven that he should not be president. i'm not telling you that will be proven about carly, ben carson, or trump, but what i am telling you is that we of gotten nowhere near that where people have made that determination. if you look at the difference between last time and miketime, you mentioned huckabee. correct me if i'm wrong. i would put an carson in that category, ted cruz, maybe there are a couple i am missing. doesn't that make for a much more crowded and competitive playing ground in iowa than you had last time? , and a muchtely more credible field. last time, we could come in the top three in iowa

after all ron paul used to draw big crowds without it ever really showing up very strongly in actual polling. now sanders has been surging there as well. first polling within striking distance in the polls in new hampshire and then actually ahead in the granite state. the response of sanders' skeptics, well, he's the senator from vermont. it's just next door. a strong showing is to be expected. if iowa hillary clinton is up by 30 points. yes, she used to be. but now in the latest "des moines register" poll sanders is pulling nearly even with clinton in iowa. once you factor in the nearly 5% margin of error, other polls still show her with a sizable lead. so at some point you have to say whatever the predictive value of polling right now, at this moment bernie sanders is running a heck of a campaign and he is clearly competitive with hillary clinton and that probably explains some of the decisions the clinton campaign has made to remind everyone just how formidable their operation is, and it is formidable, including her campaign's recent claim clinton has secured one-fifth of the tota

air force one, and that is so cool, and this is where the candidates are going to be staying, and ron paule huckabee, and so forth, but it is not much better than this. >> and look at how close we are to air force one, and it is amazing and how close the candidates are to air force one, and the idea, wolf, they want to be the commander in chief, and they want the next air force one to be the one they fly in. >> and if you are donald trump, you are standing right here, and looking out, and you will see what 500 people in the relatively small room, because, there were thousands in cleveland at the first debate, and so it is a lot more intimate. >> it is a lot more intimate, and that is going to be playing a big dynamic of how the candidates interact, and if they interact, and in fact, will they get into the argument or the fight or what have you? >> the questioners, dana bash and hugh hewitt are going to be sitting right here, and ask some questions, and the moderator our own jake tapper is going to be sitting right here, and he going to be trying to keep everyone hoppest if you will, and wa

trump wanted to be sure they didn't use the tactics on him they used on ron paul three years ago. he want equal access, a totally open shot at the rubble nomination. the new york times reported only a month ago that rubio, bush and walker's campaigns were talking about boycotting the fox debate if trump were involved. what he had to do here was to get fairness, an even level playing field for himself. in return, what he got was the committal of all the career politicians to support trump if he is the nominee. and right now, he is the front-runner to become nominee. so it is win/win for trump. and then a public relations coup by having a press conference that everybody cuts live to. so in response, the campaign sent out a tweet, a picture handwritten by jeb bush saying i voted republican since 1972. i think of jeb bush is a good guy, a smart political guy. hard to see him winning a single vote by doing that. who thought of that? who is running that campaign? >> i think that jeb bush, the attack on jeb bush about being low energy is absolutely devastating. and of course, at the begi

hermann cane or gingrich who have a temporary surge and factual candidates getting 20% of the vote or ron paul. he might be both those combined and so that's when the surge wears off. some people jump on the band wagon and say this guy is a winner and beating hilary. when that wears off, might not go to zero. he might say he's really different than anyone else in the field and i like that, maybe i'm a republican who doesn't like immigration but you know, i like my social security and medicare and want tax to be higher on the rich. there are voters with that portfolio that will vote in the republican primaries. some of it is a band wagon effect. >> fascinating. nate, thank you so much. >> thank you. >> nate silver, you heard him say it's early and seeing candidates drop out of the race and clinton and bush campaigns have to reissue supporters that one poll or another doesn't mean the campaigns are on the ropes. let's get perspective from hugh huet and anna navarro and gloria borger. hugh, great to have you. i don't know if you're nervous or excited or exhausted already but obviously, nate silve