that was sam kearney evans, an analyst at the royal united services institute. thank you. now may, 9th is a significant date in russia's military calendar victory day, as it's known, there celebrates the soviet defeat of the nazis in world war 2, traditionally is marked by bombastic and patriotic military parades and moscow. this year, the focus is likely beyond the parade to deflect attention from russia's sluggish campaign in ukraine. rehearsals in moscow are already underway. ah, if you stroll around moscow's tourist district, among the stereotypical russian souvenirs you can no find the letter zed printed everywhere. it's merchandise in support of russia's quote, special military operation. the only name a load for the war in ukraine in the city center tanks and rocket launchers rolled towards the kremlin. well, russian soldiers fight on the front line and ukraine. it's the rehearsal for the may. the 9th victory day parade, which for many is an annual spectacle. this year, everything is different. throws, nick knowns to sleep is indeed a holiday master. no, but it's on

earlier i put that question to sam cranny, evans and analyst at the royal united services institute. that's a security thing tank in london. wow. it, it, it serves the purpose is the 1st is it, has this political message is morale, boosting message that the ukrainians on to line. and there are, you know, powerful states willing to back them to quite a significant extent by providing that intelligence. and that would have to come from national asset. so b usa across and satellites, and nato cross and satellites providing that kind of information in a military sense, informs part of a picture or the intelligence on its own. for instance, the most bother you just reference that would have had to been paired up with organic real time intelligence for the grades to be able to act on it. so it helps you ukrainians on to what might be important or useful targets, but the ukrainians do have a fair amount of work themselves. they're ukraine's western partners are stepping up their arm supplies as well. the german government now says it will send howitzers to support the ukranian army. what di

mark: samuel of the royal united services institute, thank you for your analysis here on france 24.preciated. -- appreciate it. more news on the 78th day of the russian invasion in ukraine. ukraine has mentored a counteroffensive, ousting russian forces in villages north and east of kharkiv. those are places vladimir putin's forces had held since the start of the invasion february 24. russians are reportedly regrouping, but it is confirmed ukraine forces are holding territory 40 kilometers east of kharkiv went to the north, halfway to the russian border. on war crimes, the yuan high commissioner on human rights says there are many possible examples of war crimes including unlawful killings and summary executions. moscow denies deliberately attacking civilians despite evidence to the contrary. its ambassador to the u.n. says the west is organizing another political rout to demonize russia." the russian retreat has begun to make it possible for some residents to return to villages around kharkiv. the areas remain littered with mines and booby-traps per the u.n. says the invasion has d

i'm joined by drjack watling, senior research fellow in land warfare at the royal united services institute capture the donbas region entirely, how would you describe the type of warfare that is taking place there at the moment?— there at the moment? essentially russia is short _ there at the moment? essentially russia is short of _ there at the moment? essentially russia is short of infantry - there at the moment? essentially russia is short of infantry and - russia is short of infantry and therefore is struggling to solve positions the ukrainians are occupying. so we're seeing are dynamic with ukrainians occupy ground, the russians shell it until the entire area is destroyed at which point, the ukrainians withdraw there is nothing left to defend and so the russians advance onto those positions. it is a very attritional way of conducting operations, but it is making progress. let’s way of conducting operations, but it is making progress.— is making progress. let's look at the artillery _ is making progress. let's look at the artillery both _ is making progress. let's look at the artillery

professor michael clarke is the former director general of the royal united services institute, and nowege london. he said with conservative estimates of 15,000 russian soldiers already killed, it was likely that at least a third of russian ground troops were now out of action. normally, in a modern battle, for every dead soldier there are three wounded. so if there are 15,000 dead, that is something like 40,000—45,000 wounded, so that is 60,000 troops off the battlefield one way or another. it looks as if about 60,000 of that original 180,000 have been taking off the field of battle. yes, they have lost about a third, which in conventional military calculations is pretty disastrous. given that is the disastrous state of play from a russian perspective right now, what do you expect them to do next? some commentators say that they have been surprised to see them effectively continuing with the same tactics. do you expect more of the same or will it be a change? in one sense, it has to be the same because they can't retrain whilst they are in the middle of a war. so, the inadequacies of t

journalist, yasmin alibhai—brown, and malcolm chalmers, who's deputy director at rusi —— the royal united services instituteer this month on the final day of the championship season. such a long time of lying. and i've just processed and processed every day ofjust about how i want to do it, when i want to do it. and i think now is just the right time to do it, you know? i feel like i'm ready to tell people about my story. i want people to know the real me. and lying all the time is not what i wanted to do, and it has been a struggle. now ijust feel like i'm ready to be myself, be free, and just be confident with it all. the day i told my mum and sister, the day after, we played accrington, and i scored four. so itjust shows how much of a weight off my shoulders it was, it was a massive relief. he's going down a path that many others will probably follow. they've probablyjust been waiting to see how it pans out first. and i think once they see the overwhelming majority of people will be more than accepting, others will follow suit. i very much hope so — it seems ridiculous in this day and age that we've got

fellow and expert on the use of air power at the defence and security think tank, the royal united services instituten studies at the university of birmingham, and an associate fellow at chatham house. and from oxford, we are joined by the bbc�*s world affair�*s editorjohn simpson. 0urfinal guest is here in kyiv with me, the ukrainian mp kira rudyk, who is also leader of the holos party. welcome to you as well. thanks to all my guests. let's go to our first question and stay with kira rudyk. josh has messaged in, asking, "what is the most likely way this war will end? "and will it be a long time before it does?" what is the most likely way this ends, do you think? the most preferable for us is that russia is weakened to the point when she does not have an ability to continue the war. the tool back the troops and then we continue living they pull back the troops and then we continue living in our beautiful country. but when you ask me about the timeline, look at the sanctions the eu is putting together that will start acting in six months. so now you know, at least the minimum time. we see that all th

here's drjack watling, a senior research fellow in land warfare at the royal united services institute therefore is struggling to assault positions the ukrainians are occupying, so we're seeing a dynamic — where ukrainians occupy ground, the russians then shell it until the entire area is destroyed, at which point the ukrainians withdraw because there's nothing left to defend. so, the russians then advance onto those positions. it's a very attritional, inefficient way of conducting an operation, but it is making progress. let's look at the artillery that both sides have. we had reports from british military sources saying that russia has deployed what's called the terminator. meanwhile, ukraine has been supplied from the us with the howitzers. what are those and what advantage does it give the two countries? most of the equipment that we're looking at is ukrainian older generations of soviet artillery pieces, and the russians using more modern howitzers with longer range and multiple rocket systems. the west has provided some m777 howitzers, which can outrange the russian systems, but

fellow and expert on the use of air power at the defence and security think tank, the royal united services instituteom birmingham, we have kataryna wolczuk, who is professor of politics at the centre for russian, european and eurasian studies at the university of birmingham, and an associate fellow at chatham house. and from oxford, we are joined by the bbc�*s world affair�*s editorjohn simpson. ourfinal guest is here in kyiv with me, the ukrainian mp kira rudyk, who is also leader of the holos party. let's go to our first question and stay with kira rudyk. josh has messaged in asking, "what is the most likely way this war will end? and will it be a long time before it does?" as a ukrainian politician, what is your answer to that? the most preferable for us is that russia is weakened to the point when she does not have an ability to continue the war. the tool back the troops and then we continue living in our beautiful country. but when you asking about, look at the sanctions he is putting together that will start acting in six months. so now you know, at least the minimum time. we see that all the

justin, senior fellow and expert on the use of air power at the security think tank the royal united services institute ukrainian member of parliament, also leader of the hollis party. welcome to you as well. thank you to all my guests. let's get our first question straightaway, josh has messaged in asking what is the most likely way that this war will and? will it be a long time before it does and? here since you're here with me can i will ask you that first about. what is the most likely way this ends, do you think? the most likely way this ends, do ou think? ~ the most likely way this ends, do you think?— the most likely way this ends, do ou think? ~ , ., , you think? well, the most preferable for us is that — you think? well, the most preferable for us is that russia _ you think? well, the most preferable for us is that russia is _ you think? well, the most preferable for us is that russia is weakened - you think? well, the most preferable for us is that russia is weakened to l for us is that russia is weakened to the point when she does not have an ability to continue the war. they pulled back the

fellow and expert on the use of air power at the defence and security think tank, the royal united services institute