thank you for all that inside justin brock of the royal united services institute. and in other use, police have arrested a man for supposedly trying to assassinate argentina's vice president footage shows him pulling a gun and christina fernandez, but no shots were fired president alberto fernandez, who's unrelated called it the most serious event. the country has been through since returning to democracy. lufthansa has cancelled hundreds of flights as pilot stage a one day strike there in a dispute for better pay and condition from germany's largest carrier. some 800 flights were grounded in munich in frankfurt. around a 100000 passengers were effected. long lines have formed a cove at 19 test centers in ching, due the large latest chinese city to be locked down as beijing pursues is 0, coven policy. street markets are also crowded as people stock up on food city of 21000000 people went into lockdown on thursday after an outbreak of around 150 coping cases. ty, one's premier suit thing chang has announced his military shot down a civilian drone on thursday. near t

justin brock as a senior military researcher at the royal united services institute in london, i asked him what we know about ukraine's counter offensive near hair song. well, we don't know an enormous amount because the guardian government and military have effectively ask for and then try to enforce a media blackout in terms of any detailed reporting of any information about how that was progressing. in order to deny the russians operational intimation, because the russians presumably get a great deal of use out of the extremely high granularity of information that we get to that consoles about movements most of the time. so interesting that they've been very successful. adjusting that down, we know that ukrainian army is not necessarily ready for large scale new warfare as we would see it in the west. so particularly commodity inflammation to brigade level or above. because ukraine anyhow, to you formation that were trained, used operating at brigade level before the impatient, those that have been training place. people thank you for systems 2014 and they've been used extensively a

thank you for all that inside justin brock of the royal united services institute. this week, many students across europe are heading to their classrooms for the start of the school year. but some students will be studying twice as hard teenage ukrainian refugees are learning the local curriculum in their host countries and finishing their ukranian studies online all while coping with the pain of being separated from their friends. back home. d w. terry schultz met with one such student in belgium, the 1st day of school for many children, a time of excitement looking ahead to the new year and catching up with friends. but it's not that way for everyone. this day is full of pain and worry for 14 year old. christina begins sca, she's heading to class in belgium, but all her thoughts are with her friends starting their school year and keith. she was texting with one of them on the train here. and it hurts horrible. i just went all back in ukraine. and i want to all that stuff when it ought to stop. unlike the tidy classroom or waiting, christina, she's not sure how man

he is a researcher in the military team at the royal united services institute in london . i asked him if these latest defeats, if they are assigned that the russian army is collapsing in new grain. we knew that the russian military had serious morale problems, not least because that the shortage of troops means that their troops don't get any time off the line. so we're 7 months into the invasion. many of those troops have been in combat, or at least in the, was on the entire time, mostly in the open, with very poor equipment and food. and now they're faced with an essentially a war movement for which they're just not prepared in the north. and so many trips to simply abandon the heavy equipment and the vehicles. and once you do that was you can stop because you don't have the equipment to defend yourself. so for example, in is you, me, we see these enormous stockpiles of ammunition of tanks, other ahmed vehicles, because an entire russian clank just basically left their equipment and tried to get out of her name and in supplement. their suddenly threatened with. and once

in oxford, samuel ramani from the royal united services institute. thank you for joining us.markable advances by ukraine. how have they been able to make breakthroughs so quickly? >> we have been preparing for this for a very long time. as you mentioned, we were expecting a counterattack in the south. clearly that diverted russian forces away from defending the northeastern part. it's important to note the people on the ground liberating the areas are not regular army soldiers, they are volunteers. they have received significant amounts of training in the last six months and are very motivated to liberate their country. the fact that it has gone quickly has surprised not only observers, but to ukrainian central command. they expected the offensive to last until the end of september and it has gone a lot faster than expected. a lot of motivated people. they have a lot of support from the local population. they don't want to be occupied by russians and see ukrainian forces as liberators. and the ukrainians have a strategy of military action that has been proven effective. it is

with analysis from the british think tank royal united services institute. >> ukraine's counteroffensive has reshaped the battlefield in a matter of days. they have taken more territory in the past week than russia has since april. so the question is, how did they do it. i want to bring in neil melvin, the director of international security studies at the royal united services institute. which is i think tank here in london. we are looking at here is the map of what ukraine has retaken. the section here. essentially an area twice the size of greater london. really in the past week. tell me, how did they do it? >> we need traumatic change, quite the surprise because everyone had been focusing on the south down here around the house on. where do we spoken before about the pressure ukrainians have been putting on here. this as it turns out was a deliberate strategy to try to pull the russians away from the north and then ukrainians have found the gap in the russian lines. they pushed in here very quickly. they have moved very fast. have gotten behind the russians and the russian front has c

he is a senior researcher in the military team at the royal united services institute in london. it's good to have you with us tonight. what do you see when, when you hear about these, these and we're reporting them as these continued advances that we're seeing in the eastern and southern parts of ukraine? how do you read that? i mean, are we talking about real progress for ukraine? i think we're talking about modern progress. this is at this point a fairly staggering turning point in the war. this is certainly the most serious reversed that russia has suffered since it was forced to retreat from its multi pronged assault on q back in april. and they've lost and the ukrainians have liberated more than 3000 square kilometers of their own territory in about 5 days. it's one of the most successful military offenses in modern history. and indeed, it's also at so far come at a relatively low cost for ukraine, particularly in the northeast, down in cason, the the longer running and, and much more anticipated counter offensive. it has been much more bloody for both sides. and so much mo

the center for actual politics and in oxford, samuel romani, associate fellow at the royal united services institute. gentlemen, welcome to you. thank you very much for joining us on inside story me, kyla, in live in. let me start with you if i can. remarkable advances by the ukrainians. how have they been able to make these breakthroughs so quickly? well, in fact we've been, i mean, at the end of the day we've been preparing for this for a very long time. as you mentioned in the 1st segment of the program, we were expecting an account or advance or a counterattack in the south are clearly that has probably diverted some of the russian forces away from defense around the northeastern part. it is important to note that the people that are actually on the ground liberating are the areas of khaki, almost are actually not regular army soldiers. these are people from the territorial brigades. in other words, these are people that volunteered after the re 24th. they received significant amounts of training in the last 6 months and they're very, very motivated to, to liberate, liberate their, the occupied

the royal united services institute will ukrainian forces be able to maintain and consolidate these gangs. so i suspect the will, and indeed in the south, particularly, it remains to be seen in the hassan region, whether they're able to push forward further. the russian army starts to collapse there because the majority of russian combat strength that remains, including the units are concentrated in the south in cash to, to forestall that, that much more expected ukrainian counter offenses in the north. i think the biggest danger for ukraine at the moment is just potentially over extending a lot of those units have been attacking for nearly going on 6 days now. and so, you know, even with things going extremely well, people will be very, very tired. it will take a while for supplies to catch up. and so, you know, i don't think there's any danger of russia being able to mount any sort of counter counter counter offensive as it were in the northeast anytime soon. so ukraine or very likely to hold on to the territory that it's, you know, again, so quickly over the past week. and why is that

land at the end of bella leo was bringing samo romani now he's an associate fellow at royal united services institution joins us from oxford. good to have be with us. what's your assessment of this counter offensive and new crime? well, i think it's a very significant moment for the ukrainians, because obviously the russians relied heavily on logistical supplies from could be asked to museum at the ukrainians. this can be over those, the just to go supplies. the russians are not going to be able to supply their forces with ammunition extra personnel in donnie asked. so it's very contradictory when the russian ministry does and says that the regrouping forces from guarantee to don. yes, because in fact, they can't really do very much of their supply lines are got. do you feel that ukraine is it? stephanie appears to have the momentum. but can it maintain this? can it create a turning point in this wall? what are you raised? certainly as all engine for the moment and they've also caught the versions by surprise. russian military experts were warning for weeks now that kirk, he was going to be the most li

according to the royal united service institute or rusi, ukraine needs approximately 500 javelin missiles every single day. lockheed-martin only produces around 2100 missiles a year. when the report was published in june, rusi also estimated that russia had used between 1100 and 2100 missiles during their invasion of ukraine. and that means, quote, in three months of combat, russia has burned through four times the u.s. annual missile production for those cruise missiles. these examples are important benchmarks. you can do the math and you can pretty quickly come up with future scenarios where demand starts to strain supply. another important factor is the people's republic of china which both the biden administration and the trump administration identified as america's pacing threat. china has spent the last two decades dramatically building up its military. according to the d.o.d.'s 2019 missile defense review, quote, a key component of china's military modernization is its conventional ballistic missile arsenal designed to prevent the united states military access to support regional a