rui's daughter-in-law works in the factory's shipping department.n the 1970s and '80s, people were able to buy a few electrical appliances. jiang guifang tells us that their two-story concrete house was built in 1988, the same year they purchased this washing machine. this air conditioner was purchased in 1994. that year, about 30% of the villagers had a vcr. and several years before that, almost everyone here had bought a color television set. in the 21st century, consumer technology races forward. more families have dvd and vcd machines than vcrs. in fact, in china, it is difficult to find vcrs to play videotapes. narrator: in many places, cell phones have leapfrogged land lines. zong-guo xia: in chinese, the cell phone is called "big brother's talk machine." it's sort of like an indicator of your economic well-being and your social status. narrator: in 2003, 12% of urban chinese families owned a personal computer, and many more connect to the internet through public cafes. although rural life changes more slowly, farmers, too, find new leisure. z

please join me in welcoming ruy to the stage. [applause] >> great. thanks everybody for coming. as daniella mentioned, this report is a follow-up on the path of 270 that we wrote and released last november. filled with relationship between democrats and economics and the upcoming 2012 election. now, of course, you we are in the heart of political campaign and we did think is perfect to come back and we did revisit our discussion adding in a little bit about ideology because, in fact, ideology has been injected quite forcefully into this campaign, particularly by the republican side, and it's become a very, very interesting race where we see a lot of the transfer we discussed in earlier report playing itself out in interesting ways. so let me get to that. this first chart is tough demographics in the 20 oh election. on the left because it show you how minorities and white college graduates and working class voters voted in 2008. minorities 80/20, obama. white college graduates a four-point deficit, and the right hand column you see how much demographic change we have just in the

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please try me in welcoming ruy teixeira. [applause] >> thanks, everybody, for coming. this report is a follow up that we wrote and released last november. it dealt obviously with the relationship between demographics and economics. that's what a tough election. of course here we are in the heart of the political campaign. we think it's proper to come back and revisit our discussion of demographics for economics adding a little bit about ideology because ideology has been injected quite forcefully into this campaign, particularly by the republican side. and it has become a very, very interesting race and receive a lot of the trends we discussed in the earlier discussions. let me get to that. the first chart here is titled demographics of the 2012 election. on the left to columns it just shows you how minorities, white college graduates voted in 2008. minorities 8024 obama. what college graduates of four. deficit. in the right-hand column you see how much of demographic change we have just the last five years based on current population is eligible voter data. according

i am pleased to introduce ruy teixeira. after this presentation, he will lead a conversation with our distinguished panel and we look forward to hearing from all of you as well. i encourage you to follow the conversation at twitter. he is a guest scholar at the brookings institute where he has directed politics on democracy. his recent writings include democratic change in the futures of the parties, and the rise of the middle-class. he holds a degree from the university of wisconsin madison. if you are from green bay, i apologize for the game yesterday. >> thanks for coming. this report is a follow-up for the path of 270 that we wrote and released last november. it dealt with the relationship between democrats and economics. here we are in the heart of the political campaign. we did think it was appropriate to revisit our discussion, adding in a bit about ideology. ideology has been injected forcefully into this campaign by the republican side. it has become a very interesting race where we see a lot of the trends we discu

join me in welcoming ruy. [applause] >> thanks for coming.s daniella mentioned, this is a follow-up on the 270 that we released last november. obviously with the relationship between demographics and economics in the upcoming 2012 election and we are now in the heart of the political campaign and we felt was appropriate to revisit the discussion of demographic and economic adding in about ideology because ideology has been subjected forcefully into this campaign particularly by the republican side and it has become a very interesting race where we see a lot of trends we discussed in earlier reports building out in interesting ways so let me get to that. the first chart here is in title demographic shift in the 2012 election and the left two columns show you how minority college graduates and working-class voters voted in 2008. minorities for obama and white college graduates four point deficit and working-class and 18 point deficit. in the right hand column you see how much demographic change we have seen in four years based on current popula

that ruis thousands of centrifuges spinning simultaneoly. visible and they're still vulnerable. in ra iran could produce the nuclear detonator, the fuse, in a lot less time,ayb und a year. maybe only a few months. th denator can be made in a small workshop the size of a classroom. it may be very difficult to find and target that workshop. especially in iran. that's a country that's bigger than france, germany, italy and britain combined. the same is true for the small facility in which they could assembly a warhead or a nuclear device that could be placed in a container ship. chances are, you won't find that facility either. so in fact, the only way that you can credibly prevent iran from developing a nuclear weapon is to prevent iran from amassing enough enriched uranium for a bomb. so how much enriched uranium do you need for a bomb? and how close is iran to getting it? well, let me show you. i brought a diagram for you. here's a diagram. this is a bomb. this is a fu.inhe case of iran' plans to build a bomb, this bomb has to be filled with

ruy teixeira. if you're going to read a conservative blog, he's a great writer. and we also have ronald brownstein. he is devoted to demographics as i sometimes say. if you're just going to read one columnist about 2012 election, ron is the guy to do it. and finally, frank sharry. he has done fantastic work and a long-term student of the latino vote. let's start with you, ron. let's shed some light on these issues. >> yes, i will try to take what he said and put it in a framework for a couple of minutes. from 1968 to 1988, republicans won five out of six times for the white house. he talks about a republican lock on the electoral college. if you look at 922-2012, democrats won. same thing with 68-2000 and eight. the first is a change in a change of the electorate. in 1984, 65% of the total vote were noncollege whites. 27% were college-educated whites and 12% were minorities. since then, the minorities doubled to 26%. the noncollege whites all the way down to 39%. you take reagan's share of the vote in 1984 among noncollege whites and protect them in the 2008 elec