merkel being weakened? how weakened is she and does it also impact the italian elections, but also ecb policies with a lot of people moving out? rupertgerman situation has rained on the macron's parade. it underlines the tensions between french and german that were going to be difficult to reconcile. within her party, she is weakened because people are starting to look towards the post merkel area and there's concern they have been losing votes to the afd and the kind of edu -- for this have broaderesn't consequences beyond that, i think. the ecb debate is basically settled until halfway through the year. they kind of got over the big hump of last year and have gone to the each -- beach. the italian election is pretty generous. you've got this potentially ,oxic combination of the league could they cause an upset in some way? it seems less likely now particularly the immigration numbers across the mediterranean have come down. francine: we like to debate -- tom: we like to debate in bloomberg surveillance and we identify that this morning. mr. harrison suggests a more optimistic tone. at the telegraph going the other way, concerned ab