give us an update on the latest development on the russia-ukraine crisis. it's been a busy 24 hours. >> absolutely. the point she was making there as far as ukraine is concerned and their support with this facility is its very independent of the peace talks going on now in minsk. we heard that poroshenko left at one point last night. talk that the russians were being unreasonable in their demands. demarcation lines are a real issue for them too. it was developed since september. the rebels made further ground. the ukrainians want to abide by the original accord and demarcation lines in that. the rebels don't. difficult to see how they get through that and ultimately even if they do whether or not the russians abide by it. that's the question here, does this lead to peace and do we see a cease fire? but this is very independent as far as the program is concerned from the peace talks right now. a real show of support from the imf which is all they can do here despite the on going violence and it's an ambitious program. a lot of skepticism given what we have se

ukraine. they have gotten some supplies from russia. if you read about how people are living in eastern ukraine, they are really facing a tragedy. and therefore, that raises the question, and i think it influences the european perspective: do we just continue this military conflict or do we find some way to have a cease-fire to address the humanitarian issues in the east and the comic and political issues in the west? host: what do you think long-term is president putin's goal? host: guest: i think he wants to maintain a significant degree of influence over ukraine. i don't think he necessarily wants to annex the luhansk and donetsk but that is a possibility. i think his goal is to make sure that russia has influence in ukraine, that it has veto over any attempts to join the e. u and nato and quite frankly, influence development in ukraine so it doesn't become a successful western state and that could serve as a powerful example inside russia. he doesn't want that to happen as well. host: host: from stanford connecticut, johnny is next.

, given the history between russia and ukraine expecting that if russia is determined that ukraine can fully rebuff a russian army has always been unlikely. but what we have said is that the international community working together can ratchet up the costs for the violation of the core principle of sovereignty and territorial integrity. that's exactly what we've done. russia has paid a significant cost for its actions first in crimea and now in eastern ukraine. it has not yet dissuaded mr. putin from following the course that he is on. but it has created a measurable negative impact on the russian economy, and that will continue. my hope is that through these diplomatic efforts those costs have become high enough that mr. putin's prefer option is for a diplomatic resolution. i won't prejudge whether or not they will be successful. if they are successful, it will be in part because of the extraordinary patience and effort of chancellor merkel and her team. if they are not then we will continue to raise those costs. and we will not relent in that. one of the things that i'm v

last week the talk in european capitals, ukraine and russia was of a ceasefire in eastern ukraine. one was signed but the ink was barely dry before the shelling, and dyeing continues. the ukranian army has been chased out. it has been portrayed in different terms. for the government of kiev the news from the front is not good. we hear about the fighting, talk to a ukranian about the pull back and ceasefire, and find out what europe is prepared do now. what is next for ukraine - it's "inside story". "inside story". french president francis hollande and angela merkel engaged in shuttle diplomacy in an effort to keep the war in ukraine from escalating. the sound of shelling could be heard after the ceasefire was supposed to have begun. president petro porashenko, here with troops at the airport in kiev denied that debaltseve had been lost. >> this morning ukranian armed forces with the national guard finished a plan and organised operation for units to leave. for now, 80% of troops had least. were waiting for two lead. >> the secretary-general urged russia to be accountable. >> i urge

leaders from russia ukraine, france and germany agreed on the plan. ukraine's president says petro porashenko implementing the ceasefire will be difficult. >> immediately after the deal was signed by the trilateral group, the russian backed terrorists start the offensive operation. that's why it is a vitally important for us for all of us to make pressure to keep the promises about the ceasefire, the artillery, about the immediate release of the hostages. about the withdrawal of all the foreign troops from the ukranian territory as a key element for the sovereignty of my country. >> ceasefire deal is due to start on sunday. withdrawal of heavy weapons should begin two days later and be completed within two weeks. it will be monitored by the organization of the security in the group. the peace deal includes the withdrawal of foreign military forces allowing the ukrainian government to get control of the border by the end of the year and all unlawfully detained prisoners and hostages should be detained. >> vladimir putin described it has not the best no

and ukraine is not a ukrainian party, but that russia is party to that conflict. i think this is something we have to acknowledge, to be able to assess the situation correctly. so we need a fair assessment of the domestic situation in ukraine. your description of the situation in ukraine is not correct. it was not a coup but it was an agreement with the president that had been approved by the majority of parliament. three elections took place where 80% spoke out in favor for the european union, the nationalists and separatists only received 2% or 3% of the votes. and that is the situation. the two situations -- [applause] -- in domestic politics in ukraine. and i think that there should be no reason in the 21st century that the principle of territorial integrity and sovereignty should be violated. part of this is that every nation, including ukraine, of course, should be free to decide with whom they want to sign an economic or trade agreement. we don't want to fall back into the old times where the soviet -- sovereign rights of the people are being influenced. [ap

, given the history between russia and ukraine, expecting that if russia is determined that ukraine can fully rebuffet russian army has always been unlikely. but what we have said is that the international community working together can ratchet up the cost for the violation of the core principle of sovereignty andterritorial integrity. and russia has paid a significant cost for its actions first in crimea and now in eastern ukraine. it has not yet dissuaded mr. putin from following the course he is on. but it has created a measurable negative impact on the russian economy. and that will continue. my hope is that through these diplomatic efforts those costs become high enough that mr. putin's preferred option is for a diplomatic resolution. and i won't prejudge whether or not they'll be successful. if they are successful it will be in part because of the extraordinary patience and effort of chancellor merkel and her team. if they are not, we will continue to raise those costs. >> we will not relent on that. i'm encouraged to the de

we have heard that some 50 tanks crossed into ukraine from russia just last night. what more can you tell it about that? >> that was announced by ukraine's military spokesperson a little earlier. that clearly goes very much against the spirit of these peace talks if it is true. he has been caught in the past to giving information that was not subsequently confirmed, but he is saying the ukrainian armed forces have evidence of this incursion coming in from russia, and he is ukraine's official mouthpiece on the topic, and if that is true, it is rather worrying but the russians were on ruling to close the border. repeated exultation's from ukraine to close the border, russia consistently refused to do it. they refused to close the border or to hand the border back to ukrainian control before the end of this year, so that clearly suggests that they have the intention of using the border crossings controlled by the pro-russian separatists to send weaponry and military personnel in. >> gulliver greg, thank you for that, reporting from kiev. the outcome of the talks and men

first, a peace deal between russia and ukraine. why the violence i >> the white house says a proposed peace deal could be a significant step towards resolving the conflict between russia and ukraine. the leaders of russia ukraine france and germany announced the agreement today. ukraine would give its eastern region broad autonomy in exchange for control of its russian border. however, ukraine's president objected to the timing of today's cease-fire. he wants it to begin immediately. russian leaders want it to begin this coming weekend. well tempers were hot inside the ukrainian parliament today, as you can see, they weren't fighting over the deal with russia but on anti-corruption legislation. the fight between these two members of parliament lasted about 30 seconds before they were separated. the final steppingstone for democratic presidential hopefuls in 2016 will be in the city of brotherly love. democratic national committee chair debbie wasserman-schultz made the announcement by talk a philadelphia cheese steak out of her refr

leaders from russia ukraine, france and jerp ni have been holding talks and minsk. the ceasefire is to come effect on february the 15th and questions are to be withdrawn. >> we call pop both sides to hold peace, and to avoid unnecessary casualties, and do everything for the withdrawal of troops and heavy weapons will be conducted without unnecessary bloodshed. even though we have accomplished everything this represents soars serious hope for ukraine. it's an example of what germany can do for peace. >> the i.m.f. chief announces a bail out package, involving $40 million in finances. >> a dialogue with authorities, proving successful. bilateral meetings obvious the course of the next four years. the ukrainian authorities to conduct the reforms. >>> the creeks proposal to refiz terms didn't make much headway in talks with creditors. there could be movement in the next round of talks, the head of eurozone warned that not enough progress has been made. >> our proposal is simple. no unilateral moves, no aggressive moves on our part. we are asking for some time to table t

this is about russia not just taking care of the western influence in ukraine it's about russia taking over a country that is independent, sovereign and a neighbor. >> is there a risk of really escalating this situation, making it harder to talk about the russians about disengaging making it harder for the separatists to end their battle? >> there is a risk that with more arms the level of fighting will increase but it is our contention that these kinds of arms will really fundamentally pose a choice to the separatists and to the russians which is from the separatist, we believe that they themselves are not able to achieve much militarily once ukraine has better arms and will have to rely on direct russian military intervention. the choice is up to moscow, is moscow willing to sit down with kiev and negotiate a true end to this conflict one that recognizes the independence and territorial integrity of ukraine or are they going to invade full force with all the consequences diplomatic, economic and strategic that that would have? faces. it is a one that they don't want to face which is

russia has now a say over the constitutional reform process in ukraine. ssia has a say over how local elections will be conducted, and russians will control the border with ukraine until at least the end of this year until not much longer because -- if not much longer because the border control by ukrainians is subject to these local elections and constitutional reform. all in all, there's a good chance that it putin wants to end the fighting, he can now do that, but at a huge cost to ukraine. >> everyone is being skeptical about this. perhaps his little churlish to throw cold water on it before the cease-fire has even come to effect, but let's talk about options if it does not work. president hollande of france said that if it does not work, there will be more sanctions but he is not talking about arming ukraine, which is i know something that you think would be a good idea. >> i think if the cease-fire does not take effect or immediately breaks down, we must find ways to increase pressure on russia. we have tried the diplomatic track, and as the presiden

least eight injured when a female suicide bomber blew herself up in nigeria. >>> and leaders from russia ukrainece and germany have agreed to a ceasefire in eastern ukraine. the deal which includes a complete withdraw of foreign troops comes into effect on sunday. >>> but fighting continues in eastern ukraine, at least one person has been killed in the city of donetsk, and the separatists seem skeptical over the ceasefire deal. >> reporter: hours about the ukrainian military fired rockets at this road. there are few fighters here they say their primary role here is to try to monitor ukrainian army movements. we're south of donetsk, the fighters tell us that ukraine yab forces are about a kilometer in that direction. they tell us we can't go in front of this building because there's a danger of snipers. >> translator: we will stay here unless we get an order from our commanders to retreat or advance, we're holding this position to help protect the town. >> reporter: the separatists leaders said the agreement would have far-reaching implications. >> translator: we can't deny ukraine this chance, b

over the weekend, the lord of russia ukraine, france and germany spoke by telephone. german official say a package of measures to try and reach a comprehensive settle. of the conflict was discussed. the next step a face-to-face negotiation in minsk, belarus. although after meeting that country's president on sunday vladimir putin hinted it was not a done deal. >> translator: i want to start our conversation today by informing you that i have just spoken with my colleagues in kiev berlin, and in the format in minsk. we're planning for wednesday if we succeed in settling the various suspense this we have discussed intensively over these last days. rip on friday the french and germ -- >> reporter: on friday the french and german had what they call meaningful and constructive talk. details are sketchy of a new peace plan on the table. a truce between the warring sides was already agreed last september also in minsk. the minsk protocol calls for heavy weapons to be pulled back, self-rule in eastern regions, and a buffer zone to be set up along the russia/ukraine border. it

people living in eastern ukraine, the ethnic russians who identify more with russia than ukraine andhe west, would say they have the right to defend themselves against the west because their president was ousted a year ago. do you believe their concerns are being sufficiently not addressed to the point where a diplomatic solution isn't possible at this point and one has to escalate the fighting as arming ukraine would suggest? >> absolutely not. i believe, first of all, jan ago which left ukraine, not necessarily through force. it was through a diplomatic means. number two the minsk agreement has agreed to cease-fire line that allows for lands in the eastern part to be an autonomous region. they are defending themselves, not initiating fighting. i think the argument made by russia is not correct. i think it class the issue. >> professor, you say the u.s. should not arm ukraine. why? >> the basic game plan here is to drive the cost of for the russians. as the general said, there is no way we can create a situation with ukrainian military can defeat russia so we are going to try to sig

leaders from russia, ukraine france and germany have been holding talks in the belarus capitol, minsk. fighting continues in east issue ukraine in the stronghold of donetsk. >> an egyptian court granted bail to two al jazeera journalists, mohamed fahmy and baher mohammed have been detained 411 days in cairo accused of colluding with the outlawed muslim brotherhood. the trial reassumes february 23. >> al jazeera cannot report from cairo, but we can talk to cnn corresponded ian lee. you were in court today. take us through exactly what happened. >> this wasn't much optimism going into the trial people expected this to be drown out as well. one of the highlights is when mohamed fahmy gave a very passionate speech in front of the judge talking about giving up his nationality a subject very sensitive to him. he did so, he said, according to what the intelligence told him the national security told him that it would help him be extra dated out of the country. after that, he waived an egyptian flag, went back into the cage that they have for the defendants. the judge then went on recess. he

ask you whether or not you are optimistic about the cease-fire holding between ukraine and russia. ukrainet matters. and that is that resident putin defends his own political system in ukraine. be annot allow ukraine to success, continuing democracy, a market economy with a high gross. because, if so, the pressure on him inside russia to reform his lyrical system would be too strong. he would be in danger. that is why ukraine is a better ground for political systems. he will do whatever is needed to prevent ukraine from succeeding -- seceding. >> here is the thing. more this as a ploy to get further inroads in ukraine, why agreed to a cease-fire if you are not going to hold up to it? >> i think he has been surprised that the ukraine army is actually doing better than he expected. 2014, look back at summer the ukrainian army was winning the battle against the rebels. russia and putin had to step in to prevent a victory. he wanted to use the eastern part of ukraine as leverage, so to speak, for eastern ukraine. that is why it is important to get ukraine going with a good economy, so that ukr

russia is very keen for those russian-speaking areas in the east of ukraine to have a very high degreeautonomy within the country. these are the kind of issues that russia has been stressing is important if a peace deal is going to hold on the ground in eastern ukraine. with this upsurge in violence in eastern ukraine, dip smaes also being step -- diplomacy is also being stepped up. the leaders of russia, ukraine, fran and germany spoke by telephone. german official say a package of nshs to try and reach a comprehens-- measures to try and reach a comprehensive resolution was discussed. the next step a face-to-face negotiation in minsk, belarus. though after meeting that country's president on sunday vladimir putin hinted it was not a done deal. >> translator: i want to start our conversation to by informing you that i have just spoke weekend my colleagues in kiev berlin and paris in the normandy format. we agreed that we will try to organize a summit meeting in this same format in minsk. we are planning for wednesday if we succeed in settling the various suspensepoints that we have dis

russia's aggression against ukraine and international fight against isil. with regard to russia, and the separatists it supports in ukraine, it's clear they have violated just about every commitment they made in the minsk agreement. instead of withdrawing from eastern ukraine, russian forces continue to operate there training separatists and helping coordinate attacks. instead of withdrawing its arms, russia sent in more tanks and orme mored -- armored personal carriers and heavy artillery. with russian support separatists seized more territory and shelled civilvillian airs -- civilian areas and driven more ukrainians from their homes. these are the facts. russian aggression only reinforced unity of united states and germany and our allies around the world. i want to thank angela for the strong leadership and partnership as we met the challenge. chancellor merkel and vice president biden met with ukrainian president borrow cheng coover the weekend. we continue to encourage a diplomatic resolution to this issue and as diplomatic efforts continue this week we

agreed to guarantee ukraine's supplies until march 2015. now russia says ukraine has not kept its word and has fallen behind on payments. ukraine, meanwhile, finds itself strapped for cash. in addition, if russia were to turn off the taps, the eu would be hit hard. the european union gets about 1/3 of its gas russia, while germany gets 37%. half of all the eu's rushing gas comes via ukraine -- russian gas comes via ukraine. that makes the block vulnerable to political blackmail. it's already working to ease its dependence on russian gas. one suggestion calls on all 28 members to coordinate their delivery contracts with brussels in future. >> this is undoubtedly the most ambitious energy project in the european coal and steel community. it has the potential, i believe, to boost europe's integration project the same way that coal and steel did in the 1950's undermine the citizens of the great potential of the common european market. >> that could mean companies which were closely with russia's gas prom might be forced to coordinate orders with brussels

and when you think about russia/ukraine the cease-fire seems to be working and what's really going to kick in we've already seen what happens with low energy prices on the negative side. we've seen rig counts coming down energy companies reporting lackluster if not bad earnings. we haven't seen kick in to a t extent is the positive influence which is consumer spending that continues to pick up. it starts in restaurants and work into specialty apparel and see things we haven't seen in the first part of this year. consumers are getting used to lower energy prices there's more of them working. we have the highest level of consumer confidence we've in about ten years. >> art, i saw some numbers today forecasting second quarter corporate earnings and the comparisons to last year were not going to be particularly good. largely because as you pointed to a moment ago, energy companies are not having favorable comparisons. can the market keep moving higher if the overall earnings growth isn't there? >> well i tell you this and i think that's very true. if you look at the downward revisions we

russia obviously has an extraordinarily powerful military. and, you know, given the length of the russian border with ukraine, given the history between russia and ukraine, expecting that if russia is determined that ukraine can fully rebuff a russian army, has always been unlikely. but what we have said is that the international community working together can ratchet up the costs for the violation of the core principle of sovereignty and territorial integrity, and that's exactly what we've done. and russia has paid a significant cost for its actions, first in cream in crim now in eastern ukraine. it has not yet dissuaded mr. putin from following the course that he is on. but it has created a measurable negative impact on the russian economy. and that will continue. my hope is that through these diplomatic efforts, those costs have become high enough that mr. putin's preferred option is for a diplomatic resolution. and i won't pre-judge whether or not they'll be successful. if they are successful, it will be in part because of the extraordinary patience and effort of chancellor merkel and her team. if they are not, then we will continue to ra

, given the history between russia and ukraine, expecting that if russia is determined that ukraine can fully rebuff a russian army has always been unlikely. but what we have said is that the international community working together can ratchet up the costs for the violation of the core principle of sovereignty and integrity. that's what we've done. russia has paid a significant cost for its actions first if crimea and now in eastern ukraine. it has not yet dissuaded mr. putin from following the course that he is on. but it has created immeasurable negative impact on the russian economy. and that will continue. my hope is that through these diplomatic efforts those costs have become high enough that mr. putin's preferred option is for a diplomatic resolution. i won't prejudge whether or not they'll be successful. if they are successful it will be in part because of the extraordinary patience and effort of chancellor merkel and her team. if they are not, then we'll won't to raise the costs. and we will not relent in that. and one of the things i'm very encouraged about i

russia is the big thing to watch indeed as it was last year when russia starting the war in ukraine didtop the german economic upswing for half a year. >> if you are an investor, how do you deal with that? do you just stay away from russia? do you try and position yourself outside of the russian economy? we speak to luxury ceo's and consumer ceo's and they say, i have no choice but to stay in russia because i think things will get better. >> as a company, you may want to stay in russia for the long haul, but it is highly likely that the next you years will be very rough and there is a risk of political unrest in russia. so the outlook for russia is uncertain. focus on the much more promising markets almost everywhere else in the world. >> very quickly because you are one of our experts in german politics, what do you make of the vote in hamburg that saw angela merkel defeated? >> it was also a vote for the incumbent. germany is in excellent shape. the incumbent at the moment has the advantage. i don't think that merkel needs to be very afraid on the national level. >> thank you so much

the russian defense minister would allow ukraine military experts to tour and inspect the region of russia which borders southeastern ukraine in an attempt to counter accusations that russia continues to supply military equipment and personnel into the conflict zone. this can also be seen as a gesture of goodwill ahead of the talks scheduled for tomorrow. as for the negotiations few details have actually been made public. difficult to tell how far apart the sides are away from some sort of compromise. today, president putin is in egypt meeting with leaders today. he is expected in minsk tomorrow. his attendance is not 100% confirmed. he said he wants all sides to agree on certain issues before. john. >> first sign if the talks are going anywhere is if everyone shows up. erin thanks. >>> israeli prime minister benjamin netanyahu is determined to move forward with the controversial address before congress next month. netanyahu has been under fire for accepting an invitation from house speaker john boehner without the white house knowledge. the israeli prime minister said he cannot allow poli

and the history between russia and ukraine, expecting that if russia is determined that ukraine can fully rebuff a russian army, it is always been unlikely. what we have said is that the international community working together can ratchet up the cost for the violation of the core principle of sovereignty and territorial integrity. that is exactly what we have done. russia has paid a significant cost for actions first in crimea and now in eastern ukraine. it has not yet dissuaded mr. putin from following the course he is on. but, it has created a measurable negative impact on the russian economy. that will continue. my hope is that through these diplomatic efforts. those costs will become high enough that mr. putin's preferred option is for diplomatic revolution -- resolution. i will not prejudge whether or not that will be successful. if they are successful, it will be in part because of the extraordinary patience and effort of chancellor merkel and her team. if they are not and we will continue to raise those costs we will not

if ukraine is to emerge it needs to be a bridge between the west and russia. >> they have done a bad of doing this. ukraine is not one country. it's not one, it is a great country, listen to the people in your footage. they are not russians but they want autonomy. >> we have those populations in latvia estonia and bulgaria. >> there are people who wrote a book sale of the century. >> the annexation of russia was a violation. there has been an existential threat false narrative that crimea and then russia is going to take all these other lawyers. >> latvia lithuania all were part of russia. >> history. the core problem is n.a.t.o. expansion, that george ca said was a fate -- george ca said what is a fateful area. it was perceived as not a sorority or fraternity but a military organization. the parameters negotiated settlement in minsk, and have been on the table for months. it includes no nato expansions. >> do you believe they'll get a deal in minsk? >> it will be tough, but the alternative is disaster. if you go back to the soviet union, so were the countries, the russian foreign min

, given the history between russia and the ukraine, expecting that if russia is determinedukraine can fully rebuff a russian army, it is unlikely. but what we have said the international community working together can ratchet up the costs for the violation of the core principle of sovereignty and territorial integrity. that's what we've done. russia paid a significant cost for actions first in crimea and now eastern ukraine. it has not yet dissuaded mr. putin from following the course that he is on. but it has created a measurable negative impact on the russian economy, and that will continue. my hope is that through these diplomatic efforts, those costs have become high enough that mr. putin's preferred option is diplomatic solution, and i will not prejudge whether they are successful. if they are successful it will be in part because of the extraordinary patience and effort on chancellor merkel and her team. if they are not, then we will continue to raise those costs, and we will not relent in that, and one of the things i'm very encouraged about is the degree to which we

this week we had the russia ukraine ceasefire agreement. that does commence on february 15th which is this sunday and of course the greece uncertainty continues to be something that weighed on investor sentiment but here in europe the story has really been on that gdp numbers coming out of or across the euro zone. take a look at how we're trading at this point, the ftse 100 up about 51 points. they did hit a record high in today's trade. germany the best performing developed market so far this year now up better than 10% in 2015. the cac 40 despite the weaker than expected gdp read. france still seeing a gain in athens as we were telling you before up about 5.4%. now our attention turns to the next crisis meeting on monday where euro zone leaders will meet with greek leaders to see if they can come together with this solution. >> absolutely. all the green we've got behind us coming from the ceasefire. it hasn't moved bonds in europe. they remain very well bid in the core of europe because of the quantitative easing we had around about three

diplomatic activity reflection growing awarm at the escalating of fighting in eastern ukraine and belief that russia is fueling it. as nato headquarters, defense ministers made an early start to meetings which will be dominated by ukraine. they are expected to announce an increase to nato's response force with a new spearhead force of 5,000 troops deployable in days. crucially, it will have six command and control centers in eastern europe. >> the important thank for nato is to of course underline that rush is responsible for violating international law destabilizing eastern ukraine abannexing crimea. >> it worries it has low erred threshold for nuclear weapons. western leaders seek to engage both sides to stop the fighting and restart peace talks. they will talk about while nato lays out detailed military plans on how they'll ever to respond if talks fail. >> we are joined live from moscow. john kerry's visit is pretty much about showing western support for ukraine. he said russia needs to show commitment to ending this conflict. how will president putin be viewing kerry's trip? >> well, i think mo

the words of angel merkel spokesman on top level talks on ukraine to take place soon between russia france ukraine and germany. there is little common ground it seems? . what are the different sides pushing for? ukraine would like control over the break away regions in the east. wants to see rebel force disarmed and russian troops pulled back. and wanting to keep their weapons and amnesty for their leaders. russia wants guaranteed rights for russian speaksers and full autonomy for the luhansk and donetsk region. >>> the u.s. wants to see territorial zone redrawn. >> the president of ukraine went to the town that had come under rocket far. >> this is a severe incident almost 50 kilometers from the front fighting and the russian and terrorists attacking civilians, attacks peaceful city of cramkramatorsk. >> the president of ukraine. >> and to richard in those talks. it looks like all players will be attending but all sides still far apart. >> reporter: absolutely. they're a very big big hurdle to overcome in this summit we expect will take place -- we're actually outside one of the president

obviously the separatists by name consider themselves to be separate from ukraine here and have ambitions to be closer to russia potentially maybe part of the agreement may involve some sort of what we refer to as a frozen conflict status for the donetsk region. maybe administered by a peacekeeper. ukraine is not giving up territory to the separatists who are advancing on many areas with quite a degree of success. a very complicated task ahead before everyone meets on wednesday and a lot can still go wrong here before that minstk repeated meeting. >> we're hearing from the ukrainian president that progress has been made today. we'll see if that progress ends with an agreement, some deal in belarus. thank you, nick. >>> meanwhile, secretary of state john kerry is weighing in on the crisis in ukraine. he spoke a short time ago in munich, germany. he reiterated there's no military solution to the ukraine conflict. he said the u.s. and europe are still united on this. >> we are united. we are working closely together. we all agree that this challenge will not end through military force. we are united in our diploma

but especially in america germany, russia, russia, ukraine and china.es apparently took their time. hanking in to banks' computer is tims spending months learning how they work, then they took millions by inflating bank account balances transerring money out online or even ordering atms to simply start dispensing cashing, often the banks didn't even notice. >> the reality is, and i think organizations have to be prepared for this. if someone wants to get in, they will. >> reporter: the criminals stole no more than $10 million in each raid of but took smaller amount to avoid tripping alarms. authorities in several countries are investigating. but the banks hit haven't come forward. last week president obama urged company to his be more open about attacks. and to share what they learned with one another and the government. to better fight off future hacks. >> these attacks are getting more and more sophisticated every day. so we've got to be just as fast and flexible and nimble in constantsing evolving our defenses. >>> now, there is a mystery in the skie

now russia that invaded the territory. had ukraine had these miss silence today little unlikely russia would ever invaded. it's not a question of asking for something new it's going back to assurances made two decades ago so ukraine can protect itself against russia invading its land, territory and killing civilians. i think we've seen some horror, shocking the way that the russia military has invaded in 21st 21st century you're. that's what's -- john kerry was saying yesterday, secretary of state kerry in kiev yesterday and yesterday talked with angela merkel the president president hollande. >> let's leave it there. >> the nigerian based boko haram group has attacked a town in niger, the second attack outside nigeria by boko haram in the few days. it attacked a town inside cameroon leaving nearly 100 people dead there. security is not the only crisis facing nigeria. the global drop in oil prices is causing economic difficulties. the country's economy is underpinned by oil he can sports and pressure is being put on the nigerian terri

russia basically continues to occupy a bigger piece of ukraine is the baseline expectation. >> we haverning from the lithuanian prime minister. the deal on borders is weak. lithuania shares a border with russia. are you feeling encouraged by this as a leader of a baltic state? >> i'm certainly a little bit -- able to feel less constrained than i west 24 hours ago. any progress is progress. there is a difference between a baltic state and ukraine, which is not an ally of any sort. the willingness of the united states or the europeans to prevent putin from destroying ukraine is pretty limited. what can we do to stop russia and ukraine? why do you think there's an answer to that question? >> thank you so much. greatly appreciate it. ian bremmer with eurasia group. >> what do you think? will the cease-fire work this time? this is "bloomberg surveillance" on bloomberg television. ♪ >> good morning everyone. futures up 10, dow futures up 83. the ruble ever so slightly weaker. let's get to our top headlines from around the world. >> italian court has sentenced to cast to 30 years in prison --

so a ceasefire is in everyone's interest but the under problem is the future of ukraine, as a whole. russiasee pro-russian forces and rebels actually, to become institutionalized political force inside ukraine. that would guarantee that ukraine does not join nato or the european continues to be in the kind of russian here is of influence, at least friendly for russia country will not become a base ever for anti--russian activity and especially military base. >> it won't have gone unnoticed surely that putin's participation in this is an acknowledgment surely, that he's the one pulling the strings everybody though he's denying it. >> well, yes initially we say this is none of our business, that this is pure internal ukrainian crisis, a civil war. but, of course, russia is very much involved. again that's the facts. but these facts are not right now openly acknowledged. although actually one of the spokesmens of the rebels said yesterday that an agreement can only happen if ukraine declares itself a neutral unaligned country. so that means it's not about the rebels seceding, it's about ukrain

between russia and ukraine so that the separatist movement the in eastern regions of russia and ukraine don't have that link with equipment and volunteers coming in all the time. >> how could that be monitored? >> well the -- there are suggestions to have u.n. peacekeeping forces in there or observers on some of definitely two points observers present, but the whole border is not marked. >> it's porousurrousporous. >> it goes through all natural forests and rivers, you can pass at any point. >> if an agreement is made and ignored what recourse does ukraine, does washington have? >> well the important bit is we could see that russia speaks at the moment to germany and france and we can see that the u.s. and britain as well have been somewhat separated from that process, but we could see that on the background and the promise of the o'brien administration to decide whether to send defensive weapons to ukraine is still hanging there and the russians are really quite adamant they don't want that to happen. so there's a bit of a carrot and stick situa

next the leaders of russia, ukraine, and germany will be in that city to hammer out what they hope will be the details of a lasting cease-fire for eastern ukraine. just ahead of the talks, both separatists and government troops launch new offensive to gain territory. ukraine's president has called the minsk talks the last chance for a true cease-fire. >> separatist challenge the ukraine headquarters. a second salvo struck arrested until area more than 50 kilometers from the front line. >> the noise was just terrible. i looked up and thought it was a plane firing. the shelling lasted probably about 10 minutes. >> the clashes have raised doubts as to whether the warring sides can agree to a cease-fire in the belarusian capital of minsk on wednesday. hundreds of russian soldiers have begun military exercises on the peninsula of crimea while ukrainian troops have launched the counteroffensive around the strategic port of marriott poll. -- mariupol. >> i don't have parents. i am from an orphanage. i saw on television how other people's parents were killed. it made me so sad, so i decided to

a cease fire with russia and ukraine. with oil prices higher all ended up. dow up 110 points finishing at 17,974 a few points shy of 18,000. nasdaq up 6 and s&p gained 20. >>> more on the cease fire between russia and ukraine. it helped ease investor concerns since anymore trouble in that region could weigh on europe's economy but not all of those issues between the nations were ironed out. julia chatherly reports from brussels. >> reporter: optimism leaving this meeting about the peace deal signed between the prorussian separatists, russia and the ukraine. i think the fact that the talks took 17 hours into the early hours of this morning on two important points. one, ultimately they were pretty tough negotiations and two, the desperation of the lead is behind them just to get something signed today. the billion dollar question now becomes, will all sides abide by the cease fire agreement that begins at midnight on sunday? there's plenty of skepticism here behind the scenes given what we've seen in the past and so that's the spotlight now falling firmly on r

. ♪ >>> the leaders of germany, france, ukraine, and russia are now in minsk, the capitol of belarus to get a peace deal hammered out for eastern ukraine. since the beginning of this year hundreds of people have been killed in fighting between ukrainian troops and pro-russia separatists. rory challands with more on what the leaders hope to achieve. >> reporter: we're talking about things like ceasefire lines, where are the front lines that separate the ukrainian army and the separatists themselves. we're talking about things like the border between russia and ukraine, who is going to make sure that border is not the conduit for weapons and men as the ukrainian governments and western governments have been accusing russia of using that border over the last year or so and we're talking about self determination, independence autonomy for the self declared republics themselves. but it's the sequence of them how do these things get put in place, the order in which they happen that can allow a ceasefire to take place, hold and deliver some sort of meaningful situation by which a proper pol

the ukraine and russia are battling in eastern ukraine heavy shelling continues in donetsk and luhansk and the city of mariupol is being hit by violence the major transport hub between russia and ukraine. that is where we report from. >> ukrainian army fire rockets towards the front line. the separatists say they have surrounded a town under siege. volunteers like this man are trying to drive civilians to safety. >> you can hear shelling and shooting at night it was very intense, he says. i have to go, says this man. it's bad in there very bad. we follow add bus along the mud roads into town. attempts at negotiating a temporary safe truce for passage had failed. the shelling is intense. very few people on the street run for cover. what sounds like mortars fire at targets we cannot see. that being repeated efforts to try to get wounded out, there have been calls for ceasefire. some of those ceasefires have been ignored. we followed a humanitarian aid convoy into the city to try to deliver aid to the people trapped here. the men tell us they are going to an area that is too dangerous for