states that are - states, _ in rust belt states that are states, really important swing states,ction. so not only - trump _ to the us election. so not only trump believe personally = -::7 = _:7 quite frankly, loves e and, quite frankly, loves the idea — and, quite frankly, loves the idea of— and, quite frankly, loves the idea of tariffs, but he has mobilised his electorate really mobilised his electorate this really mobilised his electorate - this idea _ really mobilised his electorate this idea that he around this idea that he is to around this idea that he is - to -jth - around this idea that he is to jobs back home going to bring jobs back home and he — going to bring jobs back home and he is _ going to bring jobs back home and he is going to bring manufacturing jobs back home. —7 7 he links triffs -oods nks tariffs -oods muchriffs -oods much more exports -oods much more than arts of goods much more than exports of goods much more than exports of- to— of goods much more than exports of- to the _ of goods much more than exports of to the united of services to the united so of

they have that proximity to detroit and the rust belt. lumber and steel. these are things that will hit american pocketbooks. >> what about the impact on the u.s. economy? what is the assessment in terms of the economic impact? >> one of the immediate questions was that this could increase, some calling for a recession, for the u.s. it will show up in the form of inflation. you're talking about a $930 drop in household incomes as soon year, within the next 12 months with inflation potentially up to 3% so when we are talking about pricing in an uptick in inflation these are the things we are watching. energy prices and food prices will be part of that core bucket. even u.s. gdp by 2029 a hit of $55 billion. and remember on the campaign trail he made a promise that these tariffs will help offset some of the tax cuts for american citizens. they cost as much as $5 trillion. those are the estimates so you can see how maybe the 1.5 trillion dollars estimated by the committee for a responsible federal budget could offset those things and this is just the opening

about first trump think about the first trump the chinese targeted terrorists, particularly on the rust beltare going for energy, one of the j... the are going for energy, one of the j " = the us's the three pillars'efth'e' tis�*s’ "’ ' plan. the three pillars'efth'e' tis�*s "’ ' plan. the third one is economic plan. the third one is around energy and also china gone a around energy and also china gor essentially �*aho around energy and also china gor essentially an anti around energy and also china gor essentially an entity created essentially an entity list which matches the us. so what they could do is try “hat ti??? tfifllfiififiigfiefi 77 77 7 7777 77 taking entities off de—escalate taking entities off of the entity list. so google does not operate in china but it makes a lot of money from 75707 . 7s7°i7 7 so i7expect,7 f—z this will be a onfortonately, this will be a drawn out negotiation. i 77 7thinkt7h7e7re7777777 7 7 77 7thinkt7h7e7re7w7ill7 7 7 77 7thinkt7h7e7rew7ill7be77 7 7 77 7thinkt7h7e7rew7ill7be7 d 7 7 resolution. quick resolution. we know president _ quick resolution. we know pres

i believe the shortest path for democrats was through northern states, i cannot stand the term rust belt. that's my own quirk. in my view the shortest path to the white house would be pennsylvania, michigan, wisconsin. it was a one or one and a half point race. in 2026 because of the nature of elections i'm confident democrats will win the house and the senate is more difficult but in 2028 this is early but like 2016 or 2020, 2024, i would be surprised if it were not a 50-50 race. host: john fetterman had some thoughts. he got a democratic governor, senator john fetterman who is further to the right. bob casey is a legend so how do you do that? >> it is a 50-50 state. democratic governor but the other four statewide are republican. one of the few states with a split senator and decided by extremely small margins. the state that comes closest to mirroring the demographics is pennsylvania. urban, rural, racially, ethnically pretty similar. finally pennsylvania is the fifth biggest state, that lends itself to pennsylvania. in terms of how you win there are a couple cross cutting measures go

and, you know, the, you know, the rust belt. >> yeah. because again, this is this is an area where democrats and republicans have been closer in recent years. right? i mean, it's not as though president biden got rid of all of the tariffs that trump had imposed in his first term when he came into office. but this, of course, just a new level. i guess it's going to be the imperial presidency. i think that's a phrase that is going to stick with us here for a while ahead here on cnn this morning. call it a doge takeover. elon musk targeting the u.s. agency for international development, and his desire to, quote, shut it down. plus, how trump's moves in his opening days in the white house are reshaping presidential power. former adviser to george w bush, mark mckinnon, joins us live to discuss and tough questions. thousands of fbi agents ordered to answer 12 questions about their role in the january 6th prosecutions. >> they called the rioters martyrs. >> yeah, no, it was an insurrection pardoning people who've been convicted. is mistake. >>

oldham, a rust belt type of town, is also pushing back against musk. >> some of the rhetoric. >> is coming out with is probably not helpful. >> why is it unhelpful? >> it's unhelpful. >> because everybody starts pitching against each other. >> musk's divisive onslaught has forced starmer's hand, triggering new legislation and a new but non-statutory inquiry for oldham. sam says it's not enough what she wants from musk is to stop enabling the right wing. >> he needs to say that this is about survivors, not about everyone else. and too many people are jumping on this bandwagon. >> a bandwagon, musk, perhaps figures, might drive starmer from office. nic robertson, cnn, oldham, england. >> and our thanks to nic robertson for that report. cnn has reached out to musk's team for comment. we have not yet heard back. when we do, we will bring it to you. up next, the scandal that has engulfed the upcoming academy awards, the past tweets from a best actress nominee is now causing problems for people who worked closely on the film. stay with us. >> the boeing 747. >> has crashed in the lockerbie area.

very interesting lessons there, potentially, for why some of those democrats, especially in the rust beltwhat do you take away from that? i'm not sure. they were. you know, they did some dramatically different strategy in terms of dealing with social issues. they certainly talked about abortion rights. they talked about, you know, sort of an inclusive view of america. but somehow kamala got tarred with those social issues in. >> a. >> very different way than the senate candidates did. >> she did. you know, a lot of it did have to do with that ad. and look, i want to be clear here, you know, transgender people are under assault right now in the united states. undocumented people are under assault right now in the united states. these groups do really important work most of the time, and they should be supported, and democrats should support the work they do. it's just this. one thing i'm talking about at presidential election time with respect to kamala, i think it was just that she wasn't as well known, and she was only the candidate for 107 days, and she didn't have a chance to make a fu

there is a lot of jobs in the rust belt so iebs in the rust belt so indiana, = depend on steel.sector in the to protect the sector in the past. we have often done on past. we have often done it on the grounds of national security, the idea that if the we re were to get into a conflict example it would need a for example it would need a source of locally source oflocelly produced for wea pons, source oflocelly produced for weapons, ships and steel for weapons, ships and all that kind of donald all that kind of thing. donald has done this before, he all that kind of thing. donald it has done this before, he all that kind of thing. donald it i2018. |e this before, he all that kind of thing. donald it i2018. |e th experiencee did it in 2018. that experience suggests any tariffs not suggests any tariffs might not be long—lived they were be long—lived because they were eventually down eyentudilv broudht downedeih deals done with the following deals done with the of and mexico. and "he? %§ efigfififi figdgéfigség�*f h 7 �* with "he? %f efififidfi figdgé-�*gség�*f 77 7 �* with european "he? 3 e33