joining me now is s.e. cupp and jeffrey lord. s.e., let me start with you.ing it for weeks. it went from everyone saying trump would go away. the whole story is, he's peaked and then he's done. >> i learned more than a month ago not to make predictions about trump. it doesn't end well. he's out conventional politics. you kind of have to plan for everything when it comes to trump. but i will say, the same is true today as it was true a month ago. 75% of americans are not choosing trump and trump's unfavorables are still incredibly high. not to mention he's doing very well in key states, florida, pennsylvania, ohio, but the first states he needs to address are iowa and new hampshire. he's doing well there, too. but he hasn't been growing in supporters over the past couple of weeks. he's really sort of tapped out, at least for now, at the 25% range. that could go up but it could also mean that he's reached every trump supporter that's out there and there simply aren't any more to come. >> jack, what do you say to that, that he has peaked? >> oh, definitely he's

we'll take his comments, s.e.ary rosen with me and former president of trump productions, andy dean. we're talking about the controversy over the 9/11 comment, andy, in which trump clearly implied george w. bush was to blame for the attacks. is he going to comment on that when he takes the stage tonight? he's chosen not to take press availability tonight, unclear as to why. do you think he will address this issue on stage? >> erin, to begin with was a false question because you said, you know, we can rewatch the tape here that donald trump employed that george bush was responsible for 9/11. what he did say is that it happened under george w. bush's watch. that's a fact no one is disputing but he didn't blame bush. i think this is a slow news cycle day and they're trying to damage the front-runner. it's not that exciting for people to watch. >> you're questioning the sound bite, i want to play it. the question that had been asked of donald trump, how he would lead during the crisis, a crisis of the likes of which b

s.e. >> marco rubio, 100%, as well as the party. the cnbc debate shambles really made the party look very, very good. >> beckel. >> rubio and kasich because that's going to be the ticket. >> rubio. >>> hey, bob, stick around, i want to ask you about this unbelievable memoir that you have penned "i should be dead my life surviving politics, tv and addiction." i have read it. it's not a typical book. >>> and something you don't want to miss. cnn special report, bush v. gore. monday night 9:00 p.m. gloria borger taking a look at one of the craziest elections in history. george w. bush's election in 2000. >>> coming up, tuesday is election day. in my economy, the top issue is bill cosby. i'll about to explain why. well, this is a first. at&t and directv are now one. so get ready to laugh here and cry here. scream over here and freak out over there! and maybe go back to laughing here. and crying there. try not to laugh here though, it's rude. and maybe don't cry here, people will get the wrong idea. introducing the all in one plan. only

and let's bring in our political editor s.e. cup, and also angela rye, director national black caucus, and also our director of correspondents jeff zeleny. and now, based on the little comments, it would seem to me, he is increasingly inclined to challenge hillary clinton. >> no doubt about it. we have seen what this campaign is going to be looking like, and if he decides to run, the sitting vice president running against the former secretary of state. they have run against each other in 2008, but of course, everything is so different now. and the president picked him the to be the vice president. so i think that joe biden is having fun of this, and the whole town may be on pins and needles, and certainly the media folks are, but joe biden is having a good time, and he is knowing what he is exactly doing there, and he was watching the debate and wants to point out that he is a different candidate. and everyone is saying that if they are talking to biden, they are left with the impression that he is running. but there is a caveat

. >> let's add former policy director and cnn political commentator s.e. cupp into the conversation. nira, i don't think this is uncovered. hillary clinton outmaneuvered joe biden here. there was no path for him to go and i say this not only because did she have so many endorsements and key money fundraisers already on her team, but a democratic elder said to me yesterday that hillary's decision on the trade deal that she had worked to promote as secretary of state that she opposes it now not because of bernie sanders and her leftward flank, she didn't want to give joe biden any sort of room with labor unions that he has a very strong relationship with. >> uh-huh. >> what do you think? >> well, first let me say that the vice president has a lot of respect in the party. and has fought a lot of victo victories for a lot of victori s victories. i'm actually i'm glad that he's made this decision. but he has a lot of steam and a lot of support in the party. you know, i've worked for hillary, i know she has views on trade that have been mixed for a long time. i'

the 70's.es rise into we have gotten past the cold stretch. this is one of our newest features. we have our sky cast to look forward to. 43 degrees looking east. a beautiful sunrise. high clouds come around, but another blue sky day. tuesday. a great made to upper 50's today. it feels nice while the breeze. 70 degrees coming around up to thursday. thursday evening is our next cold front to come around. at cold front is not bring any rain. we dropped temperatures a bit. there's going to be a second system the second half of the week and it could be the next rain chance to come around. we need a little rain after we have gone through a dry stretch of the last couple of weeks. after this, you for weather to becoming away. a gorgeousat is forecast. thank you. up next, surviving a shark attack. how good samaritans helped a inanie: a big cleanup arizona after a day of hail, wind, and rain. it left nearly 27,000 people without power. lights back on overnight. there are still dozens of power poles that will need to be fixed or laced. a man fighting for his life after an accident in cali

what do you think, s.e.?dana mentioned, there's one reason to bring that up and clarify it, if you're expecting, say in a presidential debate, that you might get a question about it. he's getting in front of it. i actually think, marrying himself to president obama is probably pretty smart strategy. during the height of the biden rumors you can go on twitter and find people asking if president obama could be vice president joe biden's running mate, legally and constitutionally, that's how much democrats still like president obama. as he's watching hillary clinton's favor abilities drop and her likability come into question, joe is putting his likability out front saying i don't say that republicans are my enemies. i've got lots of friends on capitol hill. so i think that is his strategy. it's probably a smart one. >> he said today, once again, republicans are my friends. >> yeah. >> in contrast to what hillary clinton said at the debate last week when she listed republicans, iranians, others as her enemies in

. >> what do you think, s.e.? why is jeb bush -- he's raising the money.bviously he's got some major political backers out there, but when it translates into numbers in the national polls as well as in these first four states, iowa, new hampshire, south carolina, nevada, he's down there in single digits. >> yeah. but i will point out that within the margin of error he's actually just tied for third. so if you take trump and carson and use conventional wisdom and project that maybe they won't be standing in the end, actually jeb is poised to be in a pretty good position toward the general. >> let me put numbers back up on the screen. here are the numbers in our cnn/orc poll. for nevada trump 38%, carson 22%. take a look at this. bush, he's down at 6%. >> right, but he's right next to carly and marco. and within the margin of error. he's essentially tied for third place. >> but he's not even close to the number one or number two. >> no one is. no one is. and you have to anticipate that over the course of the next few weeks and months the ben carson-trump bub

. >> s.e. cupp, we haven't heard from you. >> frankly i'm not sure why reince priebus is mad at cnbc. if i were reince i would send cnbc a big care package. cnbc and their questions and disorganizations managed to elevate a lot of these canned days. they looked substantive and clamoring to talk about issues after months of being criticized for going after each other personally. they looked reasonable. they looked rational. they looked polite and they finally started to -- they finally decided to go after hillary clinton, so i think this was a great night for the republican candidates. as carl said people should be a little nervous. if these are the guys that are going to show up at the next few debates this is a different -- this is a different crew. for the most part, some exceptions. >> does anybody drop out after tonight? does anybody now drop out, or does everybody, even the candidates who weren't on the main stage, are they in it until iowa in. >> i don't think so. i think you saw the unde

s.e.switch gears and i want you to take a look at what hillary clinton tweeted out during the debate. it's actually a giff of her during the benghazi hearing. let's put that up on the screen. that's what she tweeted out. marco rubio was not happy about this. here's what he had to say on abc. >> first of all, i find it outrageous she's using video from a benghazi hearing, the loss of four lives, for her to brush something off her shoulder. that was a serious hearing about a serious issue. >> s.e., thoughts? >> i agree. look, you can't argue that hillary, you know, didn't have a good day that day. i thought the hearing revealed her to be a liar, but at the same time, she got through it pretty well. i found the spiking the football after what should be a hearing over a very serious issue to be really offensive. she didn't only do it there. she did it on the rachel maddow show, talking about how she went home, had indian food with her family. it's not a little, it's a lot glib about the nature

sara, s.e., michael, thank you so much. join michael for his show tomorrow morning at 9:00 eastern and tomorrow evening at 6:00 eastern only here on cnn. tonight, you actually have another chance to see the democratic candidates go head-to-head at the cnn facebook debate. that will be at 10:00 p.m. eastern only on cnn. >>> and coming up, a computer science student arrested accused of helping isis publish a kill list of american service members. will he face justice in the u.s.? >>> and they're bracing for more of this in southern california. flash flooding, mudslides that trapped 200 cars and the people inside. you're finally here. long way from the sandlot. first game in the majors? you don't know "aarp". because this family is enjoying a cross-country baseball stadium trip they planned online at aarp travel. it's where your journey begins with inspiration, planning, booking, and hot travel tips from real pros. if you don't think seize the trip when you think aarp, then you don't know "aarp". find more surprising possibili

joining us here in "the situation room," s.e. cupp, jeff zeleny and gloria borger. peter beinart also. gloria, you've been talking to your sources. have you learned the final element that convinced the vice president it was -- >> i think it's been a couple of things over the last few months. i think as the vice president said time just kind of ran out on him. but i was talking to somebody who's close to biden today who said that first of all after his appearance with colbert where he poured his soul out, it was kind of hard to pivot back from that. and also earlier this week when congressm congressman clyburn told "the huffington post" that i wouldn't advise him to run. it was a clear signal to biden don't do this in my state. biden would have certainly needed to do well or win south carolina. but in the end the timing wasn't right for him. some days seemed more doable than other days. but he's a pragmatist. he knew he didn't have the money, didn't have the organization and also concerned about his legacy. didn't want to be a three-time loser. >> this is really his

happen with the cnn political commentator strategist donna brazile, and also the political commentator s.e. cup, and when you see donald trump reacting there, and one national poll, he has been number one 100 days, and now the second poll within the margin of error, and are you surprised how necktively he is reacting to that? and three polls in iowa show number two. >> well, brace yourself, because i have been a outfront critic of donald trump. i thought it was fantastic, and i love that he engaged the voters, and said, this is what is at stake for me. i need your help, and come on this journey with me, and this is how much i want your vote. so many people go to iowa and the caucus states, and act almost detached from the voter, i'm here, and i'm here because i have to be, and this is a real person. i mean, i trump does plenty that bothers me, but i thought that was fantastic. >> and he is the only politician that i have seen, and i have been covering this kind of stuff for a long time that actual ly talks about all of the polls. most politicians, we don't look at the polls, and we don't c

the fallout from the vice president's decision, and our cnn political commentators donna brazile and s.eup. donna, you been watching like the rest of us, and i was convinced that he was going to run, but you were wondering would he or wouldn't he, and were you surprise ed d by the t decision today? >> no, i was not surprised. look, this is a great american, and he is someone who i believe took all of the information and listened to everybody, including his own heart, and came to the conclusion that, while the door was closing, the window was still open. look, joe biden is a good strong american. he could have run. he could have run, and he could have made it a more interesting race, and i don't know if he would have run in the long term, but he would have been a competitive person, because joe biden is a man of ideas who believes that the middle-class needs a champion, and he has a record of public service that i think that would have given him the ability to attract the support that he needed, but that said, you know what? joe biden is going to be around for a long, long time and he is

s.e., in terms of the republican electorate at this point, a lot of -- there will people who love donald trump, a lot of people who don't like him, but they seem to be getting in line. 42% of republican voters now say that trump is the most likely to be the nominee, 43% say he has the best chance of winning the general election. that's a pretty stunning turnaround in a lot of ways. a lot of people in the establishment didn't accept him. now they to. you're one of the people who doesn't like him. do you now think that he is the one to put republicans backdto. you're one of the people who doesn't like him. do you now think that he is the one to put republicans backo. you're one of the people who doesn't like him. do you now think that he is the one to put republicans back in the white house in. >> let's be clear. it's not that i don't like him. i know donald trump. i think he's incredibly impressive talented person. he's a phenomenal father. and a great businessman and very entertaining guy. frankly, i wish he was running a more serious and inclusive campaign that was going to grow the rep

the first sort of documented instances in which we saw cops enter school grounds was 1950's.e in theact time is unclear, but it wasn't until the early 2000 that we started to see a huge spike time that was after the tragic mass shooting at columbine high school. the department of justice since then has spent close to $1 billion in grants to hire school cops. it sounds like there've also been grants coming from the department of education. many more school districts have spent their own budget funding to hire school resource officers . in the wake of sandy hook, according to the national association of school resource officers, we have seen another spike. of course, what we're seeing now, from what i hear from talking to various sources, is that there is a larger growth happening on elementary school campuses. so i think in the years ahead, we will see more incidents happen with younger children like we did in kentucky. juan: phil stinson, could you -- tos to what degree what degree the police are being deployed in minority school districts, largely, as opposed to white school distric

s.e two invesco.com/u.s. follow them on twitter.ay today with a labor participation rate back to 1977. all of us thought it would be a ho-hum report. features -25. -- futures -25. a stunning 1.9387. alan krueger with us. .ne final question if you were sitting on the couch today in the oval office with the president and the president said to you, wait a minute, this is a surprise. do that theories that janet yellen and alan krueger use, do those work anymore in this modern labor economy? alan: i think they do. i had a lot of days like that. when i first started, the initial report was zero for august 2011. it's important to keep the volatility in these numbers in perspective. i would not make too much out of this report even though it is a surprise. we need at least two or three more to see if there is a trend developing. the labor market is certainly evolving. evil throughout the last century. it's important we stay ahead of the evolution in terms of being able to measure it. despicable throughout the last evolved throughout the las

s.e. cupp. i want to hear your reaction. >> i hope that doesn't happen.012 autopsy came out, many of us in the party have been excited to sort of restart the republican outreach to include more women, more young people, more minorities. we have done a really good job in the past few years of doing that. it seems that trump's campaign is more of subtraction than additi addition. it's really just not where a lot of republicans want to be going into the future. trump and carson can talk glowingly about their great poll numbers, and they should, their numbers are good. but if trump or carson thinks they can go into the general with only 25% of republican voters behind them and actually compete in a general election, i think that's really short sided. the only way that trump and carson are going to be able to compete in a general is if they get in new voters and they are not really saying anything to attract new kinds of voters. they are really targeting a very narrow group of people on the right and in a field of more than ten people, you can win a primary wi

we're back with s.e. cupp jeffrey toobin and ana navarro.y conservatives and others they say they will back florida representative daniel webster for speaker of the house, not kevin mccarthy. they say they have more than 30 members who will back daniel webster when the full vote comes up that potentially could be a huge stop button if you will for kevin mccarthy and his road to becoming the speaker of the house. >> it is. i think a lot of people thought jason chaffetz's run was going to be sort of a spoiler for kevin mccarthy and now this looks to be yet another obstacle for kevin m>> look what the house conference needs is someone who could unite not just leadership conference it's a very divided republican house. not just between two factions but multiple, and frankly kevin mccarthy may speak to all of them but this is a great hurdle for the great breaking news. >> the freedom caucus thinks it is a good idea to shut down the government to de-fund planned parenthood. you can try to paper over these differences and pretend they don't exist,

s.e., you've been listening five hours of q and a so far with the secretary of state. have we got a lot more information about benghazi and what happened? >> i think a couple things. we learned that she made that phone call to the prime minister of -- the person of egypt. >> prime minister. >> prime minister of egypt, that night -- or the next morning and told them that they believed it was a terrorist attack. but i think, you know, people will hear what they want in these hearings. i actually thought that last line of questioning from congressman roskam was fairly effective. the idea that, you know, clinton or the obama administration or the state department at large was more concerned with politics both during the events as they were unfolding in the immediate aftermath and then subsequently year later i think is actually a legitimate line of inquiry. and, you know, certainly her detractors will think that he did a good job of making that distinction very clear. to another extent though i think the benghazi cake is baked. if you were following this, you have made you

we also have as a bonus cnn's political commentator s.e. cup.this morning. anna, what did you see in this debate last night. >> i have debate envy. because i saw a debate where poking fun at rosie o'donnell does not become a huge distraction. waging war and attack against the others on the stage does not become a distraction. it was lively, engage, it was interesting. it was even fun. i think they did a great job. and i think the dnc is crazy not to have more debates. i'm actually at this point glad that they have decided not to have more debates because i don't want them to be getting more practice. i also think hillary clinton and bernie sanders came in as the main draw and they left as the main draw. i was expecting to see martin o'malley take off his shirt literally or figuratively and flex his muscles. he did neither. and the other two i don't even understand. i can't even justify their presence. >> that about sums it up. coming after the break. >> what she said. >> let's look at some other things. when bernie gave the gift last night of sa