here is my pick, cardinal angelo scala, just barely young enough to make it.he biggest thing he has gone in his favor, the pope wants him and there are a lot of voting cardinals who owe the pope. a majority were picked by the fellow right there, his holeyness. about 56%, close to the two-thirds needing to win. he's italian, that always helps. he's european, 62, a majority are from europe. you know how political i'm getting here? i'm just starting here, melinda. this is a political enterprise. it's a secular event and it's an election very democratic. my bet is that this pope wants a quick election because he has a successor and he wants that successor to be his guy scala from milan. your thoughts? >> i agree with you that i think scala is the most likely outcome but i do not see benedict as trying to have a big impact on the election because i really think that of the people who are possible to take on this role, there's very little difference on them -- among them on policy, on what would come next, on, as you said, things like cont contracepti contraception,