is scott lucas professor of international politics at the university of birmingham from london we're joined by philip mcgrane former economic advisor to the president of the european commission via skype from hong kong is pauline leung managing director of asia analytical welcome to you all let's start with you kind of trade war i want to get too bogged down in trade and terrorist but nonetheless that's where we'll start can a trade war between the u.s. and china be one will one side come out of this victorious over the other. no no one wins in a trade war let's just get that's you know set out from the very start of this discussion one side may suffer less it's trade in investment baby affected losses jobs may be affected less in this case probably china but the whole point about international trade is not that it's a win lose the whole point is is that each side benefits by building upon its strengths now that is what the trade the trouble ministration is challenging the idea that donald trump has isn't that you have a cooperative relationship where both sides win and trade it is t

more in this trade or that trader who gets to import export more this is a much broader conflicts scott lucas is the u.s. a rogue state is it trying to destroy the global system of rules and institutions and if so why. i don't think the u.s. is a rogue state because i think american economic institutions many american political institutions want to maintain international order but donald trump and his inner circle are roque's they are the ones who have a particular vision which is that there is no need for international cooperation and a that international cooperation is a threat and let me explain that by going beyond what pauline just said i agree with her that key trump advisers see the fight with china as being foremost that includes former advisers like steve bannon the white house chief of staff but two things one is is that donald trump can hold that idea of china as a threat while quite liking the chinese leaders nation paying because he had myers strength and secondly this war and it is a trade war was not just with china it is with the european union truck doesn't believe there shou

scott lucas professor of political science and international studies and american politics at the university of birmingham and from london is on janine driver all and gas correspondent for the financial times a very warm welcome to all of you miss robin i'm going to start with you has opec been artificially manipulating oil prices or does president trump not understand oil markets well this is what's really funny at the moment because producers came together to cut production over the last in order to stabilize the oil market in fact that's also helped big u.s. show produces as well so even as donald trump has been saying look saudi arabia and other opec producers are manipulating the market is actually also you leaning on opec now to raise production so you can't really have it both ways. mr lucas what the sicht will the president's actions whether it's attacking opec asking them to increase production beyond their agreements all imposing sanctions on iranian oil what is that going to do so all markets and the prices. well there's actually two levels here and i actually think that trump's c

is scott lucas professor of international politics at the university of birmingham from london we're joined by philip mcgrane former economic advisor to the president of the european commission and via skype from hong kong is pauline leung managing director of asia analytic i welcome to you all scott let's start with you could a trade war i want to get too bogged down in trade and terrorist but nonetheless that's where we'll start can a trade war between the u.s. and china be one will one side come out of this victorious over the other. no no one wins in a trade war let's just get that's you know set out from the very start of this discussion one side may suffer less it's trade in investment baby affected losses jobs may be affected less in this case probably china but the whole point about international trade is not that it's a win lose the whole point is is that each side benefits by building upon its strengths now that is what the trade the trouble ministration is challenging the idea that donald trump has isn't that you have a cooperative relationship where both sides win and tra

is scott lucas professor of international politics at the university of birmingham from london we're joined by philip mcgrane former economic advisor to the president of the european commission via skype from hong kong is pauline leung managing director of asia analytic i welcome to you all scott let's start with you could a trade war i want to get too bogged down in trade and terrorist but nonetheless that's where we'll start can a trade war between the u.s. and china be one will one side come out of this victorious over the other. no no one wins in a trade war let's just get that's you know set out from the very start of this discussion one side may suffer less it's trade in investment baby affected losses jobs may be affected less in this case probably china but the whole point about international trade is not that it's a win lose the whole point is is that each side benefits by building upon its strengths now that is what the trade the truck ministration is challenging the idea that donald trump has isn't that you have a cooperative relationship where both sides win and trade it

and now dlooipthser with scott lucas. scott a professor of international politics at the university of birmingham live this hour in birmingham, england. a pleasure to have you on the show with us. look, we understand the publisher of the "new york times" told the president his attacks on the media were divisive and dangerous. the president then on twitter airing out his typical grade school name calling. nothing new to that. but noteworthy to point out he is leaning into these media attacks more as we get closer to the mid-terms. how will that play beyond mr. trump's base as people now see the president's playbook? >> we've got two fronts going on, george. one that boris sanchez referred to is the trump russia investigation. and this is not just a question of questioning the credibility of the former lawyer michael cohen or the credibility of special counsel robert mueller. trump and his camp have to destroy the credibility of those men and possibly others to keep the investigation from closing and possibly bringing the pr

. >>> let's bring in scott lucas who teaches international politics in england.and editor of e.a. world news. let's start with the incredible and emotional scenes across the united states, tens of thousands of people taking to the streets to protest donald trump's zero tolerance immigration policy, especially separating those more than 2,000 children from their parents. there's been silence from the president, which isn't surprising, but is it likely to have any impact on the administration? >> oh, yes. first you have the rallies. this isn't tens of thousands, this is hundreds of thousands so this is not just a one off. you will see this as a continuing expression of concern, not only over the immigration policy, the detention of children, the separation from parents but even wider than that, that is the attitude of the president, his administration towards people of other races which we have seen vividly in the past year. their attitude towards people of other religions, such as musl s muslims. their attitudes against other people, like women. donald trump wasn'

now let's get some context with scott lucas. scott a professor of international politics at the university of birmingham live this hour via skype from birmingham. it's a pleasure to have you on the show, scott. look, the president says that he will not talk about, will not ask about roe versus wade, that he will not discuss lgbt rights. but given this president's track record with truth, saying one thing and doing another, do you take him at his word? >> no. he's telling the truth here, george, because he doesn't have to ask about roe v. wade. he doesn't have to ask about lgbt rights. because the people on the white house short list all have a judicial record which points to the fact that they may overturn roe v. wade, that they may restrict lgbt rights. in other words, anyone who will uphold the current stance on abortion rights is not likely to be on the short list. and let me just add to what susan collins said, that she would oppose anyone who is hostile to roe v. wade. no smart nominee is going to go before the confirmation

. >>> we'll talk more about this with scott lucas. scott a proffer of politics at the birmingham and also the founder and edit drt of eau world. a pleasure to have you talk about all of this. let's start with that heavily redacted report that's been released. republicans have always argued that law enforcement improperly obtained the warrant to monitor carter pabling. does any of that information from what you've seen, in your view, support or undermine that argument? >> no. it absolutely puts the republican attempt specifically the trump camp's attempt to smear the fbi investigation as being political and based only on a dodgy dossier puts that to rest. it is clear from this document, even about 80% is redacted, that the investigation of carter page began in 2013, three years before the presidential campaign. it is clear that it is based on contacts he had with russian operatives in the u.s. if the is clear that the fbi had multiple sources, many sources and was not relying only on the steele dossier. that dossier on trump/russia link

. >> for more now let's turn to frequent guest scott lucas. he's a professor of international politics at the university of birm kham in england and the founder sxert of ea world view. thank you, scott, for joining us. this seems to have started with those comments by the iranian president, urging president trump to make peace with iran. then he made a reference to war. and that prompted the turs all caps threat from mr. trump. what do you make of it? >> there's three things in play here. all important. the first is that the trump administration is pursuing a policy of regime change in iran, which is markedly different, of course, from the approach of the obama administration. secondly, the iranian leadership, not only the president but the supreme leader, have stepped up their rhetoric in the past few weeks. notably by warning that they will hinder the oil sales of other countries if iran's own oil exports are reduced by american sanctions. and then thirdly, donald trump has been known to use a dramatic tweet like this as a distraction when he

. >> let's bring in scott lucas to talk about all of this. scott a professor of international politics at the university of birmingh ingham i england. also the founder sxert of ea worldview live this hour in birmingham, england. a pleasure to have you on the show. let's talk of what we know about the president's pick here for the supreme court. mr. trump planning for a 9:00 p.m. eastern time announcement monday night, in true reality show fashion, regardless of who he picks help our viewers what this means for the balance of the court on central issues, abortion being key. >> well, you know, i always grew up with this idea, george, that the judicial branch was independent from the executive and from the legislature and so whatever happened in america it was sort of politically above everything else. well, that's not true. politics does affect the court. these are human beings. and this will be an attempt by the trump administration as a very conservative administration to entrench a conservative supreme court not just for its first term, its s

damage than what i'm feeling at this point and i'm afraid we must leave it but he thinks indeed scott lucas professor of international politics at the university of birmingham philip green from an economic advisor to the president of the european commission and fully lou managing director of asia analytic a thank you for being with us and thank you for watching don't forget you can see the program at any time just by going to the website and zero dot com for further discussion join us at our facebook page at facebook dot com forward slash a.j. inside story and you can join the conversation on twitter handle at a.j. inside story from adrian finnegan and the whole team here and thanks for watching we'll see you again by phone. i phone. and the. plug in the street. just. the nature of news as it breaks although thousands of women have reported rape and other sexual atrocities in falsehood and sewer rats are going to fish and say that figure is likely much higher with detailed coverage nearly fifty schools took part in the drive each one responsible have collected at different school supplies c

overlooking parliament square, i have doctor clodagh harrington and professor scott lucas.en of the us said about donald trump that he has made it ok to hate and i think that statement really resonated. i thought that is how it is. what the president says, his words are so important. everything he does and says invites imitation so if he says this is ok, others will follow and surpass him. and that is where it gets really dangerous. but the people on the streets that they are saying it is not ok to hate or use that sort of language. and they are doing it in a way that is trying to show in gauge. it's interesting that fox news has been trying to save that the protest is our raging across london, but what you are seeing, with the music and the spirit here. it is not enough about donald trump, they have to look at a better way amongst themselves. because when they say fake news, about economists and scientists, he is trying to break up that ability to speak with each other. we will come back to in a few minutes but let's cross to trafalgar square. our correspondent tom burridg

quay, lucas, austin scott of georgia, crawford, mrs. hartzler, rodney davis of illinois, yoho, marshal, david cott of georgia, costa, walls, grisham of eu han new mexico of new mexico. from the committee on education and the work force for considerations of 4204 and 9131 of the house bill and modifications committed to. ms. foxx, mr. allen and ms. adams. from the committee on energy and commerce for substilets a and b 6203, e 6, section 6202, 01, 407, 6409, 6603, 7 605, 8106, 8507. 9119, 9121 and 11101 of the

and the protests both for and against his visit scott lucas is a professor of international politics at the university of birmingham he joins us now live scott one could perhaps imagine britons trying to privatise that's the reason they breathing something of a sigh of relief today know the dust has begun to settle after president trump's whirlwind visit what do you make of it how much diplomatic damage has he left in his wake. well there will be no side really for tourism a because she's going to have to try to clean up the wreckage and i'm not sure she can specifically on trees i'm a what donald trump did was effectively teller you either have to choose some relationship with the european union or you have to choose our us and that actively has rat maze compromised plan the brains of land which would maintain some trading goods with the european union to try to get a trade agreement with america that's now gone but the damage is beyond that treason is almost like collateral damage in what is apparently now a trump campaign with some good buys years to undermine nato to undermine the

let's square the circle now and get context with scott luke kans -- lucas. a pleasure to have you on the show, scott. let's start with what we heard from boris sanchez, the reporting. the president's attorney in these new conditions that they're trying to set for mr. trump to agree for a meeting with the special counsel robert mueller, do you see mueller agreeing to conditions like these? >> no, absolutely not. but that's not the point. rudy giuliani gave the game away when he said, look, what we're trying to do is sway public opinion. in other words, try to convince the public there's no need for an investigation or that an investigation is politically motivated, biased against trump. and that's like new verse same song because the administration has been trying that for months with for example the nunes memo that sort of cobbled together memo that tried to discredit the fbi. with trump's tweets, the witch-hunt that insisted on no collusion. the twicht hest here is what th president's lawyers are saying you show us all the evidence you have, you show us ever

house bill and the senate amendment and modifications committed to conference, messrs, quay, lucas, austin scott of georgia, crawford, mrs. hartzler, rodney davis of illinois, yoho, marshal, david cott of georgia, costa, walls, grisham of eu han new mexico of new mexico. from the committee on education and the work force for considerations of 4204 and 9131 of the house bill and modifications committed to. ms. foxx, mr. allen and ms. adams. from the committee on energy and commerce for substilets a and b 6203, e 6, section 6202, 01, 407, 6409, 6603, 7 605, 8106, 8507. 9119, 9121 and 11101 of the house bill and section 6117, 7412, 206, 6301, 6303, 9111-13, 9106, 12628 of the nd senate amendment and modifications. messers. shimkus kramer and tonko. for consideration of section 12609 of the senate amendment and modifications committed to conference messers. hensarling, duffy and ms. waters of california. from the committee on foreign affairs for consideration of title 3 of the house bill and modifications committed to conference, messers. royce of california, chabot and engel. from the committee on

scott: thank you. mr. hensarling: the gentleman's time has expired. the chair recognizes the gentleman from oklahoma, mr. lucas, former chairman of the house agriculture committee. mr. lucas: thank you, mr. chairman. mr. secretary, i want to raise with you one capital requirement rule that's been the subject of this committee's scrutiny. mr. luetkemeyer has a bill which i and others are co-sponsored which would offset for purpose of capital rules any client margin that's posted to a clearing member. this idea was ranking minority memberation of your report in first report 2017 and has been discussed in europe as a regulatory change. as this hearing is about international issues, i would call to your attention a recent cftc report stating the market share of u.s. banks in terms of futures options positions has decreased 10% in the last five years compared to european banks. while i do think this fact points to a competitive imbalance between us and the europeans, i'm more concerned about the health of clearing for derivatives. if these data are correct, some capital rules might be hindering the laudable goal an