shelby holliday from the "wall street journal" with us. what do you think? >> tim kaine used an interesting phrase last night saying florida is checkmate. if they win florida, they block donald trump's path to the white house. it's one of the key states in this election. but there are other key states as well. only 1 until registered voters in florida have cast their ballot so far. according to a recent cbs poll, about 20% of those florida voters say they could change their minds or they're undecided. and it's still a battleground. a lot of these polls show clinton is up three or four points, but that's usually within the margin of error. so, you know, you never want to give voters the impression that you're confident or you're overly cocky about your results, because the last thing you want to do is tell them, you're winning, two weeks before an election. and they don't really feel like they need to go out, stand in line, and cast a ballot. this is a race where every single vote will matter. >> and i wonder who it discourages more. you can make an argument