it's sim le meant to show to you the consequences of some fiscal actions that are regularly discussi discussed in the congress. all expenses other than payroll tax deduction are suspended. third, the medicare's payment rates for physician services are held constant at the current level rather than by dropping at 27% in march and more thereafter as scheduled under current law. and fourth that the automatic spending productions reporting by the joint select committee on debt reduction do not take effect, although in this scenario it would remain in place. under that alternative fiscal scenario, deficits over the 2013-2022 period would be far higher than in the baseline, averaging 5.25% of gdp rather than 1.5% and totally $11 trillion rather than roughly $3 trillion. debt held by the public would climb on an unsustainable path reaching 94% of gdp in 2022, the highest figure since just after ward war ii. under that scenario the economy would be noticeably stronger in the next few years than the current law but noticeably weaker later in the decade. the report presents estimates of those